Circles Off host Rob Piza interviews Mike (@MrPeanutButter), a former actuary turned sports betting trader, about his background, college football betting, and sharp betting strategies.
Key Takeaways
- Sharp betting edges often come from finding props and markets the public hasn't adjusted to yet.
- College football lines can be less efficient and move late in the week due to injury news uncertainty.
- Betting success requires consistent process such as checking boards regularly and shopping across books.
- The sports betting analytics space is maturing, making edges harder to find over time.
What the video covers
- Episode of Circles Off, part of The Hammer Betting Network, presented by Underdog, with host Rob Piza.
- Underdog is promoted as an easy pick-higher-or-lower DFS-style platform, with a sign-up code offering bonus credit and a free Bobby Witt Jr. pick.
- Guest Mike (@MrPeanutButter) is relatively new to professional sports betting, having started seriously about three years ago.
- Mike was previously an actuary and wrote sports content on the side, hoping to break into sports through the back door.
- He was promoted into a trading role at a betting company, where early company rules restricted traders from betting.
- The conversation covers college football betting workflow, including when lines move and how injury news affects pricing.
- Discussion of player prop markets, including checking boards in the morning for mispriced lines and betting props across many books.
- Topics include how analytics and sharp tools are becoming more widespread in betting, similar to baseball analytics.
- Mike shares views on the gambling content creator ecosystem and why audiences follow personalities over time.
- The episode touches on NBA prop mispricings (e.g., a tall player's jump ball edge), NFL Pro Bowl scoring changes, and industry figures like Bill Connelly.
Chapters
- 00:00Intro and Underdog Sponsor Segment
- 07:00Mike's Background and Entry into Betting
- 14:10Transition from Actuary to Betting Trader
- 27:30Player Props and Market Efficiency
- 40:00Analytics and the Evolving Betting Industry
- 60:00Content Creation and Audience Building
- 80:00NFL Pro Bowl, Industry Figures, and Closing Thoughts
Full Transcript — Download SRT & Markdown
Speaker A
Let me tell you, you want to talk about a sweat when nobody gives a... about the game that's occurring. And I'm like, why? I'm like, you've got to get out of bounds. They're just casually jogging around them, screaming for team.
Speaker A
Eli, welcome, to, circles, off, part, of, the hammer, betting, Network, and, presented, by Underdog, I'm, Rob, Piza, we, got, another interview, for, this, week, a, guest, that I've, been, looking, forward, to interviewing, for, a, long, time, cuz, I, don't
Speaker A
Eli, welcome to Circles Off, part of The Hammer Betting Network, and presented by Underdog. I'm Rob Piza. We've got another interview for this week, a guest that I've been looking forward to interviewing for a long time, because I don't really know anything about him. We interact a lot online, spoke a couple times through Twitter DMs, but aside from that, I'm going into this one pretty blind. So we're going to get to that in just one second, but I do want to shout out our show sponsor, Underdog. If you haven't checked them out already, I would highly suggest that you do. Check out Underdog. It's a quick, easy way for you to get in on the action. You don't have to spend hours researching. That's where Underdog comes in. They have a pick them there. There's no overthinking things. You don't have to stress about line movement, no debating which number you should take at different books. It's just an easy game. You pick higher or lower on player projections, you submit your entry, you enjoy the ride. Right now, new users who sign up with code CIRCLES get up to $1,000 in bonus credit, plus a free pick today. That free pick is Major League Baseball's Bobby Witt Jr. to have higher than half a plate appearance. Bobby Witt Jr.! I like that one. Yeah, that's it. I mean, the guy's got to come up to the dish. You win. It's as simple as that. Baseball season is here. Look, I know a lot of you out there have been following Circles Off for a long time, and we are synonymous with being this sharp brand. We've talked about stuff on how to beat the books before. But if you're someone that just wants to take it easy, wants to sit back, have some fun, it's okay. Sometimes there's a spot for that. You don't have to worry about market efficiency or being available 24/7 to bet or anything like that. Underdog gives you that. It's an easy, enjoyable way to play. All you've got to do is use your sports knowledge. You get in on some action. It's as simple as that. If you're looking for something different, sign up with code CIRCLES today, use the link down in the description below, grab that free pick, test it out, see what you think. Here we go.
Speaker A
out, our, show, sponsor, underdog, if, you haven't, checked, them, out, already, I, would highly, suggest, that, you, do, check, out Underdog, it's, a, quick, easy, way, for, you to, get, in, on, the, action, you, don't, have to, spend, hours, researching, that's, where
Speaker A
Our guest on this week's episode is someone that I really don't know much about. I started following him on Twitter fairly recently because he caught my attention for a lot of his takes in the space. You can follow him on Twitter, @MrPeanutButter, Mr. Peanut Butter. Mike joins us on Circles Off this week. Mike, how's it going?
Speaker A
projections, you, submit, your, entry, you enjoy, the, ride, right, now, new, users, who sign, up, with, code, circles, get, up, to $1,000, in, bonus, credit, plus, a, free, pick today, that, free pick, is, Major, League, Baseball's, Bobby wit, Jr, to, have, higher, than, half, a, plate
Speaker A
Uh, good. Happy to be on, Rob. This is one of my favorite shows, so, uh, bless to be on.
Speaker A
been, following, circles, off, for, a, long time, and, we, are, synonymous, with, being this, Sharp, brand, we've, talked, about stuff, on, how, to, beat, the, books, before but, if, you're, someone, that, just, wants, to take, it, easy, wants, to, sit, back, have, some
Speaker A
You don't have to butter me up in the early going or anything like that. It's totally fine.
Speaker A
your, sports, knowledge, you, get, in, on, some action, it's, as, simple, as, that, if, you're looking, for, something, different, sign, up with, code, circles, today, use, the, link down, in, the, description, below, grab, that free, pick, test, it, out, see, what, you
Speaker A
Wow. Yeah, I was hoping. I know you're a hard-hitting journalist, so I was just trying to get you on my side here for these hard-hitting questions later.
Speaker A
space, you, can, follow, him, on, Twitter mrmr, panut, better, Mr, Peanut, better, Mike joins, us, on, circles, off, this, week, Mike how's, it going, uh, good, happy, to, be, on, Rob, this one, of, my, favorite, shows, so, uh, bless, to
Speaker A
Yes, absolutely. Uh, great strategy in the early going.
Speaker A
these, hard-hitting, questions, later, yes absolutely, uh, great, strategy, in, the early, going, um, okay, so, I, first, came across, you, um, and, I, thought, your, account was, really, interesting, both, in, the, sense that, it, was, funny, uh, a, lot, of, your
Speaker A
Um, okay. So I first came across you, um, and I thought your account was really interesting, both in the sense that it was funny. Uh, a lot of your tweets resonated with me. You've built up kind of this reputation in the sharper side of gambling Twitter over the past year, maybe a little bit more than that, but I don't think uh, anyone really knows how you got started in the space. Um, so if you can, what's your background in sports betting? How did you get involved?
Speaker A
um, so, if, you, can, what's, your, background in, sports, betting, how, did, you, get involved, yeah, I, think, um, I, one, thing that, probably, is, surprising, to, some people, I, haven't, been, betting, for, that long, I'm, pretty, new, to, the, space, um
Speaker A
Yeah, I think, um, one thing that probably is surprising to some people is I haven't been betting for that long. I'm pretty new to the space. Um, really started betting only seriously, or I guess being in the industry, as you know, some people would say, um, in regards to GRP. But, uh, only started doing that about three years ago. Uh, I started as a trader. Um, before that, I was betting casually, but nothing that was certainly profitable. Definitely was minus EV, definitely was down all that. Um, but really wasn't doing it seriously at all. So basically everything, um, that I have kind of experienced as a bettor has been within the past three years. So I would say that's, you know, kind of probably why you haven't heard of me in any regards or anything like that. So pretty new to this space, um, but yeah.
Speaker A
Trader, um, before, that, I, was, betting casually, but, nothing, that, was, certainly profitable, definitely, was, minus, EV definitely, was, down, all, that, um, but really, wasn't, doing, it, seriously, at, all so, basically, everything, um, that, I, have kind, of, experienced, as, a, better, has, been
Speaker A
Uh, prior to becoming a trader, um, what were you doing, like, and what made you want to apply for a trading position somewhere?
Speaker A
prior, to, becoming, a, Trader, um, what, were you, doing, like, and, like, what, made, you want, to, apply, for, a, trading, position somewhere, yeah, absolutely, so, I, was, an actuary, um, I, wouldn't, say, I, was, happy, at my, job, necessarily, I, was, um, you, know
Speaker A
Yeah, absolutely. So I was an actuary. Um, I wouldn't say I was happy at my job necessarily. I was, um, you know, growing up I always wanted to work in sports, but really didn't find a path that I thought suited my skill set. So I was an actuary full-time, and then on the side I was doing some content stuff, uh, writing for a few places, um, doing stuff like that. And I basically was doing that with the hopes of maybe getting into sports more seriously, uh, kind of through the back door. Um, and then when I was doing that, I got promoted. Uh, you know that meme where it's like, oh, I accidentally became important? Work, that kind of happened to me, where I, uh, they started a new role and they actually put me in it. So I was starting this new job, um, and then within six months of that, I was like, okay, this is doing too much. Trying to do the sports content with it, I gave up on the sports thought. All right, right now it is what it is. I just, I'm, it wasn't meant to be. I'm not going to work in sports. Uh, after working there for a little bit, I got offered a new job. And actually, um, during the week off between jobs, I happened to just read, uh, the book Logic of Sports Betting. Yep. And in it, they mention, uh, you know there's these people called traders, where I think he describes them as an army of nerds, uh, in regards to sports. I was like, well, you know, I'm pretty good at math, I love sports. Let's see if, uh, I could apply to one of these places just during my week off. And then while I was actually at my new job, training, I flew down to their headquarters. They flew me out. Everything. I interviewed for my sports trading position, and they were like, hey, how would you like a job with way less money, way less stability? And I was in. So, um, immediately gave up the actuary career, uh, and then became a trader.
Speaker A
writing, for, a, few, places, um, doing, stuff like, that, and, I, basically, was, doing, that with, the, hopes, of, maybe, getting, into sports, more, seriously, uh, kind, of, through the, back, door, um, and, then, when, I, was doing, that, I, got, promoted, uh, you, know
Speaker A
Really interesting background. Um, definitely. I think I can say without question you're the most liked actuary in gambling Twitter, uh, right now.
Speaker A
months, of, that, I, was, like, okay, this, is doing, too, much, trying, to, do, the, sports content, with, it, gave, up, on, the, sports thought, all, right, now, it, is, what, it, is, I just, I'm, it, wasn't, meant, to, be, I'm, not
Speaker A
Yeah, that's, I mean, that's a pretty low bar. That's like being the skinniest kid at fat camp, you know? It's not necessarily a very social group. So, uh, I would say that I definitely was probably a little bit louder, a little bit more demonstrative than a lot of my classmates. So yeah, that makes sense.
Speaker A
and, in, it, they, mention, uh, you, know there's, these, people, called, Traders where, I, think, he, describes, them, as, an army, of, nerds, uh, in, regards, to, sports, I was, like, well, you, know, I'm, pretty, good at, math, I, love, sports, let's, see, if, uh, I
Speaker A
Uh, when you were doing your, when you were working in your trading position, at what point did uh, potentially leaving that to bet on sports become a reality for you?
