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축구토토 승무패 59회차 최종픽 , 믿는 팀에 발등 찍힌다 ! #toto #토토 #스포츠토토 #viral #fyp #epl #프리미어리그 #라리가 #축구승무패 #축구 #축구분석

Soccer Toto Win-Draw-Loss Round 59 final picks and analysis covering Premier League and La Liga matches with betting insights and team performance breakdowns.

Key Takeaways

  • Betting picks consider multiple variables including player availability and team form post-international break.
  • Possession stats alone do not guarantee match outcomes; teams like Chelsea and Fulham show contrasting results despite possession levels.
  • Double chance bets are recommended in matches with high unpredictability, such as Aston Villa vs Brentford.
  • Teams with strong counterattacking capabilities can capitalize on opponents' possession dominance.
  • Exclusive membership offers deeper analysis and ad-free viewing for serious bettors.

What the video covers

  • The video provides final picks for Soccer Toto Win-Draw-Loss Round 59 focusing on Premier League and La Liga matches.
  • Key factors considered include player call-ups for national teams, injuries, fatigue from the A-match break, and team possession stats.
  • Aston Villa vs Brentford analysis highlights Aston Villa's low shot creation but potential attacking diversity versus Brentford's strong aerial duels and counterattacking style.
  • Chelsea vs Bournemouth discussion emphasizes Chelsea's effective low-possession attacking style and Bournemouth's inability to convert early leads into wins.
  • Ipswich vs Fulham analysis notes Ipswich's counterattacking resilience and Fulham's high possession but poor results, leading to a draw pick.
  • Sunderland vs Brighton preview points out Sunderland's defensive counterattack style and Brighton's league-leading possession and pressure dominance.
  • La Liga matches including Real Madrid vs Villarreal and Real Sociedad vs Deportivo are briefly analyzed with possession stats and squad rotation considerations.
  • The host encourages viewers to join the exclusive membership for full picks and ad-free content.
  • The video is concise compared to longer exclusive content, focusing on main betting insights and final picks.
  • Viewers are asked to like, subscribe, and engage with the channel to support growth.

Chapters

  1. 00:00Introduction and Overview of Soccer Toto Round 59
  2. 01:45Aston Villa vs Brentford Match Analysis
  3. 04:06Chelsea vs Bournemouth Match Analysis
  4. 06:30Ipswich vs Fulham Match Analysis
  5. 07:39Sunderland vs Brighton Match Preview
  6. 11:18La Liga Matches: Real Madrid vs Villarreal and Others
  7. 13:58Closing Remarks and Membership Promotion

Answers

Questions about this video

What factors does the Betting Man consider for his final picks in Soccer Toto Round 59?

He considers player call-ups for national teams, injuries, fatigue from the international break, team possession stats, and recent performance trends.

Why does the Betting Man recommend a double chance bet for Aston Villa vs Brentford?

Because the match is unpredictable with both teams having similar possession stats and contrasting strengths, betting solely on a loss for Aston Villa could lead to surprises.

How does Chelsea's possession style affect their match outcomes according to the analysis?

Chelsea tends to perform better offensively with less possession, using fast breaks effectively, which makes their matches unpredictable despite lower possession percentages.

