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Greetings, dear friends. Another week has passed, so let's discuss the issues that arose this week, tossed our way by a world changing so fast that you can barely keep up with it. Nevertheless, please take a moment to like and
Analysis of Ukrainian strikes on Russian infrastructure, Trump's stance on Ukraine, and Putin's alleged interference in Brexit.
Key Takeaways
- Ukrainian strikes affect Russian internet infrastructure but do not critically damage bank data due to redundancy.
- Russian government policies have weakened network resilience more than external attacks.
- Trump's political maneuvers against Zelensky align with Putin's interests but are driven by US domestic politics.
- Technological sanctions and war impact Russian technological capabilities and infrastructure.
- European legal systems remain functional despite political challenges like Brexit and Russian interference.
What the video covers
- Ukrainian strikes on Russian data centers impact internet and business communications but will not erase bank account records due to data duplication.
- Russian government actions, including internet disconnection and legislation, have reduced network resilience more than the strikes themselves.
- The internet was designed for resilience, but Russian controls like SORM and traffic filtering have weakened it significantly.
- Trump's political strategy involves demanding Zelensky's resignation, influenced by perceptions of Zelensky's support for the Democratic Party.
- Trump focuses on lowering diesel prices amid war-related supply issues, blaming Ukrainians despite their support base.
- Technological sanctions and reliance on imported components have decreased Russia's network efficiency and supercomputer operations.
- Trump prefers executive orders over Congress, which can launch investigations that may delay his political agenda.
- Putin's narratives align with Trump’s calls against Zelensky, benefiting Trump politically while complicating US-Ukraine relations.
- The video discusses the complexity of proving Putin's direct interference in Brexit and highlights European legal system effectiveness.
- Sanctions on ordinary Russians contrast with the lifting of sanctions on ultra-wealthy Russians, revealing political manipulation.
Chapters
- 00:00Introduction and Weekly Overview
- 02:07Impact of Ukrainian Strikes on Russian Internet and Business
- 04:18Further Effects on Communication and Data Services
- 06:17Trump’s Political Strategy and Congressional Investigations
- 08:25Technological Sanctions and Russian Network Efficiency
- 10:35Trump, Zelensky, and Political Narratives
- 12:55US-Ukraine Relations and Upcoming Elections
- 17:48European Legal System and Brexit Interference
- 18:48Sanctions and Political Manipulations
Full Transcript — Download SRT & Markdown
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comment, because no new way to explain to YouTube that what we do is important and useful has been invented yet.
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comment, because no new way to explain to YouTube that what we do is important and useful has been invented yet.
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hit zero, or could information about a paid-off loan be lost, or could e-tickets for a flight disappear before departure? Well, e-tickets for a flight can disappear, and they do disappear regularly, even without any Ukrainian strikes. So, let's set that aside. As
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Although, even this method doesn't always work. Ukraine's strikes on data centers. To what extent could this affect the country? Could it set it back 100 years, and what might fall apart? For example, could Sberbank lose records of your account, or could it
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is duplicated many times over and stored in places far beyond just those data centers. It's another matter that some transaction records might be lost, but again, they are likely duplicated, and after some investigation, they will be restored. This is not a critical
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hit zero, or could information about a paid-off loan be lost, or could e-tickets for a flight disappear before departure? Well, e-tickets for a flight can disappear, and they do disappear regularly, even without any Ukrainian strikes. So, let's set that aside. As
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internet and everything connected to it —modern business communications and services—will naturally start to crumble. And in many ways, this is linked not only to the Ukrainian strikes, but first and foremost to what the Russian government has done to this
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for accounts at Sberbank, they certainly cannot just disappear. Or, to be more precise, information about them cannot disappear. The money itself, however, might. But as a result of strikes on data centers, this information cannot be lost because it
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action. That is, the internet was initially built so that strikes on its individual elements would not disable the whole system. But, as the saying goes, they just couldn't keep their hands off it, so what can you do? It is
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is duplicated many times over and stored in places far beyond just those data centers. It's another matter that some transaction records might be lost, but again, they are likely duplicated, and after some investigation, they will be restored. This is not a critical
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, and then they installed additional systems as part of this famous SORM to control incoming and outgoing traffic.
