Fefe Demeny analyzes crypto market levels, highlighting buying opportunities on dips and key tokens like Zcash and NEAR with daily updates.
Key Takeaways
- The crypto market is in a corrective phase but still presents buying opportunities at key retracement levels.
- Watching total market cap and market structure shifts on multiple timeframes helps identify optimal entry points.
- Zcash and NEAR are promising tokens for potential rebounds with defined buy zones and confirmation criteria.
- Risk management and waiting for clear market structure shifts are essential before entering trades.
- Daily updates and community engagement via Telegram provide valuable ongoing market guidance.
What the video covers
- The crypto market is currently correcting, with total market cap down 4-5% and tokens like Zcash down 22% in one day.
- Fefe Demeny shares daily 5-10 minute videos and free Telegram updates to help viewers navigate market conditions and trades.
- Key levels to watch include the daily 50% retrace around $2.74 trillion total market cap and the 4-hour order block for potential bounce points.
- Market structure shifts on shorter timeframes (15-minute, 4-hour) are critical to confirm reversals and entry points.
- Zcash is highlighted as a strong candidate for a rebound, with a potential 15-20% move after a confirmed market structure shift.
- NEAR is another focus, with a buying zone between $350 and $390, waiting for a daily retrace and market confirmation.
- Quant (QNT) had a major pump due to an announcement but is currently down 50%, and Fefe is cautious about trading it.
- Other tokens like UNI and SUI are discussed with attention to their market structure and potential long setups.
- The video emphasizes risk management, use of stop losses, and the importance of watching total market cap structure.
- Fefe promotes joining his free Telegram community for real-time trade alerts and market insights.
Chapters
- 00:00Introduction and Market Overview
- 00:56Channel Purpose and Daily Updates
- 01:42Market Structure and Weekly Close Levels
- 02:27Total Market Cap and Short-Term Bullish Outlook
- 04:22Zcash Market Structure and Trade Setup
- 05:11Watchlist and Token Performance Summary
- 06:03Analysis of Quant and NEAR Tokens
- 07:51Additional Tokens and Trading Strategy
- 10:18Trading Platform and Final Remarks
- 11:57Closing and Call to Action
Full Transcript — Download SRT & Markdown
Speaker A
Watch these levels to get a perfect entry on the next leg up. Now, if you look at the market, the market is bleeding. Yesterday, I talked about how something doesn't make sense, and I'm waiting to actually start deploying, and it came in handy. As you can see,
Speaker A
the total crypto market cap is down about four or five percent, correcting down nicely. You've got tokens like Zcash down about 22% today alone. I actually made the post in the Telegram channel, which is free, my community. I share my thoughts on there. It's my personal
Speaker A
Telegram. Go and check it out. Basically, "No pullback coming, Zcash edition." So a lot of people are saying there's not going to be a pullback. Well, already we have 20% on Zcash, and you can start buying confirmed levels if you look at the perfect level.
Speaker A
That's what I'm going to explain to you in this video. What levels I'm looking at, where I'm buying, why I'm buying, and what I'm buying, and is it even time to do that now. My name is Fefe Demeny. I've been here since 2016. I am doing updated videos like these every single day,
Speaker A
5 to 10 minutes, so I don't waste your time, but I help you navigate the market. I share with you my thoughts, my opinions, and how I navigate the market, and give you trades in the Telegram and in here that I take, and you can as well. So subscribe and let's go.
Speaker A
So, a couple of things. One of them is that if you look at the total market cap, the market is bleeding down. So except for some tokens, the market overall is having a decent correction, and until we see a break in the total market cap,
Speaker A
it is still buy the dip territory, right? So even though Zcash is down 20% on the day, I do believe it could be a great opportunity to buy some of these tokens.
Speaker A
So here's the very important part. We discussed this throughout these updates. By the way, these are designed so you come back every day. Please don't waste time. Turn notifications on, join the Telegram. Literally 5 to 10 minutes. So you can actually be up to date and you can know
Speaker A
what we talk about every single day, and it will make total sense. Whereas if you're just joining now, it might be like, oh my god, I was not here, I don't know what we're talking about.
