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Analysis of E-mini Micro Nasdaq 100 post-FOMC price action with imbalance, order blocks, and trading strategies explained.

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Key Takeaways

Price imbalances and order blocks are crucial for identifying potential trade entries post-FOMC.
Understanding the difference between sweeping and running highs/lows helps anticipate market moves.
Waiting for price to drop into defined zones increases the probability of successful trades.
Using demo accounts is recommended to practice these strategies safely.
Visual markers and clear terminology improve clarity in technical analysis.

What the video covers

The video analyzes the E-mini Micro Nasdaq 100 index focusing on price imbalances and potential trade setups after the FOMC announcement.
The presenter highlights key price levels including Tuesday's highs, fair value gaps, and bearish order blocks as critical areas for trading decisions.
Discussion includes the difference between running a high versus sweeping a high and how these affect market behavior.
The video emphasizes waiting for price to drop into specific zones before expecting a run higher, outlining a step-by-step approach.
The presenter explains the use of demo accounts for practicing trades based on these imbalances for compliance reasons.
Visual aids like shaded areas, checkered flags, and bullseyes are used to mark important price targets and zones.
The concept of knee-jerk reactions post-FOMC is compared to non-farm payroll reactions, with multiple legs before a real setup emerges.
The video also touches on algorithmic delivery timing and Fibonacci retracement levels as part of the analysis.
Mentorship content and replay button usage are briefly discussed to clarify the live nature of the analysis.
Overall, the video provides a detailed walkthrough of technical trading concepts applied to a specific market scenario.

Chapters

What is the main focus of the video?

The video focuses on analyzing price imbalances and potential trading setups in the E-mini Micro Nasdaq 100 index following the FOMC announcement.

How does the presenter differentiate between sweeping and running a high?

Running a high means the price moves decisively above a previous high and continues, while sweeping means the price briefly moves above or below a level before reversing back.

Why is it recommended to use a demo account for these trades?

Using a demo account allows traders to practice the strategies based on imbalances and order blocks without risking real money, which is important for compliance and skill development.

Full Transcript — Download SRT & Markdown

Speaker A

All right, folks, take a look at the E-mini Micro Nasdaq 100 index, and I'll show you the imbalance we're in here. This is the initial one. You can always imagine it could stab up into the second one, which it's really, in a sense, just done now. So that could be a sell. I'd like to see it come down here first.

Speaker A

which it's really a sense it's just done now so that could be a cell i'd like to see it come down here first now outline this as i go this is kind of like the end of the road

Speaker A

Now, outline this as I go. This is kind of like the end of the road for the drop down before it runs Tuesday's highs. That's what I'm thinking. This is FOMC. I waited a few minutes for it to do its initial shakeout, so this is the end of the race lower. That's the little checkered flag here.

Speaker A

notice i have that so it's not like me talking after the fact you can see i'm doing everything here there's where we're looking for it to drop down in and run out the tuesday highs that i was mentioning on

Speaker A

Notice I have that, so it's not like me talking after the fact. You can see I'm doing everything here. There's where we're looking for it to drop down in and run out the Tuesday highs that I was mentioning on my community post. So we're looking for the trade down in there.

Speaker A

resting just below it but for now i'm just focusing there so it could drop down into that level now there's a couple ways to use this information you can do a trade here with your demo account compliance reasons

Speaker A

Now, it could sweep a little bit below that because to the left of that imbalance that I'm highlighting in turquoise, there's a sell side of the pretty pool resting just below it. But for now, I'm just focusing there. So it could drop down into that level.

Speaker A

has like a knee-jerk reaction kind of like non-farm payroll there's a initial leg then another leg then like a fake out leg and then a real setup comes which is what i'm outlining here in that blue shaded area

Speaker A

Now, there's a couple ways to use this information. You can do a trade here with your demo account for compliance reasons and look for it to run out the short-term low, and/or wait for it to potentially trade up into the higher time frame fair value gap. The reason why you could potentially wait for that is because it's FOMC. It has like a knee-jerk reaction, kind of like non-farm payroll. There's an initial leg, then another leg, then like a fake-out leg, and then a real setup comes, which is what I'm outlining here in that blue shaded area.

Speaker A

all right so it should start dropping in here i don't want to see it go too much more than that because that would upset the fair value you got that is not yet traded into i think that's going

Speaker A

So I'm noticing that it's likely to draw down here, so I'm drawing this outside. We can see the diagram is dropping. Okay, the idea is to drop down here first. It's the quick move I'm looking for, then the run through Tuesday's high.

Speaker A

where we're right now and you can see there's no replay button being used here the candles are painting the replay button is dim it's not even a thing with me that's not true now is it i did recently

Speaker A

All right, so it should start dropping in here. I don't want to see it go too much more than that because that would upset the fair value you got that is not yet traded into. I think that's going to be the next real drop. So right here is where I'm thinking initially. There's sell side resting right below that low, so you could be short here, and your stop would be right above that most recent green candle to the left of where we're right now.

