Speaker A
All right, what's going on, y'all? Welcome back to Barrel Lab. Got another daily barrel report going on for you guys.
Daily baseball barrel report analyzing player stats, home run potential, and matchups for June 29 games.
Key Takeaways
- Player form and recent performance are critical indicators for home run potential.
- Metrics like wOBA, pulled barrels, launch angle, and fly ball ratio help identify top hitters.
- Top hitters are reliable but lower lineup players can offer hidden value.
- All-Star break may affect player availability and rotation strategies.
- Backtesting supports using form scores above 80 as a strong predictor of home run likelihood.
Summary
- Provides a detailed analysis of player barrel metrics, home run form, and matchup scores for MLB games on June 29.
- Focuses on key players like Pete Alonso, Keston Hiura, Randal Grichuk, Miguel Vargas, and others with strong home run potential.
- Explains important metrics such as weighted on-base average (wOBA), pulled barrels, launch angle, fly ball rating, and home run to fly ball ratio.
- Highlights the significance of player form over the last two weeks in predicting home run likelihood.
- Discusses the impact of the upcoming All-Star break on player rotations and game strategies.
- Analyzes specific matchups including Baltimore vs. White Sox, Philly vs. Pittsburgh, and others with top home run scorers and matchup scores.
- Emphasizes looking beyond top hitters to find value in lower lineup players with good stats and form.
- Mentions backtesting results showing players with form scores above 80 hit home runs at a 15% rate.
- Provides insights on sneaky players who may not have high fantasy scores but contribute consistently.
- Offers actionable advice for betting or fantasy baseball decisions based on comprehensive player profiles and game contexts.
Chapters
- 00:00Introduction and Overview of Daily Barrel Report
- 01:37White Sox Hitters vs Shane Bieber Analysis
- 03:10Importance of Player Form and Hidden Value
- 04:45Highlighting Form Scores and Home Run Rates
- 06:36Baltimore vs White Sox Player Matchups and Value Picks
- 08:13Philadelphia vs Pittsburgh Top Players and Matchups
- 10:04Player Profiles and Metrics for Home Run Predictions
- 12:34Additional Player Insights and Game Strategy Considerations
- 18:30Summary of Key Players and Final Thoughts
Full Transcript — Download SRT & Markdown
Speaker A
Um, slate wasn't too bad today. It was okay. Got some decent games and uh, hit some decent props.
Speaker A
Uh, I got 13 games going on for Monday. Should be a good one. Uh, weather's been heating up everywhere around the nation, so hoping these balls start flying.
Speaker A
All-star break is coming up, so take into consideration some of these players, coaches, managers could be not rotating certain guys or whatever, um, the case may be.
Speaker A
Um, so we'll just go ahead and hop right into it, man, and we'll see what's going on. First game we've got Baltimore and the White Sox.
Speaker A
Playing at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, so it should be an interesting game. Uh, top four reads going Pete Alonso, Keston Hiura, Randal Grichuk, Miguel Vargas.
Speaker A
Um, Pete's looking good. Okay, decent on the home run form. That's most likely this barrel that we're looking at. And his matchup is pretty solid.
Speaker A
Keston Hiura is going to be barrel, pulled barrel, and barrel. These are most home runs are pulled, right? So, that's what's going on there. Barrel here for Grichuk.
Speaker A
Eloy Jiménez is looking good though, too. Uh, zone fit also. Zone fit here for Pete. And then Vargas is barrel and home run form. That's what it looks like for him.
Speaker A
So, White Sox hitters versus Shane Bieber. Top three home run scores going Keston Hiura, Grichuk, and Vargas.
Speaker A
Then you got Andrew Benintendi, Keston Hiura, and Akil Baddoo. Harold Castro, Romy González, Yoán Moncada, and Luis Robert.
Speaker A
Uh, matchup is going Grichuk, Keston Hiura, Andrew Benintendi, Miguel Vargas, Keston Hiura, and Akil Baddoo, Yoán Mercedes.
Speaker A
[snorts] I mean, Trout looks really good. His numbers look pretty solid. So, what I'm looking at really, um, first things that usually stick out to me, I like to look at their wOBA, um, so their weighted on-base average, and
Speaker A
their weighted on-base average per contact. Um, and then pulled barrel and barrel for balls in play. So, how hard are they hitting the balls that they're hitting in play?
Speaker A
Um, how often are they pulling the balls? Uh, sweet spot is going to be the average time that they're hitting it within the sweet spot of the launch angle between that 8 and like 21°, 27, whatever it may
Speaker A
be. Um, and then I'm looking at fly ball rating as well. How often are they hitting fly balls? Um, because, right, obviously most home runs have to go in the air. And then how hard are you hitting it? And
Speaker A
then launch angle, average launch angle. Um, and then their home runs to fly ball ratio.
