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Comprehensive guide on trading volume analysis for real crypto trading, covering fundamentals, practical examples, mistakes, and a volume screener tool.

Key Takeaways

  • Volume analysis reveals real money flow and trader aggression, offering insights price alone cannot provide.
  • Correct volume interpretation requires understanding market context, price action, and order types (market vs limit).
  • Many beginner mistakes stem from ignoring volume or misreading volume signals, leading to poor trade decisions.
  • Volume spikes must be analyzed carefully, as they can indicate the start, end, or noise of a market move.
  • Using a volume screener tool can help traders spot early trading opportunities before others.

What the video covers

  • The video offers an in-depth educational session on trading volume, emphasizing its importance beyond price-based indicators.
  • Volume reflects real money flow between buyers and sellers, unlike most technical indicators derived from price.
  • Understanding volume helps identify genuine market interest, movement backed by participants, and potential reversals.
  • The presenter shares six years of crypto trading experience, analyzing about fifty real charts and multiple market contexts.
  • Key topics include volume behavior during rises, falls, breakouts, reversals, accumulation, and anomalous activity.
  • The video highlights 13 common beginner mistakes in volume analysis and how to avoid them.
  • A practical market screener tool is introduced to detect anomalous volume spikes in altcoins on futures markets.
  • Volume spikes are not direct buy/sell signals; correct interpretation requires context, price comparison, and trend analysis.
  • The fundamentals of volume are explained, including the concept that volume bars show equal buying and selling amounts.
  • The video advises removing volume color coding as volume color can be misleading; focus on volume magnitude and delta.

Answers

Questions about this video

Why is trading volume important in crypto trading?

Trading volume shows the actual money flow between buyers and sellers, revealing market participant interest and backing for price movements, which price-based indicators cannot fully capture.

What common mistakes do beginners make when analyzing volume?

Beginners often trade against strong trends, mistake weak breakouts for new trends, try to catch reversals without volume confirmation, and ignore volume signals altogether.

How should volume spikes be interpreted?

Volume spikes are not automatic buy or sell signals; they must be analyzed in context with price action, market structure, and trend to determine if they indicate the start, end, or noise of a move.