Speaker A

fair value gap and bump it kind of like a support resistance idea and that would be a shorting opportunity if it were to do that and again this thought would be placed at the high of the most recent green candle to the

Speaker A

And you can see there's no replay button being used here. The candles are painting. The replay button is dim. It's not even a thing with me. That's not true now, is it? I did recently, in the mentorship video, use the replay button, but I felt awkward, and I just wanted to do it just to be funny. So here is the drop down in here.

Speaker A

first started the recording here that was really just an order block so it could bounce there a little bit but ultimately my interest is from where we are now down into that checkered flag area and it doesn't look like i got enough

Speaker A

Now I can revisit the bottom and under that fair value gap and bump it, kind of like a support-resistance idea, and that would be a shorting opportunity if it were to do that. And again, this thought would be placed at the high of the most recent green candle to the left right there. See that? That's a short right there.

Speaker A

okay the vocabulary i'm using here is running the tuesday high not sweeping the tuesday high the difference between sweeping would be like what it's done here that will be a sweep that's a real shallow little run above that red line that's tuesday's

Speaker A

Okay, the market is likely to keep dropping in here. I'm looking for that little bullseye, that blue bullseye right below that short-term low and that blue line. If you notice when I first started the recording here, that was really just an order block, so it could bounce there a little bit. But ultimately, my interest is from where we are now down into that checkered flag area, and it doesn't look like I got enough room, so I'm gonna probably have to move that over to the right a little bit.

Speaker A

down to that little bull's eye and then run higher from there i'm hoping it doesn't do that i want to see it trade down into that blue shaded area a little checkered flag is because that's like the end of the race for bears

Speaker A

And again, the mindset is we're dropping down. Okay, even though it really initially just ran the Tuesday high, but it's done shallow.

Speaker A

below a low or high you know i mean like if we're going to sweep by side that means it's going to go up a little bit and then go down and reverse okay if i'm saying we're going to run an old

Speaker A

Okay, the vocabulary I'm using here is running the Tuesday high, not sweeping the Tuesday high. The difference between sweeping would be like what it's done here. That will be a sweep. That's a real shallow little run above that red line. That's Tuesday's high.

Speaker A

way you understand the distinction between what i'm expecting as a sweep and reverse back into the range or expansion move where i think if we can get down here and i'm going to scrub this over because you can

Speaker A

Okay, so it swept that, and we're coming back down post-FOMC. So kind of like look at this move here we're making, and if it can drop down to that blue shaded area, it might just, if I'm wrong, it might just go down to that little bullseye and then run higher from there. I'm hoping it doesn't do that. I want to see it trade down into that blue shaded area.

Speaker A

i see these are new all right so we'll see if we can drop down into that and i had to make another video for my mentorship group so i got to get started on that one so here's a bearish order block it can come

Speaker A

A little checkered flag is because that's like the end of the race for bears. They get into that, then it should start the real move higher, running Tuesday high. Running Tuesday's high means it runs right over top of it and it just doesn't look back. Sweeping is where it just goes above or below a low or high.

Speaker A

just anchor this here so we can see visually when it drops below it change the color here's a little bit lighter than that one oops too light okay that's good enough that way you can see it i'll take this off here

Speaker A

You know what I mean? Like if we're going to sweep buy side, that means it's going to go up a little bit and then go down and reverse. Okay, if I'm saying we're going to run an old high for relative equal highs, that means we're going to run through it and continue.

Speaker A

delivery and it dipped down a little bit below but that's fine i'm not worried about being that accurate the main thing is going down into that area it turns and then runs tuesday's high look how much more dynamic that is

Speaker A

So that way there's a little bit of an understanding here what I'm saying when I say that. I try to pick my words carefully so that way you understand the distinction between what I'm expecting as a sweep and reverse back into the range or expansion move, where I think if we can get down here.

Speaker A

i'm sorry thirteen thousand one fifty basically crossed back over where the fair value gap is the larger one that drop down into once it trades above that then i'm gonna use the high initially at the 2 o'clock hour down to the low

Speaker A

And I'm going to scrub this over because you can see we're running out of space here. It might take a little bit more candles than I first thought. Oh, let me get this back here. There we are. Oh, there it is. This thing, I'm telling you, I look like a noob. I see these are new.

Speaker A

what this looked like how i measured it and all that but hopefully you can see that it's done the majority of the move which was outlined on the community tab before i obviously did the video i did the video here

Speaker A

All right, so we'll see if we can drop down into that. And I had to make another video for my mentorship group, so I got to get started on that one. So here's a bearish order block. It can come back and hit that and resume going lower.

Speaker A

was formed at two o'clock or what would be shown is 1400 here on the chart down to that low where the question mark is so what you're doing is you're going to get measurement of the range okay where's 50 of that

Speaker A

All right, not bad, not bad. Let's see if she loves me. You can see no replay button. Everything's dynamic here.

Speaker A

six seven eight there's eight trades in this this whole entire thing so um once it trades this level here i'm looking forward to hit that and then i'll go in and kind of show you some things about what i'm referring to that

Speaker A

All right, about to run into that sell side liquidity pool. Just anchor this here so we can see visually when it drops below it, change the color. Here's a little bit lighter than that one. Oops, too light. Okay, that's good enough. That way you can see it. I'll take this off here.