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part of the consequences of the Ukrainian strikes. And, of course, in this regard, it is impossible to say that the country will return 100 years into the past. It is another matter that if these strikes continue, then the infrastructure of the Russian
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the resilience of the Russian network. Well, plus the supercomputers. The weight of large machines, for now, is full-scale operation. Also, given the disconnection from the international, global network, and other countries, it cannot function, and there are few machines. And these machines are mainly
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internet and everything connected to it — modern business communications and services — will naturally start to crumble. And in many ways, this is linked not only to the Ukrainian strikes, but first and foremost to what the Russian government has done to this
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It is clear that further strikes could lead to significant complications for businesses connected to the internet.
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very internet and these very systems of communication and data processing. I want to remind you that when the internet was being created in America, the technical requirement for its creation was precisely maximum resilience in the event of military
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But the ordinary businesses we are used to, the services we are accustomed to, those will fall apart. And they will fall apart largely, I want to say again , not only because strikes were carried out, but also because the efforts of
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action. That is, the internet was initially built so that strikes on its individual elements would not disable the whole system. But, as the saying goes, they just couldn't keep their hands off it, so what can you do? It is
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about or confirms? Why is Trump already directly demanding Zelensky's resignation? Did Putin somehow manage to corrupt Trump? Trump has elections coming up. Very soon, just 3 weeks left . The elections, of course, are not for him personally. His term is still
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clear that Roskomnadzor really wanted to disconnect the Russian internet from the global one. And because of that, the possibilities for redundancy and storing information outside of Russia were drastically reduced by legislation. This, of course, lowered its resilience. Then they installed filters,
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Donald Trump's hands, because even now he doesn't turn to Congress very often, preferring to act mainly through executive orders, but nonetheless, Congress has the ability, for example, to launch investigations. And these investigations into Trump himself and people in his circle will cost time,
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and then they installed additional systems as part of this famous SORM to control incoming and outgoing traffic.
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now, he is thinking almost only about this. And why is it falling apart for Trump's team? Why is the Congress crumbling? It is crumbling largely due to diesel fuel prices, which have jumped up as a result of the war that
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And then it turned out that installing them everywhere was somehow unprofitable, expensive, and they just didn't want to. And let's try to redirect traffic to a limited number of points where it will converge. And, of course, all of this has sharply reduced
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drop in global diesel production was caused by Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries—that’s a bit of a reach.
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the resilience of the Russian network. Well, plus the supercomputers. The weight of large machines, for now, is full-scale operation. Also, given the disconnection from the international, global network, and other countries, it cannot function, and there are few machines. And these machines are mainly
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is, generally speaking, important. Secondly, he would like to show his voter that he is doing everything in his power to lower the price of diesel, but is being hindered by the very Ukrainians that this same Trump voter supports. Actually, we have to
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built using imported components. And these imported components today, given the technological sanctions imposed on Russia due to Putin's war, are not so easy to obtain. Therefore, it is clear that network efficiency has decreased.
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is doing right now, because they need it to win, or at the very least, to soften a defeat in the upcoming midterm elections. And I don't think we need to introduce additional factors like the corruption of Trump here. I don’t
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It is clear that further strikes could lead to significant complications for businesses connected to the internet.
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own interests. And the fact that Ukraine’s interests suffer as a result, well, that is something Trump has always been quite indifferent to.
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At the same time, things like bank accounts or information about paid-off loans will most likely not be affected.
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though Trump decided he didn't want to —he decided that Zelensky supports the Democratic Party. I don't actually know who Zelensky supported, but Trump decided that it was the Democratic Party that Zelensky supports. And for Trump, this turned out to be an
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But the ordinary businesses we are used to, the services we are accustomed to, those will fall apart. And they will fall apart largely, I want to say again, not only because strikes were carried out, but also because the efforts of
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we should get rid of Zelensky, he needs to go, and so on. The fact that this coincides with Putin's narratives is perhaps a pleasant, but nonetheless bonus for the Trump team, because, of course, they would like to reach
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the Russian authorities have sharply lowered the stability of networks and information communications within Russia. Why did Trump suddenly move closer to Putin again? What is this strange energy or diesel deal that no one but the American president knows
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Putin's hands for his own interests and due to his emotions, while Putin is trying to improve his position, since nothing is working out on the battlefield. Well, by trying to persuade the Americans to undermine Ukraine's defense capability. What will
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about or confirms? Why is Trump already directly demanding Zelensky's resignation? Did Putin somehow manage to corrupt Trump? Trump has elections coming up. Very soon, just 3 weeks left. The elections, of course, are not for him personally. His term is still
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missiles that have the capability to shoot down ballistic missiles striking Ukrainian cities, and the supply of other weaponry, and the supply of intelligence data with targeting, and the supply of intelligence data indicating enemy air defense sectors.
