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YouTube Video — Transcript

Episode 18 of ICT 2022 mentorship covers Euro dollar trading layout, bias analysis, fair value gaps, and streamlined trade setups using TradingView charts.

Ask about this video. Answers come from its transcript only — with the timestamp, so you can check them.

Generated from the transcript and can be wrong — check the timestamp.

Key Takeaways

  • Start trading analysis from higher time frames to set a clear bias.
  • Fair value gaps are critical for identifying potential price retracements or continuations.
  • A simple, streamlined trading method focusing on order flow can be effective.
  • No trading method is perfect; losses are part of the process and must be managed responsibly.
  • Using multiple time frames helps refine entries and improve trade accuracy.

What the video covers

  • The video is episode 18 of the ICT 2022 YouTube mentorship series focusing on Euro dollar trading.
  • The presenter explains his trade layout and how he uses TradingView charts for analysis.
  • He emphasizes starting analysis from higher time frames like the daily chart to establish bias.
  • The concept of fair value gaps and their role in identifying potential price movements is discussed.
  • A streamlined, simple approach to trading is advocated, focusing on order flow and bias management.
  • The presenter addresses common misconceptions about bearish breakers and clarifies chart reading techniques.
  • He shares insights on managing intraday and daily bias, including how to handle imperfect bias and losing trades.
  • The video includes step-by-step walkthroughs of trade scenarios and chart annotations.
  • The importance of responsibility and ownership in trading decisions is highlighted.
  • The presenter also touches on using multiple time frames and fine-tuning entries on lower time frames.

Answers

Questions about this video

What is the main trading tool used in this mentorship episode?

The main trading tool used is TradingView charts, with a focus on multi-time frame analysis and fair value gaps.

How does the presenter suggest managing trading bias?

The presenter advises committing to one directional bias based on higher time frame analysis, while acknowledging that bias is not always perfect.

What is a fair value gap and why is it important?

A fair value gap is a price area where imbalance exists, often used to identify potential retracement or continuation zones, helping traders find entry points.

