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Grid Trading Strategy! Always Win Strategy? Good or Bad? All you need to know

Explore the grid trading strategy with backtests on crypto and Forex markets, plus insights on profitability and pitfalls.

Ask about this video. Answers come from its transcript only — with the timestamp, so you can check them.

Generated from the transcript and can be wrong — check the timestamp.

Key Takeaways

  • The grid trading strategy can generate profits by systematically entering buy and sell trades at set price intervals.
  • Backtesting shows the strategy was profitable in certain periods but declined in effectiveness later in 2021 for EUR/USD.
  • Choosing the right grid gap size is crucial, with 50 pips often providing better results than 30 or 100 pips.
  • The strategy requires managing open trades carefully and understanding market conditions to avoid large losses.
  • Automated tools like expert advisors can help efficiently backtest and apply the grid trading strategy.

What the video covers

  • Introduction to the popular grid trading strategy used in crypto and Forex markets.
  • Explanation of how the grid trading strategy works with price charts and trade entries.
  • Backtesting results on BTC/USD and GBP/USD pairs with detailed trade outcomes.
  • Comprehensive backtest of the grid strategy on EUR/USD for the entire year of 2021.
  • Analysis of the strategy's profitability trends and reasons for decline in later months.
  • Discussion on the importance of grid gap settings and their impact on results.
  • Comparison of different grid gap sizes (30, 50, 100 pips) and their effectiveness.
  • Recommendations on currency pairs and grid settings for optimal performance.
  • Potential pitfalls and considerations when using the grid trading strategy.
  • Encouragement to subscribe and engage with the channel for more trading insights.

Answers

Questions about this video

What is the grid trading strategy?

The grid trading strategy involves placing buy and sell trades at set price intervals or grid lines, aiming to profit from market fluctuations without relying on trend direction.

Is the grid trading strategy profitable?

Backtesting shows the strategy can be profitable during certain market conditions, such as early 2021 for EUR/USD, but it may decline in effectiveness depending on market trends and settings.

What grid gap size is recommended for this strategy?

The video suggests that a 50 pips grid gap generally provides better overall results compared to smaller or larger gaps like 30 or 100 pips, but this can vary by currency pair.