Speaker A
Uh, that's what these numbers are, and that's what we're pretty much paying attention to. That's what we're trying to see.
Speaker A
Um, a lot of times, don't let the colors fool you because there could be some hidden value even within these guys, even if they have bad matchups, um, don't have the best true home run score.
Speaker A
You always want to pay attention to the form. Uh, so, form means the last 2 weeks, um, with a little bit of the last 7 weighted in there as well.
Speaker A
Um, so, like for you know, White Sox, Eloy Jiménez is somebody who gets, makes good contact, doesn't really swing, um, strike out too often. Right?
Speaker A
So, that's what their swinging strike is, is how often they're swinging and striking out.
Speaker A
Um, you know, he's good sweet spot. But for White Sox, I'd say Colson Montgomery and Vargas. Look, the best Vargas has the best home run form right now.
Speaker A
He's looking very solid. Gutsch is looking good, too, though. All right, so keep that in mind for those players there.
Speaker A
So, I just wanted to give that a little bit of a breakdown. Um, that's what we're looking at for all of these players in their profiles. So, just keep that in mind as we go through these games. Let's keep it moving,
Speaker A
y'all. Baltimore versus Shawn Burke. Um, home run scores going Alonso, Basallo, Gunnar Henderson, Ward, Cowser, O'Neal, Mayo, Alexander.
Speaker A
Matchup scores going Alonso, Basallo, Holiday, Cowser, Henderson, Alexander, Ward, Mayo. And let's see form.
Speaker A
I'm also going to be highlighting form, too, because with the back testing so far, um, anybody who's got like a form score of 80 plus is hitting home runs at like a 15% rate right now.
Speaker A
So, trying to hone in on what buckets are the most accurate. Um, you know, so that way we can continue to just be getting the best uh, props or even just finding the best profiles that really fit, um, who are hitting these
Speaker A
home runs. So, looking at it, All right, see. So, even somebody like Blaze, who's not at the top of the list, top five, he's got good form, decent form, has been heating up lately.
Speaker A
His weighted on base average is pretty solid, right? He gets on base. He's got a decent okay pull barrel.
Speaker A
Got a nice sweet spot, so he's hitting it and, um, you know, launch angles is okay. It's decent, consistently decent.
Speaker A
And he's got hard hit. So, Luis Arraez is one of those sneaky players who tends to have low lines, whether it be fantasy score, um, hits, runs, RBIs, something like that. So, you can always look in players like that, too, um, when their numbers
Speaker A
and their profiles match up. Um, but as far as, you know, home runs, that's what everybody's probably looking for.
Speaker A
Pete Alonso is looking the best consistently overall, right, in multiple different categories. And Rosario, Rosario is also looking strong, too. But we've got a lot of people heating up right now. Cowser is looking good with his numbers. He's got great barrel,
Speaker A
good fly ball, great launch angle. So, these are just all things to consider. Um, it's tough really wanting to just say, "Oh, look at one of these two players," right? Look at the whole roster. Look at where you might be
Speaker A
able to find the most value. Um, Pete Alonso's [snorts] not, you know, his total bases sometimes may not be a demon or whatever it may be, may not have the best value on certain books. So, um, that's also something to keep in mind,
Speaker A
right? Those top hitters are top hitters for a reason, but those lower those guys in lower in the lineup also will cash for you, too. Um, they're great hitters. Everybody on the roster can hit. So, just keep that in
Speaker A
mind. All right, y'all. Let's get this next game out the way. Philly versus Pittsburgh.
Speaker A
Top three is are going Schwarber, Lowe, Harper, and Reynolds. Um, Schwarber, Schwarber first to 30 home runs this season, so he's having a great season. Um, obviously, you can pay attention to him. Brandon Lowe's also been heating up lately.
Speaker A
Um, great pulled barrel, wonderful barrel, and home run foreman's best home run foreman right now in the out of these games, so that's something to keep in mind. Bryce Harper is looking good, too. He's been having having a
Speaker A
hell of a season. Um, and Brian Reynolds for Pittsburgh is looking nice too. So, Pittsburgh versus Nola.
Speaker A
Home run scores going Lowe, Reynolds, Ozuna, Rodriguez, O'Hearn, Davis. Matchups going Lowe, Reynolds, Rodriguez, Ozuna, O'Hearn.
Speaker A
And if I had to look at this, yeah, Brandon Lowe does look the best.
Speaker A
Um, I love me some Indy though. Indy is solid. He's been making contact. He's been getting on base. So, his form has been heating up lately, too. Um, I mean, he's getting getting better power and better barrel.
Speaker A
Um, and better launch angle. That's what goes into home run form. Like I said, it's the last 14, pulled barrel, barrel, um, as well as fly ball, wOBA, things like that. So, Indy Rodriguez is somebody who I've been
Speaker A
paying attention and watching over the last couple weeks. So, he is heating up. And Brian Reynolds and Brandon Lowe, um, these dudes are just hitting off the charts right now. So, then Callahan.
