YouTube Video — Transcript

Detailed bottom-up market analysis around the Fed chairman's 2 PM speech using multi-timeframe charts and liquidity concepts.

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Key Takeaways

Market manipulation often occurs around key events like Fed speeches, targeting retail traders' stops.
Understanding liquidity zones such as order blocks and imbalances is crucial for anticipating price moves.
Multi-timeframe analysis helps reveal the underlying market structure and potential trade entries.
Buy stops and breakout traders can be trapped during false moves before the real directional move occurs.
Following experienced traders on social platforms can provide valuable real-time insights and setups.

What the video covers

The video analyzes market behavior before and after the Fed chairman's 2 PM speech using a bottom-up approach starting from the 1-minute chart.
Focus on key price levels such as morning highs, New York lunch lows, and relative equal highs/lows to understand market manipulation and liquidity sweeps.
Explanation of buy stops triggering and how breakout traders get trapped before the market reverses.
Identification of imbalances and order blocks that influence price action and liquidity draws.
Discussion of retail trader psychology and how stops are hunted to prevent profits on the real move.
Use of Twitter recordings and charts to illustrate live trade setups and market structure.
Highlighting the importance of understanding fair value gaps and optimal trade entries on multiple timeframes.
Emphasis on algorithmic market behavior and manipulation during key events like Fed speeches.
The video includes practical mentorship insights on stop placement and trade management.
Closing remarks encourage viewers to follow on Twitter and YouTube for more market analysis and setups.

Chapters

What is the main focus of the video analysis?

The video focuses on analyzing market price action and liquidity around the Fed chairman's 2 PM speech using a bottom-up approach starting from the 1-minute chart and moving to higher timeframes.

How does the video explain market manipulation?

It explains manipulation by showing how buy stops are triggered to trap breakout traders and how liquidity is drawn out by sweeping key lows and highs to prevent retail traders from profiting.

What trading concepts are emphasized for better market understanding?

The video emphasizes concepts like order blocks, fair value gaps, liquidity zones, stop hunting, and multi-timeframe analysis to help traders anticipate market moves and manage trades effectively.

Full Transcript — Download SRT & Markdown

Speaker A

All right, folks, welcome back. So today we had the chairman speaking at two o'clock in the afternoon. You can see that here. Now, I'm gonna kind of work backward today, and I'm gonna talk about the one-minute chart work our way back out to a higher time frame. So it's kind of like a bottom-up analysis.

Speaker A

time frame so it's kind of like a bottom-up analysis so uh ahead of the two o'clock in the afternoon fed chairman jawboning session uh we've seen this little Judas Point here and notice that it just fell short um the morning High and the high comes

Speaker A

So, ahead of the two o'clock in the afternoon Fed chairman jawboning session, we've seen this little Judas point here, and notice that it just fell short.

Speaker A

equal highs then breaks lower no model short in here then the market drops once more below relative equal lows now what are these lows here these are the lows in lunch hour New York lunch okay here's noon to one and I

Speaker A

The morning high and the high comes here at 12,535 and a half, and over here in the morning session, 12,535 and three quarters. So it fell one quarter of a point or one tick short of that high.

Speaker A

which I did a recording for Twitter today and my chart didn't have this I thought I had it because I was looking at another monitors but this is the imbalance that I was looking at that unfortunately doesn't appear in

Speaker A

So it runs up after clearing relative equal highs, then breaks lower. No model short in here, then the market drops once more below relative equal lows.

Speaker A

time of the recording I had this actually misspelled had it racked they should be rigged as it should I think that's the right spelling I'm even questioning it again now but uh basically what's implying here is that long holders were raked across the coals

Speaker A

Now, what are these lows here? These are the lows in lunch hour New York lunch. Okay, here's noon to one.

Speaker A

is is buy stops are being triggered so anyone that wants to go long on like bull flag patterns and things like that or breakout Traders they're buying and then they're getting taken against their long withdraw down until they either

Speaker A

And I taught you in the mentorship that many times when there's an afternoon continuation to the upside, you'll see that the lows at lunchtime will get swept, and we're seeing that here.

Speaker A

they take them out why because they don't want them being able to profit to the real move what was the real move I hinted at twelve thousand five five three and a quarter that was a draw in liquidity so we took out the New York

Speaker A

Now it dug down deeper into an area which I did a recording for Twitter today, and my chart didn't have this. I thought I had it because I was looking at another monitor, but this is the imbalance that I was looking at that unfortunately doesn't appear in there.

Speaker A

because it's right here but I was being facetious when I was recording because as I was watching I was watching it run out then it broke down I was like okay they're gonna take the liquidity out below here and dig into this imbalance

Speaker A

But it's there, obviously, and it's below the relative equal lows, and the market drops down below that.

Speaker A

in the on my Twitter feed and you can find me on Twitter at the at symbol capital I underscore a m underscore v t h e underscore ICT in other words so anyway that little recording shows me getting in here and it's below

Speaker A

And then all of this right here was manipulation, and there's lots of manipulation. Initially, the market rallies up, and what I was outlining here is the time of the recording. I had this actually misspelled, had it racked. They should be rigged, as it should. I think that's the right spelling. I'm even questioning it again now, but basically what's implied here is that long holders were raked across the coals, not permitted to profit on the 12,553 and a quarter run.