Speaker A
like, hey, how, would, you, like, a, job, way less, money, way, less, stability, and, I, was in, so, um, immediately, gave, up, the, ACT career, uh, and, then, became, a, Trader really, interesting, background, um definitely, I, I, I, think, I, can, say, without
Speaker A
Yeah. So when I first started, uh, there was a rule at the company that traders weren't suppos
Speaker A
would, say, that, I, definitely, was, probably a, little, bit, louder, a, little, bit, more demonst, than, a, lot, of, my, classmates, so yeah, that, makes, sense, uh, when, you, were doing, your, when, you, were, working, in, in your, trading, position, at, what, point, did
Speaker A
uh, potentially, leaving, that, to, bet, on Sports, become, a, reality, for you, yeah, so, when, I, first, started, uh there, was, a, a, rule, at, the, company, that Traders, weren't, supposed, to, bet, um, and, I I, mean, I, flew, out, to, Vegas, I, wasn't
Speaker A
betting, seriously, before, that, so, it wasn't, a, big, deal, I, was, going, to, follow the, rules, like, everyone, and, then, soon, I got, there, and, realized, that, everybody was, actually, betting, you, know, follow, the rules, at, first, then, you, realize
Speaker A
everybody, else, is, betting, um, so, I, mean early, on, I, was, just, kind, of, picking, my spots, and, spots, where, I, was, like, oh, you know, this, is, undervalued, or, very selective, about, my, betting, process obviously, wasn't, scale, um, but, you, know
Speaker A
maybe, a, little, bit, arrogant, but, like, a few, months, in, I, was, like, okay, I, can, at least, make, a, side, hustle, of, this, I, can at, least, make, some, side, income, betting in, small, spots, while, I'm, trading, um, and
Speaker A
then, I, was, you, know, it's, one, of, those things, where, you, start, betting, small start, betting, like, these, specific situations, and, then, eventually, you, end up, where, you're, just, betting, all, the time, right, now, a, lot, of, uh, betters, come
Speaker A
from, from, obviously, different backgrounds, uh, because, you, are, an actuary, I'm, automatically, assuming, that that, math, and, modeling, were, kind, of, the route, that, you, took, in, the, early, going of, betting, is, that, a, fair, assumption yeah, I, would, say, it's, probably, a, little
Speaker A
bit, more, basic, math, than, a, a, lot, of people, would, suspect, it, wasn't, anything that, necessarily, I, needed, an, Actuarial degree, in, order, to, do, uh, you, know, just there, there, are, things, that, I, now because, I, think, I, at, least, have, the
Speaker A
background, to, have, um, I, kind, of, pick, it up, easier, I, would, say, if, I'm, learning, it but, a, lot, of, it, I'm, relearning, myself, or kind, of, teaching, myself, looking, at different, things, um, I, I, would, say, that
Speaker A
the, math, aspect, or, the, actal, aspect, of what, I'm, doing, modeling, is, often, times you, know, a, little, bit, overrated, it's, not like, it's, exactly, Apples, to, Apples, but obviously, there's, some, overlap, and, you know, just, having, a, familiar, math
Speaker A
background, I, think, helps, yeah, that's interesting, um, just, curious, because, you mentioned, that, the, math, is, a, lot, more basic, than, maybe, a, lot, of, people, would realize, what, kind, of, markets, were, you going, after, in, the, early
Speaker A
going, so, really, early, on, I, betting, you know, more, main, three, but, I, was, just betting, it, in, very, like, once, every couple, weeks, or, things, like, that, um where, I, thought, I, you, know, particularly had, good, Insight, I, I, would, say, in
Speaker A
general, um, kind, of, most, of, my, betting starts, where, I, think, something, is, pretty hard, to, price, in, that, there's, a, lot, of uncertainty, there's, a, lot, of, like, I don't, know, you're, kind, of, just, throwing a, number, at, it, and, guessing, um, so, that's
Speaker A
really, where, almost, all, my, models, start with, me, thinking, this, particular, spot, is really, hard, to, price, how, do, they, do, it and, then, I, put, together, a, hack, you, know guess, on, it, basically, and, then, from there, you, just, kind, of, stop, and, refine
Speaker A
and, refine, and, refine, until, eventually you, have, kind, of, a, full, workking, model um, but, mostly, I, would, say, that, I, was trying, to, I, kind, of, let, the, market decide, what, I, was, going, to, attack, first I, was, trying, to, get, stuff, that, I, thought
Speaker A
was, either, priced, poorly, or, very, weird circumstances, that, I, thought, I, can, model this, quickly, with, a, guess, of, a, number here, and, try, to, do, it, that, way, yeah, that makes, a, lot, of, sense, now, I, I, have, a, lot
Speaker A
of, friends, who, um, either, are, Traders, now or, have, been, Traders, before, uh, I've obviously, worked, on, the, other, side, of the, counter, before, as, uh, many, of, our listeners, would, would, know, as, well, um, a lot, of, my, friends, that, are, Traders, they
Speaker A
they, speak, of, sort, of, a, life, experience or, story, where, just, by, virtue, of, being, a Trader, and, being, able, to, see, what, other sharp, betters, were, betting, they basically, had, like, the, gears, going, in their, head, of, like, I, can, do, this, as, well
Speaker A
how, much, of, how, much, of, your, journey into, being, a, sports, better, was, came, from your, ability, to, see, action, on, the, other side, of, the counter, yeah, I, think, it, was, helpful, and particularly, seeing, that, just, the
Speaker A
different, types, of, betters, that, you, kind of, get, to, watch, if, bets, come, in, you, see oh, this, guy, he, loves, betting, this, spot particularly, and, I, guess, since, that's something, that, was, already, kind, of gravit, gravitating, towards, anyways, I
Speaker A
thought, that, like, for, example, we, had, a guy, who, if, you, uh, saw, his, last, name, he was, a, weatherman, and, he, literally, bet, in bad, weather, situations, and, held, a, huge percentage, just, betting, in, weather, so kind, of, seeing, the, different, ways, people
Speaker A
approach, different, situations, I, think was, really, helpful, into, seeing, okay, like where, do, you, not, want, to, take, a, bet often, times, you, know, as, a, Trader, when you, see, a, bet, come, in, you, can, often times, tell, oh, you, know, I, didn't, want, to
Speaker A
take, this, right, here, obviously, is, the better, you, want, to, be, that, person, who's lighting, it, up, and, they're, like, oh, why didn't, I, allow, that, yeah, I, love, that, uh I, did, an, episode, it, was, the, last, episode
Speaker A
that, Johnny, did, with, me, at, the, end, of 2024, where, uh, we, click, baited, the, title of, like, here's, what, you, need, to, do, to win, in, 2025, but, part, of, that, episode, was about, like, figuring, out, what, your, Edge
Speaker A
is, find, your, Edge, as, a, better, and, like the, weather, example, Rings, true, is someone, who, who, might, not, have, had, any sports, knowledge, but, their, Edge, was, just being, able, to, get, down, before, other people, did, on, weather, situations, and
Speaker A
that, in, of, itself, is, enough, to, often times, uh, you, know, be, very, worthwhile, so I, appreciate, you, sharing, that, um, story Mike, um, curious, what, are, you, betting mostly nowadays, yeah, so, I, I'm, kind, of, betting at, least, in, some, capacity, year, round, um
Speaker A
busiest, season, is, probably, college football, is, the, highest, um, you, know volume, in, terms, of, probably, dollars, uh busiest, in, terms, of, every, day, there's something, is, NBA, I, bet, NBA, props, um, from college, football, right, into, NBA, props, um
Speaker A
and, then, you, know, I, I've, been, betting UFL, lately, and, I'll, pick, up, on, some, of these, kind, of, weirder, small, Sports, um kind, of, situations, like, that, I, bet, some unrivaled, even, this, year, um, basically anything, where, there's, not, a, lot, of, data
Speaker A
I, think, I, do, a, pretty, good, job, of estimating, you, know, either, where, there's some, data, but, not, a, ton, where, I, can, kind of, estimate, a, number, decide, how, much, to bring, it, back, or, how, much, is, this, real, I
Speaker A
those, kind, of, situations, where, it's, kind of, a, mix, of, subjective, and, a, little, bit of, math, I, think, that's, kind, of, the, area I, thrive, in, and, it, also, helps, it, those are, lower, limit, markets, where, I, don't
Speaker A
have, to, compete, against, the, three, you know, legitimate, better, so, I, like, the hang, on, those, kind, of, markets, too, so yeah, I, want, I, want, to, dig, in, a, little bit, on, uh, probably, college, football, and NBA
Speaker A
um, let's, start, with, college, football, I know, it's, offseason, right, now, but, uh Curious, what, a, a, typical, college football, betting, week, looks, like, for, you um, are, you, betting, mostly, early, in, the week, later, in, the, week, do, you, do, live
Speaker A
are, there, props, involved, what, what, is betting, college, football, Encompass, for you, surprising, you, didn't, want, to, go with, the, UFL, or, WNBA, content, in, that went, with, college, football, but, um, yeah yeah, uh, for, college, it's, been, a, little
Speaker A
bit, different, year, by, year, just, um, as, my bank, rolls, growed, uh, before, I, was, able to, bet, a, lot, on, Sundays, and, now obviously, I, want, to, wait, a, little, bit more, um, but, with, that, you, obviously, find
Speaker A
ways, to, get, down, that, are, a, little, bit different, which, is, helpful, um, but, last year, I, guess, probably, just, the, easiest way, is, just, to, look, at, last, year, I, was betting, uh, I, would, bet, sides, usually, uh
Speaker A
Tuesday, um, totals, on Wednesday, you, know, obviously, if something's, moving, or, if, I, think, that there's, a, certain, spot, you'll, go, before that, but, trying, in, general, um, Tuesday and, Wednesday, is, where, I, could, get, you know, a, fullfill, of, what, I, wanted, uh, for
Speaker A
each, market, there, um, through, different means, and, then, later, in, the, week, betting some, derivative, stuff, I, did, the, first halfes, first, quarters, um, and, then, some SGP, stuff, I, added, in, kind, of, by, accident halfway, through, the, halfway, through, the
Speaker A
season, I, had, some, movers, that, I, was talking, to, I, was, betting, one, kind, of prop, and, they're, like, you, know, could, you make, it, actually, an, SGP, of, something that's, kind, of, related, and, just, kind, of iterated, on, the, Fly, and, did, that, so
Speaker A
that's, help, that, was, uh, helpful, and, kind of, a, new, area, I, think, these, scps, are pretty, beatable, I, obviously, everybody who's, betting, seriously, is, starting, to look, into, these, I'm, not, it's, not, like, a novel, concept, but, I, think, that, if, you
Speaker A
can, take, something, that, you, already, had and, try, to, kind, of, jam, it, into, that, way a, lot, of, times, there's, edgs, to, be, found there, yeah, to, be, clear, I, asked, you, about college, football, instead, of, UFL, cuz
Speaker A
there's, probably, about, seven, people betting, UFL, and, I, feel, like, you're, going to, really, give, away, an, edge, or, something if, I, if, I, dig, deep, onto, that, yeah, just me, and, Dez, are, probably, the, two, people that, I, know, that, ask, really, about
Speaker A
consistently, so, and, I, mean, that, it's probably, not, even, the, smallest, bit, of his, attention, but, yeah, so, that's, an interesting, and, then, you, know, W, to, so that's, another, interesting, sport, for everyone, um, we've, exchanged, a, few, DMS
Speaker A
over, the, last, year, or, so, nothing, crazy but, you, did, mention, to, me, that, um, you, do some, halftime, betting, in, college football, now, listening, to, you, talk, now you're, talking, about, how, you're, betting first, halves, um, curious, were, like, are
Speaker A
you, also, doing, a, bunch, of, second, half stuff, or, or, is, all, of, the, Der, derivative betting, coming pregame, I'm, betting, some, second, half spots, usually, uh, if, I'm, betting, on, a Saturday, live, I'm, trying, to, Target things, that, happened, in, the, game, that, I
Speaker A
think, might, not, necessarily, be, priced, um you, know, for, the, rest, of, the, game, as well, as, would, be, for, example, if, you, have a, game, that's, one, of, the, if, it's, say it's, the, 15th, most, important, game, on
Speaker A
Saturday, and, a, college, quarterback, goes down, there's, no, data, on, that, backup quarterback, it, can, vary, wildly, from, this guy, was, competing, for, the, job, in, the spring, and, he, was, basically, right, on, the guy's, ass, so, he, was, you, know, there's, no
Speaker A
downgrade, at, all, or, it, could, be, a, kid, I mean, I, remember, the, one, year, the Oklahoma, State, quarterback, came, in, and he, was, so, nervous, his, hand, was, trembling and, you, can, see, them, like, I, mean, so, the
Speaker A
Gap, in, these, quarterbacks, that, come, in, a lot, of, times, through, injury, or, sometimes it, could, be, a, team, has, decided, to, slow the, pace, down, for, the, first, half, because they, want, to, get, out, of, there, and, not
Speaker A
get, beat, by, more, than, 50, if, it's, a, huge spread, game, kind, of, things, that, are happening, live, that, I, think, might, not necessarily, get, PR, pred, in, until, the second, half, and, it, probably, is, at, the end, of, the, half, but, I, think, a, lot, of
Speaker A
times, you, know, early, or, if, you're betting, it, live, it's, it's, a, little, bit scarier, because, it's, hard, to, really model, things, you, know, unless, you're, very good, which, I'm, not, it's, hard, to, model anything, live, is, because, Sports, folks, do
Speaker A
uh, but, you, kind, of, had, to, be directionally, correct, there, and, kind, of know, where, the, price, should approximately, be, just, by, know, almost rest, all, right, so, so, on, that, topic, are are, you, preparing, for, this, beforehand
Speaker A
let, like, as, an, example, would, you, have, I don't, know, what, is, it, 120, roughly college, football, teams, and, and, know, a rough, a, difference, between, quarterback and, backup, is, that, something, that happens, on, the, Fly, um, is, it, field-based
Speaker A
like, walk, me, through, what, what, you, do, in those scenarios, yeah, I, mean, ideally, a, lot, more of, it, would, be, prepped, ahead, of, time, I think, that, mostly, was, just, a, bandwidth thing, where, a, lot, of, times, I'm, kind, of
Speaker A
seeing, something, happen, uh, being, like okay, what's, going, on, here, and, if, there's enough, time, trying, to, react, mostly before, uh, or, during, the, half, time, I think, during, the, halftime, is, when, kind of, the, lines, get, cleaned, up, and, shape
Speaker A
put, into, place, by, betters, who, know, what they're, doing, um, but, when, there's, live, I mean, obviously, there's, people, betting into, those, live, markets, and, it's, not completely, inefficient, but, it's certainly, not, as, efficient, as, halftime as, the, people, who, have, you, know
Speaker A
developed, models, over, years, and, are betting, with, higher, limits, when, it, comes on, so, a, lot, of, times, what, I'm, doing, is kind, of, scrambling, but, I, think, that ideally, you, would, like, to, go, in, with, a list, every, Saturday, of, okay, here's