Speaker A
Got some good pull barrel. Um, sweet spot. So, if he catches a good one, um, hooks it, you know, left field, right field, right inside the foul line, you can see that go.
Speaker A
You can see that go. Philly versus Brandon Ashcraft. Home run scores going Schwarber, Harper, Marsh, Realmuto, Sosa, Stott, Turner.
Speaker A
Matchups going Schwarber, Harper, Marsh, Sosa, Realmuto, Stott, Turner. Like I said, Schwarber, Schwarber first to 30 home runs.
Speaker A
Will he be the first to 31? Most likely. I'll put my mon
Speaker A
or his last few starts, I should say. Um Skenes hasn't been Skenes, and Ashcraft has really been that guy for them. I mean now Skins is still getting his numbers, but Ashcraft is also somebody who's been making a name
Speaker A
for himself, so he could also get some some strikeouts tomorrow. Philly likes to swing and strike.
Speaker A
There's a lot of power hitters, right? There's a lot of guys swinging for the fence, so Ashcraft could get some Ks tomorrow. Um but as far as hitting goes, um Harper and Harper does look good. Sosa does look like he's creeping up. His home His
Speaker A
form is probably top on the team. All right. Yeah. He's top five in form, so it could be very interesting tomorrow.
Speaker A
This could be a high-scoring game. Honestly, it could be a sneaky high-scoring game. Um so let's go ahead and get to the next one.
Speaker A
Detroit versus New York. New York Yankees, uh top reads are going Ben Rice, Kerry Carpenter, Dingler, and Riley Greene.
Speaker A
Ben Rice has been Rice. Um pre prime zone fit. Home run form has hasn't been the best. Um it's been kind of declining this last couple weeks. Last couple of days actually, I should say. But he's still got great barrel and pull barrel. Um
Speaker A
it's Ben Rice. Kerry Carpenter's been heating up for Detroit. He's got awesome barrel so far right now, too. And his home run form has been on the up up and up. You'll see that.
Speaker A
Uh Dingler's also having a great season so far. And Riley Greene, Detroit's just been having hot bats this season. A little bit, you know, iffy sometimes or I should say spotty, uh inconsistent, but when they are hitting, they're hitting decent. So,
Speaker A
let's see what's going on. Got Detroit versus Weathers. Home run scores going Carpenter, Dingler, Greene, Torkelson, uh Keith, and Ottman, and then McGonigal.
Speaker A
Matchups going Carpenter, Greene, Torkelson, Dingler, Jermaine Jones, Lee and Ottman. And yeah, Dingler looks like he's going to be that guy tomorrow.
Speaker A
Green looks like he could be that guy tomorrow too. Uh but Torkelson right now is really who I've been liking. Torkelson's been hot.
Speaker A
Um good pool barrel, great barrel, good fly ball, good hard hit, and good launch angle on average. So, definitely pay attention to Torkelson.
Speaker A
I'd say Torkelson, Dingler for Detroit. All right. And we've got the Yankees against Mize.
Speaker A
Home run score, as expected. Uh got Ben Rice at number one, Chisholm, Goldschmidt Bellinger Wells.
Speaker A
Matchups going Ben Rice, Rosario, Chisholm Wells and Bellinger. And Rosario does have some good form and great zone fit.
Speaker A
He's getting on base. Right? So, those are things he just does swing a lot, um which I'm okay with.
Speaker A
That's just showing even though it's showing he does strike out, it's also showing aggressive, right? And I'm okay with if we're looking for home run hitters, I'm okay with them being aggressive. That's how you hit a home run. So,
Speaker A
um but looking at this, Bellinger does look like uh Belly could be could be okay tomorrow, too.
Speaker A
Um and when I say this, I'm also emphasizing their bases, their hits, runs, RBIs, fantasy score, depending on what markets you prefer. Um of course, we're looking at this with the intention of taking home runs. But, if I see somebody has
Speaker A
um low swinging strike, right, gets on base, uh but doesn't have the best barrel as far as he's not pulling it too much, too often, and he's not hitting it too far, too often. Um hard hit, right, is a little bit lower
Speaker A
than what we're seeing. But, this is Cody Bellinger. This is somebody who would get you a double. Uh this is somebody who would get you um an RBI single. So, keep those in mind when looking at these players.
Speaker A
Uh but, as far as home runs go, Ben Rice does look like Ben Rice. Uh Jazz Chisholm looks like he could be doing he could do something.
Speaker A
And I like Cody Bellinger. I do like Cody Bellinger. Spencer Jones' form is coming up a little bit more.