Full Transcript — Download SRT & Markdown

00:00
Speaker A
In this video, we will be exploring one of the most popular trading strategies known to many. This is the grid trading strategy. This strategy is very popular, and we can find many videos on YouTube that explain how it is being used.
00:13
Speaker A
We have conducted an extensive back test on this strategy, and we are excited to share the results with you. Stay tuned to find out. [Music] [Music] Hello everyone, and welcome to the Meta Exchange. In today's video, we will be
00:40
Speaker A
going through the grid trading strategy. This strategy follows a grid and has a set of rules to set up the trades. The strategy is easy to follow, and it can be used on crypto and Forex markets. We have grouped the content into four
00:53
Speaker A
informative sections for you. In the first section, we will go through how we use the grid trading strategy. Next, we will go through some examples on the crypto and Forex market. In the third section, we will back test this strategy
01:06
Speaker A
throughout 2021 and share with you our observations from using the strategy. Last but not least, in the fourth section, we will be sharing with you the observations and potential pitfalls to take note of while using the grid trading strategy. We will be sharing profitable
01:21
Speaker A
strategies and best settings on our YouTube channel. Remember to click the subscribe button and notification icon so that you will not miss out on it. First, let us share with you how we utilize the grid trading strategy. Over
01:35
Speaker A
here, we have a price chart from TradingView. We will divide the chart equally based on the price distance. In this instance, we will be using a gap of 50 pips. The grid strategy is easy to follow. We
01:47
Speaker A
will first enter a buy and sell trade at the current price level. Both trades will take profit at the next grid line. In this example, it will be a 50 pip take profit. We will not assign a stop loss to as all the trades will be
02:00
Speaker A
closed at the end. Next, the price went up and reached the next grid. This will cause the previous buy trade to take profit, and we will start another buy and sell trade at this level. Take note, our previous sell trade is
02:13
Speaker A
still open. The price continued higher and reached the next grid line. This will cause the previous buy trade to take profit, and we will also start another buy and sell trade at this level. Take note, now we have two sell trades
02:25
Speaker A
that are still open from the previous grid and two newly added buy and sell trades at this level. Next, the price continued downwards and reached the previous grid line. This will cause the sell trade to take profit, leaving our previous buy
02:38
Speaker A
trade still running. Most importantly, since we had a sell trade that was entered previously and yet to be closed, we will only enter a buy trade at this level. Remember, we will only enter a buy or sell trade when the price reaches
02:51
Speaker A
that level and it does not have an existing buy or sell trade running. We continue this strategy of buying and selling at each grid line for some time, and we will keep taking profit along the way. The last buy and sell trades were
03:04
Speaker A
ignored as they balance out each other. Let's add up the result. We have a total of 10 wins. We subtract the first buy, which is two grid levels away from our closing. Next, we subtract the second buy, which is one grid level away from our
03:18
Speaker A
closing. After that, we subtract the one sell, which is one grid level away from our closing. Lastly, we add up everything and conclude this exercise with six wins. So, how many pips did we earn in total? We have six wins multiplied by 50
03:34
Speaker A
grid line. That will give us 300 pips. We have earned 300 pips even though the market did not fluctuate and move as much. By now, I believe you are familiar with how we use the grid trading strategy. Let us proceed to the next
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Speaker A
section. In this section, we will be back testing the strategy on the crypto and Forex market. We will show you how this strategy can be used on cryptocurrency pairs. Over here, we have the BTC USD pair. We will use the date range between the
04:03
Speaker A
1st of September 2022 to the 30th of September 2022. Of course, over here, we cannot use 50 pip spread for the grid line. Instead, we will be using 50 grid levels. After dividing the chart into 50 grid levels, we will use the grid trading
04:19
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strategy, same as we have shared in the previous chapter. We will enter a buy and sell trade as the price reaches each grid line and only if the grid line does not have a buy or sell trade running.
04:30
Speaker A
The yellow arrow lines indicate that the trade has hit the take profit level. Feel free to pause the video to verify the trades. In total, there were 44 winning trades. After adding up all the winning trades, we need to subtract them
04:43
Speaker A
from the remaining open trades. In this example, we have eight buy position trades and one sell position trade. In total, they add up to 37 losses. So, after subtracting from the 44 winning trades, we have a positive seven winning
04:57
Speaker A
trades balance. We multiply the seven winning trades with fifty grid level, and we will get a profit of 350 grid level. Moving on to the next example, over here, we have the GBP USD pair. The period will be between the 1st of July 2022 to the
05:16
Speaker A
31st of July 2022. We have divided the chart into 50 pips grid line, and we will test the grid trading strategy here. Same as before, we will enter a buy and sell trade as the price reaches each grid line and only if the grid line does
05:30
Speaker A
not have a buy or sell trade running. The yellow arrow lines indicate that the trade has hit the take profit level. Feel free to pause the video to verify the trades. In total, there were 52 winning trades. After adding up all the
05:44
Speaker A
winning trades, we need to subtract them from the remaining open trades. In this example, we have seven sell position trades and one buy position trade. In total, they add up to 29 losses. So, after subtracting from the 52 winning
05:58
Speaker A
trades, we have a positive 23 winning trades balance. We multiply the 23 winning trades with 50 pips, and we will get a profit of 1150 pips. After you are familiar with the strategy, let's move on to the next
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section of the video where we will be back testing this strategy on the EUR USD for the whole of 2021.
06:19
Speaker A
In this section, we will back test this strategy on the Euro USD using the tick data from the whole of 2021. We want to see if this grid trading strategy is profitable throughout the year of 2021. As this strategy uses price
06:33
Speaker A
level to enter a buy and sell trade, we do not need to be too concerned on which time frame this strategy is applied on. For demonstration purposes, we will use this strategy on the four-hour time frame. Similarly, there is no risk to reward
06:47
Speaker A