Speaker A
things, that, we, could, be, watching, and obviously, you, can, scramble, depending, on what, happens, you'll, never, be, able, to prep, for, every, situation, but, ideally, I would, like, to, prep, but, we're, not, there yet, uh, I'd, like, on, that, injury, news
Speaker A
front, I'd, like, to, explore, that, a, little bit, further, but, maybe, more, so, in, the pregame, capacity, where, nowadays, um there's, so, much, college, football, injury new, in, I'll, call, it, news, in, quotations that's, available, and, the, reason, I, say
Speaker A
that, is, because, I'm, not, sure, how, often this, stuff, is, already, priced, into markets, beforehand, with, people, who, know how, accurate, the, reporting, is, I, talk, to many, people, who, bet, college, football they, all, give, me, very, different
Speaker A
perspectives, on, you, know, whether, or, not this, injury, news, has, has, meaningfully changed, the, market, as, a, whole, how, do, you view, um, you, know, the, the, increase, of widely, available, information, in, the, last couple, years, in, the, college, football
Speaker A
betting Market, ye, yeah, it's, tough, to, know, what's already, priced, in, what's, been, leaked, out with, Pros, I, feel, it's, it's, so, much, more a, standard, and, cookie, cutter, that, you kind, of, know, uh, one, you, know, you, can
Speaker A
tell, the, lines, are, so, much, more efficient, um, you, can, kind, of, tell, if it's, been, priced, in, or, not, for, college lines, might, move, pretty, late, in, the, week and, it's, it's, unclear, if, it's, because, of the, injury, news, or, if, it's, because, of
Speaker A
something, else, completely, um, you, know, I I'm, not, well, connected, enough, to, have any, kind, of, inside, information, or anything, like, that, so, I'm, basically Flying, Blind, a, lot, of, times, and, betting earlier, in, the, week, removes, some, of, that
Speaker A
you, know, you're, speculating, on, a, lot, of it, but, you're, not, how, much, is, really priced, in, on, a, Monday, or, Tuesday, you know, you, can't, know, if, that, guy's, going to, be, ready, Beyond, whether, you, already knew, was, out, uh, live, from, the, game
Speaker A
before, so, I, think, a, lot, of, times, you're kind, of, projecting, injuries, um, and, I think, in, college, a, lot, of, times, if, it's not, the, quarterback, I, don't, know, it's really, quarterback, and, cluster, injuries are, the, two, things, you, have, to, be
Speaker A
worried, about, at, least, in, my, opinion college, football, because, the, backup, for the, best, teams, like, you, know, the, backup for, Ohio, State, is, going, to, be, coming, in he's, going, to, be, a, five-star, recruit who's, also, super, talented, so, the, guy
Speaker A
that, goes, out, is, being, replaced, by someone, with, equal, Talent, a, lot, of, times it's, because, these, schools, are, so, much in, talent, I, think, that, the, backup, you know, there's, a, big, gap, between, Justin Jefferson, and, his, backup, compared, to
Speaker A
average, NFL, wide, receiver, in, his, backup Ohio, State's, star, wide, receiver, in, their backup, the, gap, between, that, and, Bowling Green, and, their, backup, is, this, kind, of the, same, so, maybe, I, didn't, do, a, big, job of, explaining, that, there, but, I, think, uh
Speaker A
it, kind, of, sorts, itself, out, except, for you, know, clusters, and, QBs, yeah, so, I, I, I get, what, you're, getting, at, and, and nowadays, when, I'm, talking, about, the, you know, the, prevalence, of, injury information, in, the, market, there's, feed
Speaker A
Underdog, has, great, feeds, for, for, all, the major, sports, um, seen, unabated, get involved, recently, with, college, football news, as, well, and, I've, always, wondered because, each, sport, is, different, I, see this, a, lot, in, the, hockey, market, and, and
Speaker A
again, we're, we're, very, different, betters I'm, I'm, big, on, hockey, but, I'll, often, see like, some, sort, of, injury, information that, comes, out, on, one, of, these, feeds, and the, market, immediately, gets, hit, to, the other, side, and, and, I'm, sitting, there, and
Speaker A
I'm, like, well, this, is, actually insignificant, altogether, in, some, cases it, it's, actually, proba, you, know, it, could be, good, that, this, player, is, out, of, the lineup, um, yet, there, seems, to, be, like this, abundance, of, reaction, to, injury
Speaker A
news, and, I, always, wondered, about, the college, market, for, the, reasons, that, you mentioned, right, like, is, a, a, random, Edge rusher, on, you, know, Alabama, for, example um, going, to, be, the, equivalent, of, an, edge rusher, on, to, lane, or, something, like, that
Speaker A
and, how, are, people, processing, that, in real, time, basically yeah, for, college, it's, a, little, bit different, because, the, information, seems to, kind, of, trickle, out, more, than, it, does just, blasted, like, like, you, know, when I've, bet, NBA, too, it's, Underdog, when
Speaker A
Underdog, tweets, it, you, just, see, the screen, so, you, can, see, exactly, the, impact of, what's, Happening, um, you, know sometimes, you, can, get, people, tweeting like, uh, hints, other, beat, reporters, and stuff, like, that, but, for, college, it, it
Speaker A
seems, like, it's, largely, getting, leaked into, the, information, somehow, um, and, then also, I, just, don't, think, the, moves, are, as big, uh, like, you, said, I, think, because it's, unless, it's, a, real, star, player, for a, smaller, School, usually, the, backups, for
Speaker A
these, uh, top, level, schools, where, all, the best, players, are, are, so, much, better, than the, competition, they're, playing, anyways it, you, know, how much, how, much, of, a, difference, does, it make, if, you're, going, from, a, 90, rated
Speaker A
player, if, you're, talking, like, old, Madden ratings, if, you, go, from, 90, versus, 70, to uh, 87, versus, 70, it, doesn't, matter, that much, uh, as, opposed, to, in, the, NFL, where obviously, the, difference, between, every team, is, so, much, smaller, than, in, college
Speaker A
right, uh, having, the, Actuarial, background obviously, um, you, have, a, good, strong foundation, in, mathematics, and, I, always find, it, really, interesting, talking, to people, who, have, the, mathematical background, in, terms, of, how, they, approach sports, betting, where, you, have, the
Speaker A
extreme, um, which, I, I'll, I'll, say, Rufus Peabody, is, one, extreme, one, way, where it's, like, I, am, going, to, try, to, quantify everything, I'm, going, to, try, to, model everything, then, I'm, kind, of, maybe somewhere, in, the, middle, where, I, won't
Speaker A
bet, against, my, models, but, sometimes, I might, lay, off, and, be, like, hey, you, know what, I've, been, showing, an, edge, on, this team, six, straight, games, it's, not, going well, I, don't, know, if, this, is, true, you
Speaker A
know, and, then, there's, some, math, guys, who are, like, you, know, what, I, like, to, mix, in a, lot, of, subjective, feel, I, will, often times, play, against, my, own, numbers, where do, you, stand, on, that, Spectrum so, I, I, incorporate, some, subjective, stuff
Speaker A
but, I, always, try, to, at, least, put, the subjective, whatever, adjustments, I, like to, make, uh, I, make, to, you, know, if, I'm going, to, adjust, one, way, I'll, do, it, to the, team, rating, rather, than, post, after
Speaker A
everything's, been, run, I, think, if, you, do it, after, everything's, been, run, I, find, a lot, of, times, I'm, not, very, price sensitive, I, want, to, react, to, a, certain piece, of, information, a, certain, way, I already, kind, of, have, it, in, my, head, oh
Speaker A
you, know, this, guy's, I, want, to, do, this, um so, I, think, I'm, better, off, if, I, do, do some, kind, of, subjective, uh, adjustment, I do, it, to, the, actual, values, inside, the model, rather, than, the, game, post, after
Speaker A
everything's, been, run, um, I, would, say that, I, think, that, there's, a, difference between, you, know, there's, subjective inputs, and, there's, objective, ones, that even, if, you, can't, necessarily, price, it correctly, there, is, just, an, OB, the, value
Speaker A
to, it, so, I, think, there's, certain, things that, you, want, to, try, to, incorporate, as much, as, you, can, but, when, it, gets, to, the softer, values, of, like, team, rating, how much, this, player, matters, that's, where, I
Speaker A
think, subjective, kind, of, factors, in, more than, necessarily, you, know, the, wind, was 18, miles, per, hour, got, it, um, you mentioned, a, little, bit, about, sgps, and same, game, parlays, have become, huge, in, the, industry, nowadays, uh
Speaker A
a, lot, of, people, dismiss, them, as, sucker bets, uh, a, lot, of, sharper, bets, know, that there's, lots, of, times, where, you, can, use the, sgps, in, your, advantage, uh, I've, seen them, exploited, many, times, in, other sports, uh, especially, the, NFL, nowadays, I
Speaker A
know, some, guys, who, are, uh, they're, making a, lot, off, of, sgps, uh, very, low, win, rates shooting, for, the, moon, but, they, hit, them and, they, go, well, um, I'm, kind, of, familiar with, college, football, markets, I, do, bet
Speaker A
some, college, football, props, um, but, from what, I, can, tell, the, um, amount, of, options in, Market, is, nowhere, close, to, that, of, of NFL, so, when, you, talk, about, taking advantage, of, sgps, um, how, limited, are those, markets, like, are, are, you, doing
Speaker A
some, correlated, stuff, where, the, market is, still, in, the, early, going, where, it doesn't, quite, understand, the correlations, um, I, I, don't, I, I, I, don't want, you, to, give, away, an, edge, I, don't ask, people, to, do, that, but, just, curious
Speaker A
how, you're, using, them, to, benefit, right now yeah, I, I, would, say, kind, of, getting, into it, without, really, getting, into, it, um, I try, to, do, things, that, are, based, on standard, correlations, or, standard probabilities, that, they, put, in, there, and
Speaker A
adjust, it, to, team, specific, stuff, so essentially, they're, going, to, come, up with, this, is, a, correlation, for, this situation, based, on, tons, of, approach, uh you, know, tons, of, data, usually, fed, into some, kind, of, I'm, guessing, machine
Speaker A
learning, or, some, kind, of, you, know, giant Matrix, that, is, probably, math, above, my pay, grade, so, what, I'm, trying, to, do, is find, specific, situations, where, why, would that, correlation, not, apply, to, this, team or, why, would, that, correlation, be, wrong
Speaker A
here, um, it's, tough, because, there's, not, a ton, of, player, props, so, it's, basically all, game, stuff, yeah, um, and, it's, you, know it's, not, those, I'm, not, betting, any, kind of, long, shot, uh, SGP, stuff, like, that, with
Speaker A
the, NFL, where, there's, a, lot, more, of, that available, um, so, it's, more, just, stuff, and kind, of, kind, of, fitting, it, to, more specific, information, based, on, the, teams uh, which, college, because, there's, so, much Variety, in, the, teams, I, think, that
Speaker A
there's, kind, of, more, opportunities, there yep, that, makes, a, lot, of, sense, to, me, um okay, let's, flip, over, to, NBA, um, very different, sport, obviously, daily, League instead, of, betting, weekly, uh, when, it comes, to, NBA, are, you, betting, similar
Speaker A
types, of, things, in, the, NBA, I, know, you mentioned, you, do, bet, props, which, is, um you, know, again, there's, just, way, more, in terms, of, NBA, props, to, bet, on, a, daily basis, than, there, our, college, football
Speaker A
but, are, you, mostly, focused, on, the, same stuff, yeah, so, I, I'm, betting, mostly, uh you, know, points, I, started, the, year, doing points, and, threes, I, was, able, to, add, in um, some, assist, and, rebound, stuff, uh, in
Speaker A
the, middle, of, this, year, um, and, a, lot, of my, stuff, you, know, is, still, pretty, new, so I'm, kind, of, adding, in, features, midseason stuff, like, that, so, I, added, in, sgps, for this, season, uh, once, again, it, was
Speaker A
something, where, I, was, like, hey, I, was just, kind, of, scrolling, through, just checking, out, odds, and, kind, of, plugging in, and, looking, at, a, few, different, things I, was, like, you, know, this, doesn't, look right, to, me, um, could, I, whip, together
Speaker A
some, real, hack, job, of, something, that, I think, could, price, it, kind, of, close, that I, you, know, knew, wasn't, going, to, be perfect, but, I, was, like, all, right, is, this good, enough, to, beat, what, I, think, they're
Speaker A
pricing, fundamentally, wrong, um, so, I've been, betting, that, recently, uh, which, has been and, I, think, you, know, I, think, it's, better for, accounts, especially, if, you, can, kind of, edit, in, where, one, you're, losing, often before, you're, winning, big, so, I, think
Speaker A
that's, helpful, and, then, two, I, obviously they're, pushing, all, these, people, for sgps, uh, you, know, they, can't, they're, not going, to, push, everyone, to, bet, scps, and then, when, you, bet, scps, be, upset, so, as long, as, it's, not, you, know, super, flagrant
Speaker A
or, obvious, what, you're, doing, there, kind of, mix, it, up, a, little, bit, I, think, that it, probably, helps, count, life, although, to be, honest, like, I'm, mostly, kind, of betting, through, other, people, at, this point, uh, that, I, I, can't, tell, for, sure
Speaker A
yeah, on, the, topic, of, of, account longevity, or, health, um, I, I, often, see, a lot, of, debate, on, which, markets, are better, to, bet, on, um, in, the, community, whe like, some, people, argue, that, player, props are, great, because, of, the, ease, of, winning
Speaker A
High, Roi, others, say, gay, markets, offer more, long-term, value, because, of, the limitting, Factor, when, you, know, you're betting, high, volume, props, do, you, lean one, way, or another, you, know, not, really, um, I, will say, there, is, a, nice, part, about, props, uh
Speaker A
where, college, football, it's, all, on, one day, and, you're, like, you, know, whether this, goes, good, or, bad, it's, my, income riding, on, it, and, uh, like, the, first, week of, college, football, this, year, I, think, I was, 2, and, 18, so, and, you, know, week, one, is
Speaker A
even, harder, because, you, get, to, get, more down, because, you're, able, to, get, it, down quietly, so, it's, you, know, really, rough and, NBA, if, I, go, on, a, two, of, 18, stretch it's, fine, you, know, you, just, pick, up, the
Speaker A
next, day, and, get, to, keep, moving, uh, so, I do, think, like, uh, props, are, easier, in that, good, regard, um, as, far, as, you, know account, longevity, and, uh, things, like that, I, will, say, I, think, that, if, you're
Speaker A
able, to, I, think, the, prop, Market, is, easy enough, to, beat, if, you're, truly originating, it, you, know, it's, it's, if you're, doing, top, down, or, if, you, need razor, thin, margins, but, if, you're originating, it, sometimes, there's, edges
Speaker A
that, are, big, enough, that, you, don't, have to, take, best, price, and, that, can, kind, of it, opens, up, a, lot, of, doors, to, you, so, if I'm, willing, to, take, a, price, that, is, you know, even, worse, than, Market, one, I, think
Speaker A