Speaker A

was not resistance it's going to lift off from here and it went down to an order block started rallying and I was basically outlining the internal dialogue of those individuals that may be short from like twelve thousand five

Speaker A

So it starts off like it's going to go up to that level we were looking for and falls short of it and breaks down.

Speaker A

sudden it starts running up and then in here we have order block it trades into that multiple times to realize that fair value Gap I outlined that it didn't get into it but I was allowing for that type of movement

Speaker A

So what's actually happening is buy stops are being triggered. So anyone that wants to go long on like bull flag patterns and things like that or breakout traders, they're buying, and then they're getting taken against their long, withdrawn down until they either stopped out or if they don't have stop-offs, they get squeezed out.

Speaker A

here and you'll see what you should be seeing what I told you my eyes are not that good oh here it is you saw about two twelve thousand four Seventeen and three quarters so just below this 20 Level here

Speaker A

So they can't take it anymore. They just bail out below the relative equal lows. Any long holders from the morning, they have trailed their stop loss below here, so they take them out.

Speaker A

candle so I wasn't quick enough on the draw so the market trades back down into the order block and look at how it delivers with that fear of Vega look at that beautiful delivery revisits there with the order block

Speaker A

Why? Because they don't want them being able to profit to the real move. What was the real move? I hinted at 12,553 and a quarter. That was a draw in liquidity.

Speaker A

an exits and that's the business there um let's go and take some of this off we don't need to see this anymore we don't need to see that anymore we don't need this and don't need that okay and I'm gonna take you to a five

Speaker A

So we took out the New York lunch lows here, and what I was suggesting here is shorts are about to be squeezed as it rips higher into 12,500. Oh, that should be 553. Sorry, that's a misprint there. You all know what that is because it's right here.

Speaker A

was treating the retail market like hey you can trust us you know this is resistance it's not going to go up there and then when it starts to sell off like this notice that my model did not give a

Speaker A

But I was being facetious when I was recording because as I was watching, I was watching it run out, then it broke down. I was like, okay, they're gonna take the liquidity out below here and dig into this imbalance, pick up some more orders.

Speaker A

what happens if I take a trade and it's wrong hopefully you see that not it's not like this all the time but you'll find that when the Market's really in sync these algorithmic principles will not appear in markets that are not likely to

Speaker A

I got one off as far as a long and a really poor entry, but I was really focused on just being below these relative equal lows. I was fine, and my stop was here because you'll see in the on my Twitter feed, and you can find me on Twitter at the at symbol capital I underscore A M underscore V T H E underscore I C T, in other words.

Speaker A

it creates the real move the other direction where you can find my setups and the formations of the Fairway Gap and such so obviously you can see that you know the market did in fact trade down into the

Speaker A

So anyway, that little recording shows me getting in here, and it's below the lows, and I was out by how this is not your favorite got to go short at and it's resistance. Don't look at it like that.

Speaker A

get an imbalance in here it trades down into that as well on the 15 minute time frame optimal trade entry here and realize that for the most high liquidity again aiming for that twelve thousand five five three and a quarter

Speaker A

It went up a little bit, made a little notation and annotation rather that this was not resistance. It's going to lift off from here, and it went down to an order block, started rallying.

Speaker A

we're looking for I mentioned that on my community tab on my YouTube channel and we have now just pressed up into that area so let's go over here and do this and I think we'll use this one as the

Speaker A

And I was basically outlining the internal dialogue of those individuals that may be short from like 12,530 and their stop also be right here, and I was kind of like saying, what would you feel if you were short from up here? Would you feel safe? Certainly, you would feel safe, but I said watch how that changes.

Speaker A

it's really sloppy over here I would look for this one here next and what is that high 12 6 24 even and if we start to really run we could revisit this area here but I'm not going so far as to say that for right now but

Speaker A

And then all of a sudden, it starts running up, and then in here we have order block. It trades into that multiple times to realize that fair value gap. I outlined that it didn't get into it, but I was allowing for that type of movement.

Speaker A

um no I'm going to show you one more time frames the daily chart uh can I get that to pop up um [Music] foreign relative equal highs and here we ran up into that so that's that whole business

Speaker A

And then at three o'clock, the algorithms will start to spool price in the direction for the liquidity, which was that 12,553 and a quarter level, which it hammers there.

Speaker A

daily bias uh yes you know the market did in fact create you know a big run lower and then create another run lower here but that wasn't my setup I was drawing everyone's attention up to that twelve thousand five by three level

Speaker A

And I'll put the business up right here, and you'll see what you should be seeing. What I told you, my eyes are not that good. Oh, here it is. You saw about two 12,417 and three quarters, so just below this 20 level here.

Speaker A

like a little over five thousand dollars in terms of hypothetical profit but hey it worked you know you guys can see that the effects of it and it's a little bit of an advanced idea but I did teach

Speaker A

Mainly focusing on this because I missed the opportunity getting in during this little imbalance there. So that fair back out, I wanted to be in it there, but unfortunately, I didn't get the position on in time, and it was over here on this candle, so I wasn't quick enough on the draw.

Speaker A

this YouTube channel so hopefully you found this one insightful and I'll touch base with you again on Thursday Lord will

Topics:Fed chairman speechmarket manipulationliquidityorder blocksfair value gapmulti-timeframe analysistrading strategybreakout trapsstop huntingalgorithmic trading

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