Speaker A
Um I just want to see some consistency in Spencer Jones, but I do like him. I do like that kid.
Speaker A
Now, let's get to this next game. Got the Mets versus Toronto. Top breeds is going Soto, Okamoto, Alvarez, and Vientos.
Speaker A
Soto Soto. Uh his form's up there. Nice at 77%. Pull barrel and uh barrel for balls in play. That's really what got him up there. This dude does when he make contact, he's hitting it far and hitting it hard.
Speaker A
Uh Okamoto has been having a solid season. I like Okamoto. Barrel is looking solid. Home run form has been picking up, and the matchup looks to be decent for him tomorrow, too.
Speaker A
Um Yeah. Then we got Alvarez. Alvarez's home run form has been nice. He's got great pull barrel and barrel um power as far as hitting it hard. So, you know, these top plays do uh these top plays are pretty solid, I
Speaker A
will say. I will say. Maybe one day we'll just do a test run and just take all the top plays of each game in a you know, four-man parlay or whatever, however it may go. Um, and then we'll
Speaker A
see from there. And then then we got Mark Vientos rounding it off at the top of his pool.
Speaker A
His pool barrel is decent, and his barrel for balls in play is what's getting him up here, too. So, let's take a little deeper look. We've got the Mets versus Yacabonis. Yacabonis is uh is Yacabonis. He's a great pitcher. Um
Speaker A
good speed, good control. Uh he could do some damage tomorrow. Uh so, we'll see though. We'll see what what Mets decide to show up. The one that got their manager fired, or the one that's trying to save the next one's job. So,
Speaker A
home run scores going Soto, Alvarez, Vientos, Young, and Lindor. Matchups going Soto, Alvarez, Young, Lindor Vientos.
Speaker A
And let's see here. I do want to mention home run form, Alvarez, Soto, and Young. Top three there. So, maybe out of them I mean, the best form you look to see, right? Who then matches your stats and
Speaker A
what you want to look for. So, clearly Soto seems to be somebody who's standing out to us, right? 424 wOBA, 469 wOBA Bacon.
Speaker A
These are pretty solid numbers. Um low swinging strike, which is good for Soto, cuz Soto is typically somebody who we do see strike out a lot. But this season he's been very plate disciplined, which I like to see. Um okay pool
Speaker A
barrel, but great barrel for balls in play. Um he does hit the ball hard, like I say this is Soto. He's he's just a a brick. A brick house swinging that bat. Um good launch angle. So, Soto could easily go tomorrow. Alvarez also
Speaker A
has good form. Uh he's got great wOBA Bacon, so meaning he's getting on base when he's making contact, and he's got good barrel. So, um Soto and Alvarez, and then Young.
Speaker A
Right? Young clearly is getting on base as well. He's got decent pool barrel, and he's got great barrel. And he does hit the ball pretty hard. So, those are all things to consider.
Speaker A
I Marwin Gonzalez does look like he could do some damage, too. Uh I'd take maybe bases. Maybe just a hit if you didn't want to risk it. Bo Bichette's kind of trying to uh get back in the mix here.
Speaker A
But, I personally don't like the look of it just yet. Um that's just me, though, right? You guys can obviously take him if you wanted to if you see something that I may not. Uh that's what these are really for, man.
Speaker A
It's to just provide a a starting point for anybody. That's it. All right. So, Toronto versus Mannea.
Speaker A
Home run score is going Okamoto, Springer Guerrero Varsho Piñago. Matchups going Okamoto, Guerrero, Piñago, a Valenzuela and Kirk.
Speaker A
Okamoto looks crazy cuz he's got the home run score. He's got the matchup score and he's got the form.
Speaker A
So, um you know, he's got that triple threat that we really look for. Well, Bacon solid.
Speaker A
His barrel is great. Launch angle is awesome and hard hit. So, yeah, Okamoto looks like he could do some damage tomorrow, for sure.
Speaker A
George Springer seems to be getting back in the mix here. And Daulton Varsho, not terrible.
Speaker A
But, not for me doesn't scream, "I'm hitting a home run." Right? Piñago. I mean, but they're starting to warm up, though.
Speaker A
All right. They're starting to warm up. Piñago is somebody who could sneak one out of the yard. I've seen it.
Speaker A
Um I know you've seen it. It'll pop up on your feed the day that you don't take him. So, pay attention to Piñango, even if you wanted to go bases. You can go bases.
Speaker A
Um Anaya might give up some hits and some runs, so it'll be another good game tomorrow.
Speaker A
This slate looks crazy, guys. This this definitely looks like a slate where some good money can be made.
Speaker A
All right, next game we got Washington versus Boston. Top reads is going Contreras, Wood, Abreu, and Garcia Jr.
Speaker A
Contreras does look pretty good. Looks really good, actually. Wood, I don't know man. Um Wood gives me a headache every time when I put him on a slate. A headache.