Full Transcript — Download SRT & Markdown

00:01
Speaker A
In this video, friends, we are going to dive into the topic of volume as deeply as is possible within a single educational YouTube video. I have gathered for you the most complete, detailed, and practical information on this topic that you will ever be able to find. As you can tell by the video length, this won’t be a 15-minute clip where you learn a couple of fancy terms but still have no idea what to do when you open a real chart. This will be a comprehensive training session on the subject. Why is this important? Because if you learn how to analyze volume correctly, the market will cease to be just a collection of green and red candles for you. You will begin to see where money is actually entering the market, where real trader interest emerges, where movement is backed by market participants, and where the price is just moving in a vacuum on a thin order book and could reverse at any moment. Because trading volume is one of the few indicators whose formula is not based on price or a standard candle. All the technical indicators used by 90% of the market—moving averages, RSI, MACD, stochastics, ATRs, supertrends, Bollinger Bands, Ichimoku, Williams—are all derivatives of price, whereas volume is calculated from money. This is real money. These are facts. Real trades that take place in the market between participants here and now. Every second, money moves from buyers to sellers and back again. And volume is just about the only thing that captures this fact directly. And that is why trading volume shows what price itself and most classic indicators will never show. An important thought, friends. We are trading with our real money. And therefore, you need to analyze money. And in this video, you will learn how to do that. We will go from the fundamentals to real trading practice, from simple to complex, from a basic understanding of volume to nuances, details, and specific situations where the same metric is interpreted in completely different ways. Over the next few hours that we spend together, we will analyze about fifty real charts and dozens of different market contexts. I will show you how trading volume behaves during rises and falls, on breakouts, on reversals, during accumulation, during anomalous activity, and in situations where price movement might seem convincing, but volume shows the exact opposite. This won’t be just theory, friends. This is a distillation of my six years of experience trading cryptocurrencies. In this video, I will show you how I personally use volume in my trading practice, what metrics I look at before entering, what must confirm a trade, and what details, conversely, force me to skip a trade. We will break down a series of my real trades executed just this month. I will show you exactly where I paid attention to volume, how I compared it with price action, market context, the trend, levels, and other metrics and data. And how all this looks not just on charts, but in real-world trading practice. Very important. A separate large section will be dedicated, of course, to mistakes. We will break down 13 main mistakes that beginner traders make when analyzing the market. And how could these mistakes be avoided if a trader knew how to correctly analyze volumes? When traders open a position against a strong bullish move and trade against the trend; when they mistake a weak breakout for the start of a new trend; when they try to "catch falling knives"; try to catch a reversal without a single sign of large money entering; when, as usually happens, they look only at price or some other indicators and completely ignore what is happening inside that move, which is what volume shows us. I'll say right away that each of you will recognize yourselves in these mistakes. That is absolutely normal. It will be much worse if you don't recognize yourself and, as a result, don't fix them and keep on making them. And most importantly, friends, in this video I will give you a practical tool—a market screener that shows all anomalous volume spikes on all altcoins traded on futures markets. You will be able to use this bot every day to see which coins are showing trading activity right now, where volumes are growing, where something interesting is starting to happen, and where good trading opportunities are appearing that you can see before other market participants do. But here it is important to say one thing right away. A volume spike is not a ready-made signal to be taken as an instruction to hit the buy or sell button. Some volume spikes will indeed indicate the start of a strong move. Others will appear at the moment it ends, and still others will simply be market noise that needs to be filtered out. Therefore, the main task is not just to see volume, but to read it correctly, analyze it correctly, understand the context, compare it with price, with the direction of the move, with the market structure, with the trend, and with the place where this volume appears. This is exactly what we will be studying throughout this video, friends. Let's get started, friends. And we will start with the fundamentals. What does volume show? Volume shows how much of an asset—in this case, Bitcoin—was traded over a selected period of time. In this case, the one-hour timeframe. One candle equals 1 hour of trading. A fifteen-minute timeframe equals 15 minutes of trading. The volume bar under the candle answers one simple question: how many coins or dollars changed hands while this candle was forming? If the candle tells us where the price went—green for up, red for down—then the volume bar tells us how much money participated in that move. And the key point that blows beginners' minds is that a red candle and a red volume bar don't mean there were big sales, just as a green volume bar doesn't mean big purchases. In every trade, there is always both a buyer and a seller. Just think about it: you can't buy something out of thin air. If you buy an apple, someone on the other side is selling that apple to you. So, if 100 Bitcoins in volume, or say 10 million in volume, passed through a candle, it means the number of sellers and buyers was absolutely identical. These Bitcoins simply moved from one pair of hands to another. Footprints demonstrate this perfectly. If I break a candle down into every moment in time when trading occurred within it, you will see that by definition, the volume of buys and sells in the candle is equal. The right question to ask is: who was the aggressor, meaning who was buying with market orders? Because we have limit orders and we have market orders. We will talk about that in just two minutes. Within these aggressive buys and sells, we can see the difference. So, if we want to know who was more aggressive at a given moment—the buyers or the sellers using market orders—we can look and see the difference between the buys and the sells. For example, here at the price of 59,000, we see a very large number of market sells. These could have been long positions closed by stop-losses or large liquidations, which often happen at the candle lows where a reversal begins. Also, the belief that if a candle is red, there must always be more sellers in it, is wrong. It is fundamentally incorrect. I will show you this right now. Do you see these red candles? Again, if you look at the total delta, which is the difference between buys and sells via market orders, you will see a red candle and a green delta. Red candle, green delta. Red candle, green delta. This means that at the market bottom, where the price is after this drop, aggressive buying occurred, which caused the price to reverse locally in the short term. Therefore, my immediate recommendation: remove the volume colors. You absolutely do not need them. Only the volume itself is important, because volume always shows an equal amount of buying and selling. Whether it's rising or falling and at what moments—we will analyze all of this in the video. But the color of the volume means a
00:16
Speaker A
to find. As you can tell by the video length, this won’t be a 15-minute clip where you learn a couple of fancy terms but still have no idea what to do when you open a real chart. This will
00:29
Speaker A
be a comprehensive training session on the subject. Why is this important? Because if you learn how to analyze volume correctly, the market will cease to be just a collection of green and red candles for you. You will begin to
00:42
Speaker A
see where money is actually entering the market, where real trader interest emerges, where movement is backed by market participants, and where the price is just moving in a vacuum on a thin order book and could reverse at any moment. Because trading volume is
00:57
Speaker A
one of the few indicators whose formula is not based on price or a standard candle. All the technical indicators used by 90%of the market—moving averages, RSI, MACD, stochastics, ATRs, supertrends, Bollinger Bands, Ichimoku, Williams—are all derivatives of price , whereas volume is calculated from
01:20
Speaker A
money. This is real money. These are facts. Real trades that take place in the market between participants here and now. Every second, money moves from buyers to sellers and back again. And volume is just about the only thing
01:38
Speaker A
that captures this fact directly. And that is why trading volume shows what price itself and most classic indicators will never show. An important thought, friends. We are trading with our real money. And therefore, you need to analyze money.
01:55
Speaker A
And in this video, you will learn how to do that. We will go from the fundamentals to real trading practice, from simple to complex, from a basic understanding of volume to nuances, details, and specific situations where the same metric is interpreted in
02:09
Speaker A
completely different ways. Over the next few hours that we spend together, we will analyze about fifty real charts and dozens of different market contexts . I will show you how trading volume behaves during rises and falls, on breakouts, on reversals, during
02:27
Speaker A
accumulation, during anomalous activity , and in situations where price movement might seem convincing, but volume shows the exact opposite. This won’t be just theory, friends. This is a distillation of my six years of experience trading cryptocurrencies. In this video, I will show you how I
02:44
Speaker A
personally use volume in my trading practice, what metrics I look at before entering, what must confirm a trade, and what details, conversely, force me to skip a trade. We will break down a series of my real trades executed just
02:57
Speaker A
this month. I will show you exactly where I paid attention to volume, how I compared it with price action, market context, the trend, levels, and other metrics and data. And how all this looks not just on charts, but in
03:10
Speaker A
real-world trading practice. Very important. A separate large section will be dedicated, of course, to mistakes. We will break down 13 main mistakes that beginner traders make when analyzing the market. And how could these mistakes be avoided if a
03:25
Speaker A
trader knew how to correctly analyze volumes? When traders open a position against a strong bullish move and trade against the trend; when they mistake a weak breakout for the start of a new trend; when they try to "catch falling
03:40
Speaker A
knives"; try to catch a reversal without a single sign of large money entering; when, as usually happens, they look only at price or some other indicators and completely ignore what is happening inside that move, which is what volume shows us. I'll say right
03:55
Speaker A
away that each of you will recognize yourselves in these mistakes. That is absolutely normal. It will be much worse if you don't recognize yourself and, as a result, don't fix them and keep on making them. And most importantly, friends, in this video I
04:08
Speaker A
will give you a practical tool—a market screener that shows all anomalous volume spikes on all altcoins traded on futures markets. You will be able to use this bot every day to see which coins are showing trading activity right now, where volumes are
04:25
Speaker A
growing, where something interesting is starting to happen, and where good trading opportunities are appearing that you can see before other market participants do. But here it is important to say one thing right away.
04:38
Speaker A
A volume spike is not a ready-made signal to be taken as an instruction to hit the buy or sell button. Some volume spikes will indeed indicate the start of a strong move. Others will appear at the moment it ends, and still others
04:52
Speaker A
will simply be market noise that needs to be filtered out. Therefore, the main task is not just to see volume, but to read it correctly, analyze it correctly , understand the context, compare it with price, with the direction of the
05:03
Speaker A
move, with the market structure, with the trend, and with the place where this volume appears. This is exactly what we will be studying throughout this video, friends. Let's get started, friends. And we will start with the fundamentals. What does volume show?
05:18
Speaker A
Volume shows how much of an asset—in this case, Bitcoin—was traded over a selected period of time. In this case, the one-hour timeframe. One candle equals 1 hour of trading. A fifteen-minute timeframe equals 15 minutes of trading. The volume bar
05:32
Speaker A
under the candle answers one simple question: how many coins or dollars changed hands while this candle was forming? If the candle tells us where the price went—green for up, red for down—then the volume bar tells us how much money participated in that move.
05:49
Speaker A
And the key point that blows beginners 'minds is that a red candle and a red volume bar don't mean there were big sales, just as a green volume bar doesn't mean big purchases. In every trade, there is always both a buyer and
06:04
Speaker A
a seller. Just think about it: you can't buy something out of thin air. If you buy an apple, someone on the other side is selling that apple to you. So, if 100 Bitcoins in volume, or say 10 million in volume, passed through a
06:17
Speaker A
candle, it means the number of sellers and buyers was absolutely identical. These Bitcoins simply moved from one pair of hands to another. Footprints demonstrate this perfectly. If I break a candle down into every moment in time when trading occurred within it, you
06:37
Speaker A
will see that by definition, the volume of buys and sells in the candle is equal. The right question to ask is: who was the aggressor, meaning who was buying with market orders? Because we have limit orders and we have market
06:54
Speaker A
orders. We will talk about that in just two minutes. Within these aggressive buys and sells, we can see the difference. So, if we want to know who was more aggressive at a given moment —the buyers or the sellers using
07:11
Speaker A
market orders—we can look and see the difference between the buys and the sells. For example, here at the price of 59,000, we see a very large number of market sells. These could have been long positions closed by stop-losses or
07:27
Speaker A
large liquidations, which often happen at the candle lows where a reversal begins. Also, the belief that if a candle is red, there must always be more sellers in it, is wrong. It is fundamentally incorrect. I will show you this right now. Do you see these
07:41
Speaker A
red candles? Again, if you look at the total delta, which is the difference between buys and sells via market orders, you will see a red candle and a green delta. Red candle, green delta.
07:53
Speaker A
Red candle, green delta. This means that at the market bottom, where the price is after this drop, aggressive buying occurred, which caused the price to reverse locally in the short term.
08:07
Speaker A
Therefore, my immediate recommendation: remove the volume colors. You absolutely do not need them. Only the volume itself is important, because volume always shows an equal amount of buying and selling. Whether it's rising or falling and at what moments—we
08:20
Speaker A
will analyze all of this in the video. But the color of the volume means absolutely nothing; it simply repeats the color of the candle. Go into the volume settings and set it to a pleasing gray color, just as I always
08:33
Speaker A
have on all my charts. And that's it. Now you can work solely with the fact of the volume—how much there was at any given moment—rather than the color, which just clouds your judgment.
08:46
Speaker A
Next, friends, what exactly counts as volume? We have limit orders, and we have market orders. The exchange aggregates all executed trades within a candle. That is, a limit order. Right now, we are looking at large limit densities located above the current
09:03
Speaker A
Bitcoin price for sell orders at 64,200 , 64,400, 500, 600. These are large limit sell walls. This does not count as volume. Only when market buys from the other side come in and take that limit order will we see a change in the
09:24
Speaker A
volume bar. So, if we were to place a $ 100,000 limit order to open a short at 64,500, we would be sitting here in the order book at this price, but it doesn't count as volume. If the price
09:44
Speaker A
comes and hits my order with a market order, that is when we will have traded those $ 100,000. In other words, if I opened a $ 100,000 short at market right now, the trade would instantly consume others' limit orders in the
09:58
Speaker A
book, and that would be real trading volume. So, let's establish this. The limit order book simply shows intent. I could state an intent for a billion dollars, but then take it back and cancel that order a second before
10:11
Speaker A
execution. Volume shows the actual facts of trading. That cannot be erased from history. And that is why volume data is so important in trading. Moving on, friends. Unlike the stock market, where volumes across different venues are consolidated into one single tape,
10:30
Speaker A
crypto is different. We have completely different volumes on different exchanges. There is a huge number of exchanges. Binance, OKX, Bitget, BingX, MEXC, KuCoin, Gate, and a dozen more for the same coin at the same moment in time. One exchange might have giant
10:49
Speaker A
volumes, while another has small ones. On spot, volumes are small, while on futures, they are ten times larger.
10:56
Speaker A
Market makers work on all exchanges, in all order books. And we have different volumes on all these exchanges.
11:02
Speaker A
Therefore, volume analysis should be done on special platforms. We use CoinGlass for analysis. We will talk about that in just a minute. If you simply look at the volumes on your own exchange, you are very likely to see a
11:15
Speaker A
completely incorrect and different picture. You might have—especially if you are trading on some small exchange, not Binance or Bybit—data that, in all likelihood, will have nothing to do with reality. Next, an important point that needs to be mentioned. If you
11:30
Speaker A
trade on the spot market, or if you open a coin chart in TradingView, it most often defaults to the spot chart.
11:38
Speaker A
Or, if you type in a coin, be it Bitcoin or Ether, you most often see the spot chart immediately. Well, trading volumes on the spot market are dozens of times lower than on futures.
11:50
Speaker A
The spot market has a very thin order book, especially for altcoins. A simple example. On the chart, you see the ratio of futures volume to spot volume for Bitcoin on the Binance exchange.
12:03
Speaker A
Look, the ratio is 11, meaning the trading volume on futures is 11 times higher than on the spot, with spikes up to 20 times at certain moments. If I open any altcoin, let's say XRP, it will be the same, 7 to 10 times. You
12:20