it, probably, helps, your, accounts, better and, two, you, can, just, obviously, get, down at, so, many, more, places, so, I, think because, there, are, bigger, edges, sometimes it, gets, underrated, that, you, just, have, a wider, variety, of, places, you, can, bet, uh
Speaker A
you, know, any, given yeah, it's, actually, funny, you, mention that, um, I, try, all, sorts, of, [ __ ], when, it comes, to, um, trying, to, avoid, getting limited, uh, obviously, I've, talked, about account, priming, here, before, I, still
Speaker A
think, that's, very, important, I, everyone has, their, own, individual, experiences, of what, works, for, them, what, doesn't, depends on, the, book, might, have, just, been, random timing, with, the, with, the, trader, that happened, to, be, on, shift, when, you, know
Speaker A
you, fired, a, bunch, of, bets, there's, lots of, stuff, that, that, has, to, do, with, that and, I, still, continue, um, you, know, to, to go, down, these, paths, one, of, the experiments, I've, been, doing, was, was, not
Speaker A
taking, best, price, and, it's, it's, really weird, for, me, to, say, that, because, I've obviously, advocated, that, for, that forever, uh, being, a, co-owner, of, a, product like, bet, stamp, which, is, built, on, you know, find, the, best, pric, in, market, and
Speaker A
bet, it, there, I, still, think, that's, a great, advice, to, a, recreational, better generally, especially, one, that, doesn't have, an, edge, but, once, you, actually, do build, up, the, edge, um, when, you, go, Wipe Out, the, best, price, on, screen, at, every
Speaker A
single, B, sports, book, every, time, I, think your, longevity, is, is, pretty, much, nothing at, that, point, for, the, health, of, the account, so, um, yeah, it's, funny, just interesting, to, to, hear, you, mention, that as, well, because, for, me, that's, been, a, big
Speaker A
thing, over, the, last, several, months, which is, still, taking, good, prices, but, not taking, the, obvious, price, let's, put, it that way, yeah, I, I'll, be, honest, I, I, often, do take, the, best, price, too, but, I'm, kind, of
Speaker A
I'm, taking, it, so, I, want, to, get, down, on the, prop, and, as, many, places, as, I, can, so I'm, basically, betting, it, a, lot, of, times I'll, bet, it, if, the, board, is, you, know, not if, there's, nothing, if, everything's
Speaker A
relatively, in, market, I'll, bet, it, at, just every, single, sports, book, so, you're almost, floting, them, with, so, many, bets that, they're, not, looking, at, it, I, I, don't and, maybe, that's, not, actually, helpful, at all, but, I, think, that, if, you're, just, kind
Speaker A
of, picking, and, choosing, spots, it's, a, lot easier, to, see, than, when, you're, just, if go, in, at, the, same, time, every, single, day and, this, person's, like, oh, he's, betting at, you, know, 9, o', and, he, just, hammers, 15
Speaker A
bets, if, I, was, a, recreational, better, I would, probably, just, go, into, my, screen look, and, whatever, the, price, was, at, the time, I, bet, it, I, wouldn't, wait, till, you know, different, times, of, the, market, and try, to, pick, and, choose, and, things, like
Speaker A
that, so, I, again, it's, all, speculation like, you, said, I, have, no, idea, it, could, be I, I, the, funny, thing, is, uh, the, reason, I uh, have, you, know, the, Twitter, burner, name is, I uh, had, a, friend, who, worked, at, Fanatics
Speaker A
and, I, I, primed, an, account, I, was, betting WNBA, got, a, couple, decent, bets, in, uh, and I, messaged, him, I, was, like, hey, you, know, I got, limited, I'm, down, here, what's, going on, he's, like, yeah, we, review, accounts
Speaker A
that, are, betting, a, certain, amount, and they, found, uh, you, know, one, of, your, old articles, that, you, wrote, when, I, was writing, doing, some, content, stuff, he's like, we, found, one, of, those, and, then, put the, you, know, limits, on, you, there, I, was
Speaker A
like, ah, so, you, really, got, to, try, to, wrap up, every, kind, of, piece, of, Internet presence, you, have, which, is, pretty, much impossible, for, me, Mike, uh, i', I've learned, that, the, hard, way, um, yeah, I, mean
Speaker A
I, I, it's, an, unfortunate, nature, of, being a, public, figure, before, I, was, actually, a winning, better, because, uh, yeah, there's no, work, around, for, someone, quickly Googling, your, name, and, seeing, you, all over, a, bunch, of, betting, content, uh
Speaker A
that's, you, know, at, the, time, sponsored, by Pinnacle, sharp, book, as, well, wasn't wasn't, really, helping, my, C, I'll, tell, you that, yeah, Jed, on, them, I, mean, when, I wrote, that, article, I, would, have, been, a losing, better, so, they, they, really, would
Speaker A
have, messed, up, but, I, I, mean, also probably, when, I, wrote, that, article, I wouldn't, be, betting, a, DIY, on, a, random WNBA, game, so, I'm, sure, that, they, probably figure, that, out, too, yeah, and, listen there, are, some, sports, books, uh, I, mean
Speaker A
Fanatics, would, definitely, be, one, of, them where, I, I, don't, think, the, strategies that, you, may, may, employ, at, other, books are, necessarily, going, to, work, there, um anyways, um, just, my, exper, expences, um, on the, NBA, side, have, there, been, any, NBA
Speaker A
betting, angles, that, have, uh, worked, well in, the, past, that, have, since, dried, up that, you, could, maybe share, uh, I, I, don't, know, if, they necessarily, dried, up, I, I, would, say, that I, used, to, bet, a, lot, more, I, would, do, kind
Speaker A
of, Race, To, score, stuff, um, first, field goal, team, stuff, I, would, do, a, ton, of early, on, and, it's, just, gotten, harder, I, I guess, I, mean, it's, dried, up, in, the, sense that, it's, just, really, hard, to, bet, it, now
Speaker A
um, before, it, was, a, little, bit, easier, and part, of, that, is, just, me, increasing, my bet, size, where, it's, like, you, know, before with, where, it, was, $500, was, definitely worth, my, time, now, it's, like, I, you, know
Speaker A
just, I'm, not, going, to, worry, about, this bet, um, but, I, think, part, of, it, is, also books, just, realizing, that, it, was probably, a, bunch, of, sharp, people, betting it, that, this, isn't, a, particularly, fun bet, for, a, person, they're, going, to, bet
Speaker A
the, first, player, to, score, the, basket they're, not, going, to, bet, the, first, team um, so, that's, something, that, I, think, that you, know, a, lot, of, these, bets, that, if it's, not, fun, to, the, Casual, better, how
Speaker A
long, is, it, really, going, to, last, uh, that was, probably, one, example, of, that, I, think are, you, still, dabbling, in, the, first player, to, score, a basket, no, not, really, it's, just, uh, it's something, that, you, kind, of, at, least, I
Speaker A
needed, to, run, pretty, consistently, I, had a, a, pretty, good, out, uh, for, race, to, like five, race, to, 10, kind, of, thing, yeah, um unfortunately I, think, that, they, are, no, longer, paying out, very, many, sharp, customers, I, think, uh
Speaker A
they've, been, kind, of, in, some, news, for different, people, know, that, they're, not paying, out, now, so, that, was, one, of, my hours, for, a, while, and, that's, seems, like it's, gone, now, yeah, I, I, only, asked because, I, I, actually, love, that, market
Speaker A
for, a, sweat, um, so, I've, been, top, Downing uh, first, to, score, and, then, first, to score, from, each, team, um, using, betst, Pro uh, what, I, I, like, about, it, is, obviously the, odds, that, you, can, get, on, a, lot, of
Speaker A
these, bets, which, are, um, long, shots, but it's, just, it, is, actually, just, such, a great, sweat, at, like, 7, 7:30, Eastern, when the, games, are, tipping, off, I'm, not, a, huge NBA, guy, B, like, not, a, big, basketball, fan
Speaker A
but, I, can, watch, like, the, first, minute, of every, game, and, like, I, don't, I, don't, know to, me, it's, like, one, of, the, best, best sweats, you, could, possibly, have, in, sports betting, yeah, there, was, a, period, where
Speaker A
early, in, the, year, we, were, actually, able to, get, like, uh, we, had, some, VIP, accounts uh, there's, some, people, and, we, were, able to, get, a, decent, amount, and, when, we, would have, you, know, first, team, to, score, a
Speaker A
field, goal, and, we, had, what, was, a, pretty good, chunk, of, change, and, they, missed like, the, first, three, shots, you're, just like, and, often, times, it, wouldn't, even, be worth, it, for, me, to, like, turn, the, game, on
Speaker A
so, I'd, have, it, on, that, like, little, ESPN Gamecast, I'm, watching, it, like, a, real that's, a, real, you, know, degenerate, sweat of, watching, just, uh, animation, update, and seeing, like, oh, am, I, going, to, get, a, field
Speaker A
goal, or, not, uh, it, it's, it's, so incredibly, rewarding, when, win, that, type of, bet, but, also, can, be, so, incredibly tilting, too, like, when, you, when, you, got the, first, player, to, score, who, takes, the first, two, shots, for, a, team, and, misses
Speaker A
both, I've, had, situations, where, you, know a, guy, will, be, going, in, for, a, layup, and gets, fouled, and, then, like, the, ref, says no, no, it's, on, the, it's, you, know, it's, not shooting, fouls, on, the, fouls, happen, on
Speaker A
the, floor, you're, like, no, what, the, hell's going, on, here, like, very, clearly, in, the process, of, making, a, layup, love, that market, um, one, of, my, favorites, altogether I'm, just, trying, to, think, of, of, stuff over, the, years, and, I, I, don't, think
Speaker A
there's, anything, better, for, me, than, than that, first, bucket, whether, it, was, the team, to, to, score, first, the, player, to score, I've, always, been, really, interested in, that market, yeah, yeah, I, I, had, uh, when, web Yama, first, came, into, the, NBA, I, was
Speaker A
betting, it, pretty, consistently, and, I just, didn't, think, they, adjusted, to, the fact, that, he's, a, seven, foot6, alien, fast enough, so, like, he, he, should, obviously, be a, huge, favorite, to, win, every, jump, ball and, the, Spurs, obviously, sucked, so, I, bet
Speaker A
a, lot, of, money, and, ended, up, losing, a, lot of, money, consistently, betting, first score, and, then, eventually, they, figured it, out, and, started, pricing, it, right, so, I was, just, n, huge, loser, in, betting, on those, kind, of, situations, uh, so, yeah, yeah
Speaker A
those, are, tough, ones, um, you, did, mention the, smaller, markets, you, bet, like, WNBA UFL, you, mentioned, as, well, um, what, do those, markets, look, like, I, have, you, I guess, let, me, refine, the, question, by saying, have, you, found, them, to, be, more
Speaker A
competitive, as, as, yours, have, gone, off, or have, they, just, been, relatively stagnant, you, know, I, don't, really, know just, because, I, haven't, been, betting, it long, enough, kind, of, to, pick, up, on, some of, those, things, I, would, say, that, they're
Speaker A
a, little, everybody, would, kind, of, put together, the, UFL, and, WNBA, but, really it's, it's, based, on, the, way, I, bet, UFL, is more, like, NBA, props, where, it's, a, lot, of in, NBA, props, you're, always, looking, at
Speaker A
the, assumptions, that, you're, taking whether, it's, field, goal, rate, minutes, you know, shooting, percentage, Etc, and, you're kind of, you're, kind, of, adjusting, to, that manually, or, at, least, I, am, um, based, on different, factors, how, real, is, this, um, is
Speaker A
it, not, UFL, is, similar, where, there's, not a, ton, of, data, so, you're, like, you, know how, real, is, this, where, WNBA, it's, more resented, it's, more, similar, to, my, kind, of college, football, process, where, I, have, a
Speaker A
good, idea, of, what, each, team, is, and, it's more, of, a, straight, modeling, problem, as opposed, to, kind, of, more, of, a, hackish, job or, more, manual, uh, for, the, UFO, so, I, just manual, I, just, manually, looked, I, looked
Speaker A
up, uh, the, UFL, cuz, I, I, don't, I, don't, bet the, UFL, are, follow, it, so, there's, eight teams, in, the, UFL, um, right, nine, in, the CFL, I'm, just, curious, what, what, how, do you, decide, when, you're, going, to, move
Speaker A
into, a, certain, League, or, a, market, what made, you, choose, UFL, and WNBA, yeah, so, I, for, WNBA, first, I, at, first I, was, betting, uh, some, very, early, when, I first, started, NBA, sides, and, totals, uh, so
Speaker A
I, was, just, an, easy, process, to, switch that, over, uh, to, WNBA, and, then, NBA there's, so, many, props, daily, and, uh, I'm working, with, some, people, I, have, someone now, that, I, originate, the, props, and, then I, send, it, out, to, them, and, then, they
Speaker A
trade, it, so, that's, been, super, helpful but, there's, just, there's, only, so, much time, in, the, day, to, do, that, and, to, try, to do, NBA, Siz, and, totals, it's, really, not possible, for, me, at, this, point, in, time, uh
Speaker A
so, w, it's, small, league, so, I'm, able, to handle, that, um, for, UFL, I, it, was, because the, XFL, started, and, I, was, like, here's, a league, with, absolutely, no, data, uh there's, no, historical, stuff, I, can basically, go, in, from, the, ground, level
Speaker A
and, whatever, happens, I, know, that, I'm, at equal, footing, with, anybody, who's, if you're, just, picking, up, betting, UFL, and, I started, I, you, know, we're, at, least, on, the same, page, of, what, we've, seen, so, far, so, I
Speaker A
have, thought, about, betting, CFL, um, part of, it, is, honestly, it's, just, in, the summer, and, I, would, am, prepping, for college, football, and, need, at, least, some time, to, time, to, take, a, relaxing, break but, I, I, have, thought, about, CFL, uh, but, I
Speaker A
was, kind, of, deciding, between, that, and UFL, and, I, thought, there's, already, CFL betters, there's, people, who, have, winning CFL, models, no, one, has, a, winning, UFL model, so, I, can, at, least, come, in, kind, of and, they, don't, have, an, advantage, over, me
Speaker A
yeah, I, and, listen, I, mean, as, someone, who did, bet, CFL, seriously, for, a, bit, and doesn't, anymore, now, it, just, became, very oversaturated, I, found, uh, with, a, lot, of PE, like, you, know, you, have, four, games, a
Speaker A
week, uh, you, potentially, when, there's buys, you, have, three, games, a, week, you have, days, where, like, Pinnacle, does, not open, the, game, until, game, day, and everyone's, waiting, for, it, to, happen, and there'll, be, literally, like, a, $300, limit
Speaker A
on, it, and, people, are, pounding, it, it, just became, you, know, you, got, Fez, releasing the, South, Point, openers, on, CFL, at, 3:00 a.m., like, it, it, it, got, to, a, point, where it's, just, ridiculous, so, I, don't, I, don't
Speaker A
blame, you, I, wish, there, was, more, of, a market, for, a, lot, of, these, SP, I'm surprised, that, with, th, this, era, of betting, nowadays, that, we, don't, see, more of, a, market, for, some, of, these, smaller Sports, yeah, I, as, popular, as, football, is
Speaker A
it, is, it, draws, a, rating, no, matter basically, if, you, look, at, like, a, random Sun, Belt, game, on, Tuesday, on, the, ESPN, you look, at, the, rating, it's, like, oh, this, is performing, as, good, as, duke, North
Speaker A