Speaker A
Uh Willy Abreu, I do like Abreu. And Garcia looks okay. He's got good home run form. Best form out of the top reads, so something to take into consideration.
Speaker A
Power doesn't scream or stand out to me like all that, but his home run form for me, his last 2 weeks he's been getting good barrel, um great launch angle, things of that nature, so keep that in mind.
Speaker A
Um you could take his his bases or something so. All right, Washington versus Suarez.
Speaker A
Home run scores going Wood, Garcia, Garcia Jr., Mead, Abrams, Cruz. Matchups going Wood, Garcia Jr., Cruz, Mead, Tania.
Speaker A
Let's see. I mean, James Wood is James Wood, but Curtis Mead, I think would say sticks out to me next.
Speaker A
He's pull barrel, low swinging strike. Decent sweet spot. And fly balls. That fly ball honestly that I like and I'm okay with and the launch angle looks good, too.
Speaker A
Um so, Curtis Mead could be somebody who goes tomorrow. Yeah, Abrams is trying to start heating up, too.
Speaker A
Forms on the decline. Um But, Garcia, yeah, so meeting Garcia most likely for Washington.
Speaker A
I'm staying away from Wood. You can take his hits or something, but even that that's risky.
Speaker A
Um Boston versus Mikolas. Home run scores going to Contreras, Abreu, Duran. Uh Narváez. Matchups going Contreras, Abreu, Duran, Narváez.
Speaker A
And it does look like Contreras is probably the best bet. 75 home run score, 70 73 matchup score, and 74 form.
Speaker A
Um again, the triple threat 70 plus, I'm okay with. That looks right now according to the back test logs, it looks good. Uh it's a consistent That's a pretty solid formula combination to go off of.
Speaker A
He does have the best well-bacon on the team. Meaning he's getting on base when he's making contact.
Speaker A
He's got the best barrel. Yeah, Contreras looks good for tomorrow. And Abreu, Contreras and Abreu for sure look good tomorrow.
Speaker A
Um Monasterio could do something, though. He could, you know, sneak his sneak one over the uh the wall. So.
Speaker A
All right, let's get to this next game. Uh Texas versus Cleveland. Top reads going Joc Pederson, Carlos Monasterio, Jake Burger, Brandon Nimmo.
Speaker A
I do like these top reads, I must say. This is a playable foreman right here.
Speaker A
Uh Pederson's been heating up. Menzardo is probably one of the most consistent bats for Cleveland right now.
Speaker A
Then you got Jake Burger and Nimmo. Could be a solid day tomorrow in this game too.
Speaker A
Baseball gods messing with what they were doing. All right. Homer and scores going Peterson Burger Nimmo Seeger Young.
Speaker A
Matchups going Peterson, Foskey. Higashioka Burger Kalinic. Higgy. Higgy could do some. His form hasn't been all the way the best, but he definitely swings the bat nice. Definitely swings the bat pretty nice.
Speaker A
Uh, let's see. Brandon Nimmo doesn't look too bad. And he's got the best form right now.
Speaker A
Doesn't have the best matchup score, but does see the pitch mix okay. Not too bad.
Speaker A
Bases for sure for Nimmo. You could take that 1.5 demon bases or whatever it may be. Whatever book you're on, it's plus money.
Speaker A
You take two and a half bases, too. I see him getting a double or something.
Speaker A
Um Of course, Seeger could send one to the moon. Foskey could send one to the moon tomorrow too.
Speaker A
So, it's definitely something to pay attention to. All right. Then you got Cleveland versus Alexander. Homer and scores going Menzardo Hoskins Scheiman Fry.
Speaker A
Matchups going Menzardo, Arias, Hoskins, Scheiman. Yeah, Cleveland hasn't had the best bats, man. I don't know what's going on.
Speaker A
Steven Kwan being down here is just it's still confusing me. It baffles me. Honestly, it baffles me.
Speaker A
And Menzardo is the the best look. It's Menzardo. He could probably Nimmo Mets are though.
Speaker A
It's one of those don't even touch it. Like unless you have a favorite player or something on these teams, don't touch it.
Speaker A
Not this Cleveland team. They're I don't see them doing too much tomorrow. And I could be wrong, but I just don't see them doing too much.
Speaker A
But striking out. I don't see. All right, let's get to this next game. Got Cincinnati versus Milwaukee.
Speaker A
Top reads going Sal Stewart, Jake Bowers, Jackson Chourio, William Contreras. All right, Cincinnati versus Gasser.
Speaker A
Home run scores going Stewart, Steer, Ellie Suarez Stephenson. Matchups going Ellie, Stewart, Marte, Steer Suarez.
Speaker A
Who's this? Bleday. And then Lowe. But man, their form has been trash. But Bleday does consistently get on base.