Speaker A
see, if I open some small altcoin. The ratios here can be much higher, up to 10, 20, and sometimes 50 times more volume passes through futures.
12:30
Speaker A
Therefore, it is correct to analyze futures volume first and foremost, rather than spot, because, as I said at the beginning, that is where dozens of times more money is traded and changes hands. A simple example. If we even
12:44
Speaker A
type any coin into the Bybit exchange, let's say Solana. We see Solana spot volume at 20 million dollars, and futures volume at 430 million dollars.
12:56
Speaker A
This is almost 20 times, 15 times higher trading volume on futures just on one specific exchange. It will be like this for any asset. Therefore, when you are working on chart analysis, do it, firstly, in CoinGlass. Secondly, when you open a coin chart for analysis
13:13
Speaker A
, let's say Skale, CoinGlass conveniently shows you immediately which exchange has the maximum volume.
13:20
Speaker A
Wherever more money is being traded on a specific exchange, that is the exchange we open, because that is where the highest concentration of trading volume is. This means it is the most important chart for analysis. For example, for the Skale coin, we have
13:32
Speaker A
112 million dollars in volume on Binance. But if you trade on BingX, or Bitget, or KuCoin, or Gate, or MEXC— and a huge number of you trade on these exchanges, on Bitunix, on all those Coinex-like platforms—your trading volume there is 20 or 30 times lower
13:49
Speaker A
than on Binance. On Binance, there’s 100 million dollars; on Bybit, there's 15. On your small exchanges, there is one million, 2 million, 5 million. Your volumes there are just a drop in the ocean. You cannot analyze them. I am
14:01
Speaker A
returning once again to those who look at volumes on their own exchange. Not only are they 30 times smaller than on the main exchange, but they are also 20 times larger on futures than on spot.
14:13
Speaker A
The difference in volume can be hundreds of times greater between what you see where you trade and what you actually need to be studying.
14:21
Speaker A
Accordingly, if you choose the exchange with the highest volume, standard volume indicators will be enough for you. But if you want to get the trading volume across all exchanges and see it on a chart, you can add the aggregate
14:35
Speaker A
futures volume indicator in Coinglass. We add it to the chart and see how much the real volume, which should be analyzed across all exchanges, can differ from what some small exchange shows you. Therefore, here is one more quick note, just for a minute, that you
14:53
Speaker A
should also be aware of. If you trade small amounts, especially on the spot market and on small exchanges, you can immediately divide everything you see on your exchange by 100, because there is such a thing as wash trading. This
15:10
Speaker A
is a special way for exchanges to artificially inflate volumes. So, before your eyes right now is a small altcoin trading on the Gate exchange.
15:17
Speaker A
On Gate, on MEXC. It's just standard practice to take some small altcoins and paint millions or billions in trading volume for them. While volume manipulation is strictly punished in the stock market, in crypto, artificial inflation of turnover by exchanges or
15:34
Speaker A
market makers, especially on small platforms, happens regularly. Take a look: the trading volume on Binance is 6 billion in the spot market. I emphasize that most often, the manipulation happens specifically on the spot market. And some tier-200 exchanges, or tiny little platforms,
15:52
Speaker A
allegedly have billions in turnover but only 1,000 site visits, you understand? So, these are absolutely not real volumes. Why is this done? So that some amateur sees high volume in the rankings while a coin is at support and
16:08
Speaker A
thinks, "Oh, it's about to fly, let's buy in." Or some scammers say, "Look at the volume on this exchange," and so on . In short, to avoid being deceived by trading volumes for analysis, as I showed earlier, go to Coinglass and
16:23
Speaker A
choose an exchange, primarily Binance or Bybit, for futures trading volume, because there is no manipulation there, and this volume can be used for chart analysis. Let's move on to the more practical part. The main idea of volume , friends. Let's talk about that now.
16:41
Speaker A
If price shows the direction of movement, as we discussed, then volume shows human participation, trader participation, their interest in this move, and the strength of this move.
16:55
Speaker A
Price answers the question of where we are going. Volume answers the question of how many traders are participating in this move. A chart without real volume shows only half the story. We can see the market moving upward, but
17:11
Speaker A
we don't know if it's driven by real demand from crowds with money or just three bots moving the order book. They pushed the price, but there's nothing behind it—just a false breakout, a void. That is exactly what we are going
17:25
Speaker A
to discuss right now. Let’s build a foundation for understanding volume. A foundation is something rectangular.
17:32
Speaker A
Therefore, we will look at four implications. The first implication: movement on high volume. This is where volume increases with every candle or every new impulse. Look, we have the start of a move, and volumes begin to rise and continue to grow. If the price
17:53
Speaker A
is rising and turnover—meaning volume —is rising, real money from many participants is behind the move. The same applies in reverse. If the price falls on high volume, it is a powerful, strong bearish drop. Of course, if you see price rising, volume rising, and
18:11
Speaker A
most importantly, new positions being opened—meaning open interest is growing—it doesn't mean it will now grow by 1,000%. It means that right now , at this moment, the momentum is very strong. This is a very bullish, confirmed movement. It is harder to
18:27
Speaker A
reverse such a move; shorting it or standing against such a powerful, high-volume bullish move is very impractical and expensive. We will talk about mistakes later. Implication number two. Look at the chart. In the first case, we saw a strong bullish
18:43
Speaker A
move—what we discussed—price up, volume up, money entering, new positions—this is a very strong bullish move that set a price high here . Now look at what happens after the correction. On this bounce, we see volumes significantly lower than the
19:00
Speaker A
volumes we had here, even though the price reached almost the same highs. And we see that positions are closing and open interest is falling. The rule is: movement on low volume, on small volume, is questionable: if the market
19:16
Speaker A
was moved with little effort, it means the order book is thin. It means there is an absence of counter-interest. This could be a manipulation to shake out previous good positions. Such a move might continue, especially if there are
19:31
Speaker A
effectively no sellers. But trust in such a move and the strength of such a move is less than one confirmed by big money and high volume. We will break all of this down in much more detail with dozens of examples later in this
19:45
Speaker A
video. Let’s move on to the third implication. Very strong volume in a key zone. Key zones are always resistance or support zones. These are the places where the maximum number of participants enter the market, both sellers and buyers. If we see sharp
20:03
Speaker A
volume on breakouts in key zones, it means that major interest is entering the market. A level, a range boundary, a liquidity zone, a support zone, a resistance zone. If the volume is high, we have very large buys and equal sells
20:20
Speaker A
on both sides. This means someone big is either defending the price or trying to push through it. This is a place where you need to watch the market as closely as possible. We will cover the topic of levels, volume, and breakouts
20:33
Speaker A
in the next video. And the fourth consequence. If our chart sets new highs but without volume—that is, volume is falling while price is rising . This is a warning. The price is updating highs, but trader participation, interest, and trading
20:53
Speaker A
strength do not confirm it. This may mean that buying strength is exhausted and the main volume of sales needed to dump on retail has occurred earlier.
21:04
Speaker A
And this is just a technical drift where the remaining demand is just playing out. Statistically, such moves very often end in corrections. If you see growth without volume, it doesn't mean you should open a short right now and short the coin to the bottom. It is
21:22
Speaker A
important to monitor liquidations, open interest, funding, long/short ratios, and other indicators at that moment on the chart. This is not a signal to chase further or to buy the tops. In other words, these are spots where you need to carefully watch how events
21:37
Speaker A
unfold. Let’s summarize this block of information. If we have high trading volume and the price is either rising fast or falling sharply, it means it's a genuine move backed by money. This is a strong move. You should not bet
21:53
Speaker A
against it. If trading volume is high but the price is stagnant, neither falling nor rising, it means someone is interfering or restraining the price; a redistribution of positions is taking place. And in these places, you need to watch carefully for a potential
22:10
Speaker A
reversal. On the other hand, if we have low trading volume but the price is falling or rising fast—that is, the move happens on small money—it means the order book on the other side is empty. This is most often a
22:23
Speaker A
manipulative move that is not confirmed by real market demand. And fourth, if we have low trading volume and nothing is happening to the price, it sits in a sideways range and barely moves— that's a dead market, the market is
22:35
Speaker A
asleep; there is no interest, and where there is no interest or movement, there is no trade. You shouldn't be longing or shorting anything there. No volume, no interest, no trading. Let’s move on, friends. If we have sorted out the
22:49
Speaker A
foundation of the four consequences, let’s move on to the key rules of reading volume. Let’s dive even deeper into this. Rule number one, friends. If the price is rising and volume is rising, such growth is confirmed for the moment. Of course,
23:05
Speaker A
any growth sooner or later comes to an end. But, my dear friends, if you see the chart rising without pullbacks on green candles, if you see volume increasing, meaning new money is entering and new positions are opening, you cannot short it just because you
23:22
Speaker A
feel it is already expensive. A classic beginner's mistake is anchoring to an old price. You open the chart, you look , and you think, "Oh, a week ago it was 100%lower," or "The price has risen by 200%.""The price just can't keep rising
23:38
Speaker A
like this." But in reality, as long as we have an uptrend, as long as this trend hasn't been broken to the downside and a full-fledged bear trend hasn't formed, where highs are lowering , lows are lowering, money is exiting,
23:51
Speaker A
and volume is falling, you cannot short it just because you feel it is expensive. As long as the trend is upward. You can observe that the growth is confirmed. On every new impulse, the volume increases. First impulse, second
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impulse, more volume. Third impulse— more volume. Fourth impulse—more volume. You do not short this until you receive. Real confirmation that the trend is weakening. Think about this phrase. A short is a downward move. You want to short a weak market that is
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Speaker A
falling. You want to short weakness. What do all beginner traders do? They short a green market. An upward-moving, powerful market. How do you avoid doing that? How do you avoid getting into a situation where, after 70%growth, you think, "Well, the coin can't grow by 70
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Speaker A
%, it just can't keep growing." You open a short, it moves up another 100%, and you get liquidated. And you end up being part of those liquidations, part of that volume. Do you see? Maximum volume, maximum liquidation. This is
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Speaker A
the market's goal. Where was the market heading? Without a pullback. You might be fooled by small red candles, but always keep an eye on the volume. If the volume is dense, the volume is rising. If you see that open interest
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Speaker A
is growing, all candles are building up , positions are accumulating, it means the market is building positions, and you cannot stand against a strong market. That is rule number one. Rule number two, which beginners also love to do, is catching falling knives,
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buying the dips using the same logic. If a coin drops by 50%, you think, "Oh, a sale." Or they write in Telegram channels: "It's the perfect time to buy .""Coins are at the bottom, down 90%."" These are the best prices to buy the
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Speaker A
market." My dear friends, if the price falls on rising volume—look here—it means that if a coin has dropped 30%and you think it's the right time to buy, it can easily drop another 60%after that. And you think it's the right time
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Speaker A
to buy. And do you know what can happen after that? It can fall another 60%.
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Speaker A
And do you know what can happen after that? It can fall another 60%, and it will keep falling like that infinitely.
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Speaker A
Even if a coin is worth a million dollars, it can be worth zero. How many times can you fall from a million dollars to zero? An infinite number of percentages. Think about it yourself. 1 . 500,000, 500. And each time it will
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Speaker A
be a 50%drop from the lower value. And there can be an infinite number of such drops. If you see red candles expanding on rising volume—price is falling, volume is growing—that’s not a discount, that’s not an invitation to catch the bottom. In this case, just
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Speaker A
like when the price is rising, you must trade with the trend. The concept of " expensive" because the price went up is your subjective concept. A coin can rise by another 1,000%. The concept of "cheap" is also your subjective
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Speaker A
assessment. A coin can fall by 9,999%. You must always work with the trend. If you see that money is moving with the trend, you must go with the money, not against it. It’s a tank, it’s a train, it’s force, these are real
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Speaker A
confirmed volumes, and you are standing against them. Why? The classic mistake in chart psychology here sounds the same for the first two rules. If a coin has risen significantly, you don't want to open a long after the rally, but you
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Speaker A
still want to trade. And so, just to participate in a trade, you stand against the trend or try to catch a reversal. This always leads to sad consequences. Just as if a coin has fallen, you think: "Damn, the coin has
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Speaker A
already fallen 90%. How much further could it possibly fall?" Accordingly, you don't want to open a short on a bounce or weakness. You buy the bottom and ride it down another 80%. Any counter-trend trades, if you do open
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Speaker A
them, must be opened with a stop-loss. This is a rule you could highlight across the whole screen. Trading against the trend? Only with a stop-loss. No exceptions. Moving on. A corollary to our fundamentals, which we discussed, is: if the price is rising
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Speaker A
but volume is falling at every new extreme, the volume is getting smaller and smaller. And look, there is even less movement here, participation is smaller and smaller. Why might this be happening? With every new leg of growth , there are fewer and fewer buyers. No
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Speaker A
one wants to enter the market at the highs anymore. The hype and demand didn't manage to build up enough for people to enter more and more with each new wave of growth. Plus, once again, in any case, every altcoin—no matter
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Speaker A
how many percent it has grown—after any growth phase and its local bull market, is bound to correct back to the bottom, by 90%or more. But if you see that the volumes are getting smaller with each growth wave, this does not
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mean you should reflexively go all-in on a short position. It is very important to wait for a trend reversal.
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If the market is in a global uptrend, believe me, there is no point in you entering right at the very top. What will you catch here, really? Maybe 10, maybe 20 percent. The fall will last a very, very long time and go very, very
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Speaker A
deep. You will always have time to enter in the middle of a correction. There is no need to always try to enter at the highs. Wait until the trend runs out of steam. Wait for the money to leave. Wait for the volumes to
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Speaker A
completely disappear from the market. And enter only when the market is weak. Don't try to catch the new highs during a breakout. If you see growth without volume. Add the coin to your watchlist.
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Speaker A
Come back to it in a couple of days. Next, my dears, the following rule is: if we have important levels that we talked about earlier, in this case, a resistance level. If a breakout occurs on high volume, you can see how
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Speaker A
colossal the volume is compared to the average volume in this sideways range. Compared to every previous approach to this resistance, a breakout on high volume is much more reliable than one on low volume. High volume suggests that this level is being taken out by a
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Speaker A
lot of money and, in all likelihood, there are many people willing to ride this move further. They are ready to pay more for the coin, and such breakouts on very high volumes will continue to grow for at least some time
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Speaker A
. Again, this is a kind of consequence of the first rule. If you see that a breakout of an important resistance level is happening on high volume, don't immediately go short against this move, because in this case, you could
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Speaker A
go up many, many percent higher. And only when this move is fully formed will the correction begin from there.
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Speaker A
Again, I say, you will be able to realize your short, but you never look for a short in a strong market. You look for a short in a weak market.
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Speaker A