Speaker A
But ultimately, I've been saying that there is a weekly close above on the total market cap, a very strong weekly close above. So there are two levels to look for. One of them is the daily retrace to the 50%, which is down here at about 2.74 trillion,
Speaker A
and the 4-hour retrace, which has already happened. But because the daily retrace falls literally right into this 4-hour order block, which is this strong level here, this would be, or will be, the daily equilibrium, the daily 50% retrace.
Speaker A
I do believe that we have a very, very good shot at bouncing basically anytime this week.
Speaker A
So usually the beginning of the week, Monday to Wednesday, is a fakeout of some sort, a fake move at the beginning of the week, and then the continuation, if the market structure shows it, can be in the opposite direction. So what I'm actually looking
Speaker A
for is this. The market has completed the 50% retrace on the 4-hour level. As you see here, there was a market structure shift as well, which I longed, but then I closed my trade. I told you in the Telegram, because even though this is a market structure
Speaker A
shift here and this seems like a retrace, there's a lot of liquidity building up, and this will most likely get taken. And once it gets taken, it most likely will just touch onto that daily equilibrium, the daily 50%, which sits at around 2.74 trillion, right?
Speaker A
So I'm expecting the market to come a little bit lower. I do believe that alts will do the exact same and have a bounce from there. Maybe it wicks through, maybe it doesn't. We have to look for a market structure shift, a 15-minute market structure shift, and once we're looking for that,
Speaker A
if the total market cap does not break, you will see in a second, I'm going to talk about some of the specific tokens. But if the total market cap, the 4-hour on here, doesn't break, meaning 2.71 doesn't close below strongly, I'm still extremely bullish on the short term, even though tokens are
Speaker A
correcting. So the good signal is that you can see some of these tokens being down 10, 15, 20%, and the total market cap is just down five, still holding the structure. So that's what I'm really keen on paying attention to. I actually have a link in the description to a video on X where
Speaker A
I explain how I use the total market cap. Go and check that out, because it is quite relevant. So TLDR, elevator up, staircase down on the total market cap. I'm still looking for a long.
Speaker A
Now, if you look at some of the tokens, I mentioned Zcash. So let's look at that. Zcash has been outperforming everything, has been the most reactive token. I mean, if you look here, in literally, what is it, 83 days, it went 50%. I'm expecting the same recovery on Zcash. The
Speaker A
question is, does it happen from here, or does it happen from anywhere down here? All I want to see is a 15-minute market structure shift. First of all, on the total market cap, but also on Zcash.
Speaker A
So what I want to see, actually a five-minute is probably enough, but what I really want to see is three consecutive candles in the opposite direction. There's no three consecutive candles here. So I want to see three consecutive candles. One, two, three in the opposite direction. A close
Speaker A
below the previous low and a close above that high. That's a market structure shift, and that will confirm a reversal. I'm going to take that trade. If I am not here, I mean, you can just monitor the market as well and you can take it yourself. I'm going to let you know if I take
Speaker A
that. I'm looking for at least a 15, 20% move on Zcash once that happens. Now, it can happen from down here. It can happen from 1,200. It can happen from 1,100, whatever that is. But once that happens and the total market cap is there as well, that is something I'm going to take.
Speaker A
I have this watchlist every single day. This is from yesterday. I posted it in the Telegram community, so I'm going to post this as well in there. Basically, I summarized the tokens that have outperformed Bitcoin and the total market cap on green days in the past 14 days. So we can
Speaker A
see relative performance, and these are the tokens that are worth a long, and we have longed NEAR and done pretty well on that. Again, the Telegram is completely free, so it's worth joining in.
Speaker A
You have seen I closed probably $12,000 worth of trades here that I gave you in the Telegram.
Speaker A
So anyway, a couple of tokens. Quant, QNT. The reason why it rocketed basically 200, 300% is because there was an announcement. Major US infrastructure is going to use their chain. Again, I'm not saying that it's a nothing burger, but it's down 50% since.
Speaker A
I'm not really interested in playing this, to be honest, because it's been basically a dead token. I mean, if you look at this, it had an accumulation since basically, what is it, 2024. For almost two years it did nothing, and then there was this big push,
Speaker A
which is obviously market maker manipulated. So I mean, if it comes back, you can bet on the utility coming on for the next year or whatever, but ultimately I'm not interested in trading it.