Carolina, in, college, basketball, it's insane how, much, they, do, I'm, surprised, that, they haven't, tried, to, kind, of, pump, up, CFL more, and, just, it's, I, mean, it's summertime, content, but, I, obviously, those guys, are, pretty, smart, they, probably, have
Speaker A
a, reason, they're, not, just, turning, away money, but, you're, right, I'm, surprised that, there's, not, people, just, want, to, bet on, football, I, I, think, that, you, know perhaps, as, people, just, get, more, and, more forward, and, as, gambling, problem, uh
Speaker A
problem, gaming, becomes, more, of, a, issue there, will, be, people, who, are, like, oh whatever, it's, Tuesday, on, or, Thursday, in August, I'm, gonna, go, ahead, and, try, to risk, it, in, CFL, and, then, maybe, get, bigger limits, yeah, I, mean, listen, you, got, people
Speaker A
betting, on, uh, influencer, boxing, fights nowadays, during, the, day, right, like, can't tell, me, they, wouldn't, want, to, bet, on more, football, I, do, want, to, get, your, take on, that, here, shortly, as, well, um, as, we can, transition, more, into, like, the
Speaker A
industry, um, nowadays, there's, lots, of betting, tools, out, there, there's, lots, of services, that, have, exploded, in popularity, recently uh, obviously, odd, Jam, was, a, big, one, and with, the, amount, that, they, sold, for, uh but, you, get, all, sorts, of, services
Speaker A
nowadays, we, have, you, know, bet, stamp, on our, side, unabated, uh, there's, tons, of stuff, do, you, think, that, they're, actually these, services, are, actually, making betters, sharper, in, the, long, run, or, do you, think, that, there's, kind, of, like, this
Speaker A
false, sense, of, security, with, a, lot, of the, tools, that, are, out, there, these days, it, it, is, a, little, bit, harder, for, me because, I've, never, been, the, top, down better, I, feel, like, a, lot, of, even
Speaker A
Originators, in, the, space, they're, like hey, I, started, off, as, a, wck, better, then, I started, arbing, um, and, then, after, arving I, figured, out, one, side, was, sharper, than the, other, and, I, took, that, side consistently, and, kind, of, worked, my, way
Speaker A
there, I've, really, never, had, a, period where, well, I, mean, never, really, was, I looking, at, an, odd, screen, before, working as, a, Trader, so, there's, kind, of, an, aspect of, it, where, I, am, a, little, in, the, dark
Speaker A
but, I, will say, it, feels, like, if, you're, all, these guys, who, are, doing, to, down, betting, it just, becomes, more, and, more, tools, and they, become, table, stakes, and, it's, kind of, like, analytics, was, in, baseball, uh, to
Speaker A
start, off, where, if, you, were, doing, it, you had, this, big, Edge, you, know, the, A's, had this, Edge, because, they, understand, that uh, on, base, percentage, is, important nobody, else, understands, it, and, now, if you, like, you, you, know, you, have, to, have
Speaker A
huge, analytic, Spates, just, to, keep, up with, everyone, so, for, a, lot, of, it, would be, really, frustrating, for, if, you, were, a top, down, guy, to, keep, up, with, everything one, you, just, have, to, sub, to, all, these
Speaker A
different, things, and, there's, so, many kind, of, different, processes, it's, nice originating, at, least, you, know, that you're, kind, of, doing, your, stuff, uh, kind of, solo, and, going, into, the, market, as opposed, to, all, these, guys, having, to, read
Speaker A
it, just, gives, me, stress, thinking, about it, being, like, Oh, you, know, how, do, I, keep up, with, this, and, then, there's, this, head fake, and, things, like, that, I, think, it, it would, be, really, frustrating, and, then
Speaker A
figure, out, that, someone's, got, a, better tool, than, you, and, they're, using, it, I think, there's, probably, some, level, of where, they, think, if, I, miss, one, Bad, Bet is, it, worth, a, subcription, here, yeah, what about, what, about, the, side, of, things, like
Speaker A
tools, that, help, people, originate, like, a random, example, like, you, can, upload, your power, ratings, for, every, NFL, team, and we'll, you, know, we'll, output, uh, you, know we'll, Sim, the, entire, season, or, we'll, Sim this, week, um, things, of, that, nature, do
Speaker A
you, think, that, those, provide, a, false sense, of security, yeah, yeah, probably, I, think eventually, I, there, are, for, example, you can, upload, your, projections, into unabated, I, know, for, their, props, and they'll, do, the, distributions, for, you, I
Speaker A
think, there, probably, is, uh, value, in, that for, specific, people, I, think, though, you probably, put, a, little, bit, of, a, ceiling on, yourself, if, you, can't, at, least, begin to, project, it, yourself, um, you, know basically, every, single, model, that, I've
Speaker A
ever, created, and, there's, people, with, far more, sophisticated, than, me, but everything, that, I've, ever, created, sucked so, bad, when, it, started, and, it, was, so basic, and, it, was, just, me, guessing, on certain, things, and, then, slowly, you, build
Speaker A
this, and, then, slowly, build, another, piece I, think, that, a, lot, of, these, if, you're uploading, it, into, somewhere, you're, kind of, taking, a, shortcut, to, not, as, uh, you know, fruitful, grounds, in, the, end, as, if you're, trying, to, do, it, yourself, and
Speaker A
maybe, you, aren't, profitable, at, first, uh but, you're, kind, of, reiterating, on, your process, but, at, the, same, time, you, know, I do, think, that, there, is, something, to, just learning, how, to, win, as, a, better, so, if
Speaker A
that's, able, to, get, you, to, do, that, the maybe, you, can, go, ahead, and, do, it, and upload, it, un, aate, it, and, then, eventually start, to, learn, your, own, distributions and, stuff, like, that, so, I, there, probably
Speaker A
is, I'll, say, this, if, you, used, it correctly, I'm, sure, that, there, probably is, super, benefit, useful, cases, for, it, but I, bet, you, a, lot, of, people, are, um, you know, trying, to, use, it, in, place, of
Speaker A
something, else, yeah, I, would, tend, to agree, with, that, as, well, also, it, just, I think, um, and, this, is, not, speaking directly, to, unabated, like, there's there's, lots, of, tools, out, there, that allow, you, to, input, rankings, and, it'll
Speaker A
you, know, all, sorts, of, that, but, a, lot, of the, tools, are, very, useful, if, the rankings, or, power, ratings, are, also, good but, in, the, sense, where, they're, not you're, just, getting, edges, on, ratings that, are, not, good, and, the, only, reason, I
Speaker A
I, brought, it, up, with, you, is, um, I, I, mean I, see, it, pretty, happen, pretty, regularly with, friends, around, me, it's, like, well you, know, I'm, gonna, bet, this, team, and it's, like, why, did, you, bet, Futures, on
Speaker A
this, college, football, team, this, season it's, like, well, I, I, inputed, my, ratings and, they, Sim, the, schedule, for, me, I'm like, yeah, but, like, it's, reliant, on, on your, ratings, right, yeah, you, have, to, have you, have, to, be, doing, something, in, your
Speaker A
own, process, that's, better, than, everyone else, in, order, for, it, to, have, value, so these, tools, that, are, around, there, if you're, not, putting, in, your, own, separate kind, of, I, mean, maybe, you, can, aggregate enough, information, and, put, it, in, and, it
Speaker A
can, be, decent, to, beat, soft, markets, I guess, but, really, if, you, want, to, have Edge, you, are, the, one, who, has, to, create the, edge, there, isn't, just, things, sitting around, sometimes, they're, they're, useful as, kind, of, a, bridge, Gap, I, think, um, you
Speaker A
know, if, you, are, learning, Break, Even percentages, it's, nice, to, have, a, break even, calculator, until, eventually, you just, learn, to, create, your, own, or eventually, you, start, to, know okay, minus, 110, is, 52.4, or, whatever, um, so
Speaker A
a, lot, of, them, I, think, they're, Bridge gaps, uh, and, they, can, help, you, while, you learn, to, win, but, you, know, again, if, if you're, not, creating, the, edge, yourself it's, really, hard, to, just, find, tools, that
Speaker A
are, going, to, have, it, there, is, always debate, online, uh, in, the, gambling, Twitter community, on, whether, or, not, people should, share, their, edges, publicly, uh this, tends, to, happen, a, couple, times, a year, usually, someone, shares, something
Speaker A
sharp, Community, goes, in, on, them, and, says well, why, would, you, do, this, you'd, be better, off, just, betting, it, yourself, or finding, a, mover, or, whatever, do, you, think it, ever, makes, sense, for, a, better, to publicly, share, their
Speaker A
edges, yeah, I, think, in, theory, it, makes sense, that, you, should, never, share anything, and, as, soon, as, you, say, anything it's, lowering, your, theoretical possibility, of, earning, in, the, future, but to, me, that, just, seems, like, it, kind, of
Speaker A
ignores, reality, of, the, fact, that, people kind, of, want, to, talk, to, one, another about, things, that, they're, doing, and, you generate, so, I, mean, if, you, and, I, are talking, about, a, sport, and, say, we're betting, both, betting, NFL, and, I, increase
Speaker A
your, Edge, on, something, by, 3%, and, you increase, Mine, by, 2%, there's, so, many other, participants, in, the, pool, that, we both, benefit, from, that, and, really, the only, way, that, you, can, gain, more information, from, others, is, if, you, share
Speaker A
it, yourself, and, nobody, you, know, nobody in, real, life, goes, up, and, says, I, have some, information, would, you, like, to, talk about, this, information, and, potentially help, one, another, like, you, have, to, kind of, just, go, out, and, say, here's, what, I
Speaker A
think, and, then, eventually, other, people will, comment, back, and, you'll, get, some feedback, loops, through, there, and, if you're, doing, anything, super, specific, I understand, you, know, I, would, never, if, I had, something, where, I, was, like, Hey
Speaker A
nobody, you, know, in, this, typ, hypothetical Universe, nobody's, figured, out, that there's, altitude, in, Denver, and, I, have this, Edge, and, this, one, specific, spot, and I, know, that, there's, more, homec, Court there, there, I, understand, you, don't, want
Speaker A
to, say, anything, but, when, it's, kind, of more, General, basis, uh, if, you're, not, kind of, bouncing, ideas, out, there, you, just don't, get, any, feedback, back, and, I, think that, a, lot, of, times, people, look, at, is
Speaker A
this, you're, either, giving, information, or you're, taking, it, when, really, the, people who, get, the, most, information, back, are those, who, at, least, project, some, stuff out, into, the, kind, of, thought, process yeah, I, I, think, a, lot, of, Sharps, really
Speaker A
over simplify, like, the, ability, for, a, random person, who, might, have, an, edge, on something, to, go, out, and, and, find, movers and, be, able, to, get, down, on, whatever, they want, to, get, down, on, or, people, that, like
Speaker A
you, could, have, an, edge, not, even, realize you, have, one, for, one, but, also, you, know, I I, lived, through, the, experience, of, if, I had, never, posted, baseball, numbers publicly, to, Twitter, I'm, nowhere, today like, I, just, happened, to, be, posting
Speaker A
numbers, to, Twitter, and, eventually someone, was, betting, them, and, you, know someone, reached, out, to, me, and, said, hey you, post, your, numbers, every, day, soon, as you, post, someone's, hitting, the, screen with, your, information, you, should, get
Speaker A
something, out, of, it, I, had, no, clue, what they, were, even, talking, about, and, I, think the, the, the, sharp, betters, Pro, betters they, often, really, over, they, get, mad, and I, understand, getting, mad, at, like, an influencer, who, just, wants, the, clout, more
Speaker A
than, anything, but, I, still, understand, why the, influencer, would, rather, grow, their following, rather, than, you, know, make, a couple, dimes, on, on, betting, some, sort, of edge, well, and, especially, just, okay, you have, those, connections, that, doesn't, mean
Speaker A
everybody, has, those, connections, so you're, like, well, if, they, knew, the, right people, then, they, could, get, down, you, know whatever, x, amount, on, this, and, this, cost them, this, much, money, well, they, don't have, those, connections, right, now, and
Speaker A
honestly, the, best, way, to, make connections, a, lot, of, times, is, just, to post, ideas, that, you, have, out, there, about specific, situations, and, things, like, that I, I, you, know, Kirk, Evans, has, been, on, the show, I, reached, out, to, him, we've, uh, found
Speaker A
out, some, things, basically, because, he tweeted, out, that, you, know, I, think, that this uh, uh, s, Sabrina, ISU, versus, Steph, Curry, I think, that, this, is, priced, wrong, whatever and, just, he, put, it, out, there, and, then, I
Speaker A
messaged, him, back, asking, them, something about, it, and, things, like, that, I, think, a lot, of, times, people, forget, that, if, you don't, know, any, one, in, the, industry, like it's, easy, to, say, when, you, are, connected with, all, these, people, that, you, could
Speaker A
privately, message, and, do, all, these things, if, you're, just, starting, off, you don't, know, who, to, message, who, to, talk, to anything, like, that, so, if, you, put something, out, there, even, if, you, get yelled, at, a, little, bit, honestly, a, lot, of
Speaker A
times, what, happens, is, like, uh, with, that DK, DFS, guy, posted, about, Mel, Bridges, yeah and, I'm, guessing, he, probably, thought, I can, bet, as, much, as, I, can, in, this situation, so, I'm, going, to, go, ahead, and
Speaker A
put, it, on, Twitter, and, now, I, follow, him, I think, he's, pretty, smart, I, would, guess that, he's, created, lots, of, opportunities from, him, you, know, maybe, did, he, create, as much, as, that, bridge, situation, what, I, I
Speaker A
don't, know, but, he, didn't, have, a, way, to get, down, so, now, he, says, something, smart people, start, to, listen, to, him, oh, this, is someone, who, kind, of, is, looking, for, the right, things, is, uh, you, know, generally
Speaker A
pretty, with, it, so, I, think, that, if, you're first, starting, it's, actually, pretty beneficial, if, you, don't, have, a, way, to after, you, get, down, as, much, as, you, can, to share, it, out, there, I, think, actually makes, a, lot, of, sense, yeah, like, don't, get
Speaker A
me, wrong, I, I, I'm, I, don't, want, to, be, a hypocrite, I've, been, upset, at, people posting, edges, before, like, especially, if someone, post, something, in, a, sport, that, I bet, on, which, I, already, know, about, that's going, to, trigger, me, I, think, that's, only
Speaker A
natural, there's, also, another, part, of, me that, that, thinks, to, myself, like, I, wish this, guy, would, have, just, reached, out, to me, and, I, could, have, connect, facilitated something, for, them, where, everybody, earns off, it, like, those, go, through, my, head, but
Speaker A
I, I, think, most, Pros, really, struggle, to see, like, the, other, side, of, the, equation and, understand, yeah, those, connections aren't, there, and, like, this, person, wasn't out, to, get, you, by, posting, the, edge, or anything, like, that, right, yeah, yeah, I
Speaker A