Therefore, since we have started talking about breakouts, the next rule is: any false breakouts on low volume most often turn out to be fake. It is simply a false move. If we have market highs and we had colossal volumes here
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Speaker A
before, and you see a pump happening past this level, a fairly obvious resistance forms at that level. How do people act who have just come into trading, don't know anything yet, but have read technical analysis books and watched YouTube videos, where do they
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Speaker A
place stops, how do they calculate their position based on their margin and liquidation price? We place the stop behind the level. And, of course, if we have fairly obvious resistance zones from which the price has reversed before, a beginner thinks: "Oh great,
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Speaker A
I'm opening a short here, it will reverse just like that, we're heading up." And, of course, such levels will quite often be cleared by fake manipulations and false pumps, where stop-losses and liquidations are hidden . If you see that such pumps are
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Speaker A
happening without volume, or on volumes dozens of times smaller than a true move—which is confirmed by money, open positions, and large volumes—if a move makes a new high (meaning the price is higher than before) but lacks volume, such a move is fake, and the
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price will most often reverse from it. A little later in the video, we will analyze real trades. I will show you how I made the decision to enter a position or take profit, based precisely on those rules in combination
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with other metrics that I am telling you about right now. Rule number six, friends, which works very accurately on altcoins and which I and my students regularly use, is the climax volume at the end of a move. If you see extreme
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Speaker A
turnover after the price has already traveled a long way, it very often means the exact opposite of what is written in Telegram channels and what beginners think. It does not mean that the price is now just rocketing upwards
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Speaker A
, or that there will be huge gains and a flight to the moon. It is most often a final shakeout fueled by FOMO, euphoria, or the release of some news.
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Speaker A
It is mass profit-taking. Think about it yourself: if a giant turnover occurs at the very market highs after hundreds of percent of growth, it means someone is buying there, but on the other side, someone is dumping their bags on them
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—someone is selling there. Who buys at the very highs, smart money or retail traders? Therefore, if you see huge trading volume accompanied by the entry of new positions, absorption, and giant liquidations, it will most often be a final shakeout, the final target
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Speaker A
of the market, the last pump, after which there will usually be a very aggressive and fast correction. We will analyze this in more detail in this video. But if you open the charts of most altcoins that grew by 100, 200,
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Speaker A
500 percent or more yourself right now, in half the cases, you will see that maximum volume was dumped on the last candles. This was accompanied by mass short liquidations and a large, sharp move. And after that, in 90%of cases,
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Speaker A
the price collapsed. This is one of the strongest volume rules because the crowd's biggest mistake lies within it.
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Speaker A
The maximum losses for one side—that is, the liquidation of shorts at the highs—is the maximum profit for those who opened longs at the beginning.
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Speaker A
Those who enter the market at the highs find the perfect spot to unload their positions, sell off their holdings, and open positions for a market reversal. A beginner or uninformed market participant buys green candles at the highs, thinking it will keep growing.
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Speaker A
The market maker or experienced trader sells their positions and opens short positions. Let’s move on to the next rule. Rule number seven, friends. Be a little more attentive here. If you observe high trading volume in a sideways trend, especially after a
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Speaker A
50-100%rally, the price shifts into a sideways range on high volume. And listen carefully. If positions are being built in this sideways range— that is, open interest is rising, new positions are accumulating, longs are being opened, and shorts are being
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Speaker A
opened. In most statistical cases, there are no one-hundred-percent rules; you must understand this. But you can always control your win rate percentage . If you take the side of the market that plays out more often statistically , you will make more money than you
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Speaker A
lose in the long run. Yes, and as I said, you must automatically support every trade with risk management, either through stop-losses or the maximum loss you are willing to allow for that trade. Accordingly, once again , as I show you in this example, or as
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Speaker A
I show you in this example, when the price stops after an impulse and moves in a chop or sideways range, it is most often distribution. How do you identify distribution via high volume? It means that a great many positions are being
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Speaker A
dumped into the market. A large number of sales and purchases happen simultaneously. This means very active transfer of positions from one set of hands to another. This is exactly what volume shows—a large transfer and a massive redistribution of positions.
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Speaker A
Accordingly, if you see resistance where gigantic volume is printed, but the price is standing still—meaning there is effort, but no price movement or result. It means aggressive buyers purchasing at these highs are being met by a large limit seller. We have market
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buys—an aggressor hitting the market —and high trading volume meeting limit orders that absorb those purchases. He calmly distributes his position in the sideways range, and after that, the price corrects. Friends , listen carefully once again. If the price is in a sideways range and we see
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Speaker A
position building and open interest rising, it means absorption is occurring. This is an incredibly accurate metric that shows a build-up of interest, which you need to watch closely. This means two sides are entering the market: buyers and sellers
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. And someone has to be wrong. Who is most often statistically wrong at the highs after a 100%or 200%rally, where new positions are being opened? The people who buy the highs or those who open shorts there. In most cases, of
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Speaker A
course, the altcoin market will move against the buyers. That is why I always keep a very close eye on such absorption at the highs, especially after breakouts. And the entry into a position will never be where the accumulation is happening, where the
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Speaker A
market maker is still filling up and building positions, but where they are already starting to distribute them, starting to take profits, where open interest is falling—that is where you can enter a short on rebounds, following the downtrend on market
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Speaker A
weakness. Look at the falling volume, falling volume, falling volume, and the drop in open interest as positions are closed. What I am telling you now is just the tip of the iceberg. This is one of dozens of topics and
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Speaker A
high-quality trading setups that my students and I in my VIP group have been trading for years; we have been working with the market correctly and safely for several years now. Again, what does a high-quality position mean?
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Does a 100%guaranteed setup exist that will work in 100 out of 100 cases? No, we live in a world where you don’t know what will happen tomorrow. A high-quality trade is one that, based on the analysis of metrics I am showing
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Speaker A
you—and we are only looking at a few so far: volume, open interest, and price—means that when you open a position, you are on the statistically correct side. Not when you stand against a massive bullish impulse with rising positions and huge volume,
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Speaker A
opening a short like most people do, only to be dragged 80%, 100%, 200%, or 500%higher. People are in a rush; people trade against the trend. People do not analyze volume, do not analyze positions, do not analyze funding, and
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Speaker A
do not analyze the long-to-short ratio. We can already see here that the market is over-shorted. We have two shorts open for every one long. Right here, in this sideways range, in this trap, in this lure, we see negative funding
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Speaker A
against the shorts. And of course, with higher statistical probability, it will go up. Just like here, during the distribution of these positions, we see market weakness, a lack of volume, where the market shows that highs are lowering and lows are lowering, forming
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Speaker A
a downtrend, and every rebound can be considered an entry for a short, a position based on proven, confirmed facts. And you open every short safely, taking your 10, 15, or 20%. This is what is called quality work with the
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Speaker A
market, understanding the rules and the context. This is exactly how you build your trading hypothesis. And most importantly, by understanding what to trade, because there are 600 coins in the market—what to trade and what not to. Therefore, the next rule will sound
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Speaker A
like this. If you see low volume during sideways movement, with flat, even, identical volume levels in that range, it means there is no interest there right now. And you can see the same thing in the open interest as well.
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Speaker A
It’s drifting, it’s ranging. We call it being in a sausage. That’s normal. There’s no reason to open a position right now. There is no impulse move, no trend movement. Why trade that ? People very often go and buy things
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Speaker A
for their spot portfolio, filling it with coins that are trading sideways, barely breathing, not moving, because they think it will grow in a year or six months, but a year or six months later they open their portfolio to see
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Speaker A
-90%. Low volume, no trading activity. Period. Why trade where there is no money? Think about that. Therefore, volume also allows you to filter what to trade and what not to, and helps you understand which volume is worth paying
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Speaker A
attention to and which is not. Rule number nine will sound like this: volume at an important level is much more important than volume at some random point on the chart. You might open a chart and see, again, sideways
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Speaker A
movement or a slight upward trend. And then there’s a big volume spike, the price squeezed somewhere, returned to the range, and continues to hang around in the sideways channel. Should you jump on this volume, should you consider it as a potential entry point
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Speaker A
or anything else? No, of course not, because you can see anomalous volume spikes in the middle of nowhere. What is that? You don’t even need to figure that out. It could be some accidental market purchase by someone.
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What is called "fat-fingering." They wanted to input 1,000 coins, but entered 1,000 dollars instead. Or conversely, they wanted to open a position for 500 dollars, but entered 500 coins, for example. And imagine the coin costs 100 bucks. And instead of
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Speaker A
500 dollars, they open a position for 50,000 dollars. And it’s a small altcoin with low liquidity. Bang, a huge spike in the order book. Should you trade that? Certainly not. Volume is always evaluated in context. Volume is never an independent trading unit.
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Speaker A
Volume does not provide an entry point, a stop-loss, or a target. It evaluates the quality of what the price is already doing. That is, the entire decision-making system is built on context, on the place where this volume occurs: at a level, at support, at
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Speaker A
resistance, or on a breakout. And volume acts as a quality filter at every stage of decision-making. If you try to trade just based on volume, just based on some spike, out of 100 such spikes, 90 will be unrepresentative.
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Speaker A
Because, as I said, it could be a fat-finger trade, some news, or a one-off large transaction that went through. And the second reason. The same volume, for example, a million dollars at support at the market bottom , or at highs at resistance, or on a
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Speaker A
breakout of an important level with the trend, will mean different things in different places on the chart. If it's an upward breakout from a sideways range with high volume, followed by low volume on the next two candles and a
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return into the range. This could simply be a false breakout. Volume should make you ask the question: what is happening right now? If the subsequent candles confirm the volume —if we see volume rise, then it rises further on the next candle, and again,
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Speaker A
and again—then this could be something real. Therefore, it is important to interpret volumes very correctly and coherently with other indicators and the market structure.
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What is it? A sideways range or a trend , an uptrend or a downward bearish trend? Next are the levels, because volume at levels makes sense, as what happens at levels? Traders 'decisions are concentrated there. They place stop-losses there, they open positions
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Speaker A
against the trend, with the trend, on breakouts—you see, large volumes enter the market. This, in turn, creates zones of liquidity and liquidation, where we have both stop-losses that can be hunted, and a cascade of liquidations which, if the
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price pushes through, triggers further liquidations, which trigger the next, and the next, and the next. This is how the price can fly through the order book by 20-30%downward. It is important , as I said earlier, to analyze volumes
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in the context of open interest, because volume tells you how much was traded, while open interest tells you how many positions, how many traders are in the market. Together, they answer the question: are positions being built up or unloaded, along with
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Speaker A
funding. Because funding shows the crowd's skew in futures. If we have extremely negative funding, say -2%or -4%, which you pay every hour, or 4 hours, or 8 hours. Well, you need to think twice about whether it's worth opening a short, given the possibility
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Speaker A
that you'll be dragged upward and will also be paying a fee every hour to hold that short. It is very important to analyze volume in the context of delta, which I showed you at the very beginning, that is, the difference
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Speaker A
between aggressive market buys and sells. Because delta is the volume that shows the aggressor; it shows those who impatiently enter the market here and now, hitting the buy or sell button, and when trading altcoins, you should still keep an eye on Bitcoin's behavior
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Speaker A
and the overall market state, the phase of the cycle. Because if the market is currently in a global, long-term, developing bearish trend, and you are focused on trading long, looking for long opportunities every day, instead of—if the cycle phase is bearish—
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Speaker A
working with the global trend and viewing bounces as opportunities for a short position—or vice versa, when it’s a bull market and super positive news comes out and the whole market is rising, which can last from several weeks to several months, people start
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massively shorting the upward momentum against this growth. I mean, people are doing things that are absolutely counterintuitive and contrary to common sense. That is a very important remark regarding reading volumes. Next part, friends. Let's analyze volumes and trends in more detail. We won't repeat
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Speaker A
too much here of what we have already covered in this video. A healthy bullish trend in terms of volume looks like every subsequent impulse is accompanied by an increase in volume.
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We have established this. In the cryptocurrency market, it is extremely important to understand one simple thing. Altcoins do not grow indefinitely. Especially those that are traded on futures. The later you enter a trend, the higher the chances that
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Speaker A
you will hit a very deep, serious, and irreversible correction. That is why every subsequent impulse of volume growth is much more dangerous than the one that was in its infancy, the one we examined with you. The one that occurs
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Speaker A
on a high increase in open interest, upon exiting sideways ranges, upon exiting a long phase of calm. The first impulses are the most confirmed because they are just in their nascent state.
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Speaker A
They are just exiting sideways ranges, volumes are just starting to enter them , open interest is just starting to enter. And all the money movements, friends, I find with the help of my bots, market screeners, which show me
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Speaker A
where the money is going. These are my eyes, because there are over 600 coins in the market, and you will never in your life see where the open interest is going, where sharp spikes in volume are happening, or pumps and dumps,