Full Transcript — Download SRT & Markdown

00:05
Speaker A
All right, folks, welcome back. This is episode 18 of the continuing series of the ICT 2022 YouTube mentorship. All right, so we are looking at the Euro dollar, and what you have here is how I have my trade layout. This is what I work with.
00:24
Speaker A
while utilizing my charts through trading view and don't be intimidated because you may not be able to do this with your trading view uh there's a i think there's a membership level you have to have and again i'm not trying to
00:40
Speaker A
While utilizing my charts through TradingView, don't be intimidated because you may not be able to do this with your TradingView. I think there's a membership level you have to have, and again, I'm not trying to
00:52
Speaker A
it out of my pocket you don't have to owe me any favors so but i have it set up like this when i'm looking at the marketplace the upper left hand corner now you you can do this with individual charts and
01:06
Speaker A
promote. I don't get anything for you signing up with TradingView. I don't have any affiliate programs, nothing like that. I don't have any, you know, programs that I'm trying to pitch. I just like the service, okay? I pay for
01:19
Speaker A
and in the youtube community what do my charts look like when i'm going through the motions of looking for trade setups and how do i navigate from higher time frame down to the lower time frame and how do i work
01:32
Speaker A
it out of my pocket. You don't have to owe me any favors. So, but I have it set up like this when I'm looking at the marketplace, the upper left-hand corner. Now, you can do this with individual charts, and
01:45
Speaker A
to be the daily chart as you can see here daily now if you're looking for bias you're going to start your analysis here now you can do it with the chart maximize like this start working with it doing all of the business that you would
02:01
Speaker A
you'll see what I mean by having one laptop, one screen. If you do what I'm going to show you here today, you don't need all these screens. But I've been asked to show this both in my private group
02:24
Speaker A
and notice that it has this high that low and a higher high many of you would see that as my bearish breaker it's not okay so look at this here which is lower is it this low here or
02:47
Speaker A
and in the YouTube community: what do my charts look like when I'm going through the motions of looking for trade setups, and how do I navigate from higher time frame down to the lower time frame, and how do I work
03:00
Speaker A
it's not advantageous to you it was advantageous for them because they knew about it yesterday but i'm showing you this because i have a lot of witnesses that i said this before it happened because i know some of you out here
03:14
Speaker A
with daily bias, and what do I do with my charts to streamline the analysis from high time frame to low time frame? I'm going to show you that in this lesson here. All right, so upper left-hand corner is always going
03:23
Speaker A
as that but the fair value gap in here i mentioned that we would likely draw up into that and then look for lower prices now let's step by step walk through a scenario using what i'm teaching you in this mentorship on the youtube
03:41
Speaker A
to be the daily chart, as you can see here, daily. Now, if you're looking for bias, you're going to start your analysis here. Now, you can do it with the chart maximized like this, start working with it, doing all of the business that you would
03:57
Speaker A
less i'm gonna paraphrase it can i touch on or teach a specific approach to trading or can i mention rather a specific style of trading that if i only had to pick one way of doing it one style of trading
04:15
Speaker A
expect to have in your chart. And we'll do this here. Shout out to my mentorship group, private group. I mentioned this on Wednesday's midweek commentary, a little bit of hindsight done right. So we have a fair value gap there,
04:33
Speaker A
operator me or whoever else is using it and you have to take ownership of that it takes a great deal of responsibility and i kind of lectured on that in my private group on wednesday it doesn't feel good to hear those types
04:48
Speaker A
and notice that it has this high, that low, and a higher high. Many of you would see that as my bearish breaker. It's not. Okay, so look at this here: which is lower? Is it this low here or
05:03
Speaker A
channel knowing what i know about all the things that i can utilize in trading the reason why i stripped it all down and created the model like it is and you're going to see more of it being applied here today so it gives you like
05:21
Speaker A
the discount low of the fair value gap? In other words, this candle's high, clearly it's this candle's high. So I'm going to tell you something I told my private group last night, because I can tell it to you now.
05:31
Speaker A
back testing you know how can i go through and look at old data i'm going to show you something here but it was also given to my community yesterday okay and if i see a bunch of comments in the
05:45
Speaker A
It's not advantageous to you. It was advantageous for them because they knew about it yesterday, but I'm showing you this because I have a lot of witnesses that I said this before it happened, because I know some of you out here,
05:59
Speaker A
prognostication it's proving that number one i've already hinted that this thing was likely to go lower anyway and we've seen it go lower but utilizing the model this model here in the youtube 2022 mentorship that to me is the easiest and i would just do this