ratio to be applied on this trading strategy. Instead, we will only need to set the lot size used for each trade. We have coded an expert advisor to help us automate the back test of the grid trading strategy. We will set the range
07:01
Speaker A
to default 50 pips grid line to test the results. Let us start the expert advisor. While our expert advisor is running, if you are new to this channel, please tap the like button and follow us for more in-depth
07:12
Speaker A
analysis of different trading strategies. Please also comment down below if there are any back testing settings that you would like us to include. After some time, the expert advisor has completed the back testing of the grid trading strategy. Of course, we have
07:27
Speaker A
verified the trades executed by our expert advisor, and we are certain that it is trading according to our strategy. After going through all the results, it seems like the grid trading strategy is only profitable at the start of the year,
07:39
Speaker A
during January to August. From the equity curve, we can see that the grid trading strategy starts to decline in September. Let's proceed to the next section where we will analyze the result and understand why this strategy is not
07:52
Speaker A
working for Euro USD in 2021. In this section, we will share with you how we analyze the results from back testing Euro USD in 2021. In our observations on using the grid trading strategy, most importantly, this will let
08:07
Speaker A
you decide if the grid trading strategy is a good strategy to use. Our first observation is that the grid trading does not work well in trending market. Remember the Euro USD equity graph we noticed...
08:20
Speaker A
money in the month of September and it just deteriorates all the way from there it declined until the end of the testing period let's take a look at the chart to have some understanding on the price action first we identify the January and
08:34
Speaker A
December limit of the chart next we draw a line on the September period from the chart we can see that the price is ranging between January to end of August after that it went into a downtrend in September to December
08:47
Speaker A
period the downtrend continued until the end of December this is unfavorable for the grid trading strategy as it will always have an open Buy trade at each grid level those added up to be a huge loss therefore the grid trading strategy
09:01
Speaker A
should not be applied on Market that is very volatile and Trend a lot observation number two only the Deep Pockets and big accounts can trade the grid trading strategy this strategy is not suitable for the small accounts the highs and lows of the
09:15
Speaker A
currency pair matters as it will determine how many trades you left open until the end of your trading period each of them add up significantly most importantly to be able to trade the grid trading strategy you must have a huge
09:27
Speaker A
account that is able to hold on to all the losing trades you need to take into the account of swapped fees and holding trades over the weekends and you need to make sure it has enough margin to continue to open
09:38
Speaker A
new trades at new grid levels therefore the grid trading strategy should only be traded on a huge account that is big enough to stay in the market observation number three the grid line Gap matters a lot in determining
09:52
Speaker A
profitability there is a fine line between being too conservative and being too greedy this applies for the selection of the gridline Gap as well we cannot be too conservative by setting a 500 pip spread and we cannot be too aggressive and
10:06
Speaker A
greedy by setting a 10 Pips Gap we have done some comparison between the Euro USD and GBP USD using the grid line spread of 30 Pips 50 Pips and 100 Pips we used the tick data for the whole of
10:19
Speaker A
2021 in a size of 10 cents per pit before we compare the results if you are new to this Channel please tap the like button and follow us for more in-depth analysis of different trading strategies from the previous back test on Euro USD
10:34
Speaker A
we know that it will be a negative return for the whole of 2021 but from the result we can also see that the PIP spread will determine how much money was lost the conservative approach of using larger pip spread will give a smaller
10:46
Speaker A
lost but it will also give a smaller return this is the same for smaller pip spread it will give a bigger lost in trending markets such as the Euro USD but it will also give a big win on the ranging
10:58
Speaker A
Market such as the GBP USD in this example we added the results from the two currency Pairs and we can see that the 50 pip spread actually gave a better overall result compared to the 30 Pips and 100 Pips
11:10
Speaker A
but does this means that 30 Pips is too aggressive and 100 Pips is too conservative and as 50 Pips spread the recommended setting we cannot be certain of it as this is only based on two currency pairs therefore with this in
11:24
Speaker A
mind we want you to be careful When selecting the gap between the grid line the recommended range should be between 50 to 100 Pips we need to take into account on the PIP spread in commission for trading as well usually this will
11:36
Speaker A
reduce the profit from 30 Pips spread greatly in this video we have back tested the grid trading strategy on the Euro USD in GBP USD let us know in the comments section if you would like us to back test the grid trading strategy on
11:50
Speaker A
all the 28 currency pairs to find out which pair will give the best result or we can also backtest it to find out which grid line Gap will be the most recommended and there you have it in this video we
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have shared with you how we use the grid trading strategy in the second section we have provided some examples of the grid trading strategy on the crypto and Forex market for your understanding in the third section we have shared with
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Speaker A
you our back test result from using this strategy last but not least in the last section we have summarized the observations and points to take note while using the grid trading strategy we hope this video can give you some
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ideas on how you can use the grid trading strategy to create a profitable Carefree strategy all we like to ask for is for you to kindly like share and subscribe to our Channel you can greatly help us with the
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Speaker A
YouTube algorithm and motivatives to create more winning strategy videos we would like to hear your suggestions on how to improve our strategy please feel free to comment down below and share with us your thoughts if you have a trading strategy that you
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Speaker A
would like us to backtest or to create an expert advisor for it please email us at the metaexchange gmail.com last but not least don't forget to click the like button and subscribe to our Channel thank you The Meta exchange signing off
Topics:grid trading strategycrypto tradingForex tradingbacktestingBTC USDGBP USDEUR USDtrading strategyexpert advisortrading tips

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