Speaker A
All right, thank you for having me. It's a privilege to be here. My name is Isabelle. I'm a senior at Stanford where I study aeronautics and astronautics, and I'm doing my honors in international security. Today, I'm here to talk to you about my honors work, which is on finding nuclear weapons in outer space and how I used Claude to help me do it. Um, so for those of you that may not know, Article 4 of the Outer Space Treaty bans the placement of nuclear weapons in outer space. Now, other arms control agreements that you may have heard of, like START and New START, include provisions for verification and monitoring. So nations are shown to be compliant with their treaty obligations using inspection systems. We have on-site inspections where inspectors will go and look at each other's delivery vehicles and inspect for the presence of nuclear warheads. We don't have anything like that for outer space, mostly because we signed the Outer Space Treaty in 1967 and there were no technologies to do that kind of inspection. Right? How would you go about approaching a satellite in orbit that might be carrying a nuclear weapon and inspecting it for the presence of such a device? Daunting for the 1960s, daunting today. Um, and this became a problem recently in 2024 in April of last year. Um, the Biden administration announced that the United States assesses that Russia is developing a space vehicle that carries a nuclear weapon. Now, this was pretty destabilizing for the international community. We've had a lot of dispute in the UN Security Council recently about how to handle this potential violation of the Outer Space Treaty. Given that we don't have a verification mechanism for compliance with the Outer Space Treaty, I started to wonder if it would be possible to implement such a system, particularly given that the US Space Force tracks 44,800 space objects today. How would you begin to know which one of those is the suspected nuclear weapon? So this brings me to my research question. Is it feasible to perform an in-space inspection mission where you inspect a target satellite for the presence of a nuclear warhead on board? Daunting question. Um, has a lot of interesting technical and political facets to it. Um, but for one particular aspect of it, I was able to use Claude to my advantage. Um, so I looked at specifically the feasibility of detecting the nuclear weapon with an X-ray system. So you fly an X-ray source and detector on two different inspector satellites in space, have them rendezvous with the suspected nuclear warhead target, and scan it for the presence of a nuclear weapon on board. I wanted to know if this was ever would ever be possible. No one's ever tried using X-rays in space. There are interesting questions around whether the space background environment is—there's too much noise in space to detect the source signal. Um, so I built a computational simulation to see if this would ever be possible, and to do it I used Claude. I used this very complicated CERN, um, software package called Geant4. I am not a particle physicist. I did not know how to approach this software package, um, and write this C++ code. But I was able to make a desktop application to do my simulation using Claude. Um, and it was incredibly exciting. It worked. So what you're seeing in this picture is like a very, very quick snapshot of an X-ray image taken in space. Um, and you see a little hole in the middle that shows you that there's very, very dense file material on board the target of the scan. So indeed, in this simulation, there was a simulated nuclear warhead on board this satellite target. Um, the outcomes for this are pretty significant and interesting, right? There are a lot of, um, people in the national security intelligence community in this country that are interested in developing this kind of capability to inspect adversary spacecraft on orbit to understand their capabilities, particularly whether they might carry a weapon of mass destruction. Um, so having done this research, I actually am going to be able to brief it in Washington, DC to some policymakers at the Pentagon, um, and State. I'm really thrilled about that opportunity. Um, and certainly the desktop application with this level of fidelity would not have been possible without modern AI tools, um, to make this kind of research accessible to an undergrad in less than a year. My takeaways for you, um, kind of as a student, um, doing research in the era of AI is just that primarily there is no learning curve that is too steep any longer. Right? Even the toughest problems, space technologies, notoriously hard, nuclear weapons, existential threats. Um, we can address these critical crises, um, with the tools that we have today with emerging technology. Um, and so I want to challenge all of the minds here and other students to think about like what are the world's toughest problems, like what are the problems that you thought were unaddressable, um, that feel like existential crises to you, um, for the next generation? Those are the ones that we should be using our brand new shiny exciting AI assistants, um, to work on, um, because that's how we're going to help make the world safer and more secure or at least outer space more secure. So, thank you. I'm going to pass it off to the next presenter now, but if you have any questions, I'd love to talk after the presentation.