Speaker A

student of mine i don't want you all thinking well we all have to have the same setup no you don't have to have the same setup in fact you're not you're going to come to the conclusion that you know the things that you're looking

Speaker A

All right, and there you go. Now I'll come back to this in a moment.

Speaker A

so you have to find a way to grow comfortable with the concepts and how that applies to the present market conditions and how you select your setup and i'll show you eight of them in here that way you'll know that this is what

Speaker A

All right, as you can see, the market did in fact trade down. Look at the bodies of the candles respecting that blue shaded area. Really, really handsome price delivery, and it dipped down a little bit below, but that's fine. I'm not worried about being that accurate. The main thing is going down into that area, it turns and then runs Tuesday's high. Look how much more dynamic that is.

Speaker A

see exactly where it's going to draw to before it turns around so you can couple what i've shown you here with what i've out outright came and told you basically that i'm looking for the drop down at fomc at two o'clock

Speaker A

Now, what I did was I took the low at the turn after it made it to run into that little blue shaded area once it started rallying, and it took out the swing high around that thirteen thousand six—I'm sorry, thirteen thousand one fifty—basically crossed back over where the fair value gap is, the larger one that dropped down into.

Speaker A

in terms of algorithmic delivery just a little bit past 2 30. we're about ready to hit that target here and there she is all right so let's dim that out and i'll take you over to the fib portion and i'll explain

Speaker A

Once it trades above that, then I'm gonna use the high initially at the 2 o'clock hour down to the low post 2:30. That range, I'm using the Fibonacci to expand up to a target, and it came up to 13,437 even. I'm just waiting for it to hit that, and once it does, then I'll go into the Fibonacci and I'll show you, you know, what this looked like, how I measured it and all that.

Speaker A

extreme now usually i'll use the highest open or close and the lowest opener close in the price swing when it's not expected to have a whole lot of volatility because it's the fomc it's more likely to be much more

Speaker A

But hopefully you can see that it's done the majority of the move, which was outlined on the community tab before I obviously did the video. I did the video here, you know, marking it up, that we can see it wasn't a replay thing. It wasn't something after the fact. It's something that I'm teaching you all here.

Speaker A

bodies and what does he differentiate i just taught you okay so i'll show you two forms of that and actually i'm gonna do this backwards didn't i yep i did i'm going to draw it from the low up to the high i'm looking for upside

Speaker A

Now, the question mark at the bottom lower left-hand corner, what that is anchoring is the high that was formed at two o'clock, or what would be shown is 14:00 here on the chart, down to that low where the question mark is.

Speaker A

sense in a moment there's that target i was looking for right there in the earlier portion of the recording okay very very gap initial one here drops down hits the order block which is that blue line here it bounced up into the

Speaker A

So what you're doing is you're going to get measurement of the range. Okay, where's 50 of that? Below 50 is where that fair value gap is. That's in turquoise, so that's the target. It's dropping down into it.

Speaker A

that sets the stage for the decline down into the area i highlighted in advance said this was the end of the road for the bears it starts to rally comes back down in rallies once more takes off takes out tuesday's high much

Speaker A

So it's a matter of looking at this, and really, there's technically—oh, there's one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight—there's eight trades in this whole entire thing. So once it trades this level here, I'm looki—

Speaker A

the run here ahead of fomc that i would not count okay that's that's a setup but that's a gambler's setup before the fomc announcement so we have the drop down then the fair value gap here so that's trade one

Speaker A

the return back to the fair bag up here that's tree two drops down in below here you would close your short if it's a scalp here is a long idea as a scalp to take us up into i said look what you're

Speaker A

resting above this high here and then into the fair value that says the short down into the objective i was looking for now right away some of you are thinking man i'm not spiderman how do you expect me to take all these

Speaker A

trades i'm not folks i'm not any one of these things that i'm outlining here could be a specific setup that fits your unique model okay that meets the criteria that you're looking for then it drops down here that's a buy and

Speaker A

you can share this here as an order block there rallies up and it comes back down into the order block these two down closed candles here because now this is where i said we were going to turn and i said that we're going to run

Speaker A

tuesday's highs now sweep them like this it's going to run them okay so we ran right over top of them here so it rallies up comes back down in retracement rallies again small little imbalance you can be a buyer there

Speaker A

rallies and again here this is one that i didn't obviously mention or you see because i stopped recording as it ran through here on our objective okay and i think that is going to be it so i i don't want you thinking this is an

Speaker A

invitation for you to try to trade fomc or like a non-farm payroll event they're very very risky extremely risky but they're really fun to go back into and study from a hindsight perspective or if you can watch it live

Speaker A

it's a wonderful case study that we can look at how liquidity is taken how it runs to the other extreme of the range and how it starts to deliver institutional order flow all down close candles should be supporting price as it goes up and

Speaker A

running out to stays high in a much more meaningful manner hopefully you found this one insightful until next time be safe you

Topics:E-mini Micro Nasdaq 100FOMCprice imbalanceorder blockfair value gapTuesday's hightechnical analysistrading strategysweep vs rundemo trading

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