Speaker A
NEAR is definitely something I'm interested in. I'm just concerned about this 4-hour break. This is a very, very strong 4-hour break, especially after the ETF announcement. I'm not really happy about this. I mean, if you look at this, there is a low, there is a high, clearly at least
Speaker A
three consecutive candles. So it can rally back a little bit, but I'm just not touching it. Again, on the short term, I'm waiting for the daily retrace, which should happen. So on NEAR, I'm looking down here at 350, or between 350 and 390. So somewhere here is my buying area. If and
Speaker A
when we get there, I'm definitely loading up, both on spot and on leverage as well. It's about 20% from here, and I do believe that it can get there. Again, the same
Speaker A
If I see a 15-minute market structure shift after I see the same on the total market cap, which is going to be up here at 4.8, I'm going to take a long position on this as well.
Speaker A
ERA. Same principle. The problem is, again, as I said, the same thing with NEAR. I just don't like this break. So there is, oh no, there is no break here. No, no, there is no break here. Sorry, that's not the token. ERA looks perfect. Came back on the 4-hour. Look at this.
Speaker A
This is exactly what I want to trade. There is a market structure shift here. Even if you did nothing else and just bought here, you were up 3%. On 10x leverage, that's 30%. But again, I'm still interested in playing this. It came back another 50% after the higher high was made. As
Speaker A
you see here, this 50% worked beautifully. It's probably going to push higher on the next leg, and I am going to be interested in buying. You can buy here as well with a stop loss, but it's going to be quite a big stop loss at 78%. If you can manage risk, that's not a bad idea. It's probably
Speaker A
going up to the 93 cent region. So that's like a 14% move from here. 1 to 2 RR. Not bad. But again, if I don't see anything on the total market cap, I'm not going to long this just yet.
Speaker A
Aptos, I just don't like the chart. Seems very toppy. So I'm not really interested.
Speaker A
UNI. I'm very surprised by the break below the level on UNI. So what I see is it came back, and it actually breaks below both on the 4-hour and on the hourly chart. So the only thing I can assume is that it's actually coming back on the daily, and it is hitting the daily level,
Speaker A
by the way. It is hitting the daily level. I mean, this is a money-generating protocol. So I do believe that this can do very, very well if there is a 15-minute market structure shift. UNI is actually a very, very good long if there is a market structure shift happening. UNI is probably
Speaker A
going to be one of the things that I'm going to long. There has to be a market structure shift happening on the total market cap, and it has to be happening on UNI as well at the same time. But
Speaker A
I do believe this is going to be a great long, and it also makes sense to buy this on spot.
Speaker A
I will reevaluate if I'm going to do that now or not, but this can be a very good trade. The stop loss is going to be quite tight, and you can look at a 15% move. So that's pretty cool.
Speaker A
SUI has been outperforming as well. I just don't like the break below here. So it's coming back on the daily. It has come back on the daily. Oh, this is not the daily. Okay.
Speaker A
We have to start looking at some spot buys soon, in about 15, 20% down, 12, 15%. Ethena, same thing. I'm just waiting for this, otherwise I'm not really interested. It came back onto the 4-hour. So I mean, if it shows a 15-minute shift, it could be a great buying opportunity.
Speaker A
Everything depends on the total market cap. Same thing all around. So this is what I'm looking at, and if you guys want to trade this, I actually have big, big, massive news for you. If you are in the US, only if you are in the US, Koshi now has perpetual
Speaker A
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Speaker A
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Speaker A
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Speaker A
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Speaker A
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Speaker A
which we couldn't have imagined before, go and try it out. There is a link in the description.
Speaker A
Otherwise, guys, join in on Koshi. They're a partner of ours, by the way, here on the channel.
Speaker A
That's why we also have an affiliate link. Go and check out the link in the description for Koshi, and also join the Telegram. I teach you what I do. I give you the trades that I take, and come back every single day. Come back tomorrow as well. I'm traveling. I'm out
Speaker A
here in Korea for Korea Blockchain Week. If you see me, just come and say hi. I'd love to meet you. I'm visiting a lot of side events and I'm going to be at the main conference. And yeah, let me know what you think. Let me know if you tried Koshi,
Speaker A
and I'll see you tomorrow. Join the Telegram. It's going to be right here. Ciao. See you.
Topics:crypto marketcryptocurrency tradingZcashNEAR protocolmarket structuretotal market capcrypto correctionbuy the dipcrypto analysisTelegram crypto community