mean, it's, one, of, those, situations everybody, who, bets, before, me, I'm, like, oh my, God, are, you, betting, this, early, what are, you, doing, and, everybody, after, me, I'm like, oh, those, are, the, breaks, of, the, game sorry, buddy, I, I, had, to, get, in, there, but
Speaker A
it's, like, the, guy, who, bets, on, Sunday it's, a, it's, a, offline, I'm, like, you, can't wait, till, goddamn, the, day, I, bet, like that's, actually, the, perfect, time, to, bet it, anybody, who, bet, before, that, they're just, going, too, early, anybody, after, not
Speaker A
my, problem, yeah, the, pick, selling, space is, highly, controversial, nowadays, I, think that's, been, brought, to, the, Forefront, now with, the, emergence, of, uh, you, know companies, like, dub, club, and, [ __ ], and winnable, in, your opinion, what's, the, line
Speaker A
between, let's say, offering, value, and, misleading, people or, or, do, you, view, the, the, you, know, the the, public, sentiment, I, know, I, shouldn't say, the, public, the, sentiment, shared, by, a lot, of, the, sharps, as, like, all, totes, are
Speaker A
bad, as, just, the, the, moral, thing, to preach, to, the community, yeah, I, I, think, in, theory, it actually, could, make, a, lot, of, sense, to have, someone, who's, like, hey, it's, way easier, rather, than, trying, to, get, down, at
Speaker A
all, these, places, if, you, could theoretically, send, it, out, to, a, bunch, of people, who, are, probably, losing, betters in, other, ways, so, they, have, accounts, to go, and, this, is, a, way, for, them, to, make slightly, more, um, as, they're, betting, I
Speaker A
think, it, makes, sense, in, a, lot, of, ways, um I, I, think, the, problem, is, anybody, who is, going, to, buy, picks, almost, by definition, doesn't, have, a, good understanding, of, what, they're, buying because, if, you, were, able, to, truly
Speaker A
understand, what, was, going, in, to, a, lot, of it, you, wouldn't, buy, the, picks, so, like there, there, is, a, situation, where, it's really, tough, and, that, regard, and, then, I again, especially, now, with, places, that are, so, quick, to, limit, and, it's, not, like
Speaker A
before, where, it, was, a, true, Marketplace really, um, with, a, lot, of, these, bets, it's not, you're, not, betting, into, a, market anymore, you're, betting, in, it's, more, you vers, the, book, than, it, used, to, be, you versus, everyone, else, um, at, least, in
Speaker A
specific, markets, obviously, once, you, get to, the, real, top, level, it's, more, of, a true, Marketplace, but, if, you're, talking any, kind, of, props, even, um, if, you're talking early, uh, early, small, limit, stuff, like that, a, lot, of, it, is, you, versus, the
Speaker A
bookmaker, so, it, does, make, sense, that, you would, buy, p, in, that, regard, um, the problem, is, it's, just, not, only, is, it people, that, don't, know, what, they're buying, I, think, it's, really, hard, just, in general, to, create, a, record, that, is, fully
Speaker A
transparent, fully, honest, so, the, other day, I, A, lot, of, times, what, I'll, do, is I'll, run, the, prop, my, prop, set, at, night and, then, in, the, morning, I'll, go, in, I'll recheck, what's, moved, out, of, place, Etc, um
Speaker A
and, then, you, know, throughout, the, day, I trade, it, and, I, ran, it, um, I, took, the, day off, I, didn't, end, up, betting, it, really much, at, all, and, I, was, going, to, put, these plays, into, my, own, recordkeeping, and, I
Speaker A
was, like, well, I, didn't, I, had, a, bad, day it, was, you, know, maybe, I, was, two, and eight, I, was, like, well, you, know, I, didn't really, bet, these, like, should, these, count now, I'm, not, getting, any, more, dollars
Speaker A
either, way, either, way, whether, I, put those, in, or, not, but, it's, there's, always going, to, be, kind, of, edge, cases, and, it's so, always, going, to, be, tempting, to, kind of, cheat, on, those, edge, cases, even, if
Speaker A
you're, doing, it, like, to, yourself, if you're, a, competitive, person, you, want your, record, and, like, you, can, talk yourself, into, actually, this, is, what's fair, and, I, think, a, lot, of, times, even, if you, have, good, intentions, what, you, end, up
Speaker A
doing, is, kind, of, making, every, little Fringe, case, you, end, up, being, more generous, to, yourself, than, you, probably should, be, um, and, I, think, it's, just, human nature, and, hard, to, kind, of, dispel, so, I, I do, think, that, there, probably, are, value
Speaker A
and, picks, that, you, can, buy, um, I, think being, able, to, keep, up, with, which, on, you should, is, going, to, be, so, hard, that, it's basically, you, know, in, theory, could, exist but, in, practice, it's, really, hard, to, do
Speaker A
yeah, that, was, really, well, said, because as, you, were, saying, it, I, could, even, think of, myself, doing, that, and, and, I'm, not, a tote, but, I'm, I, I, bet, on, Sports, for, my livelihood, but, I, also, have, a, Content
Speaker A
business, and, you, know, I, will, put, out picks, one, week, that, will, be, be, bad, on, on on, the, shows, but, I, I, will, always, be, well you, know, I, did, hit, an, SGP, on, a, live watch, along, that, paid, 60, to1, where's
Speaker A
that, where, why, aren't, you, talking, about that, you, can, always, find, a, way, to rationalize, even, when, you're, trying, not to, part, of, it, is, just, being, competitive in, nature, but, um, yeah, it's, it's, really it's, really, challenging, for, the, average
Speaker A
person, to, not try, even, unconsciously, to, make themselves, look, better yeah, I, think, even, to, yourself, it's really, hard, not, to, do, like, whenever you're, thinking, of, a, situ, well, that, that situation, really, doesn't, count, if, you think, about, it, or, you, know, if, you, say
Speaker A
you're, betting, a, oneoff, say, I, bet, the Super, Bowl, and, I, don't, usually, bet, any NFL, it's, like, oh, well, I, did, bad, in, the Super, Bowl, that's, I'm, not, really, bad, in the, NFL, that, you, know, whether, how, much
Speaker A
you, want, to, factor, that, in, or, if, you have, a, good, day, it's, much, easier, to, be like, oh, well, obviously, it's, all, money, in the, bank, the, same, way, I, think, it's there's, always, going, to, be, some, kind, of
Speaker A
line, where, you, group, things, in, a specific, way, and, it's, really, hard, to, be honest, with, yourself, even, again, if, it's just, you, know, trying, to, be, competitive uh, you, know, you, just, always, want, to think, that, you're, better, than, you, are
Speaker A
and, myself, included, I, always, am, like striving, to, be, like, oh, actually, this, is why, this, doesn't apply, Twitter, spaces, have, become, a, big part, of, gambling, qu, culture, right, now, uh but, a, lot, of, people, have, pointed, out, the
Speaker A
change, is, over, the, last, couple, months where, they, started, as, you, know, kind, of exposing, scammers, and, grifters, in, the space, to, nowadays, maybe, putting, them, on a, pedestal, um, more, of, the, spaces, being beef, driven, you, know, arguments, with, one
Speaker A
another, in, your, point, of, view, has, the trends, space, been, good, or, bad, for, the betting Community, I, could, to, say, I'm, not, them honestly, as, much, as, I, like, to, consume what, happened, in, them, afterwards, I, found
Speaker A
a, lot, of, times, when, I, go, into, them, it's actually, um, let's, listen, to, the, mentally ill, guy, ramble, for, a, few, hours, here, as we, kill, time, in, order, to, do, different things, and, um, when, you're, actually, in
Speaker A
them, they're, a, lot, more, boring, than, what you, think, but, I, do, like, catching, up reading, up, on, them, after, it's interesting, um, I, don't, know, if, I necessarily, buy, that, it's, was, you, know once, this, really, pure, place, that
Speaker A
everybody, it, feels, like, uh, when, Mad, Men started, and, they, like, went, back, to, the 1950s, everybody, looks, as, wholesome, and it's, like, actually, everybody, was, always a, degenerate, all, the, time, right, it's like, actually, elf, spaces, were, always
Speaker A
garbage, do, I, feel, elf, himself, is, really like, I, I, mean, he's, really, embracing, the lifestyle, he, likes, to, live, it, up, sure, um and, I, I, mean, but, I, think, it's, been pretty, clear, from, the, beginning, that, the
Speaker A
goal, was, viewed, and, to, do, that, at, all cost, and, you, know, it, is, what, it, is, you just, got, to, take, it, at, face, value, you shouldn't, kind, of, put, this, moral, value onto, something, that's, never, headed, in
Speaker A
the, first, place yeah, fair, enough, um, I, used, to participate, them, in, the, early, I, would say, definitely, the, vibe, of, them, has shifted, but, to, your, point, it, might, not have, been, like, yeah, that's, like, this moral, High, Ground, it, was, always, like
Speaker A
let's, bring, on, the, scammer, that, was, kind of, the, the, thing, that, was, always, the thing, but, in, the, early, going, I, think, it was, um, much, more, geared, towards potentially, exposing that, person, where, and, elf, would, still
Speaker A
take, the, side, of, of, the, scammer, to, just keep, it, going, whereas nowadays, um, I, I, think, it's, this, is, my own, opinion, lots, of, people, enjoy, it they've, grown, a, lot, but, it, kind, of, feels like, it's, jump, the, shark, a, little, too
Speaker A
far, in, the, opposite, direction, I, I, envy you, for, not, participating, but, being, able to, catch, up, after, the, fact, that's, the life, I, would, like, to, live, unfortunately I, am, a, bit, addicted, to, the, drama, uh fully, willing, to, admit, it, and, if
Speaker A
everyone, was, just, like, you, Mike, the spaces, wouldn't, exist, if, we, were, all catching, up, after, the, fact, there, there would, be, nothing, going, on, in, real, time and, there, needs, to, be, something, going, on in, real, time, yeah, I, I, will, say, I, think
Speaker A
you're, right, in, the, fact, at, first, it, was you, know, more, of, an, arbitrator, of, what's going, on, here, what's, happening, now, you have, Al, you, know, wh, sea, Perry, in, a, hotel room, and, they're, being, friends, and, then
Speaker A
he's, going, with, the, man, advaned, hockey Gam, and, they're, tweeting, out, every single, thing, of, it, and, I, I, don't, know especially, like, you, know, with, Shawn Perry, he's, like, oh, Spanky's, been, this Mentor, towards, me, and, Shan, Perry's, like
Speaker A
you, know, yelling, horrible, things, at, him I, thought, if, you, that, guy's, been, a mentor, to, you, and, you're, just, like, oh well, you, know, whatever, and, Spanky doesn't, bother, it, so, maybe, I'm, you, know a, fool, for, caring, about, something, he
Speaker A
doesn't, seem, to, care, about, but, I, just, I don't, know, I, think, you're, right, in, the fact, that, it, does, seem, like, he's, more, a part, of, the, content, now, as, opposed, to Bringing, on, the, clown, show, it's, like
Speaker A
like, he's, part, of, the, clown, show, but yeah, I, I, don't, know, the, one, time, I logged, in, to, spaces, it, was, probably, you know, maybe, two, days, apart, and, both, of them, they, were, talking, about, like, you
Speaker A
know, if, you, don't, get, things, together here, you, might, go, down, and, kill, yourself I, was, like, things, are, getting, a, little dark, and, Grim, here, was, uh, you, know, I can't, remember, the, ex, two, people, it, was
Speaker A
I, think, it, was, that, mey, guy, or, one, of them, I, don't, know, but, I, was, like, you know, once, we, reach, the, last, two, times I've, logged, in, it's, been, two, kind, of, end your, life, conversations, I, thought, I
Speaker A
don't, know, I, don't, know, it's, it's, it's, a lot, it, seems, a, lot, more, interesting, on the, clips, and, then, you, go, in, and, it's just, it's, you're, getting, the, highlights compared, to, when, you're, actually, in there, it's, a, lot, more, killing, time, at
Speaker A
least, maybe, I'm, just, entering, in, at, the wrong, times, no, no, it, is, that, in, my opinion, too, it's, extremely, Hit, or, Miss like, people, think, I, spend, all, night, in these, spaces, I, don't, I, really, don't especially, when, my, wife, is, around, I, mean
Speaker A
it's, not, even, a, possibility, for, me, but really, she, doesn't, she, doesn't, like, the fact, that, you're, listening, into, a, spes about, Twitter, game, like, I, can't, imagine your, wife, want, to, be, glued, in, every second, of, it, you, know, what, she, she, says
Speaker A
she's, not, interested, but, she, provides her, commentary, whenever, they're, on, in the, background, she's, always, providing some, sort, of, commentary, like, obviously this, guy, is, lying, obviously, like, this guy, is, overcompensating, for, something, so you, know, we, can, pretend, that, she, doesn't
Speaker A
like, them, but, she, does, um, I, I, just, for me, the, when, I, when, I, think, back, on, the whole thing, all, the, all, the, the, characters that, used, to, get, quote, unquote, roasted in, the, beginning, you, know, when, the
Speaker A
spaces, first, took, off, there, was, a, lot, of um, people, who, were, the villains, and, those, villains, are, like, now the, good, guys, and, that, that, to, me, kind of, shows, that, it's, trended, way, too, the when, like, people, who, are, literally
Speaker A
selling, packages, and, fleecing, customers that, know, that, they're, losing, betters, or are, now, like, the, good, people, the, moral authorities, in, the, space, that's, how, I know, it's, gone, too, far, so, I, I, don't, have a, lot, of, interest, in, being, around, that
Speaker A
and, I, don't, participate, un, unless, like, I get, a, message, on, telegram, that's, like wow, like, you, got, to, go, in, now, it's, it's getting, I'm, not, devoting, a, whole, nights to, that anymore, yeah, I, I, think, it's, a, lot, more
Speaker A
interesting, when, there's, someone, you know, I, understand, why, they, don't, want, it to, be, just, a, bunch, of, Sharps, coming, in and, bowling, some, idiot, who, doesn't, know what's, going, on, but, it, is, nice, when there's, at, least, one, person, there, to
Speaker A
kind, of, just, because, it, would, be, like, if I, was, debating, something, I, knew, nothing about, if, I, was, debating, uh, you, know, some kind, of, medical, piece, of, information with, doctors, I'd, look, like, a, complete idiot, so, when, they, come, in, there, and
Speaker A
it's, the, person, who's, selling, things, and they, just, don't, know, the, basics, of, like whatever, they're, talking, about, um, it, it really, is, that, it, was, funny, in, that regard, I, I, tuned, into, I, was, uh, listening when, it, was, the, you, know, if, I, bet, 100K
Speaker A
games, at, your, age, I, put, a, [ __ ], bow, in my, head, that, I, gotta, say, I, was, like, okay now, I, kind, of, get, like, the, highlights, of it, that, was, it, it, does, reach, good, levels
Speaker A
of, content, it's, just, it's, I, think, the sustainability, of, it, is, and, I, don't, know how, much, longer, they, can, keep, pushing, it feels, like, it's, uh, you, know, in, WWE, where you, first, they're, fighting, on, thumb, text
Speaker A
then, they, have, Hell, in, a, Cell, and, then all, of, a, sudden, Undertakers, being, buried alive, it, feels, like, we're, kind, of, at, the Buried, Alive, stage, of, it, oh, it's, way more, extreme, than, that, like, at, the, first
