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How To Actually Find PROFITABLE Trade Ups!

Learn how to find profitable trade-ups in CS:GO using tools and market analysis for maximizing returns.

Key Takeaways

  • Trade-ups require careful analysis of skin collections, rarities, and float values to be profitable.
  • Using tools like Trade-Ups Spy and Skin Grind simplifies the process of finding and calculating trade-ups.
  • Market competition makes sourcing low-float skins challenging but potentially very rewarding.
  • Accounting for marketplace fees is crucial when assessing true profitability.
  • Regular monitoring and patience are key to successfully profiting from trade-ups.

What the video covers

  • Explains the mechanics of trade-ups in Counter-Strike: Global Offensive, including rarity and collection influences.
  • Discusses the impact of float values and the new float cap system on trade-up outcomes.
  • Introduces useful tools like Trade-Ups Spy and Skin Grind for calculating and finding profitable trade-ups.
  • Demonstrates how to analyze trade-up profitability by comparing input costs and potential output market prices.
  • Highlights the challenges of finding low-float skins at good prices due to market competition.
  • Shows how to use multiple marketplaces and buy orders to increase chances of profitable trade-ups.
  • Explains the importance of factoring in fees from Steam Market and other platforms when calculating profits.
  • Encourages viewers to regularly check trade-up sites and marketplaces to spot opportunities.
  • Mentions additional marketplaces like GamerPay, ListSkins, and White.Market for sourcing skins.
  • Offers to create a follow-up video fully committing to buying inputs and trading up for profit.

Answers

Questions about this video

What are trade-ups in CS:GO?

Trade-ups allow you to exchange 10 skins of the same rarity for one skin of the next higher rarity, with outcomes influenced by the collections and float values of the input skins.

How does the float cap affect trade-ups?

The float cap limits the possible float values of the output skin, which can change the expected wear condition and affect the profitability of the trade-up.

Which tools can help find profitable trade-ups?

Tools like Trade-Ups Spy and Skin Grind provide calculators and market data to help analyze trade-ups and identify profitable opportunities.