Speaker A
Got some of the best ISO. Top will bacon on the team. Yeah, JJ Bleday, if he gets a good pitch, he could do some damage tomorrow.
Speaker A
He definitely could. Spencer Steer doesn't look too bad. We do bases for Steer, bases for Bleday, and even blaze bases for Stewart, too.
Speaker A
Mm. Home run could be Sal Stewart, but or Bleday if he gets a good pitch.
Speaker A
But bases for sure. Bases. All right, let's see what Milwaukee's got going on against Lodolo. Home run scores going Bowers, Turang, Contreras, Sanchez Vaughn.
Speaker A
Matchups going Turang, Contreras, Sanchez Vaughn Bowers. Garrett Mitchell does look I like this I like his well bacon.
Speaker A
I like that he gets on base, right? Bases. I love I love that he gets on base.
Speaker A
Like his barrel. Home fly ball, yeah. Garrett Mitchell could be a sleeper for tomorrow.
Speaker A
Got a really good hard hit, too. Form has been creeping up. So is Yelich.
Speaker A
Who's up here? Contreras? Yeah, Contreras could Oh, man. Yeah. William Contreras could do something, too.
Speaker A
Mitchell for bases, Contreras for bases and a home run. Yeah, Jake Bowers, too, for bases.
Speaker A
For sure. Jake Bowers for bases, too. All right, got a few more games. Got Padres versus the Cubs.
Speaker A
Top breeds for this game, we've got Machado Suzuki Tatis, and Busch. All right. Machado, I don't really like Machado right now. He's I know he's hitting home runs.
Speaker A
Um he just has been too inconsistent and wish and up and down for me.
Speaker A
Um I might not even bet on the Padres game tomorrow, honestly. Just just putting that out there.
Speaker A
Seiya Suzuki, uh no information on Zophin, so I wonder why that is. Let me see whose picture.
Speaker A
Oh, Padres don't have a picture yet, so that makes sense. Tatis home run form, he's been heating up. Good barrel lately.
Speaker A
So, we could see him go tomorrow. Imanaga's on the mound, so it's possible. It's quite possible.
Speaker A
And then we got Bush. Yeah, so no Padre no picture for the Padre, so we'll only do the Padres for this game.
Speaker A
Uh home run scores going Machado, Tatis, Mero France Sheets. Matchup scores going France, Machado, Tatis Mero.
Speaker A
And let's see who looks good for this game. I mean, Tatis has the best form right now.
Speaker A
He's been hitting a lot of ground balls, but and striking out. But, he does have the best form.
Speaker A
See, Ty France. Jackson Mero could get you a couple hits tomorrow. Gavin Sheets could get a couple hits tomorrow too.
Speaker A
He could definitely do some things. And yeah, Machado, you could probably go bases with Machado, too.
Speaker A
Oh, yeah. No pitcher. So, next game. All right, got Minnesota vs. Houston. Top reads is going Yordan, uh Byron Buxton, Clemens, and Christian Walker.
Speaker A
This man needs no introduction, right? Yordan is Yordan. We know why he's up there.
Speaker A
One of the best hitting performances we've seen uh from anybody in a season right now.
Speaker A
So, he's definitely going for few awards at the end of the season. So, we'll be paying attention to him. Um Byron Buxton's been heating up lately, too.
Speaker A
Great barrel. Just just pure barrel. That's what Barrel Lab is about, right? Identifying who's really putting barrel to bat. I mean, barrel to ball.
Speaker A
And getting that thing out there and up there. Uh Cody Clemens has been heating up, too. I like Clemens and uh Christian Walker, too, is a solid bat for a Houston.
Speaker A
So, home run score is going Buxton, Clemens, Lewis, Bell, Larnach for Minnesota. Matchups going Buxton, Clemens, Bell, Kreidler, and Lewis.
Speaker A
Forms. A lot of people heating up form-wise. Byron Buxton, though, uh can't can't ignore him.
Speaker A
Can't ignore him. Royce Lewis has some solid barrel, too. And Bell's been uh heating up.
Speaker A
Right now, I got the second highest wOBA on the team. Or wOBA bacon. Um so, per contact, right? How often is he getting on base?
Speaker A
Not just walks or anything like that, but just pure contact. Um and Cody Clemens. Yeah, Buxton, Clemens, and uh Bell look pretty good.
Speaker A
All right. See what Houston's looking like. Zeby Matthews on the mound. We've got home run score is going Alvarez Walker Kemp Smith Diaz Trammel Matchups going Alvarez, Smith, Trammel, Walker Diaz.
Speaker A
I mean, Yordan, 80s across the board. He could hit a homer. He could hit a bomb tomorrow.
Speaker A
Like a crazy bomb. So, definitely Yordan. And if you want names you don't know, uh Cam Smith is pretty a bat that's been heating up.