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Speaker A
where funding is starting to rise, or where major liquidations are occurring in the moment. For these purposes, I made bots that track all these indicators. And now I will show you, friends, as I said at the beginning of
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this video, the volume bot that searches for all those volume spikes in the market. And this bot comes to you as a gift. I am opening it up for you for free. This is my bonus to you along
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Speaker A
with this large educational video. I will now quickly show you how to use it and where to get access to it. The bot, friends, shows me where sharp spikes in volume are happening in the market.
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Speaker A
This can happen both during price growth and during price drops. For example, look, here our volumes for the Sahara coin have grown 182 times compared to average volumes. So, you can see the sorting by volume growth.
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Speaker A
Sometimes volumes can increase by 200 times, sometimes by 20 times. And your task is to monitor these notifications.
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Speaker A
You get several dozen of them per hour because there are so many coins. And naturally, there are many movements happening in the market. These are tens of billions of dollars circulating in the market every minute. Accordingly, the bot is connected directly to the
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Speaker A
exchange and sees every sharp spike in volume that occurs. For example, here you can see that the price for the Velvet coin is starting to roll over sharply, moving down on rising volume and rising open interest. This could be
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Speaker A
the beginning of a strong bearish trend . Here we have an increase in volume on a resistance breakout. This could be, for example, a false breakout for the Wana coin, from where the price will then return to the range. We are
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Speaker A
breaking all of this down and examining it in this video. Accordingly, the bot shows you all these notifications, shows you all these movements, and your task as a trader is to classify them, filter them, and look at them in
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Speaker A
combination with all metrics: open interest, liquidations, funding, long/ short ratio, delta, imbalances, everything that also shows real money, and decide whether to open a position or, conversely, to skip such a move.
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Speaker A
Accordingly, to get access to the bot, friends, go to my Telegram channel and find this post with access to the bot.
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Speaker A
I will leave the link right in the description of this video. You can go into the description and click right through. You can do it right now. Go in , subscribe to the Telegram channel, and join the bot. Only then be sure to
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Speaker A
return to the video and watch it to the end, because there will be a lot more useful information. We are only halfway through. There is still a lot of practice ahead. After you finish watching the video, you can return to
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Speaker A
the bot and check notifications, run back-tests, and look at the history of what signals it sends and how they play out. Work on it, study it, and start using it. Use it every day, because there are a lot of volume spikes. This
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Speaker A
could be the start of a move, either a bullish impulse, a sharp drop, or where a coin breaks support or resistance from a sideways consolidation. Analyze and qualify them for high-quality notifications and potential entry points. Inside that post with the bot
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Speaker A
access, there is a ten-minute video, friends. I recorded it specifically on how to qualify signals, how to filter them, how to work with the bot, what to click, and so on. Go in, watch it, and read. There are another 10 minutes of
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instructions there that you need to study. And personally, I also highly recommend that you go to the pinned messages and find the trading knowledge base. In it, I’ve collected 48 more free resources for you. Everything most useful that I’ve published on my
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Speaker A
channel over the years. There you will find many more video podcasts on working with the market, strategy, psychology, and all the mistakes beginner traders make. Be sure to check it out as well. An incredible treasure trove of useful information.
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I think you’ll figure out the bot on your own. Let’s continue our video on volume. It’s realistic. You can’t argue with that. The later you enter the market, the higher the chance of a very deep reversal. That is why the
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Speaker A
start of a rise, where the price leaves a sideways trend on rising volume and rising open interest, is what we call the "golden setup." Because any pump, any growth starts specifically with these three main indicators. The price starts to rise, volume starts to rise,
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Speaker A
open interest starts to rise, there’s aggressive market buying, and the first short liquidations that help the price move even higher. That’s how every move begins. It’s impossible to know in advance how far this move will go— by 50%, 100%, or 500%—at the very
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beginning. No matter what anyone tells you, if someone says they knew a coin would go up 1,000%, they are 100%a scammer. You can analyze actual data via metrics right now in the moment; yes, this is the first impulse, money
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Speaker A
is coming in, the start of a bull trend —this is what we trade. How do you catch it in time? Because when I started working with these metrics three years ago, I realized that any pump must have these three necessary
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components: rising volume, rising open interest, and subsequent liquidations, market buys, a long/short skew, and a funding rate often skewed toward shorts . All of this combined. The question was: how do you find this? How do you catch it in time? Accordingly, I built
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Speaker A
myself these bots that simultaneously analyze changes in open interest, price , and volume. We won't break down the topic of working with bots separately right now. I have a separate video on the channel, you can watch that one too
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Speaker A
. It was important to mention this in the context of volume and trends, in this case, the bull trend. What does a healthy bear trend look like? Exactly the mirror image. If in a bull trend volume rises on every new impulse, then
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Speaker A
in a healthy bear trend, suitable for trading and opening safe shorts, every bounce occurs without volume. We need to see that volume is not entering. A bear trend should always be considered after some major market shakeouts have occurred. You see a coin rising. Sit on
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Speaker A
your hands. And for the next few days, while it’s growing, while it’s liquidating people, while the market maker isn't satisfied, and while you, inexperienced traders, can't handle the volatility—the 20-30%swings up and down, the massive sideways ranges, the breakouts, and manipulations—you
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Speaker A
don't know how to trade this safely. Sit on your hands and wait for the bullish momentum to end, for the consolidation and distribution to finish, and for the coin to start forming a downward bearish trend. As I analyzed earlier, the highs are getting
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Speaker A
lower, and the lows are getting lower. Here, on bounces without volume and as money flows out, where open interest is declining, you can look for short entry points. To reinforce the topic of volume and trend, I will show you
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Speaker A
exactly two examples: one bearish trend and one bullish trend from my own trading practice. Bell coin, a short position was opened and profit was taken during a downward trend. This trade was 107%with 5x leverage, a 20% move in the underlying asset. A good
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Speaker A
trade, it brought in 390 dollars. Against the backdrop of other trades that were active during that same week.
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This is one of the most confirmed and most profitable ones. I will break down the specific entry points so you fully understand the decision-making logic, based on what we just discussed.
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Speaker A
Position entry here, profit taking here . Look at exactly what I was talking about. As long as there is an uptrend, do not short the coin. Look, see how positions are being added, open interest is growing, growing, growing,
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Speaker A
growing. Sideways range. And here, a final growth impulse. We have an increase in open interest. As long as positions are entering the market and you see that volumes are growing, growing, growing—no short, do not open, just wait. That is exactly what I
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Speaker A
am telling you. After the price set a maximum, it traded maximum volume. In this local sideways range, recall all the rules. Large volumes that are being sustained. What does this mean, my astute viewers? Let's recall. It means absorption. Exactly the setup that I am
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Speaker A
showing you. Sideways range, high volume, position building, absorption. Then the dump begins with declining volume as open interest exits.
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Speaker A
Positions are closing, and the trend breaks right here. The one I showed you above. Here we see a bounce as positions are closed. No new positions are entering the market. Plus, local manipulation. Short liquidations are cleared, which were opened during this
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Speaker A
movement. A false pump occurs to trigger trailing stops and stop-losses on the correct shorts that were opened here. A local pump happens, which, in the context of a bear market, is a spot to open short positions. If we have an
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Speaker A
uptrend, it looks like growth, correction, growth, correction; a downtrend is a drop, a bounce, and a drop. In an uptrend, we look for corrections to continue the trend. In a downtrend, we look for bounces to open short positions. This bounce is exactly
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Speaker A
that. A short was opened here, and profit was taken in the nearest sideways range. This is our trade in the bearish downtrend. A textbook example. Next trade. Now let’s look in the context of an uptrend. This is the Hamster coin, which we managed to
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Speaker A
long perfectly on this impulse. Here is our trade. 15%net move, 220 dollars of profit on this specific position. There was a re-entry later for a short take and another 210. So, two longs on Hamster were also executed. Entry
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Speaker A
neatly with limit orders and profit taking. Accordingly, let's analyze the trade, where the entry was. Look, on rising volume. The coin starts growing from a sideways range, moving not that many percent, 20%. Here we see strong volumes, the trend is not broken. Why
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Speaker A
open a short here if there is exclusively a bullish trend movement going on? That's it, opening the position and taking profit. Plus, an interesting observation that I will show you. Already at the beginning of this impulse, you can see how
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Speaker A
aggressive market shorts are entering positions. You see, a large bias toward selling. Accordingly, right at the start, people already began to short.
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Speaker A
And it is no surprise that the price later started to accelerate higher. I locked in profit with a fairly conservative take of 15%during one trading session. And again, returning to trend trading, another important point for me personally. It is better
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Speaker A
to open a position, lock in profit, and then re-enter the position again to lock in profit, rather than hold one position until the bitter end. Why?
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Speaker A
Again, because of the altcoins themselves. If you open any altcoin chart in the long term, it will look like this. 99%of coins in the long term drop by 99%, and their decline takes up 90%of the time with small, short local
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Speaker A
bounces that last a few weeks. The coin is simply pumped for a few days or weeks and then dumped hard. Therefore, holding some longs for days or weeks, thinking that there will be some fabulous multipliers, please, mathematically it is better to enter
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Speaker A
the position. On rising volume, on the growth of all indicators, enter the position, lock in profit, take 15%, 20% , take as much as the market gives you.
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Speaker A
Close your position, don't sit through corrections, don't sit through sideways ranges. And it is better later, friends , when the market gives you a second chance, if it gives you a second chance , because often it doesn't give one,
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Speaker A
often a coin looks like a pump. But if there is a second wave of growth or a third wave of growth, it is better to re-enter the position, that way you won't miss out on your initial profit.
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Speaker A
How logical does that sound? But who actually does that? Because, friends, I am an absolute realist. I have been trading altcoins since 2020, or the beginning of 2021. I have no desire to pretend that I can predict every move
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Speaker A
like Vanga, because I trade based on the mathematical expectation of my actions. Like any person, I make mistakes; you make mistakes, everyone makes mistakes. Pretending that you can use every metric to predict future moves 100 out of 100 times is absolute
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Speaker A
nonsense. Because if you enter an impulse and hit a correction, nobody can tell you whether it will end here after the second impulse or if the coin will crash, or if there will be another impulse. You cannot know in advance how
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Speaker A
many growth waves there will be. And, as I told you, with every new growth wave, the risks of hitting a non-retracing correction that looks like this increase. Because if you look statistically, as I have shown repeatedly in my videos, how many
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Speaker A
crypto coins currently traded on futures have shown growth over the last year, 5 years, or all time. Here are all the coins, 600 coins that exist on the Bybit exchange, sorted by all-time growth. Bitcoin, M, Lab, PV, Hype.
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Speaker A
These are all the coins that have shown growth. Let’s see, how many percent do you find sufficient in descending order? Let's be realistic. Well, you probably aren't interested in holding coins for less than 30%, right? So let’s take all the coins that have
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Speaker A
grown by 30%or more throughout their history. I’ll save this now. Let’s name the list "plus." And now we will see how many coins that is. 40 coins out of 612. And how many coins fell by 90%or more. Look at the all-time
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Speaker A
performance. Here are the coins that showed a drop of 90%, 80%. You understand, 40 coins grew, 550 coins fell. Any altcoin chart, as I say, that’s where the positive coins end.
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Speaker A
Everyone wants the chart to look like this. And it does. But locally, this is a very short period of time when alts are pumped and providing a bull market.
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Speaker A
In the medium term, it will only head to the bottom. A new bottom, then another new bottom, followed by a new bottom and another one. Therefore, when you go long, please, my dears, do it carefully. Take profits on re-entries.
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Speaker A
Set stop-losses as well. And don't wait on every long if it's already giving you 10-15%profit. Don't wait for 100, 200, 300 more. Greed leads to poverty.
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Speaker A
You all know this phrase very well. Moving on, my dears. The next part of our comprehensive video on volume. How do you like that pun? Let’s analyze volumes and levels with you once again.
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Speaker A
This is a very important topic because, as I have shown you before, a support or resistance level is a place where others' decisions are concentrated.
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Speaker A
That's where stop-losses are placed, that's where limit orders are, that's where break-even stops are, and where all psychological markers are: "Oh, a new high,""Oh, a new low." Volume shows how these decisions have been traded into reality. Far from levels,
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Speaker A
somewhere in the middle of a sideways range, as I told you, it's not representative, because at levels, volume turns into, let's call it, an X-ray of the market. Let's highlight the main situations you should carefully analyze and monitor on charts
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Speaker A
. The first situation is the approach to any level, most often I consider the resistance level, on volume. We have a resistance level. The price approaches this level on increasing volume. The price slows down and then begins to
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Speaker A
break out of this level on higher volume. How do we translate this from trader jargon into plain English? Yes, it means that a large volume of buys and sells is occurring during the breakout. Buyers are not afraid of the
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Speaker A
resistance and are increasing their volume as they approach it. Often, this serves as a sort of overture, a prelude to the breakout. It is very important here to watch for the topic of false breakouts, which we will analyze in the