06:21
Speaker A
unless you were there watching it, okay, you just simply won't believe it. And that's fine. I'm not here to convince every single one of you. You're either going to believe it or you're going to watch somebody else's channel. It's as simple
06:40
Speaker A
in this model i wouldn't even do any investment of time at all because this literally is the simplest way to work with intraday and daily order flow it's simple it really is this simple it doesn't feel sexy though i know some
07:00
Speaker A
as that. But the fair value gap in here, I mentioned that we would likely draw up into that and then look for lower prices. Now, let's step-by-step walk through a scenario using what I'm teaching you in this mentorship on the YouTube
07:10
Speaker A
with all that stuff number one she's really not interested in trading so i'm trying to convince her that she can do this with something it's very simple it's streamlined so what does that mean by streamlining it and what is the step-by-step process
07:24
Speaker A
channel. Okay, I responded to a lady in the comment section of, I think, it was the most recent video. So forgive me if it isn't that video, but I know I mentioned a response to her question was more or
07:36
Speaker A
here now here's the wonderful thing we don't even need it to go down to that low to find profitability how's that how is that possible how are you able to responsibly handle daily bias work with a higher time frame and then
07:57
Speaker A
less, I'm going to paraphrase it: can I touch on or teach a specific approach to trading, or can I mention rather a specific style of trading that if I only had to pick one way of doing it, one style of trading
08:12
Speaker A
through the charts looking for setups that would warrant a short sale on this particular market or this pair in forex what i'm showing you here all of this up to now if i make a transition to index futures trading i'll mention
08:30
Speaker A
that obviously hits all the time? Well, there is no method that hits every single time. Okay, everything that I trade with and teach is like everything else: it's imperfect. That means there's going to be losing transactions largely because of the
08:48
Speaker A
you start your analysis there you have a fair value gap here so it can trade up into that and all you have to see is that candle traded to there now you can be greedy and try to trade all the way up into the middle
09:01
Speaker A
operator, me or whoever else is using it, and you have to take ownership of that. It takes a great deal of responsibility, and I kind of lectured on that in my private group on Wednesday. It doesn't feel good to hear those types
09:16
Speaker A
either so i'm going to show you how to be forgiving with your entries the important thing is knowing what you're looking for ahead of time so that way you're not changing gears back and forth intraday chasing an impulsive price swing that
09:33
Speaker A
of woodshed lectures, but it's something I needed when I was younger. But if I was going to use one particular approach to trading, like say I was starting completely over, didn't know anything, but I discovered, like say, this YouTube
09:45
Speaker A
videos okay when i'm showing those statements i'm disclosing the fact that i'm getting questions by my students these folks have paid me okay they asked for me to show them things in a live account you are not privy to all of those
10:05
Speaker A
channel, knowing what I know about all the things that I can utilize in trading, the reason why I stripped it all down and created the model like it is, and you're going to see more of it being applied here today, so it gives you like
10:19
Speaker A
in a live account creating those very sim similar situations that they're asking me about and then moving out of those periods of either drawdown or how to overcome the anxious i don't want to take a trade i'm scared what happens if you take losing
10:38
Speaker A
a step-by-step approach. I know some of you were asking, can you just kind of like show me what it is I'm trying to do in the charts? Like, what am I looking for? What's a way of
10:53
Speaker A
going to look like you have no idea what you're doing and there's people out there looking at these statements i've encouraged all of you to do it but it isn't going to mean anything to you unless you understand what i'm
11:02
Speaker A
backtesting? You know, how can I go through and look at old data? I'm going to show you something here, but it was also given to my community yesterday. Okay, and if I see a bunch of comments in the
11:21
Speaker A
the community here wanted to see a live account you see it on live account but working within a live account unless you do things like i'm going to show you here you're going to have this changing of direction intraday over and back and
11:38
Speaker A
comment section saying that it wasn't really done, I'll just simply upload the video and prove everybody that says that wrong. So I'm ready. I'm ready for it. So the long and short is it's not a big deal, it's not a huge trade, but it's proving
11:47
Speaker A
so you have to commit to one direction that's your bias here's the thing your bias isn't going to be perfect and here's a news flash for you you as well i'm not always perfect with my bias either a
12:02
Speaker A
prognostication. It's proving that number one, I've already hinted that this thing was likely to go lower anyway, and we've seen it go lower. But utilizing the model, this model here in the YouTube 2022 mentorship, that to me is the easiest, and I would just do this.
12:17
Speaker A