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ongoing, but the Congressional elections are right around the corner. And there is a huge chance that the Republicans, and Trump accordingly, will lose at least one of the chambers of Congress, or perhaps both. And it's not to say that it will completely tie
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refusal were to occur, would it be difficult for Ukraine? Undoubtedly, it would be difficult. Would it be critical? Hmm, I wouldn't say so, because Ukraine has a sufficient number of allies. These allies, the European allies, have their own intelligence
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Donald Trump's hands, because even now he doesn't turn to Congress very often, preferring to act mainly through executive orders, but nonetheless, Congress has the ability, for example, to launch investigations. And these investigations into Trump himself and people in his circle will cost time,
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countries and have not yet been integrated into a single whole. But there are already technologies, including the very Palantir technology, which allows all this data to be consolidated quite quickly and effectively. I am absolutely convinced that if the United States refuses to
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nerves, and result in very, very bad PR. Therefore, for Donald Trump, even the slightest possibility of keeping both chambers of Congress is a fundamentally important thing. And he will try to do everything related to that. And right
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for money. You see, right now, during the rise in diesel prices in America, the simplest solution for Trump to lower these diesel prices in America would have been to introduce an export restriction. America produces more diesel than it consumes, and a
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now, he is thinking almost only about this. And why is it falling apart for Trump's team? Why is the Congress crumbling? It is crumbling largely due to diesel fuel prices, which have jumped up as a result of the war that
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significant part of his support is based on the companies, people, and cities that depend on this price, and they will not allow their pockets to be hit. The same goes for weapons. Trying to forbid American corporations from making money on the production of
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Trump is waging in Iran and the Middle East. Given that the Strait of Hormuz is blocked and many oil refining facilities in the region are out of commission, well, this is no joking matter at all. And the claim that the
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continued support for Ukraine. And if it is shown that the Trump administration is selling out Ukraine, banning it, or preventing it from defending itself, well, that, in general, will not help much. Therefore, it seems to me that the American
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drop in global diesel production was caused by Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries — that’s a bit of a reach.
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But a total cutoff, which could dramatically affect Ukraine's ability to defend itself, will not happen. Are all three Yandex supercomputers destroyed or severely damaged? They are the country's main supercomputers, after all. Experts say that even Kazakhstan is now ahead of Russia in
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I mean, we are talking about approximately 1% of global diesel trade here. Nevertheless, firstly, even 1% could lead to a drop in the price of diesel by some number of cents or tens of cents. And for a Trump voter, that
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some strikes have been carried out, but we cannot say to what extent this has led to the final and irreversible damage of these computers. Secondly, it is important to understand that in the artificial intelligence race, these supercomputers, which are ranked
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is, generally speaking, important. Secondly, he would like to show his voter that he is doing everything in his power to lower the price of diesel, but is being hindered by the very Ukrainians that this same Trump voter supports. Actually, we have to
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Moreover, to my deep astonishment and in some sense dismay, Europe, despite having a very qualified workforce and quite substantial capabilities, has, for all intents and purposes, excluded itself from this race. It is busy regulating the problems associated with
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understand that the majority of Trump’s voters do support the Ukrainians. And so, clashing these two narratives together. You get expensive diesel because of the Ukrainians, and you are the same people who support the Ukrainians. That is what Trump’s team
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Russia present? Russia is present in the use of artificial intelligence. After all, besides the problem of creating artificial intelligence, there is problem number two: how to adapt it to work and how to realize the potential it holds for increasing labor
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is doing right now, because they need it to win, or at the very least, to soften a defeat in the upcoming midterm elections. And I don't think we need to introduce additional factors like the corruption of Trump here. I don’t
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intelligence, and even to develop it in the area I mentioned—developing the use of artificial intelligence—one must have access to the best models.
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know if Putin is corrupting the President of the United States or if that isn't happening yet, but even without any corruption, it is simply in the interests of Donald Trump and his team. And he is acting precisely in his
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But the authorities do not want to do that. Well, because for dictatorships, openness is always a huge, huge problem . And so I am very much afraid that, even after achieving very good results at the start, the Russian artificial
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own interests. And the fact that Ukraine’s interests suffer as a result, well, that is something Trump has always been quite indifferent to.