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Speaker A
next part. But a simple recommendation, it also follows from all the rules we discussed earlier. If you see an increase in volume and position building as it approaches a level, and you see that even the very first candles of the breakout exceed previous
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Speaker A
volumes by many times, take a look. Look at how large this volume is. It is as if it erases the previous volume.
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Speaker A
You can't even see it anymore. Look, but it was there before. Here was the volume on the approach to this resistance. And here is the volume that traded in the sideways range. Look at this volume and look at that. That's it
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Speaker A
, it's gone. You don't see it anymore. Look at how much the volume has grown.
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Speaker A
Another example. We have resistance. And we see that, on the approach to this resistance, a very large volume appears. Next candle. Even more volume, by several times. Yes, that's it, and it went higher, higher, higher, higher.
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Speaker A
Volume is growing, growing, growing, growing. And what do we have? Positions are entering. Another example. We have an extremum, a previous high. This is the maximum price value from the previous growth wave on volume. And the price approaches this point on volume
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Speaker A
that is the same as or exceeds the previous one. As we established in the first parts of this video, a breakout and approach to a level on high volume is much more valid, genuine, confident, and strong, with potential for
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Speaker A
continued growth, compared to an approach without volume, meaning without money or real demand. Therefore , a very simple rule follows: a breakout of resistance on high volume is the strongest type of breakout. The level was cleared with real money, real
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Speaker A
demand, real new positions, and serious capital. Accordingly, what is important to watch here? The retention of that volume by the subsequent candles. That is, if a breakout occurs, look at each example: the next candle follows. Even if there is a small red candle, if we
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Speaker A
have a green candle and, even more so, if we see a powerful bullish rally without pullbacks, and the volume remains just as dense or grows, this is the highest quality confirmation that this impulse, this pump, this growth is
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Speaker A
a powerful move, and you should move with it, certainly not against it. And now, friends, look at the completely opposite situation. When we have resistance and a breakout occurs with an absence of volume. The volume is low , no higher than before; money is
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Speaker A
leaving, it’s an invalid breakout, and a correction follows. This works not only with altcoins, but in principle, it works in any market.
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Speaker A
Whether it's Bitcoin, the stock market, metals, or Forex. If we have resistance , if we have previous highs, and we see a breakout of that resistance on very low volume, look, it's often just a fake move, as seen here in Bitcoin.
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Speaker A
It’s simply a hunt for liquidation, after which the price reverses, and the market, having achieved what it triggered this false pump for, heads into a correction. Another example, friends, to reinforce this. The creation of a new high without volume.
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Speaker A
That is, the volume is lower than the previous one, significantly lower. This means we have a breakout followed by a return below the level. Such situations are very informative moments in trading , which I use quite often in my own
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Speaker A
trading practice. If a level is broken and a number of people enter on that breakout, and the price quickly returns below the level. What happens? Everyone who entered at the highs, everyone who bought the breakout, is already automatically and instantly in the red.
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Speaker A
What will happen next? People who entered on the breakout place their stop-losses below the previous low. And when the price returns to the range below that level, their stop-losses will act as additional fuel for the price to move lower. That is, on these
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Speaker A
stops, through their market sell orders , the price will return and move downwards. Friends, this also works in reverse, so that you don't develop tunnel vision in only one direction. It also works inversely regarding support.
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Speaker A
If we have a support level, and this support is broken to the downside. Look , new positions are entering the market . This means accumulation is happening here. How can new positions enter the market at the bottom? You might be
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Speaker A
surprised, or maybe you make this mistake yourself, but people love to short the very bottom. Right now, Bitcoin is at 58. A lot of people are shorting it down to a hundred. So, people are shorting the very bottom on
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Speaker A
the breakout. And on that breakout, the positions opened as shorts are being bought up. And the price reverses and heads upward. That is, everyone who opened a short on the downside breakout , just like we just analyzed for those
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Speaker A
entering long on an upside breakout. Now, on these longers 'stops, the price moves down. Just as all the shorts that entered on the breakout now have their short stop-losses, and their liquidations will help push the price upward. So, you can observe short
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Speaker A
liquidations right along the movement. Who are these short liquidations? How can there be short liquidations at the market bottom? How? I’ll tell you: it’s everyone who opened a short at the very bottom. Let’s recap quickly.
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Speaker A
We do not short level breakouts on high volume. These are strong breakouts. Breakouts on low volume. Most often, these are invalid breakouts that will tend to reverse. But, please, wait for this reversal. You shouldn't automatically jump into a short or long
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Speaker A
on any breakout without volume. Breakouts without volume should be monitored. And again, to reinforce the material and see the visual difference.
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Speaker A
Here we have the Bitcoin chart. And look, we have a breakout happening on rising volume. On rising volume and the entry of new positions. This is the same mirror rule as with resistance breakouts on volume. A breakout on
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Speaker A
volume is a strong breakout, confirmed by money, and it can move higher. Just as a support breakout on volume is a strong breakout, and it can move lower as well. Look at how the volume grows as it gets pushed down. Therefore,
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Speaker A
friends, the topic of volume and levels is very important, because volume in decision-making zones—that is support , resistance, range highs, range lows, all breakout points—is where liquidity is concentrated, where a large accumulation of money is focused.
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Speaker A
That’s where the action happens, where all sides of the market meet: buyers, sellers, longs, shorts, stop-losses, liquidations, take-profits —everything meets there. In a voluminous dance of turnover. Friends, continuing the topic of false breakouts . I will show you in practice how they
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Speaker A
play out. I will also show you another important thing you should always keep in mind when trading altcoins and even some major instruments. These are false breakouts and spikes with a quick return. When the price enters a sideways range, two opposite positions
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Speaker A
inevitably accumulate in that range: buyers and sellers. If you are a market maker and plan to drive the price up, you won't want to drag the price up with those who are riding on your train . You will want to shake them out
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Speaker A
before you start cranking the price up. Conversely, if the price is in a range and you plan to dump the coin while it's hovering at resistance, false short squeezes and fake pumps are often created, followed by a full-scale
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Speaker A
correction. Therefore, on the chart, if you see large ranges and zones where such squeezes occur—like this, this, and this—with an extremely fast return to the range, and this happens on high volume (since we are analyzing the topic of volume), and it is
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Speaker A
accompanied by large liquidations in the direction of the move...You can understand that this is how the market maker gets rid of the correct positions in the direction they intend to drive the market, either up or down. If we
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Speaker A
have squeezes against longs here, squeezes breaking support on high volume, and we see large long liquidations, it doesn't mean you should automatically enter a long in this range. You need to wait for a breakout, and a breakout on volume as
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Speaker A
well. That is, where this range is broken and where volume starts to grow, see, that is where the movement will be confirmed. And in all likelihood, there may be an impulsive volume breakout from this range after shaking out, as
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Speaker A
they often say in crypto, the "extra passengers." We can see this on the chart through liquidations and volume.
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Speaker A
Accordingly, wait for this breakout to happen, and then you can try to open a position in the direction of the breakout from this range. Here is another example with the exact same logic. You will see this tens, tens,
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Speaker A
tens of times during your trading practice when support zones on alts are broken by such a squeeze. This is pure scamming. This is purely manipulation in crypto. No one gets spanked or scolded for this. In fact, these are
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Speaker A
all financial crimes that we see on the chart, but which happen constantly in this market. All unnecessary longs are wiped out on a very large volume candle . This is exactly the topic we are analyzing with you. If you see a large
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Speaker A
squeeze that is bought up, because volume cannot pass unless this market squeeze is absorbed by limit orders from the other side. And who will absorb such a squeeze with limit orders ? Who will create it? Only the one who
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Speaker A
benefits from it. Accordingly, if after such volume manipulations the price starts to return to the range and break out to grow, and this also happens on volume, it is highly likely to lead to growth for some time. That is, you can
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Speaker A
also try to enter a position here, but please, enter with a stop-loss. If you catch the trend, you take your 15, 20, 30-40%. If you don't enter at the start and catch up after 50-100%of the growth , always remember that this growth,
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Speaker A
this manipulation, can end and the price will reverse. Recall everything we have covered previously regarding trends. Later entries are more risky.
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Speaker A
Now let's analyze several breakout trades that I recently traded. The ASR coin. Here is our quick short, a quick breakout play. Here is this trade. 8%, 115 dollars of profit specifically on this trade. What was the entry? We have
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Speaker A
a resistance zone, a breakout on volume , and a quick return back into the range. Look at how it looks on the fifteen-minute chart. Everything we just analyzed: a breakout and a quick return under the level on declining
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Speaker A
volume. And money is already exiting. Look at how a breakout trap is created. We have a level breakout, and money flows into this breakout. If we have a quick pullback back under the level and money starts to exit, meaning positions
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Speaker A
start to be locked in and closed, this is a very good argument for continued downside. Look at how this candle looks on the two-hour timeframe. See what a long wick it has on the breakout.
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Speaker A
Breakout, the candle closes with a long wick here at the start of the correction, on falling volume and money outflow; the position was opened and locked in at the first consolidation. 8 %. A good, quick trade. The next trade
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Speaker A
is the ID coin. I had three shorts on it: for 7%, 6%, and 11%. Here are these trades. Opening the first short, opening the second, opening the third, and taking profit. Each short was opened essentially on the breakout. It
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Speaker A
is also important to note here that, in principle, the behavior of the coin and the market maker had been very well studied beforehand, because it is a pure pump coin. Pump, pump-dump, pump, pump, pump, pump, you understand, right
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Speaker A
? And it continues. So this coin can still be traded. Pump-dump, pump-pump-dump. Here are our trades once again. Let's break down each of them. What do I always tell my students ? Each coin is your own teacher.
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Speaker A
Because think for yourselves, the coin has one market maker. If this market maker has chosen this model for working with coins, look: peak, peak, peak, peak, peak, peak, peak, peak, peak, peak, peak, peak, peak. And with every buildup, we see a spike in volume, a
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Speaker A
spike in open interest, a spike in volume, a spike in open interest, a spike in volume, a spike in open interest, volume, open interest, volume , open interest. You see, on every single one. And all of this is
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Speaker A
accompanied by rising funding, rising funding, rising funding, rising funding , rising funding—these are patterns of the market maker's work. Well, you don't know such subtleties. And this is accompanied by liquidations, liquidations, liquidations, liquidations, liquidations. If you break everything down, you can even
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Speaker A
understand the market maker's algorithms, their goals, and how many liquidations are enough, for the sake of which they move the price, so it's enough for a reversal. That is, here one can understand the algorithms of how a market maker works. Accordingly,
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Speaker A
all trades were opened from a risk perspective, taking these factors into account. The first trade was opened on a breakout of the previous high. Right here, from large liquidations, based on the logic that the price forms a new
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Speaker A
high and then moves into a sideways trend. In the sideways range, there is volume; that is, we have selling, distribution of positions, volumes that do not exceed previous volumes, and open interest that does not exceed previous open interest. So there is
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Speaker A
nothing dangerous here. A short position was opened, and profit was taken here. Short opened, profit taken.
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Speaker A
Then, from the next pullback to the market high without volume. Open interest is falling. A small liquidation as a target. A small short was opened and fixed right on the first small pullback. Short, profit taken.
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Speaker A
And following the same logic, the next short was opened on a breakout of resistance on low volumes, not exceeding the previous ones, and on open interest lower than the previous one. Also from small liquidations. In principle, here, as I said, such trades
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Speaker A
could have been opened more. Open one more here. Open one more here. Another 1, 2, 3, 4 here. That is, a very clear coin with predictable volatility and metrics. The last short was opened on the 26th. 7%was taken on it. Also from
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Speaker A
a breakout. The FKS coin was traded using absolutely the same logic. We have previous highs. You see, in the sideways range, volumes and positions are already being built up. These are strong arguments for the creation of a bull trap. We have a breakout and a
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Speaker A
very rapid return into the range. During this breakout, look, high volumes are being traded. That is, longs enter here on the breakout, thinking the price will fly higher.
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Speaker A
Positions are quickly dumped on them here, distributed. The most important thing is the quick return to the range, the breakout, and the quick return below the level. This is a very good, as I call it, opportunity and a
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Speaker A
high-quality trading situation where you can open a short to target the continuation of the correction. Plus, as we can see, positions are starting to leave the market, positions are closing, and volumes are starting to fall. In other words, everything is
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Speaker A
based on the rules that you, my dear viewers, have received today on a silver platter, so to speak, in this huge video. It contains years of experience, trading practice from thousands of trades and thousands of chart analyses over many, many years,
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Speaker A
which you have been lucky enough to watch for free on YouTube up to this point. Just incredible. If I had been given such videos on YouTube 6 years ago, perhaps I would have reached results much faster. And also, friends,
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Speaker A
I want to show you another interesting trade, this time a long, but on a breakout. The Dex coin, quite a decent little long. 220 dollars were earned on it. Look, the position was opened right out of the sideways movement on a
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Speaker A