Speaker A
at, the, start, it, was, it, was, like, Stone Cold, versus, McMahon, you, know, it, was, like those, years, it, was, like, Peak, now, we're at, like, you, know, horn, swaggle, is, Vince McMahon's, son, you, know, type, of, cont, the
Speaker A
worst, possible, storyline, ever, you, know that's, where, it's, gone, to, at, this, point but, listen, lots, of, people, enjoy, it, um, I still, occasionally, do, uh, and, I, will, keep up, with, it, because, it's, kind, of, my, job
Speaker A
at, this, point, as, well, but, to, to, your point, Mike, you, know you, can't, just, do, and, and, I, I, learned this, with, circles, off, right, with, this brand, you, can, do, in, my opinion, good, sharp, betting, content, like
Speaker A
I, stand, by, some, of, the, best, interviews we've, had, on, this, channel, obviously we've, done, some, stuff, that, that, didn't work, out, but, I, I, think, we, had, some, like really, really, strong, educational, content on, here, where, it, reaches, like, 10,000
Speaker A
people, you, know, viewership, another, maybe 20, 30,000, listenership, but, that's, it like, that's, that's, the, max, there's, just not, that, much, of, an, appetite, for, this stuff, you, know, I, I, don't, I, don't, even this, will, sound, conceited, and, and, maybe
Speaker A
it, is, but, like, I, do, I, go, on, a, couple times, a, week, on, our, hockey, uh, brand, Edge workk, I'm, not, the, best, hockey, better, in the, world, at, this, point, maybe, I, never was, but, I, was, I, was, up, there, like, for
Speaker A
years, my, models, numbers, were, the, closing numbers, like, that, that's, the, people, that were, moving, for, me, had, so, much confidence, in, those, numbers, that, they would, bet, them, to, those, numbers, and, we can, draw, like, 500, views, on, a, day, where
Speaker A
i'm, on, and, there's, like, another, hockey live, stream, where, I, I, listen, to, the, guy talk, that's, doing, like, 10K, views, daily it, it's, not, the, game, is, is, changed, it's about, who, can, Market, themselves, the, best it, has, nothing, to, do, necessarily, with
Speaker A
the, sharpness, and, and, people, just, don't want, it, and, and, you, got, to, come, to realize, that, at, some, point, so, for, me, as much, as, I, don't, love, the, direction, that they're, going, if, your, goal, is, to, appeal
Speaker A
to, the, masses, this, seems, to, be, working relative, to, what, you, know, letting, Man, Of The, Vig, Grill, someone, for, half, an, hour on, a, space, that, just, doesn't, seem, to, be working, yeah, I, mean, if, I, I, do, wonder, if
Speaker A
there, is, there's, at, least, a, little, bit more, there's, casual, viewers, and, then there's, people, who, are, actually, locked in, and, listening, I, would, guarantee, you you, know, I'm, you're, sure, you, guys actually, have, metrics, that, look, at, it
Speaker A
but, you, know, there's, more, buyin, from people, who, are, seriously, considering, the information, than, probably, a, lot, of, this kind, of, background, noise, uh, you, know crazy, whatever, like, if, whatever, noo spaces, pop, up, they're, much, more, likely
Speaker A
to, tune, in, because, they're, just, chasing the, next, high, as, opposed, to, someone, who once, you, start, to, listen, to, someone, for a, while, you, know, you, start, to, get, in, the habit, of, listening, to, them, and everything, like, that, and, I, think, that, in
Speaker A
some, areas, it's, it's, really, easy, to criticize, whatever, content, is, playing and, I, know, that, I, can, probably, look, at my, shell, for, that, a, lot, of, times, it's like, oh, but, you're, doing, nothing, like, at least, they're, trying, to, put, some, kind, of
Speaker A
good, into, the, like, you, know, even, if, it's not, the, absolute, sharpest, or, they, got one, thing, wrong, it's, still, probably, net positive, but, these, are, absolutely, zero net, positive, there's, pretty, much, nothing that, is, being, uh, gained, or, insightful, it
Speaker A
it, also, cracks, me, up, that, they're, like all, right, you, know, Spanky, you, come, on here, multi-millionaire, you, know, one, of the, most, successful, betters, ever, and then, we're, going, to, give, equal, time, to man, the, library, you, think, sports, are
Speaker A
scripted, go, ahead, like, what's, your counter, it's, you, know, I, like, how, absurd that, sounds, and, like, when, you, actually lay, it, out, is, insane, but, it, really, is, uh we're, g, to, do, some, rapid, fire, here, in, a
Speaker A
second, before, we, do, quick, plug, because it's, very, topical, right, now, tomorrow morning Friday, 8:00, amm, eastern, time, we're debuting, a, brand, new, second, Circle, back of, the, week, with, a, new, cast, of characters, Jacob, will, be, hosting, Joey
Speaker A
KES, Chris, dekus, flop, no, Li, and, Jeff nadoo, you, do, not, want, to, miss, that, we're doing, two, a, week, going, forwards, because you, know, what, we, got, to, capitalize, on the, entertainment, Trend, that's, what, we do, when, we're, in, the, content, space, uh
Speaker A
but, a, interesting, cast, of, characters honestly, might, even, be, better, than, the Tuesday, shows, so, you're, going, to, want, to check, that, out, Mike, rapid, fire, I, like doing, this, kind, of, stuff, with, guests, uh a, lot, of, these, have, just, they, came
Speaker A
through, q&as, when, I, had, can, studio, so, I might, as, well, fire, some, stuff, at, you, as well, uh, worst, bad, beat, of, your life, I, don't, know, if, it's, the, worst, one but, I, will, say, the, the, Super, Bowl, this
Speaker A
season, uh, it, was, to, back, toback, I, had under, uh, two, and, a, half, people, throwing the, pass, and, I, looked, into, it, and, I, was like, well, you, know, the, Eagles, and, I, I don't, bet, NFL, so, I'm, kind, of, hopping, in
Speaker A
a, Super, Bowl, I, try, to, do, the, props, that are, not, being, priced, every, week, y because, obviously, those, are, getting, more bet, in, place, by, people, who, know, what they're, doing, uh, you, know, if, it's, kind of, more, random, more, kicking, stuff, that's
Speaker A
stuff, that, you, can, hop, in, once, a, year and, there's, not, as, much, State, on, it, so, I did, the, under, two, and, a, half, passes, I was, really, proud, of, like, looking, into, it I'm, like, you, know, with, the, Eagles
Speaker A
defensive, line, they're, just, not, going, to have, time, to, run, any, kind, of, slow developing, play, and, then, you, have, Chris Jones, and, you, know, looked, into, all, the different, types, of, passes, for, some reason, I, just, didn't, even, think, of, the
Speaker A
like, Prospect, of, a, backup, QB, coming, in and, throwing, a, pass, and, I, was, like, when Nick, FS, comes, in, I, I, was, like, he, he's not, gonna, throw, a, pass, if, you, have, the backup, in, he's, at, least, gonna, just, hand
Speaker A
the, ball, off, so, that, one, was, tough, uh especially, because, it, came, after, I, was really, big, on, longest, field, goal, under, I had, it, at, 49, 48, 47, and, a, half, um everybody, knew, Jake, Elliot, hadn't, made
Speaker A
long, kicks, all, year, um, but, also, Harrison bucker, when, he, after, came, back, from, the hamstring, he, only, had, one, attempt, of, 50 plus, yards, uh, and, it, was, at, Mile, High, at the, end, of, the, half, so, I, felt, really
Speaker A
good, about, that, one, and, on, that, third down, the, Eagles, got, I, don't, know, if, it was, like, six, yards, and, moved, it, within it, was, to, make, it, a, 40, uh, four, Yer, I said, I, even, said, out, loud, to, myself, oh
Speaker A
at, least, it's, within, the, thing, and, then that, foul, start, kind, of, that, backed, it up, to, make, it, good, at, every, single number, I, was, like, ah, that, was, a, killer um, so, I, I, mean, had, worse, beats, but, like
Speaker A
having, those, back, to, back, in, the, same game, really, for, this, season, stung because, it's, also, a, Super, Bowl, only comes, every, so, often, so, you, really, like there's, extra, pressure, to, have, it, be, a profitable, day, and, that, like, took, me
Speaker A
from, I, mean, I, had, so, much, on, the, field goal, one, was, like, one, of, the, bigger positions, I've, had, so, that, was, rough Yeah, you, mentioned, Nick, fos, it, was, Kenny picket, that, was, but, we, we, always, get, our
Speaker A
backup, quarterbacks, and, Carson, Wentz, on the, other, side, who, was, warming, up, as well, at, one, point, in, the, game, um, anyways yeah, too, many, former, Eagles, backups there, you, know, exactly, uh, okay, on, the other, side, of, things, the, best, win, you've
Speaker A
ever had, uh, when, I, was, kind, of, you, know, first starting, off, I've, been, betting, but, when your, bank, R, is, still, growing, it, has, the chance, to, grow, kind, of, more exponentially, which, is, exciting, uh Caesars, had, just, a, flip, line
Speaker A
of, the, heat, were, up, two1, against, the Knicks, in, the, Eastern, Conference semi-finals, and, they, had, the, heat, with, a worst, chance, to, win, the, Eastern Conference, Finals, it, it, was, obviously, a wrong, line, which, um, you, know, I, went, back
Speaker A
to, my, house, got, some, cash, out, that, as much, as, I, could, on, it, um, and, you, know, if you, just, won, that, it, would, be, great, they end, up, winning, it, was, plus, 900, I, think um, but, what, ended, up, happening, was, I
Speaker A
waited, to, I, was, gonna, hedge, it, out, and, I was, like, ah, I'm, gonna, wait, through, the first, game, I, didn't, think, the, first, game line, was, totally, right, you, know, probably not, was, definitely, was, not, at, that, time
Speaker A
enough, better, to, actually, know, but, I waited, for, the, first, two, games, Miami wins, the, first, two, um, I, end, up, betting actually, for, the, series, to, go, seven, when I, do, it, at, Westgate, they, adjust, only, the
Speaker A
Boston, side, of, it, so, I, bet, Miami, in seven, so, then, Boston, goes, down, 3, 0, I, bet Boston, all, three, games, going, into game7, and, I, ended, up, like, I, mean, I, think I, ended, up, being, like, almost, double, my
Speaker A
bankroll, on, this, single, bet, that, I, ended up, getting, Miami, to, win, the, Eastern Conference, Miami, to, win, in, seven, uh, game to, go, seven, games, won, three, Boston, bats it, was, just, like, a, alltime, series, of euphoria, amazing, great, story, love, to
Speaker A
hear, stuff, like, that, um, me, and, kenish were, asked, the, most, obscure, market, we've ever, bet, on, I'm, betting, Japanese, stock exchanges, I, know, you, bet, some, UFL, but there's, got, to, be, there's, got, to, be, more obscure, than, that
Speaker A
this, year, um, the, the, Pro, Bowl, Market, I bet, the, Pro, Bowl, total, some, a, book, that I, uh, have, is, an, offshore, uh, you, know some, of, these, books, you, know, they, allow unlimited, parlays, yep, basically, to, some
Speaker A
extent, so, the, Pro, Bowl, scoring, changed last, year, prior, to, the, theme, they, put, in these, like, they, have, these, mini, games that, are, worth, six, points, to, piece, and they, had, it, by, quarters, and, they switched, it, to, doing, it, by, half, I, think
Speaker A
so, they, changed, it, last, year, and, the total, went, way, up, so, they, kind, of, did, an average, for, the, Pro, Bowl, total, um, of, the like, the, past, three, years, or, however since, it's, been, touch, when, it, really
Speaker A
should, have, been, higher, than, that, and then, they, added, two, more, like, mini, games which, should, have, raised, the, total, by, an additional, 12, points, so, I'm, looking, at this, I'm, like, okay, it's, priced, wrong sweet, they, didn't, realize, the, rule
Speaker A
change, and, I, go, to, hit, like, B, Max, and the, limits, this, I, mean, this, account, was like, relatively, new, but, it's, not, $9,000 limits, so, like, I, was, expecting, just, to be, like, these, little, couple, hundred dollar, things, I'm, like, looking, I'm, like
Speaker A
what, they're, taking, the, same, limits, as they, would, on, uh, you, know, a, full, game like, normal, NFL, game, total, so, I, look, I'm like, okay, I, thought, I, was, right, before but, if, I'm, going, to, be, hammering, this, I
Speaker A
got, to, really, make, sure, yeah, the, pro they, don't, release, an, official, rule, book for, the, Pro, Bowl, so, I'm, like, looking, at random, like, press, releases, at, the, NFL and, trying, to, like, triple, check, every single, thing, to, make, sure, that, this
Speaker A
total, like, that, the, rules, are, what, I think, they, are, because, it's, not, like anybody, actually, gives, a, [ __ ], about, the Provo, rules, so, I'm, like, really, trying, to double, check, and, everything, is, just, a press, release, I, can't, tell, if, it's, right
Speaker A
but, finally, I, like, really, like, lock, into to, three, different, sources, make, sure that, the, rules, are, what, I, think, and, had you, know, a, sizable, position, on, Pro, Bowl uh, over, this, game, and, let, me, tell, you
Speaker A
you, want, to, talk, about, a, sweat, when nobody, gives, their, [ __ ], about, the, game that's, occurring, and, I'm, like, y, I'm, like you, gotta, get, out, of Bones, they're, just, like, casually, jogging around, them, screaming, for, team, ey, so
Speaker A
yeah, that, would, that, was, uh, this, year, so it, was, uh, it, did, go, over, thank, God, uh bet, online, I, think, open, the, line, it, was like, 12, points, below, what, it, should, be so, I, just, kept, hitting, it, continuously
Speaker A
as, they, like, would, adjust, it, by, 10, cents each, time, I, was, like, I, can't, believe, I have, pro, bowl, over, so, yeah, that, would, be the, one, I, love, that, story, I've, actually had, some, real, sweats, over, the, years, on
Speaker A
uh, on, Allstar, games, across, different leagues, as, well, always, yeah, they, don't play, like, a, regular, game, so, stuff, that applies, that, you, just, know, is, going, to happen, in, a, regular, game, guy's, going, to go, out, of, bounds, stop, the, clock, this, and
Speaker A
that, yeah, just, doesn't, apply, to, you, know NHL, All-Star, games, you, can, cap, them, all you, want, but, uh, when, one, guy, shows, up that, doesn't, give, a, [ __ ], and, he's, just out, for, a, leisurely, skate, you, know
Speaker A
you're, yelling, at, the, TV, for, sure, but but, those, are, where, the, real, Ed, like, you know, everybody, know, when, you're, trying to, price, something, that, like, everybody has, a, good, idea, of, what, the, question actually, is, that, the, EDG, can, only, be, so
Speaker A
big, but, if, you, know, that, actually, we're playing, a, totally, different, ball, game here, I, remember, for, the, NBA, Allstar, game Anthony, Edwards, said, he's, like, oh, I'm going, to, shoot, left-handed, so, when, that came, out, you, have, to, just, go, try, to, find
Speaker A
every, honor, you, can, it's, like, you, know whatever, the, price, is, you, just, gota, he's playing, leftand, you, got, to, try, to, find, a way, so, like, those, are, really, like, the Dumber, the, bet, in, a, way, the, bigger, the
Speaker A
edge, can, be, so, y, That's, where, if, you're able, to, find, a, way, where, you, can actually, get, get, down, on, it, those, are like, the, real, exciting, ones, where, they don't, give, a, [ __ ], what's, happening, on