Full Transcript — Download SRT & Markdown

00:16
Speaker A
Take it all. I'm the Betting Man from Goal-Striking TV, YouTube's number one soccer analysis channel. Now, let's look at Soccer Toto Win-Draw-Loss Round 59. I’ll take some time to share my final picks with you. While it consists of the Premier League and La Liga, this
00:34
Speaker A
round is expected to be tricky as we need to consider variables like key players called up for national teams, their performance, potential injuries, and fatigue during the A-match break.
00:47
Speaker A
I’ve prepared this to be as helpful as possible for you, so I hope you use it to get good results. Since the exclusive membership videos for 'Betting Man Family' members usually run over 30 minutes, I’ll keep this brief
01:02
Speaker A
and stick to the main points as requested. Because these league matches take place right after the A-match break and have many variables, I will limit my final picks for this round to a 36,000 won purchase. I know many of
01:17
Speaker A
you have been waiting for these league matches to return, so I’ll start right away. The matches marked in red in the video are shared exclusively with 'Betting Man Family' members, so I recommend joining at the 8,990 won per
01:33
Speaker A
month level to check all content and watch the final pick videos without ads. Now, before I go over my final picks for Soccer Toto Win-Draw-Loss Round 59, please hit the like button, and if you haven't subscribed yet, please
01:49
Speaker A
subscribe and like the video. Also, you can see a "Hype" feature in the comments; please click it once as it helps our Goal-Striking TV channel grow. Now, match number 1: Aston Villa vs.
02:06
Speaker A
Brentford. The home team, Aston Villa, has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five matches, and the most frustrating part this season has been their inability to create many scoring opportunities. So far, they are
02:18
Speaker A
averaging only 9.6 shots per game, ranking last in the Premier League, and their expected goals (xG) over the five matches is also at the bottom with 4.56. However, in their previous away match against Tottenham, they recorded 15
02:30
Speaker A
shots and 6 on target, winning 3-2. With Johannman scoring a goal and an assist, and Nicolas Jackson and Buendia also finding the net, I think they’ve shown the potential of a new attacking combination, and with Garnacho, who is
02:45
Speaker A
faster than the ball, also scoring in the friendly against Sevilla, it seems their attacking options have diversified. The opposing team, Brentford, is currently undefeated this season, finding success by maintaining lower possession than their opponents and launching quick balls forward.
03:02
Speaker A
Players like Mads Roerslev, Kevin Schade, and Igor Thiago are putting in great performances, and their attacks through set pieces and corner kicks are very strong in the Premier League. They lead the league with 21.6 aerial duels won per game, whereas Aston Villa sits
03:20
Speaker A
at the bottom with only 9, meaning what Brentford excels at, Aston Villa struggles with. However, as I mentioned, Brentford's attacking style works best when the opponent holds more possession. Since Brentford is 14th in league possession and Aston Villa is
03:38
Speaker A
13th, there is little difference between them, so we'll have to see who actually controls more of the ball in the match. Aston Villa also plays better offensively when they have less possession, so while Brentford looks better based on this season's record, I
03:56
Speaker A
think betting solely on an Aston Villa loss could lead to a surprise. I will use a double chance covering all three outcomes for Aston Villa in this match.
04:06
Speaker A
Moving to the second match, Chelsea versus Bournemouth; the home team Chelsea is recording only 47.1% possession in the Premier League this season, which is lower than expected.
04:15
Speaker A
Usually, when you hear the name Chelsea, you’d expect them to dominate possession, but they’ve actually shown better attacking prowess this season when they have less of the ball.
04:26
Speaker A
This season, Chelsea leads the league with 14 fast breaks, and they also lead the league in shots following fast breaks with 11, and goals with three.
04:36
Speaker A
In fact, against Brighton, they managed only 25.6% possession but scored four goals, while against Hull City, they held 68.3% possession but only managed a 2-2 draw, and against Brentford, they had 59.8% possession but were soundly defeated 3-0. As those who have watched
04:51
Speaker A
their games know, they employ an "all-out" attack, often pushing their defensive line past the halfway mark, which makes it a double-edged sword tactic. As for Bournemouth, they are recording 47.5% possession this season, which is slightly higher than Chelsea's,
05:05
Speaker A
but in reality, they are pretty much at the same level. The unique thing about Bournemouth this season is that they've scored the first goal in four of their five matches so far, but the problem is they haven't managed to
05:16
Speaker A
secure a single win in those four games. It could be dismissed as a mistake once or twice, but this seems like a chronic issue; note that in their most recent match, a 0-1 loss to Liverpool, they didn't blow a lead but failed to
05:32
Speaker A
score from the start, and with Alex Scott returning injured from the England national team, missing a midfielder who had played in every match this season is a significant setback. Of course, Joao Pedro is expected to miss out for Chelsea too,
05:51
Speaker A