breakout. This is also one of the very interesting trading options, yes, where our long was opened, also with a limit order, where positions are being aggressively accumulated after a pump in a sideways range. And, friends, what should you pay attention to? How can
82:06
Speaker A
you understand it, for example, here? You say, Dmitry, if we have high volume after a pump in a sideways range, it means it is most likely distribution.
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Speaker A
Someone is selling, positions are being opened. Everything is exactly as you said, right? Right. In most cases, that is how it is. And after that, our price may correct. But what nuances are there to subtly distinguish the market
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Speaker A
context? The first is how much money shorts and longs are losing in the market. So, objectively here in this sideways range, shorts predominate in their current market losses. We see this both here and during the growth.
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Speaker A
The second is the long-to-short ratio. On Binance, the long-to-short ratio for the coin is 0.25. This means that for every one long, there are four shorts.
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Speaker A
This is a very overshorted market. And here it even reached a 1 to 5 ratio, you see? So, if we see a situation in a sideways range where a huge number of retail, a huge number of market participants are on the short side, the
83:12
Speaker A
coin is fully controlled by the market maker. We see a huge imbalance towards short liquidations. And we see positions being built for both longs and shorts. Meaning, absorption is taking place. Which direction is the right one to open? The side the market
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Speaker A
maker is on or the side the "hamsters" are on? If we see many short liquidations and an overshorted market, the long-to-short ratio is extremely negative, open interest is accumulating in a sideways range, and we have high volume. It is better to open a long
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Speaker A
with a stop. And right here, on the first impulse, was a very short trade that literally took a few hours. A very good long right from here and the take-profit right into this pump. A quick 10%move, 220 dollars in profit.
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Speaker A
That is how, friends, your trading hypothesis and your trade are formed. This is how you work out a trade plan, risks per trade, entry points, exit points, and how to work with trends, volumes, levels, and breakouts. We have
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Speaker A
now solidified the topic of volumes and false breakouts, and we are ready to move on to the next topic. This is the movement climax part. In English, this is called a climax. This is the maximum , extreme, record-breaking turnover in
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Speaker A
a far-advanced trend. As I told you at the beginning of this video, I hope you remember, when you see an incredibly giant volume in the final stage of a move, it is, with very high probability , a signal that the movement has
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Speaker A
reached the peak of participation, the peak of madness, its climax. And then, when the market maker achieves their goals—and the goals are most often huge liquidations at the highs and offloading their positions, which is high volume—after that, the price
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Speaker A
very, very, very often reverses. Why does maximum volume often appear at the end of a move? Let's analyze another example. We have an uptrend, we have a climactic maximum volume with maximum liquidations at the highs. Why is the
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Speaker A
maximum volume not at the beginning, as one might expect, but at the end? Because a movement, a trend, always starts quietly. Friends, remember how you trade a long. You don't believe that it will develop. No one in the
85:34
Speaker A
market thinks that this is a super time to open a position. Everyone wants to watch a little longer, thinking maybe it will suddenly drop or maybe it will go higher. At market highs, a peak of madness occurs when FOMO, the fear of
85:47
Speaker A
missing out, simply clouds the mind of retail traders. Market participants jump on the last carriage to catch the movement because they see that before it was growing kind of slowly, but now the rocket has taken off. Now is the
86:02
Speaker A
time to jump in. Oh, now it will give us X's, and pour an incredible amount of money into our wallets. Yes, and from all channels, everywhere on YouTube, Telegram, Twitter, bloggers most often say, "Oh, the coin has already flown plus 100%." Yes,
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Speaker A
information noise kicks in, positive news kicks in. And everyone who doubted the longest, everyone who was afraid the longest, can no longer stand this burning desire to trade this coin.
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Speaker A
Everyone is talking about it, so it must be confident, it must be reliable. Since everyone is talking about it and the price is rising, it must be high-quality. Yes, that is everyone's logic. Since it's growing, it must be a
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Speaker A
super product. There. And in this way, everyone enters the market at the latest possible moment, and plus, all the shorts that were shorting from the very beginning finish their move with cascading short liquidations. And into this huge volume of new buys, short
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Speaker A
liquidations, and stop-losses, the profits of those who opened positions earlier—the market maker—are locked in here, and new positions are opened to drive the market down. Who? The market maker. Therefore, friends, the peak of attention and the peak of
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Speaker A
volume coincide exactly with the zone of maximum risk. These are the worst points to enter a position. Just the absolute worst, yes. Here is another example, take a look. The coin has already done a 60x from the bottom.
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Speaker A
Look at the volume here during the rise , the volume here during the rise, and the volume at the highs here during the rise. The coin already did a 60x, yet people are still flying into these green candles here. And look at this
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Speaker A
colossal volume of liquidations. Maximum volume, maximum liquidation— this is the culmination, the extremum, the climax, the finale. The finale. And I discussed this topic two years ago on my Telegram channel. I don’t know which of my Telegram subscribers are
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Speaker A
watching this video, but I broke this topic down in great detail using Notcoin as an example. When Not came out and everyone just lost their minds, there was 7 billion dollars in trading volume in one day. Just think about
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Speaker A
that number. 7 billion dollars in 24- hour trading volume for a shitcoin that absolutely nobody needs. And here was the largest trading volume at the very market highs, where this coin, like absolutely all coins that set their culmination volume at the market highs,
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Speaker A
put in the most giant trading volume. Well, where it's -99.9%from the high, you understand? All altcoin charts look like this. If maximum volume is passing through alts, you never go long on that . You give the market maker time to
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Speaker A
line their pockets, to calm down. and to push the coin into an endless bear market, where you can actually work the trend to the short side for two years.
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Speaker A
Just short the coin on every bounce. On every bounce, on every, on every, on every, on every, on every, on every.
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Speaker A
Because all the goals of stripping people and depriving them of their money were realized at the most heavily traded spot. Think for yourself, an altcoin, what is it? It is nothing.
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Speaker A
It's not a project, it's just code on a blockchain that no one needs. It's a non-existent nothing. It's air. And into this air, 400 million dollars in trading volume flows in 12 hours. Where to see how much volume there is? Right
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Speaker A
here, right here are the numbers, you see? 800 million for the day, and here 800 million. It’s mind-boggling.
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Speaker A
Right here, there was, like, 5 billion dollars in turnover traded. Billions of dollars in turnover traded for a non-existent token. Why develop this any further? Why even work with this?
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Speaker A
You’ve already made so much money here that it will last for your grandchildren and their grandchildren.
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Speaker A
Dubai scammers created a coin. They just spun everyone around, scammed them , took their money, liquidated them, and then sent the coin to the bottom.
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Speaker A
Why get involved in this? You’ve achieved your goal of making a lot of money once. Therefore, friends, climax volumes are almost always a zone after which a coin, if traded at market highs , heads off on a long journey to the
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Speaker A
ocean floor. Let’s recap: at the end of an uptrend, when we see a parabolic move on maximum volume, new positions enter, new "hamsters" join with a huge number of short liquidations. Wait, just wait. Give it time to fall. Let
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Speaker A
the market maker get their fill. Don't trade against the trend. Don't get caught in a large distribution range.
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Speaker A
Wait for the coin to start falling, and then trade off the bounces. It's important to note here that this rule does not work for longs; it doesn't apply symmetrically. Once again, in the long term, all coins are a 99%dump to
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Speaker A
the downside. If a coin has risen from the bottom and pumped 100, 200, 300, 500, or 1,000%, it will inevitably correct later. If a coin has fallen, it doesn't necessarily mean it will rise; it can fall, bounce, and then fall
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Speaker A
further. Therefore, if climax volumes occur at market highs, this is very often the start of a prolonged decline.
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Speaker A
If, on the other hand, there are large volume spikes during corrections, you shouldn't buy them thinking this is the end of the fall and the price will reverse and go up. No, these can indeed be large volume spikes accompanied by
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Speaker A
massive liquidations. Meaning, here they actually took people's money, and took it, and took it, and took it, and took it, do you understand? They liquidated them, gave a small bounce, and went lower. Once again, large liquidations. There might be a small
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Speaker A
short-term bounce, but that is again trading against the trend. So, this is once again the opposite of what a trader should be doing correctly. You see large volume spikes on corrections.
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Speaker A
Please, do not think this is the end of the drop, that the bottom is in, and that there will be gains from here.
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Speaker A
Very often, the coin will fall further and then even lower again. So it's better, as I told you, to look for options where support levels are broken on high volume and trade with the trend . Because when sharp drops occur, there
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Speaker A
might be a buyback followed by another drop. There might be high volume followed by another correction, you see ? And then lower, and lower, and lower, and lower. This was a very important part of working with volumes. Movement
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Speaker A
climax. Part eight, friends, brief but also important. This is volume in a sideways range. I do not recommend trading sideways ranges, especially on altcoins. Sideways ranges are a normal thing for trading major assets, such as Bitcoin. Why? Because a sideways range
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Speaker A
is a consensus zone where the market has agreed on a fair price. Most often, a sideways range forms after strong impulse moves: after a sharp rise, moving into a range, or a sharp drop, moving into a range. It usually plays
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Speaker A
out for a few months on major coins like Bitcoin, Ethereum, or large-cap alts. They always have low volume.
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Speaker A
Never look for crazy volumes in a sideways range. I also recorded a separate video on my channel about how to trade in sideways ranges. You can watch it right here in Telegram. After a strong move, wait for the automatic
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Speaker A
rally and see where the volume is forming. I am currently using the Volume Profile tool, which shows where the main volume is distributed during the initial moves. We have an upper zone of main volumes and a lower zone
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Speaker A
of main volumes. Sideways trading is done at the breakout of this main volume zone because the main volume zone you see in the range—that brightly highlighted part—is money.
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Speaker A
When the price leaves the money zone, it needs to move somewhere. But since it just made a sharp move, it won't go anywhere. It needs time to accumulate.
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Speaker A
Positions must be built up, old positions redistributed, and some positions must be closed. This takes time; some positions must be opened for trend continuation or a reversal. In any case, after strong pumps or dumps in BTC and ETH, the price will stay in
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Speaker A
a sideways range for a number of weeks or months. We have an extremum after this strong move, in this case, a low.
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Speaker A
An automatic rally is the first buyback , which most often forms the top of the range. But this top is not as important as this volume zone. Accordingly, upon exiting the lower volume boundary, the price will strive to return to the
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Speaker A
range. Upon exiting the upper boundary, the price will strive back into the range. Upon exiting, it will strive; upon exiting, it will strive. Thus, we ladder into a long position from support, take profit in the middle of the range or approaching the top
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Speaker A
boundary, open a short on a breakout, take profit in the middle, and trade from the top boundary to the bottom.
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Speaker A
This is a fairly conservative way to trade a sideways range. In sideways ranges, vertical volumes are not particularly representative because they are just flat. across this entire range. Here you need to work more, as I am showing you, using horizontal
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Speaker A
volumes—the volume zone where the money is. Accordingly, any breakouts of these levels will tend to return to the middle of the range, you see? And that is how you trade it. Enter a short position from the upper boundary, and
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Speaker A
take profit at the lower one. Enter a long position from the lower boundary, and take profit either in the middle or at the top. Thus, in sideways markets, horizontal volumes can provide you with several, sometimes even dozens of
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Speaker A
trading opportunities solely from the range boundaries. This is how you can work after—and I emphasize—strong movements. A strong pump on Bitcoin, followed by a transition to a sideways move. A strong dump on Bitcoin, followed by a transition to a sideways
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Speaker A
move. In this sideways range, you can work with horizontal volumes 5, 6, or 10 times. But please, do so in the context of the other market metrics I have shown you. Well, dear friends, we are moving on to the most important
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Speaker A
part of this video, because there was an incredible amount of information, it was important, and to remember it and organize everything in our memory, it is very important to repeat it, because as we were taught in school: repetition
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Speaker A
is the mother of learning. How is it best physiologically? The brain remembers information when it hurts; when you hit your little toe on a table , you walk more carefully the next time . That is why we will review the
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Speaker A
information through the lens of mistakes, because mistakes in trading are painful. They are what prevent us from making money, progressing, achieving results, and what we need to get rid of. By the same logic, as I always say, people come into trading
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Speaker A
thinking about making money, but they never think about how to avoid losing it. Therefore, if you think about how not to lose money and how not to make fatal mistakes, earning will follow after not losing. Let’s recall the
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Speaker A
basics we discussed. Mistake number one is thinking that green volume means buys, and red volume means sells. We already know the market mechanics. In every trade, there is both a purchase and a sale simultaneously. Volume is not divided into buy volume or sell
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Speaker A
volume in a standard volume indicator. And when someone says, "Oh, huge buys just came in," looking at green bars, or "Oh, huge sells just happened, they're dumping," looking at red bars, that is, of course, a mistake, because that is how the interface nudges a
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Speaker A
beginner to think. But if we actually want to see the difference between, note, market buys and sells—that is, those used by regular people, market orders, aggressive and impatient—then we study footprints. We look at the difference between market buys and
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Speaker A
sells, specifically market orders. And this allows us, within a standard volume indicator, to see the difference between aggressive buying and selling.
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Speaker A
From which the price often subsequently reverses in the opposite direction. I have a separate video on the channel about this, which you can also watch, titled "What really influences price." Mistake number two, friends, briefly put, is looking at incorrect volume on