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throw onto its own developers, onto its own youth who are engaged in modern technology, will at some point become absolutely unbearable. And blaming this whole situation on Ukrainian strikes would be quite ridiculous. Although it is clear that these strikes are taking
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And I would like to note in this regard that emotions, of course, are breaking through. The fact that Donald Trump hasn't forgotten that his first impeachment was linked to Zelensky, that he asked Zelensky to do certain things that Zelensky couldn't do —
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only the meddlesome hands of Roskomnadzor that have led to the fact that now, even minimal strikes against these systems in Russia take them out of commission. This is what we have to live with. Several European countries are preparing a proposal to limit
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though Trump decided he didn't want to — he decided that Zelensky supports the Democratic Party. I don't actually know who Zelensky supported, but Trump decided that it was the Democratic Party that Zelensky supports. And for Trump, this turned out to be an
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about this? Well, let’s clarify that this is not about national visas, which have their own advantages and disadvantages, but about limiting the validity of visas for Russians with territorial restrictions. Honestly speaking, I don't really believe that this will help in any way to fight
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absolutely unacceptable situation. And to this day, he holds it against Zelensky. At every opportunity that arises, meaning whenever he can pit the interests of Ukraine and Zelensky against the interests of his voters, he immediately brings it up and says that
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view, in my opinion, it is quite strange to restrict Russians by citing the possibility of limiting Putin's sabotage and diversionists. So, in general, these restrictions are actually in effect today, and they have significantly reduced the flow of Russians. I have also heard another
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we should get rid of
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reasoning, but it also has understandable counter-problems, because tourist visas are the remaining opportunity for communication between Russian civil society, anti-war Russians, and the West, including that part of the Russians who are already in the West. And when this is shut down
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and we are told that these will all be absolutely unique, individual permits, it is clear that such unique, individual permits will be very easy to block from the other side. Or, in any case, create huge difficulties for the
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recipients of these unique permits within Russia. It seems to me that this is a mistaken approach, and I have explained its fallaciousness to our colleagues in Western governments. And we will continue to explain this. And I think that some changes are inevitable,
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but we will most likely be able to do something in this direction so that these changes are not so dramatic. We will, of course, talk about this in December at the next meeting with platform participants from other European countries besides Russia.
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We’ll see what comes of it. There is a lot of argumentation on both sides.
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And, of course, the sabotage carried out by Putin's sabotage and intelligence machine greatly complicates the possibility of such a conversation about Russian citizens and visas for Russian citizens, including the humanitarian meaning of these visas , because many Russians have relatives
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abroad. Anyway, that’s all. As usual, Vladimir Vladimirovich has set us all up very, very badly. Will we be able to somehow crawl out from under this? Well , we will try. Although one more Leipzig, and the situation will be even
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more difficult. In Montenegro, the founder of the largest Z-channel, Rybar , was detained. The Americans offered $ 10 million for his capture. Montenegro simply deported him to Russia. What is the logic? Does Montenegro fear Putin more than the USA? Then why was he
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detained in the first place? Did no one in Montenegro really need the $ 10 million? Well, I would still like to point out that the Americans were offering $ 10 million for convincing evidence of interference by Rybar and
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similar structures in the elections and political systems of Western countries, primarily the American political system . I mean, it's not about detaining a person, but specifically about proving his guilt and the guilt of the organization. A more serious question
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is: how did a person under sanctions end up in Europe? Through whom did he get there, how did he obtain a visa, and how did he end up on a plane? These are all big and serious questions that,
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as far as I know, are now going to be examined in extreme detail. We can assume that this is about corruption, another act of corruption related to sanctions. And there is a huge, huge number of such situations involving
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corruption in connection with sanctions , including in Europe. Well, I really hope that this specific case will clarify why Montenegro, having no proof of the person's guilt, decided to extradite him specifically to Russia and not somewhere else. Well, this only
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proves that all this talk about judicial systems in Europe not really working is deeply mistaken. The legal system in Europe does work after all.