Speaker A
the, field, and, you're, like, I, actually care, so, much, more, than, anyone, involved in, this, game, right, uh, if, you, could, grab dinner, with, three, people, we're, limiting it, to, three, from, gambling, Twitter, who's at, the, table, with, you
Speaker A
Mike, so, first, one, I, want, I, I, have, two choices, here, I, think, we, do, c blz, grp, and zilbert, I, think, we, finally, solved, this war, in, the, Middle, East, thing, we, put these, three, Minds, together, maybe, while
Speaker A
with, their, knockout, racism, real, quick, I think, that, put, those three, grp, with, you, is, g, to, knock, you said, racism, not, sexism, never, mind, you can, go, yeah, no, there's, limits, to, what, we can, do, okay, even, even, those, Minds, you
Speaker A
know, there's, limits, I'll, have, uh, JP teach, me, his, napkin, under, the, plate trick, to, keep, the, syrup, on, one, actually I, gotta, say, this, a, good, idea, it's, like everybody's, joking, with, them, I, was, like that's, actually, a, very, that's, a, pretty
Speaker A
thoughtful, thing, I'm, not, gonna, lie, to you, I've, since, been, out, for, breakfast one, one, time, and, I, had, french, toast, on the, side, and, I, I, did, the, uh, I, did, the napkin, trick, it, it's, it's, good, I, was
Speaker A
concerned, I'd, have, issues, like, cutting on, the, other, side, of, the, plate, you, don't it, actually, is, totally, fine, so, uh, grp affecting, affecting, lives, out, there, for the, better, uh, no, but, uh, for, actually, I would, say, one, uh, Rufus, I, think, Rufus, is
Speaker A
probably, obviously, much, much, better better, than, I, am, but, I, think, he, kind, of sees, things, similarly, in, the, fact, that it, always, seems, like, he's, trying, to, pick out, what, the, question, is, I, guess, rather then, what's, the, best, way, to, solve, this
Speaker A
it's, should, we, actually, be, asking, a different, question, entirely, uh, so, I think, kind, of, just, asking, him, a, few things, kind, of, about, how, how, he approaches, it, would, be, interesting, uh Spanky, because, he's, the, exact, opposite
Speaker A
of, what, I, am, um, you, know, I, I, would really, any, kind, of, tap, down, better, I think, would, be, interesting, just, because I, don't, because, I'm, trying, to, always, you know, bet, earlier, with, propser, not, really following, the, market, that, much, uh, with
Speaker A
college, football, if, I, was, betting, larger I, would, probably, you, know, be, more, in tune, with, where, the, market, is, moving, and things, like, that, because, you're, waiting till, later, uh, so, anybody, who, kind, of understands, how, the, markets, work, I, think
Speaker A
that, that, would, be, really, interesting just, to, kind, of, you, know, gauge, their opinion, on, when, how, different, things work, like, that, because, that's, an, area that, I, don't, think, I'm, very, good, at, um and, then, third, I, kind, of, cheated, Bill
Speaker A
Connelly, is, a, college, football, Advanced stats, guy, I, think, he's, probably, the, most underrated, of, the, advanced, you, know, if you're, talking, like, Bill, James, Dean Oliver, you, know, kind, of, the, advanced stats, people, that, kind, of, brought, it, to
Speaker A
the, Forefront, yeah, he, did, for, college football, I, think, he, and, he's, like, still ready, now, obviously, not, that, old, of, a guy, it's, just, college, football, was, so far, behind, I, just, think, he's, kind, of, got a, really, interesting, perspective, I, love
Speaker A
Bill, Connelly, I, uh, I, saw, him, in, Boston, a few, weeks, back, we, chatted, for, a, little bit, uh, I, spent, a, Super, Bowl, with, him, in Costa, Rica, where, we, were, at, a, bet, online party, uh, it, was, the, worst, Super, Bowl
Speaker A
ever, was, the, Rams, Patriots, year, um, but we, had, a, blast, big, fan, of, Bill, Connelly um, yeah, yeah, anybody, anybody, who's learning, or, trying, to, get, more, into college, football, betting, or, college football, analytics, his, like, he, call, it's
Speaker A
like, a, study, hall, series, he, wrote, for ESP, Nation, I, think, is, kind, of, like, the that's, the, place, you, start, with, and, then you, can, go, from, there, yeah, uh, before, we wrap, I, I, know, there's, a, charity, you
Speaker A
wanted, to, highlight, there, was, one, thing you, asked, of, me, for, this, uh, interview, um so, I'll, give, you, the, floor, and, you, let people, know, however, they, can help, yeah, um, so, uh, April, is, Autism Awareness, Month, uh, you, know, if, you, work
Speaker A
in, sports, betting, you, probably, work, with someone, who's, somewhere, on, the, Spectrum um, but, in, all, seriousness, uh, my, my sister, uh, is, autistic, and, uh, there's, a organ, organiz, for, autism, research, I'll tweet, out, the, link, um, uh, you, can, also, go
Speaker A
to, it, just, research, autism.org uh, and, they, have, done, some, work, uh, in the, community, by, where, my, parents, live um, helping, out, different, places, and, uh you, know, everything, I've, seen, about, them they've, done, a, great, job, so, uh, anything
Speaker A
that, you, can, do, to, support, them, I, think they, help, out, a, lot, of, families, who, need it, um, it's, not, an, easy, situation, to, deal with, a, lot, of, times, so, uh, again, I'll I'll, tweet, out, something, uh, with, a, link
Speaker A
or, you, can, go, to, research, autism.org, we will, put, it, in, the, link, in, the description, below, so, anyone, can, check, it out, uh, noble, cause, really, appreciate, you you, giving, that, out, and, uh, definitely, I can, say, and, I, don't, mean, this, as, a, joke
Speaker A
but, there, are, a, lot, of, people, in, the sports, betting, space, who, are, autistic, I deal, with, some, of, them, on, a, daily, basis um, some, levels, worse, than, others obviously, uh, but, uh, I'm, I'm, all, for donating, to, to, Great, causes, and, we'll
Speaker A
definitely, put, that, in, the, link, in, the description, below, Mike, um, before, we, wrap it's, that, time, uh, plus, EV, minus, EV, moves of, the, week, I'll, give, you, the, floor could, be, anything, you, want, it's, on you, sure, so, plus, EV, uh, I, think, that, I
Speaker A
was, uh, reading, an, article, um, or, I, was listen, to, a, podcast, actually, don't, take the, time, to, actually, read, the, article listen, to, an, podcast, where, they, talked about, the, article, where, uh, it's, written by, Ben, Thompson, he's, a, technology, writer
Speaker A
and, he, talked, about, uh, whenever, you, see whenever, he, sees, a, technology, business do, something, that's, just, completely, dumb that, you, never, you, like, what, everybody just, is, pressing, for, he, thinks, okay, but you, know, why, would, a, smart, person, do
Speaker A
this, and, I, think, that, a, lot, of, times with, sports, we just, a, lot, of, times, we, have, this, idea, of oh, what, a, dumb, decision, like, you, know it's, not, like, those, guys, go, in, and, one they're, probably, not, complete, idiots, if
Speaker A
they've, gotten, to, this, level, that, you're watching, it, or, whatever, and, two, it's, not like, the, go, in, and, they, haven't, thought about, this, decision, before, it's something, they, thought, about, constantly and, while, you, might, not, agree, with, them
Speaker A
at, the, end, of, the, decision, I, think, it goes, even, Beyond, like, you, know, there's um, uh, steel, Manning, a, case, where, you kind, of, take, your, points, and, you, take the, counterpoints, I, think, to, actually put, yourself, in, their, shoes, and, think
Speaker A
okay, how, could, they, come, to, a, completely different, conclusion, than, I, would, based on, the, same, set, of, circumstances, and, I think, it, can, help, you, kind, of, cover, up some, blind, spots, where, one, you, can, view things, in, a, different, way, and, two, you
Speaker A
can, think, okay, what, do, I, not, know, here is, there, additional, information, that, I'm not, privy, to, um, that, can, kind, of, impact the, decision, at, hand, yeah, uh, that's unlike, anything, we've, we've, heard, before I'm, all, for, for, new, takes, in, this
Speaker A
segment, uh, minus EV, um, you, don't, have, to, optimize everything, so, say, you, just, wanted, to purchase, a, bottle, of, wine, and, you thinking, what, can, I, do, you, could, just, go to, the, store, I, know, where, we're, going, I
Speaker A
know, where, we're going, in, in, all, seriousness, I, I, think that, a, lot, of betters, there's, just, a, natural, sense, of and, I, I, fall, into, this, habit, this, is, the reason, I, like, came, up, with, it, is, every
Speaker A
single, decision, I'm, like, trying, to, get drain, the, most, out, of, every, resource, in every, situation, and, sometimes, like, in the, you, know, small, little, discreet moment, you, are, getting, the, most, out, of it, but, the, aggregate, of, trying, trying, to
Speaker A
get, the, just, most, efficient, outcome, and every, single, decision, you, make, can, be kind, of, draining, so, I, I, had, a, real, free uh, experience, uh, a, couple, months, ago, I was, like, you, know, what, I, I'm, just, not
Speaker A
going, to, give, a, [ __ ], about, credit, card points, anymore, I'm, just, going, to, do whatever, I'm, gonna, look, at, I'll, get, one card, that, I, think, is, relatively, decent but, it's, just, not, something, I'm, ever going, to, focus, on, again, and, whatever
Speaker A
it's, cost, me, it's, paid, off, tfold, in, far as, just, being, mentally, not, having, to work, about, that, and, I, think, a, lot, of times, another, example, kind, of, funny, one is, at, the, grocery, store, they, have, you
Speaker A
know, the, pre-bought, pineapple, that, you can, buy, where, they, cut, it, for, you, and they, put, I, used, to, I, used, to, think, who the, hell, would, buy, that, just, buy, and, cut the, pineapple, yourself, it, cost, so, much
Speaker A
more, to, do, this, and, you, know, what, I would, do, never, buy, pineapple, and, never cut, pineapple, so, if, you, just, try, to, seek out, every, single, most, optimized, thing it's, just, really, a, chore, to, go, through so, obviously, I, have, that, tendency, to, try
Speaker A
to, do, it, but, just, ease, up, on, it, a, little bit, and, I, think, it, will, make, things, a little, less, stressful, for, you, that brings, back, like, a, very, random, memory, in life, where, I, showed, up, at, a, pool, party
Speaker A
once, and, uh, someone, showed, up, after, me and, they, just, they, just, brought, a, uh full, pineapple, to, the, party, and, it, just it, just, sat, on, the, table, and, I, was thinking, like, when, I, was, in, the, I'm, like
Speaker A
it'd, be, really, nice, to, have, some pineapple, right, now, but, who, the, hell's going, to, cut, that, why, would, they, not just, buy, the, precord, pineapple, anyways very, random, moment, in, life, I, haven't thought, about, that, in, a, long, time, but
Speaker A
you, know, that, would, be, my, minus, EV, move of, the, week, if, you're, going, to, show, up to, a, like, a, pool, party, with, fruit, you you, you, got, to, like, if, you, you, bring, a fruit, platter, you, know, with, the, stuff
Speaker A
already, cut, up, don't, show, up, with, a, full melon, and, just, hand, it, to, the, host, there like, it's, not, the, way, do, in, general, any kind, of, party, the, most, underrated, aspect of, any, kind, of, food, you, bring, there, is
Speaker A
ease, of, use, nobody, wants, to, sit, down, and have, this, big, complicated, thing, it's like, what, can, I, kind, of, just, what, can get, me, through, the, day, as, I'm, you, know focused, on, other, things, I'm, not, here, to
Speaker A
have, a, meal, so, you're, right, yeah anything, that, I, have, to, cut, up, I'm, just going, to, pass, on, 100%, minus, EV, I've, seen people, show, up, around, Christmas, time with, like, full, walnuts, you, know, like, who the, hell, wants, to, crack, the, walnuts, with
Speaker A
the, Nutcracker, just, get, buy, the, walnuts that, are, already, out, of, the, shell, I don't, understand, it, I, don't, get, it, don't do, it, people, do, not, show, up, and, be, one of, those, people, that's, going, to, make, the
Speaker A
host, do, work, it's, a, big, mistake, what's not, a, mistake, would, be, following, Mike, on Twitter, mrmr, uncore, peanut, better, great follow, in, my, opinion, that's, just, my opinion, some, people, might, say, you're, not a, great, follow, I, happen, to, a, fact, I
Speaker A
would, I, would, go, far, enough, I, would, say it's, actually, ver, we'll, we'll, ask, chat JP, we'll, get, on, this, uh, maybe, I'll, bring it, up, to, C, blz, and, grp, at, the, table, that we, have, and, we'll, get, them, on, it, we'll
Speaker A
have, them, figured, out, I, got, to, say, I, I know, know, you, were, joking, about, that table, I'm, not, a, c, bless, guy, I, think, he's just, like, really, boring, and, annoying, but I, would, Hep, yeah, he's, better, in, small
Speaker A
samples, he, was, you, know, he, was, the, Muse in, my, eye, for, a, little, bit, uh, then, it's really, gone, to, zilbert, now, I, think zilbert, is, just, Peak, levels, of, Comedy when, he, let, the, dart, in, his, latest, video
Speaker A
I, was, like, that, I, mean, that, really, was the, peak, I, think, and, I'll, eventually, get bored, I'm, sure, and, find, someone, else that, you, know, to, laugh, with, but, I, think that, uh, yeah, I, I, agree, with, yanc, BL, he's
Speaker A
a, small, sample, guy, you, got, to, he, really kind, of, came, in, hot, and, then, he, was, like the, Yas, o, of, gambling, Twitter, Bingo great, great, comp, he, came, in, he, was firing, nobody, knew, who, the, hell, this, guy
Speaker A
was, he, emerged, on, the, scene, videos, were funny, for, a, little, bit, and, then, you're like, there's, just, nothing, more, to, this act, I'm, done, with, it, I, mean, you, could say, that, about, a, lot, of, people, but, their
Speaker A
acts, are, like, gp's, act, is, in, my, opinion might, be, put, into, bag, on, his, head, he might, be, you know, he, might, be, hitting, on, a, random woman, that's, half, his, age, he, might, be putting, napkins, under, plat, see, he's, just
Speaker A
got, the, one, move, so, big, fan, of, the, grp co, mask, which, was, yes, the, Ziploc, bag over, over, don't, recommend, that, people but, uh, yeah, those, that, was, that, was content, at, its, peak, make, sure, you, follow
Speaker A
Mike, on, Twitter, make, sure, you, sub, here on, circles, off, we're, trying, to, get, to 20K, subs, and, listen, I, promise, you, when we, do, get, to, 20K, I'm, just, going, to petition, for, you, to, keep, subbing, so, that
Speaker A
we, can, get, to, 30k, and, more, than, that, but please, if, you, do, watch, the, content regularly, hit, that, subscribe, buttton it's, just, a, vanity, metric, but, it, means, a lot, for, helping, us, monetize, so, please hit, that, if, you, enjoy, the, episode, make
Speaker A
sure, make, sure, you, like, it, hit, that thumbs, up, button, down, below, and, of course, comments, are, always, useful, as well, for, the, YouTube, algorithm, for, us, to grow, our, content, Circle, back, is, back tomorrow, we, got, a, fresh, new, interview
Speaker A
here, on, circles, off, next, week, peace, out every, I, hope, you, enjoyed, the, episode [Music]
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