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Speaker A
dubious, small exchanges, and especially looking at spot market volume instead of the futures market.
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Speaker A
As we remember, volume can differ by tens or even hundreds of times between different exchanges. Therefore, if a coin is traded on futures, most likely, its largest volume goes through either Binance or Bybit. Look at those volumes . Look at the difference: 400 million
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Speaker A
in volume versus 20 million in volume. That's a 20-fold difference. Next, friends, mistake number three. One of the most fatal mistakes is shorting a strong rally on rising volume just because you think it's already expensive. This is entering against a
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Speaker A
movement that the market is currently confirming with money, without a single sign of stopping. And even if you see red candles, it is still not a sign of stopping. It is still not weakness, it is not a reversal, and it is not the
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Speaker A
beginning of a bear trend. You must impose a personal ban on trading such setups, where you stand against a tank, against a train, trying to short before everyone else, trying to catch the top before everyone else. This is the most
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Speaker A
frequent beginner mistake, because of which an incredible number of people lose simply giant sums of money.
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Speaker A
Because your psychology tells you: "How can it possibly grow without stopping?" "How is this possible?""It's already up 20%, 50%, 100%, 200%, 300%, but it has to stop." And you fall into what we call "monster coins" in our web group,
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Speaker A
those "liquidation traps" that happen once every few months. The whole market gets in, and it drags them 1,000%higher , liquidating everyone who isn't capable, pay attention, friends, of admitting their mistake. If you go against the trend, that is already a
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Speaker A
mistake, but you must learn to admit it . If you opened a short into a green, bullish, growing market, and it drags you up, don't drag it out to infinity, holding 100%against you, 200, 500, 1,000, and so on. Close the trade and
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Speaker A
that's it; just get rid of it. Mistake number four, friends, is the exact opposite: longing a strong drop on rising volume, trying to buy the bottom and thinking it's already cheap. When you try to catch a falling knife
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Speaker A
against an active, unexhausted seller, when red candles are expanding, when turnover is growing, and you think you’re opening a long position at a discount—that it’s cheap now, tasty and attractive to buy the coin since it’s down 80%, a clearance sale—
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Speaker A
then you risk facing a second clearance , and then a third, because things with no value (it’s just air, it’s altcoins) can fall infinitely by an infinite number of percent. By 80%, then by another 80%, then another 80%,
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Speaker A
then another 80%. Psychology comes into play here. The behavior is such that, well, the coin is cheaper now, so it’s the perfect time to average down . Again, you drag trades to the very bottom, average your positions, and
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Speaker A
pour more and more money into losing positions instead of profitable ones. And you don't want to admit your mistake, clinging to a hope that rings in the back of everyone’s mind like a distant voice saying: "It will bounce
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Speaker A
soon, it has to bounce, it will bounce sooner or later." It doesn’t bounce; it falls lower and lower and lower and lower and lower and lower. Do you understand, friends? There is no point in trying to catch the bottom and
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Speaker A
wondering where that bottom is. You can trade local bounces to the long side, but don’t assume the bottom is in and it will never go lower. Any movement must be confirmed by metrics, not by your subjective opinion that it’s
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Speaker A
already cheap or already expensive. Mistake number five, friends, is jumping into a long position at highs on a breakout without volume. The fact that the price is breaking out often looks very impulsive; there really can be large bullish candles, a level
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Speaker A
breakout, and a move past a level. This is perceived as an invitation to go long, because it triggers the psychological fear of missing out on the next move. You think if I don’t buy now, everything will take off
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Speaker A
without me, it will leave me behind. Big green candles. You’re often looking at this from your phone, too.
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Speaker A
And in a rush, you quickly open a long position without considering other important metrics: that money isn't flowing in, that there's no volume, and that this could be a false move just to hunt stops or liquidations. And mistake
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Speaker A
number six, its sister or brother, is the opposite: doing exactly the reverse when we see very high volume on a breakout, and people short that volume because they think it’s a false resistance breakout or liquidity sweep, or just a candle reaching resistance—
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Speaker A
right here, for example—and it will now return to the range. and people fail to notice the monstrously huge volumes and watch it fly up 100, 200 percent, and so on. Remember, friends, that as you approach key levels and
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Speaker A
beyond obvious levels, there is very likely a high concentration of stop-losses, liquidations, pending limit orders, and conditional orders— long stops below support, short stops and liquidations above resistance, and breakout orders. For a large market participant and informed traders, this
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Speaker A
is always counter-liquidity, which can be used to conveniently build or unload a position. That is precisely why, when breakouts occur, it is very important not to rush and to observe what is happening in the market. Is this breakout happening without money or
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Speaker A
with money, with an increase in open interest or with position closures? What is happening with liquidations there? What is happening with funding at that moment? What is the long-short ratio in the market? What about CVD and the delta of aggressive market buys and
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Speaker A
sells in breakout trades? My recommendation: never rush, and put this trade in observation mode for at least the next few hours, so that the market is more likely to let you know if there is strength or weakness, if
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Speaker A
there will be a continuation of the movement and volume growth, or if the price is just going there on three bots with a thin order book and will return to the range. And the very fact of this market behavior will give you much more
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Speaker A
information than when you rush and look only at the color or size of the candle . Moving on, friends. Error number seven is longing bounces in a trend that is already bearish. The psychology here is, "Well, it was so high, the
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Speaker A
coin was growing, it's a cool asset, it had such growth, it will come back, it will come back, it will grow now." But at the same time, money is leaving the coin, positions are being closed, volumes are falling, and every new
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Speaker A
bounce is a good opportunity to open a short with the trend, not against it.
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Speaker A
This is just as much of a mistake in a bear trend. Longing bounces in a confirmed downtrend is just like shorting strong bullish impulses and again going against the market movement . Error number eight, friends, which we have analyzed in great detail, is
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Speaker A
ignoring climax extreme volumes at the highs. Psychology will scream with all its might: "It's about to fly!""This is just incredible!""The coin has finally broken out of accumulation or entered a super-stage of mega-growth.""It was growing slowly, slowly, and now it has
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Speaker A
finally flown into space.""Now we're going to see massive gains." That's what many think. They absolutely do not understand or notice that they are becoming the final liquidity at market highs, where their longs opened on FOMO , on fear of missing out, on euphoria,
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Speaker A
and on greed are absorbed by limit orders as the market reverses, and positions are being taken and closed.
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Speaker A
Otherwise, how else can you explain such high volume? High volume can only exist when someone on one side is buying a lot, while on the other side, exactly as much is being sold to them.
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Speaker A
It is always worth asking: is it a good purchase to buy at market highs, especially when positive news is out, when Telegram bloggers are saying, " Well, this is just the best coin." Buy it, get in now. I’m selling my
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Speaker A
grandmother’s apartment and going all-in on a long because this coin is about to give another 100x return. And right after that, the price usually reverses, drops 90%, and never returns to that volume zone again. A similar mistake, friends, just slightly the
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Speaker A
opposite, is seeing large extreme volumes only at the market bottom. And, as I said, this is not a mirror situation. If at the highs this is truly the end of the move 90%of the time, from where a reversal will occur,
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Speaker A
then in a bear market, these are just very large liquidations, as you can see here, here, here, and here. And in a falling market, remember the altcoin charts, which can drop by 99.99%. This could simply be a new wave of major
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Speaker A
long liquidations that were opened somewhere right at the highs. Therefore , looking for a market bottom or support, or thinking "the bottom is in, there will be a reversal now" in a falling, downward trend based on large volumes, is a mistake, because after
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Speaker A
that you could go even lower, and lower , and lower. The tenth mistake, friends , is not noticing the absorption of positions at a level, when after a strong pump and sharp move, the price enters a sideways range, but a very
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Speaker A
large volume is traded within that range. That is, the market effort is very high, there is a lot of buying and selling, but the price is not moving higher. Often, this is absorption, after which the price reverses. Mistake
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Speaker A
number 11, friends, is evaluating volumes without context, without a trend, and without a level. It's just jumping on some volumes and thinking, " Oh, a big volume bar, I'm going long," or "Oh, a big volume bar, I'm going
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Speaker A
short." That is, simply evaluating volumes somewhere in an unclear place, in an unclear range, not tied to a previous trend move, a breakout, stop-losses, or anything else. Just volume in the middle of nothing means exactly nothing. But someone might
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Speaker A
mistakenly take this for some kind of relevant change and open positions incorrectly. A much more serious mistake in this same category is jumping on a volume spike at a level without waiting for any follow-through.
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Speaker A
That is, you might see false breakouts, manipulations, long squeezes, short squeezes—there might be a truly significant level, you see a big volume spike, and you react to it immediately.
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Speaker A
So, you might think, "Oh, this is a breakout of the level, that's it, we're flying higher." Yes, because you say it's a major level, but you don't let the market show you what the reaction will be after that high-volume candle.
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Speaker A
That is rushing again, because it could just be a single volume bar intended solely as manipulation to gather those liquidations. But if you don't analyze these indicators—how could you analyze them if you don't know about them, right?—and you don't look at
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Speaker A
liquidations, open interest, volumes, or anything else that exists in the market, you might just see a sharp, big price surge. Look, that's a whole 10%.
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Speaker A
10%movement, a huge bullish candle, huge volume. That's it, that's enough for people to open a long. They open a long here, they get spun out, and the price reverses instantly. And all you had to do was just wait for the
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Speaker A
reaction after that volume candle. Therefore, the biggest mistake in volume analysis, friends, is mistake number 13, which I placed specifically on this—some might say it's an unlucky number, right. It is analyzing volumes in isolation from all other metrics and all other indicators.
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Speaker A
Volume is not a standalone trading system. Volume by itself will not give you an entry point, a stop-loss level, or a target. Volume evaluates quality.
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Speaker A
The whole system is built on context, the trend, the level, what the price is doing at that level, what is happening with positions there, what imbalances and skews exist in those positions, what the funding is, and the long-to-short ratio. Is there a skew in
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Speaker A
the funding rate at this point? Who is paying whom? Is there really an aggressive side here that is buying more or selling more with market orders ? Where are the liquidity zones for the coin? Has the price reached a zone
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Speaker A
where major liquidations occurred? What sell and buy walls are in place? You filter all these data and metrics through your personal trading experience, your practice, and your observational skills. How many thousands of hours have you spent in the market, how many thousands of
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Speaker A
trades have you executed. Based on all of this, you trade with a clear plan for the trade, where you will admit your mistake, where you will close the trade, where you will take profit. And most importantly, every single trade,
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Speaker A
when analyzed in this exact way, is built strictly into your risk control, money management, and deposit management system. And this, friends, forms your mathematical expectation over the long run, which is calculated as the difference between the number of
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Speaker A
profitable trades multiplied by the average profit per trade, minus the number of losing trades multiplied by the loss per trade. And between them, there is also a ratio called the win rate, which will ultimately show how much you will earn over the long run.
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Speaker A
And all of this, everything I have shown and told you at the end here, is called the trading system that you work with. But that is a separate topic for a separate, most likely ten-hour video, because such an amount of information
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Speaker A
on this topic cannot fit into a single video. As you can see, we have been analyzing the topic of volumes for so many hours, and for each individual instrument, and for trading in general, there are tens, I would even say
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Speaker A
hundreds of hours of information accumulated over 6 years of experience working with cryptocurrencies that can still be shared. Therefore, dear friends, as the saying goes, you have to eat an elephant one bite at a time.
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Speaker A
Today, we have analyzed the very important topic of volumes with you. I hope this information was useful for you. You will use it in your trading to improve your trading results, avoid making mistakes, and work wisely by analyzing trading volumes. Friends, if
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Speaker A
this video was useful for you, I would like to say that this is, of course, just the tip of the iceberg. I have a lot more material, and the most valuable content is not even released here, but on my Telegram channel. On
113:38
Speaker A
YouTube, I post large topics, but rarely. While on the channel, work is going on almost every day. There, you will receive detailed market analytics in real-time, listen to podcasts on risk management and deposit management, and get comprehensive information on
113:54
Speaker A
the foundation of a trading strategy. I have broken down dozens of mistakes for you there that cause beginner traders to drain their deposits and lose money.
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Speaker A
In simple terms, you will get material there that will have a real positive impact on your trading results over the long run. And most of this material is not released on YouTube at all.
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Speaker A
Therefore, friends, I highly recommend subscribing, because for you it will be a goldmine of practical information on trading. The link will be under this video. Subscribe. The channel is open and public. Go there, study, apply, and improve your trading results. I highly
114:31
Speaker A
recommend that you watch other videos on this YouTube channel. As a sign of gratitude for this video, I will ask very little of you. Just leave a like and write a comment about which topic you liked the most, or which mistake,
114:44
Speaker A
breakdown, or piece of information in this video turned out to be the most useful for you. I will read everything with great attention and will definitely reply to you. Thank you for your attention, friends, and I wish you
114:55
Speaker A
great success in your trading.
Topics:trading volumecrypto tradingvolume analysismarket volumetrading mistakesvolume screenerorder typesprice actionvolume spikescryptocurrency

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