but with Welbeck's clinical finishing, he should be a capable replacement, and given the form shown by fast wingers like Colwill, Neto, and Stevan, as well as Morgan Rogers with the England national team during the international break, I believe Chelsea has the edge
06:12
Speaker A
in an attacking clash, and while I considered a draw, their 5-0-5 record in the last ten meetings and their current form lead me to pick a straight Chelsea win. Now, match number three: Ipswich versus Fulham. The home team,
06:30
Speaker A
Ipswich, currently records 44.7% possession in the Premier League this season, ranking 16th in the league. As a newly promoted team, they sit back to defend before launching quick counterattacks, with Julio Enciso performing exceptionally well in these situations, having already scored two
06:45
Speaker A
game-winning goals after the 90th minute in the league. With Jack Clarke scoring a winner in stoppage time against Sunderland and Zian Flemming doing the same against Crystal Palace, Ipswich has been responsible for two of the only three 90th-minute winners in
06:59
Speaker A
the entire Premier League so far, showing their tenacity to survive a beating and finish the opponent off with one final blow. As I always say, the visiting team Fulham is the "Robin Hood" of the Premier League. They are a
07:11
Speaker A
team that gives points away to the weak and takes points from the strong. I’ve mentioned it often, but since Ipswich is fundamentally considered a weaker team, I don't see a win for Fulham in this match. In terms of
07:23
Speaker A
performance, Fulham ranks 7th this season with 54.3% possession, which is significantly higher than Ipswich, so it looks like Fulham will take the initiative in this match. The problem is that despite high possession and many shots this season, they haven't
07:39
Speaker A
won a single game; in particular, they had 61% possession against Chelsea but still lost. And in the match against Sunderland, they recorded 58% possession but suffered a defeat. Also, in the match against Crystal Palace, they recorded 64% possession but lost as well.
07:53
Speaker A
Whenever they had high possession, they lost. So, it's highly likely that Fulham will control possession and push Ipswich, but since Ipswich isn't a team that plays by holding the ball for long, they will likely strike quickly from
08:05
Speaker A
good positions once Fulham loses possession. However, since Ipswich's forward won't be playing in this match, I think they have lost an attacking option that could shake up the flanks with speed and 1-on-1 dribbling, so Ipswich's attack likely won't be easy
08:22
Speaker A
either. I will choose only a draw for Ipswich in this match. Now, match number 4, Sunderland vs. Brighton. The home team, Sunderland, is a team that basically sits deep and attacks through quick counterattacks; while they are 8th in expected goals with 10.8—the
08:42
Speaker A
2nd highest in the Premier League— the
08:58
Speaker A
which is the highest in the Premier League. Given that their opponent is Brighton, I don't think I can pick Sunderland to win. The reason is that Brighton leads the Premier League with 64.7%possession this season, and it's not just high possession; they also
09:15
Speaker A
rank at the top in big chances per game and 1st in the Premier League in expected goals with 12.48, having scored 16 goals in their last five games and crushing Arsenal 3-0 in their previous match. This is important, but
09:29
Speaker A
what I find most critical for the match against Sunderland is not Brighton's attacking power, but their pressing.
09:34
Speaker A
Brighton currently ranks 1st in the Premier League with a PPDA of 7.4. They barely give their opponents time to circulate the ball, forcing a league-high 56 high turnovers, which shows they are performing at their peak . That spells disaster for Sunderland.
09:50
Speaker A
The reason is that Sunderland collapses most often this season when they make mistakes while passing among themselves , and Brighton happens to be a team that chases down the ball like wild dogs, so the key point is whether
10:03
Speaker A
Sunderland can escape Brighton's pressure. Furthermore, if Sunderland decides they just can't handle it, and resort to just booting the ball forward to play on their own, even then, their ace attacker Brian Brobbey is out with a hamstring injury and won't be able to
10:20
Speaker A
play, meaning they lack the player who can hold up the ball and push through with physicality, so I’m picking a straight loss for Sunderland in this match. Now, match number 5, Alaves versus Atletico Madrid. This match, given both teams 'possession stats this
10:36
Speaker A
season, will likely see Atletico Madrid dominate possession and attack, while Alaves sits deep and looks for a counterattack opportunity. Home team Alaves has secured 9 points in four home games with 3 wins and 1 loss, scoring 9 goals and conceding 3, and
10:51
Speaker A
Lucas Boye is their top scorer with four goals, making him the most reliable attacking card they have, especially since he scored 14 goals last season. So, from Alaves' perspective, if they defend well and land one or two solid counterattacks
11:08
Speaker A
led by Lucas Boye and Diaz, they could definitely pull off an upset, but their defensive anchor Ville Koski was injured during the international break.
11:18
Speaker A
Ville Koski is their regular center-back who started all seven of Alaves 'games this season playing nearly full time, but he got injured while with the Finland national team and is expected to be out for about five weeks. This is important because
11:31
Speaker A