Speaker A
Yainer Diaz, possibly. Um but bases though, definitely Yordan. Christian Walker could give you a couple bases.
Speaker A
Cam Smith might give us a couple bases, too. So, that could be a thing.
Speaker A
It definitely could be a thing. All right, I've got Miami versus Colorado. Top reads is going Goodman, Stowers, Moniak Casey.
Speaker A
And Goodman's Goodman, man. He's been having a good stretch of games, so that's why his form is going to be up there.
Speaker A
Ooh, no pitcher for Colorado yet, so we'll skip Miami. Um Mickey Moniak's looking good though.
Speaker A
His form's heating up. Good barrel, solid pool, so Yep, no pitcher. So, we'll go to Colorado.
Speaker A
All right, home run score's going Goodman Moniak Julian Castro Tovar. Matchups going Goodman, Moniak, Julian, Castro Carig.
Speaker A
Um 80 70 90 across the board for Goodman, so yep, he's automatically up there. I'll probably try to get some minimum thresholds like that we like. Um what should be a minimum home run score, matchup score, and form score um because
Speaker A
those do make a difference based on the modeling. Excuse [clears throat] me. And what I'm seeing in the back testing, so just keeping that in mind, I'll get that out pretty soon. Um but right now, Goodman is looking good.
Speaker A
Goodman is looking real good. And let's see here, who else? Who else? Yeah, Carig. It's just nobody's got the their form, right? This team's form hasn't been the best lately.
Speaker A
Other than Goodman. Moniak's coming off an injury. Bubba Rumpfield, though I like I do like TJ Rumpfield.
Speaker A
I can't not acknowledge him. He does get on base. Troy Johnston. Yeah, Goodman. Can't ignore Goodman.
Speaker A
And Carey could do something, too. He definitely could do something, too. He's going to join that 400 club for Will Bacon.
Speaker A
Um so, we'll see what goes on there. Pay attention to that game. [snorts] All right, we've got the Dodgers versus the Athletics.
Speaker A
Top reads is going Kurtz, Ohtani, Langeliers, and Freeman. Um Dodgers been hot right now.
Speaker A
Kurtz got solid form. Good barrel. Um Ohtani's got great form, good barrel. Langeliers is up here for barrel and good match up tomorrow, so it's possible we can see something.
Speaker A
Um it could be a good one. Who's pitching? Eric Lauer. Yeah, we'll see what goes on with that.
Speaker A
And uh Freeman. Barreling uh home run form. He'd not. All right, excuse me. Dodgers versus Gauge jump.
Speaker A
Got uh home run scores going Ohtani, Freeman Muncy Betts Rushing. Matchup's going Ohtani, Freeman, Muncy, Betts Paez.
Speaker A
And Ohtani does look crazy. That's Shohei for you, though. And Freeman looks good, bases, right?
Speaker A
Yeah, Kyle Tucker will give you some bases too. That launch angle is really what gets him those doubles, right?
Speaker A
And he doesn't He's got good discipline. Yeah Muncy. Muncy. Yeah, I was going to say he's been declining cuz I've been chasing him for about a week now and haven't been getting any anything out of him. So, I
Speaker A
like Freddie Freeman here for bases. I like Shohei for bases and a home run.
Speaker A
And I like Kyle Tucker for bases. Ryan Ward looks pretty good, too. Yeah, pay attention to Ryan Ward.
Speaker A
All right. Oakland versus Lower. Home run scores going Kurtz, Langeliers, Soderstrom Muncy Butler. Matchups going Langeliers, Kurtz, Muncy, Bolte or Bolt and Soderstrom.
Speaker A
And Kurtz looks like Kurtz. Langeliers looks like Langeliers. Thomas looks Okay. And Soderstrom though, I like it when they have a low low swing strike because that just shows me a consistent discipline but contact though, consistent contact. And it makes
Speaker A
sense cuz he's low bacon's what, third highest on the team? Oh, few people up there but I mean all they consistently get on base, right? So, that's good to see. Uh but yeah, Kurtz and probably Langeliers.
Speaker A
That's what I see. All right. Got the Angels versus Seattle. Top reads is going Canzone, Neto, Soler, Raley.
Speaker A
Uh O'Rally, whichever one. Canzone's got good barrel, good pull. Neto's got good barrel, good pull, great form.
Speaker A
Uh Soler's got good barrel. That's what a dude just hits the ball hard. Then let's see. Then Kyle Raley's up here for his barrel form, right? He's just getting back, so.
Speaker A
All right. Angels versus Kirby. Home run scores going Nieto, Soler, Adell O'Hoppe. Matchups going Soler, Nieto, Adell, O'Hoppe.
Speaker A
Adell looks good. His month form has been heating up. Woo. And he could be something dangerous tomorrow.