Full Transcript — Download SRT & Markdown

00:00
Speaker A
Yo, what's up, guys? In this video, I want to figure out how to actually find profitable trade-ups. I've seen multiple videos like these where it seems easy to do profitable trade-ups. So, I went out and explored the topic myself to see how much work it actually takes to find good trade-ups and how to get the inputs for the trade-ups to answer the question if and how profitable trade-ups actually are. If you don't know how trade-ups work, let me try and explain it to you.
00:12
Speaker A
In Counter-Strike, you can trade 10 skins of the same rarity to get one skin of the next rarity. Except for knives and glove trade-ups, because here you only need five covert to trade up to a knife or glove. And if all 10 skins are
00:23
Speaker A
from the same collection, the result will always be from that collection. For example, if you use 10 industrial grade skins from the Cobblestone collection, you'll get a mil-spec skin from that collection. And in that collection, there are two possible outcomes, so
00:34
Speaker A
you'll have a 50/50 chance between them. If you mix the collection, the odds split based on how many skins you use from each collection. So, for example, if you use five industrial grade Cobblestone skins and five industrial grade Sporting Field skins, there's a
00:47
Speaker A
50% chance to hit each collection. And then within the collection, there are two skins in the Cobblestone collection, so 25% each. And in the Sporting Field, there are four skins, so that will be 12.5% each. Another really important
01:00
Speaker A
thing when it comes to trade-ups is the floats. Ever since the gold trade-up update, there has been a new way of calculating what float you will get.
01:13
Speaker A
Previously, it was really simple where they used the raw float values and put an average float from the 10 skins you added. But now it's a bit more complicated because now a calculation based on the float cap. So, if we take a
01:19
Speaker A
look at the Souvenir Fubar, which can only be found in two wears, which is well-worn and battle-scarred, and that is because the float is capped at 0.40.
01:30
Speaker A
So, previously, if you traded up 10 of these low float 0.40 Souvenir Fubars, you'd get a well-worn skin. But now when you use these 0.40 floats, you will get factory new skins. It's a bit complicated, but that's why we are lucky
01:37
Speaker A
there exists tools to help us along the way. For example, there is Trade-Ups Spy, which has been around for ages, which is a site where you can see different trade-ups. But they also have a very good calculator that we'll be
01:49
Speaker A
using. So, we can go to the calculator section, and then we can scroll down, and here we can change the inputs. So, the Fubar is a mil-spec, for example, so we'll just keep it at this. And then we
01:59
Speaker A
can click on this, and then we can look up the Fubar. And we'll put it in well-worn. And here we get the Souvenir Fubar. So, if we adjust the float value to 0.40, we can now add the skin, and we can press the
02:10
Speaker A
duplicate up here. So, now we have 10 of these Fubar inputs in a 0.40 float. And then if we scroll down, we can see the different outputs.
02:22
Speaker A
And here you can see they will all be factory new because that's where they float capped that. And previously, if you had done this trade-up, you would have gotten a well-worn. But ever since the gold trade-up, it's the new system.
02:32
Speaker A
So, up here you can also see all the trade-up cost and the profitability, but we will get on to that later in the video. So, for now, let's try to find some good profitable trade-ups. So, I found this site called Skin Grind. They
02:43
Speaker A
are fairly new to the scene, but I think they already have a very decent product.
02:53
Speaker A
And this isn't sponsored or anything, but they give out free member codes on their Discord, so a huge shoutout. You can also take mine here. But we can head up to the trade-ups tab, and it will show you the top contracts right now.
02:57
Speaker A
And we can click view all contracts and kind of look through if there is anything we want to do. But as you can see, there are a bunch of different trade-ups. Uh, let's take a look at this Incinerator.
03:08
Speaker A
So, here you'll need 10 of these Incinerators that are below this float. And if we go to this site, we can check out what the float cap is. And as you can see, it caps at minimal wear. So,
03:19
Speaker A
I'm guessing if you use these low floats, you'll get a factory new output. So, it says it costs $6.11, but if we go to CS Float, we can see in StatTrak the lowest price is $27, and in non-StatTrak, the lowest price is $25.
03:29
Speaker A
And that is because it's this float. If we put it on field-tested, it will be $5.50. And this is where it gets a bit more complicated, but we'll get into that. So, a good idea is always to double-check these trade-ups, and I'll
03:43
Speaker A
use the Trade-Ups Spy for that. So, this skin is pink, so we'll have to change the rarity to classified, and we'll do field-tested, and we'll add it. So, it's a 0.1846 float. So, we will input that here, and then we can press add skin,
03:55
Speaker A
but we can also do custom price, but let's, uh, look at that later. So, we'll add it and duplicate it, of course. And this isn't the StatTrak version, but I think it's just as good. So, here we can
04:10
Speaker A
see the trade-up cost is almost $78, and the profitability with the fees on Steam Market is 378%, and that is absolutely crazy. But it isn't really representative, if you can say that, we would have to go out and
04:20
Speaker A
find these low float Incinerators for under $8. And yes, it's definitely possible. You can go to the Steam Market and scroll down and try to see if there are any low floats, and you can spend your day here refreshing the site and
04:33
Speaker A
basically check. But it is a lot of hassle, but I bet you some people are doing this because if they get this skin in a low float, they can easily sell it for more. So, that's also a good way to
04:48
Speaker A
make, uh, money, and that's basically guaranteed money. And what I like with Trade-Ups Spy is that you can go down, and it shows you some different marketplaces here. So, you can just go on to DMarket, for example, and then you
04:58
Speaker A
can check these marketplaces if there are any low floats for cheap you can try and snipe. So, let's check Market as well. And no, it doesn't look like we have any luck. And I promise you it's because there are definitely a bunch of
05:07
Speaker A
people out here looking at those different sites trying to do the exact same as you, snipe those skins. And that's why it gets really complicated and really hard, and it's basically a dog-eat-dog world, but you know. So, another thing we can do is on CS Float,
05:19
Speaker A
we can put the float cap in, and let's just do normal for the sake of the video to make it easier. And then we can go on to the skin, and we can see what buy orders there already are. So, right now
05:33
Speaker A
there are people trying to buy it for almost $25. You can see this guy, nine of these low floats for $24.80.
05:44
Speaker A
So, if you were able to snipe one of those skins on the Steam Market, you could actually go and fulfill this buy order. But let's try to input this value on the Trade-Ups Spy side. So, let's say we put a buy order on this for $25.
05:51
Speaker A
Let's change all the values here. So, now that we've done that, the trade-up cost is $250 and not the $80 it originally was. And for good measurement, let's also change these to the CS Float price. So, now we have the
06:03
Speaker A
CS Float price here, and we want to look at the no fees now. But then we also have to take into consideration if you want to sell it on CS Float, you would have a 2% fee. So, this would actually
06:17
Speaker A
only be like 102% profit. And you have, of course, to be lucky to hit the M4 Emperor. So, when you look at it that way, this isn't very profitable, and you'll have to go on to the next one.
06:27
Speaker A
But if you're on the grind and have a lot of time and try to find these items on the different marketplaces, this would be hugely profitable, and it's definitely something a lot of people do.
06:38
Speaker A
And if you don't want to overcomplicate it, just go on the sites a couple of times a day and like refresh, and yeah, free money if there is, and if there isn't, just close it down and check again later. But this also shows why
06:47
Speaker A
it's super important to check up
06:58
Speaker A
it's super important to check up on all the facts, because like in the CS scene, it's really painted out to be so easy to to find profitable trade-ups, and the people who do it, they are like it basically seems way too easy. But it's
07:12
Speaker A
hard, but if you get good at it, you can earn a lot of money. And also, I'll try to find even more marketplaces than these. There are also GamerPay, ListSkins, White.Market, and so many other sites that you can try to snipe
07:24
Speaker A
these skins on. For this video, we can conclude with good tools, it is possible to find trade-ups. And if you have the time to sit on different marketplaces, you can try to find ultra cheap inputs to maximize your profits. Otherwise, you
07:37
Speaker A
can place buy orders on high liquid marketplaces like CS Float to get the inputs for a more expensive price, but it would still be profitable, but it takes a lot of work, and you have to be prepared for that. You can't just go
07:48
Speaker A
out, spend 10 minutes, and you will make 50 bucks. But if you want me to make a video where I fully commit to buying inputs and trading them up for profit, please tell me down below in the comments, and I'll make it happen. Thank
08:00
Speaker A
you so much for watching. Bye.
Topics:CS:GOtrade-upsprofitable trade-upsskin tradingfloat valuesTrade-Ups SpySkin Grindmarket analysisCS:GO skinsgaming economy

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