Atletico Madrid’s scoring ability is currently surging. Atletico has scored 16 goals in seven matches and is on an upward trend after beating Real Madrid last time out, and they are clearly a team with better fundamental attacking metrics than Alaves. And the scariest
11:47
Speaker A
player for Atletico right now is Jonathan David, who has scored three goals in just three appearances, meaning he has scored in every game he’s played, including the last match against Real Madrid. With the excellent Alvarez, Alex Baena, and Giuliano
12:01
Speaker A
Simeone, the attacking line is really coming to life. Our own Lee Kang-in has been performing well, but his ankle injury makes his participation uncertain, so we'll have to wait and see if he can play. Ultimately, while the away match against Alavés will be
12:17
Speaker A
tough, I think Atlético Madrid will prevail. Domestically, Atlético Madrid is favored at 1.68 on the road; they've held this same 1.68 odds twice before and won both times, so I’m going with a straight loss for Alavés. Moving on,
12:37
Speaker A
match number 7, Real Madrid vs. Villarreal. The home team, Real Madrid, currently holds a 52.3%possession rate this La Liga season, tied for 5th, while the visiting Villarreal is 2nd with a massive 61.4%. This means Villarreal keeps the ball more than
12:53
Speaker A
Real Madrid, but while Villarreal has 13 goals with an expected goal value of 17.09 in seven games, Real Madrid has 18 goals and a higher expected goal value despite lower possession. Real Madrid clearly capitalizes on opportunities when they arrive, and
13:08
Speaker A
that difference is undoubtedly due to having Mbappé. Mbappé, in particular, is a player who can exploit space behind the line as soon as the opponent pushes up, so facing a team like Villarreal that keeps high possession and plays an attacking game actually
13:22
Speaker A
plays right into Real's hands. Also, while both teams have many players returning from international duty, Villarreal’s Canadian players Nathan Saliba and Tani Oluwaseyi, and US player Alex Freeman, had to travel long distances after their match on October 7th and missed training until Thursday.
13:42
Speaker A
With so little time for full tactical team training before the Real Madrid game, this will certainly be a variable . Plus, with Canada’s Tajon Buchanan confirmed out due to a muscle injury, considering the loss of attacking options on the flank, I am choosing a
13:58
Speaker A
straight win for Real Madrid. Next, match number 11, Real Sociedad vs. Depor. I honestly don't think we need to look at anything else for this match . So what should we focus on? The simple fact that Depor's veteran
14:12
Speaker A
striker Aubameyang is out with an injury is enough to tell me that there’s no chance for a Depor victory . Aubameyang has scored five goals this season and taken a team-high 17 shots, 10 of which were on target. His
14:27
Speaker A
finishing is so clinical that I’d say Deportivo without him is like a steamed bun without the red bean filling. On the other hand, for the home team Real Sociedad, Luka Sučić has already scored three goals in seven matches,
14:41
Speaker A
leading the team. He’s become a vital starter, already matching his total La Liga goal tally from all of last season in just seven games. Oyarzabal, whom I often joke about, still hasn't scored but has provided two assists, and I
14:59
Speaker A
have a feeling it’s finally time for Takefusa Kubo to break out as well. However, with Oscar suspended and key defender Jon Aramburu out, it’s hard to say Real Sociedad will be at full strength. It really comes down to which
15:16
Speaker A
side can produce that decisive attacking moment. As I mentioned, if we're looking for that spark, it’s more logical to bet on Real Sociedad, with their variety of options like Sučić, Oyarzabal, Barrenetxea, and Óskarsson, rather than hoping for something from a Depor side without
15:32
Speaker A
Aubameyang. I’m going to go with a straight win for Real Sociedad in this match. Moving on to game 13, Real Betis versus Osasuna. For the home team, Real Betis, they currently rank fourth in possession in La Liga this season. They
15:47
Speaker A
aren't just controlling the ball; they hold a 5-1-1 record with 16 points, sitting third in the league, and are a perfect three-for-three at home.
15:54
Speaker A
Conversely, Osasuna shows a major drop in defensive concentration on the road, where they concede more than three times as many goals compared to their home games. Also, Osasuna is the team with the most long-ball passes this season, often just launching it for
16:07
Speaker A
Budimir’s head. Since Betis is the team that allows the fewest long balls, it’s unlikely Osasuna’s style will be enough to break down the Betis defense. Furthermore, Troy Parrott has returned from the Ireland national team with his form clearly boosted after
16:25
Speaker A
netting four goals. The reason this is important is because after the match against Osasuna, Betis has a Champions League game against Porto scheduled, so they need to rotate their squad, making Troy Parrott’s performance a huge help to his team. Since Betis has such
16:42
Speaker A
diverse attacking options and Osasuna tends to lose defensive focus on the road, while relying on Budimir for their attack, I will go with a single win for Betis in this match. Well, I’ve shared my final picks for the
16:57
Speaker A
59th round of the Soccer Toto Win-Draw-Loss, and I hope you find them helpful and get good results. You've all worked hard this week. Take it all.
17:05
Speaker A
M.
Topics:Soccer TotoWin-Draw-LossPremier LeagueLa Ligafootball bettingsports analysissoccer predictionsbetting tipsfootball tacticsGoal-Striking TV

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