Speaker A
Yeah, that's a deadly combination. So, fly ball, he's getting good fly ball. I mean, he's hitting the bat uh second hardest on the team right now.
Speaker A
And his launch angle is pretty solid. So, he could be uh sleeper tomorrow. Take bases for Guzman or something like that. Uh Soler bases, Nieto bases. Um things to think about.
Speaker A
Seattle versus Ryan Johnson. Home run scores going Canzone, uh Raleigh, Raleigh Rodriguez. Matchups going Canzone, Raleigh, Raleigh, Rodriguez, and Rosario.
Speaker A
And yeah, Luke looks nice. Just he he's very aggressive. Very aggressive. That's what this man is swinging and striking showing me. But, it's resulting into him being on base.
Speaker A
All right, him being in a scoring position. Uh good barrel, good pull. Yeah. Luke Raley could be a solid play tomorrow.
Speaker A
Uh Josh Naylor. Solid launch angle, so you could see a single or double out of him.
Speaker A
Rodriguez's form is looking good. And his well bacon, so yeah, you could definitely take bases for Julio, too.
Speaker A
Um good barrel. Great hard hit. Yeah, so you can Raley, you could take him for everything. Home run, um bases, hits, runs, RBIs.
Speaker A
Ken Zone, you can take him, same thing. Hits, runs, RBIs, bases. Julio, bases. Uh, so you can take, you know, something to think about.
Speaker A
All right. Last but not least, San Francisco and Arizona. Top plays, Devers, Carroll, Marte, Schmitt.
Speaker A
Um, Devers has been having a great couple weeks, great couple games, man. Form's been heating up.
Speaker A
Good barrel. Corbin Carroll has been solid bat for Arizona this season. Now, he's been, you know, he has his moments.
Speaker A
Um, but great barrel, good pull. Same thing for Ketel Marte, his home run form's been heating up. Good barrel. And Casey Schmitt, he's been hitting pretty nicely, too, for San Francisco.
Speaker A
Should be a solid game. All right, Eduardo Rodriguez on the mound. So, home run scores going Devers, Schmitt Eldridge Adames Chapman.
Speaker A
Matchup is going Schmitt, Eldridge, Adames Devers Chapman. And Bryce Eldridge looks good. Great wOBA. So, he's getting on base the most.
Speaker A
Solid form. Good barrel. Who's this? Willy Adames. Yeah, so Casey Schmitt, probably bases, Eldridge bases, and Devers could send one to the moon.
Speaker A
That's how I see it. That is how I see it. All right, last, Arizona versus Mayhew uh, hit home run scores going Carroll, Marte Moreno Castillo Arenado.
Speaker A
Matchup's going Carroll, Marte, Moreno, Troy, and LeMahieu James Gruber. Who could do some grooling tomorrow? He definitely could.
Speaker A
Definitely could. And that's what I also like to show is even though somebody doesn't have the best match up score, the best home run score, form may not be there.
Speaker A
Um look at the underlying metrics. Low swinging strike. Great pulled barrel. Great barrel. So those combinations together, right?
Speaker A
Or reasons why he could hit a home run. Um reasons why he could take him for another proper or anything like that.
Speaker A
And let's see who else. And Moreno [snorts] looks good. And Corbin Carroll looks good.
Speaker A
Um bases, right? Let's take these guys for bases. I don't see them hitting too many home runs. I could be wrong though.
Speaker A
They could slap them all out the park, but as far as what I'm seeing, um I'm seeing some bases. I'm seeing some singles, possibly some doubles. Um not too many home runs though, but it could be a lot
Speaker A
of runs scored in this game. It really could. Um but other than that, I do appreciate everybody who's been reaching out. Um this is something I'm going to be trying my best to be consistent at and doing this every day. Um providing as
Speaker A
much of context as I can on the games. Um I'm open to any questions. If you guys don't, go ahead and follow me on Twitter @ Barrel Lab MLB_ Um @BarrelLabMLB_ Um I'm always open to answer questions about the model or whatever. Um if you
Speaker A
guys want to start getting access to it, I will be deploying it here like officially pretty soon.
Speaker A
Just a couple bugs that I wanted to get out of it. And just really dialing on these formulas and everything and have the how to explain the best way to navigate and how to use these buckets pretty much. How to
Speaker A
look at the stats, how to look at the charts. Um I'm really just here to try to help the next person understand how to see stats and maybe help them, you know what I'm saying, win a little bit more um on their parlay, so.
Speaker A
I appreciate everybody checking out the Daily Barrel Report. Um go ahead and give me a follow, like and subscribe, and I'll holler at you guys later.
Speaker A
Peace.
Topics:baseballMLBhome runsplayer statsbarrel reportPete AlonsoKeston Hiuraweighted on-base averagelaunch anglefantasy baseball