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And if a person gets into a tough legal situation, they can be sure that even if they are wrong, even if they are actually a criminal, the legal system will protect their interests. And if there is not enough evidence of their
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crime, they will manage to get out of this situation. Another thing is that this whole machine of European justice eventually catches up with everyone it deems important to catch up with. It catches up with them all, whether in 10
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, 20, or 30 years. But this adversarial process is often incomprehensible to us , to Russians, yet it does exist. The UK Prime Minister stated that Russia interfered in the referendum on the country's withdrawal from the EU. Given
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that the margin was less than 2%at the time. Do you believe that Russian interference led to Brexit and changed the composition of the EU? We know that the UK Prime Minister has already said that such an interpretation of his
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statement by journalists is incorrect. I mean, he didn't actually say that Brexit was caused by or was the result of Russian influence. Some kind of influence, as I understand it, did exist, and it will most likely be proven. But it is absolutely certain
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that the polls showed exactly what happened, that the Brexiteers were winning by a small margin. I mean, they know how to count votes here. In this sense, everything here is very precise.
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And it is also absolutely certain that a significant part of the UK's political elite was pushing for Brexit.
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In my view, that was a mistaken position. I said so back then. And the funniest thing is, you know, now many people in the UK, after realizing what Brexit has led to, are absolutely certain that they voted against it. You
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ask people: "Why did you vote for Brexit? Do you see what you've gotten out of it now?" Me, for Brexit? Are you serious? Never. And you see that in reality more than half the country voted for Brexit, but now less than a
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third say they voted for it. How does that happen? Well, it happens. It happens in Russia, and it happens here in the UK as well. People don't want to remember that they made a serious mistake that hit them in their own
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pockets. I think these mistakes must be corrected, and most likely, they will be corrected. The Insider writes that many MEPs continue to travel to Russia after the start of the war, and some even meet with Naryshkin. How does that
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square with the constant tightening of restrictions on Russians? Why doesn't anyone stand up at a session and say: " This deputy met with the head of Russian intelligence yesterday." That is far more dangerous for democracy than issuing a Finnish tourist Schengen
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visa to a teacher from St. Petersburg. Well, it's absolutely certain that corruption within the Western political system is far more dangerous than some visas for ordinary Russians. Absolutely certain, and everyone understands this perfectly well. Another matter is that
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it is very difficult to prove such a situation, such a direct link. Although sometimes it can be quite funny. When we held a hearing regarding the Russian elections in the European Parliament, Mr. Naryshkin, the head of Russia's Foreign Intelligence Service, issued a
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statement saying that various renegades are slandering our most honest elections, and we will oppose them in every way. And the very next day, during those hearings, eight deputies from various parties—mostly radical ones, but still sitting in the European
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Parliament—showed up and started disrupting the event. So, we can clearly see that there is a direct order from Russian foreign intelligence to members of the European Parliament.
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And these deputies, some of these deputies, are carrying out that order. It's even funnier that Russian foreign intelligence is burning its agents on an absolutely stupid and pointless confrontation regarding the assessment of the vote that took place. The fact
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that it had nothing to do with honest elections was so obvious, and the fact that Europe would have a unanimous view on the matter was so obvious, that to burn one's own network of agents for this—well, you know, that often
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happens in dictatorships. The master gave the order, and the so-called servants don't even stop to think about where else they could go. That is why the fact that such agents exist, and that Putin works effectively with his network, is something we have seen in
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many examples, and it must be fought. And, of course, the way this happens at the same time as restrictions on Russians looks extremely unpleasant.
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Just as unpleasant as it looked when sanctions were imposed on ordinary Russians while ultra-wealthy Russians were removed from them, having managed to create conditions where those same Western politicians voted to lift their sanctions. Well, all of this looks
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terrible, and don't think that we aren't talking about it. I have spoken about this quite directly. A few years ago, speaking in the European Parliament, I pointed directly at the deputies sitting there, telling them that we know about you, that you are
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essentially carrying out illegal orders , and we know this about you. Well, there was a big scandal, but I don't know how much it actually helps. I hope it helps, I suppose. That’s all for today. I look forward to new questions.
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And let's return to our conversation in a week. There will surely be a lot of new developments. I hope that over this week the situation between the Donald Trump administration and Ukraine will settle down somehow, because, after all
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, American society and voters stand on the side of Ukraine. I really hope that during this time our voices will also be heard regarding this total pressure on Russian citizens. I have just spoken on this topic in Berlin more than once
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and talked with German politicians. I have the feeling that such an understanding does exist. Let's hope that we will manage to shift something.
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Thank you, and until next time.
Topics:Ukraine strikesRussian internetSberbank dataTrump and ZelenskyPutin Brexit interferenceRussian sanctionsUS midterm electionsSORM internet controlDiesel prices war impactEuropean legal system