clearly that you're absolutely wrong you just simply wait for these setups to form with that bias in mind now i know a lot of you are new and you want to see things taught to you that simply remove any chance of you losing
12:34
Speaker A
I wouldn't worry about doing anything with like central bank dealer's range. Okay, I wouldn't worry about doing anything with Asian range. I wouldn't even worry about doing anything with the—well, there's anything else unless I've mentioned it
12:47
Speaker A
i would have never came out publicly and became a teacher i would be the richest person you've ever met that's the god's honest truth that's exactly what would happen and if there's somebody out there that has some kind of
13:00
Speaker A
in this model. I wouldn't even do any investment of time at all, because this literally is the simplest way to work with intraday and daily order flow. It's simple. It really is this simple. It doesn't feel sexy though. I know some
13:20
Speaker A
and this is one of the things that one of my students asked they said what if your win rate is really really low can you still double an account yes because i was thumbing my nose at this idea that a risk to reward model is
13:36
Speaker A
of you young guys are like, yeah, but wait till he starts bringing out all the really hard-hitting, you know, gadgets and such. You're going to be floored by that. No, you don't need it. I don't want my daughter inundated
13:48
Speaker A
future lessons that i'm going to literally go through and show you not everything obviously because you're not i'm not obligated to show you everything that the other community is entitled to but i don't need to show you everything
14:00
Speaker A
with all that stuff. Number one, she's really not interested in trading, so I'm trying to convince her that she can do this with something very simple. It's streamlined. So what does that mean by streamlining it, and what is the step-by-step process?
14:14
Speaker A
fever of all these funded account programs okay i'm not going to name any in particular because i don't have an affiliation with one i don't want an affiliation with any of them and i don't have any personal experience with my
14:26
Speaker A
Because I already told you the bias I've had on this currency when I taught one Tuesday. I gave you a 4X lesson. I showed you an example with the Euro. I said it's likely to draw into this low
14:40
Speaker A
students that have gone through them and they are funded do i believe everyone should do that i don't personally believe everyone should uh but it is an avenue that you have to consider when you're in your own seat if
14:58
Speaker A
here. Now, here's the wonderful thing: we don't even need it to go down to that low to find profitability. How's that? How is that possible? How are you able to responsibly handle daily bias, work with a higher time frame, and then
15:11
Speaker A
yourself with a let's say a hundred thousand dollar account in other words you have the ability to trade with what would be considered a hundred thousand dollars what process if it were me doing that okay that's i'm gonna speak in that
15:29
Speaker A
frame out a setup using the logic that I'm showing you in this model? Let's do that now. Number one, the bias is bearish. So if a bearish bias is being implemented, okay, in other words, you're using that in your analysis. You're going
15:44
Speaker A
okay so bearish uh daily bias and i'm going through the daily chart and i'm looking at recent price action so we had this big drop down here drawing towards this low and then the next day we had this candle
16:00
Speaker A
through the charts looking for setups that would warrant a short sale on this particular market or this pair in Forex. What I'm showing you here, all of this up to now, if I make a transition to index futures trading, I'll mention
16:17
Speaker A
terms of the range between this low and this high so what does that make that area down here premium or discount discount so as soon as this fair value gap forms we know that it's likely to see it
16:32
Speaker A
certain caveats when it comes to that. But for now, everything I'm saying in this video until I say otherwise is pertinent to Forex. Okay, so it's specific to Forex. All right, so bias is bearish, and we're looking at a daily chart, so
16:51
Speaker A
chart and then look at what we have in terms of targets this is an ideal scenario that low but it's not likely to do that in one day can it do it absolutely but look at what is available in terms of targeting
17:09
Speaker A
you start your analysis there. You have a fair value gap here, so it can trade up into that, and all you have to see is that candle traded to there. Now, you can be greedy and try to trade all the way up into the midpoint or deep into it, maybe in complete closure. I don't need that, and we're going to bring in the element of time of day and how that helps you decide what you're looking for, and you don't really need to catch that high today either. So I'm going to show you how to be forgiving with your entries. The important thing is knowing what you're looking for ahead of time so that way you're not changing gears back and forth intraday chasing an impulsive price swing that
17:28
Speaker A
and we'll mark that one red okay so we have more or less a premium level that's being highlighted you can see it touches it but it actually goes above it just a little bit and that's all we'll need to justify a
17:41
Speaker A
may feel like, oh, I'm probably wrong, let me chase this, let me—
17:56
Speaker A
mistaken in this mentorship so it's likely to draw lower and dig into this low that's our draw on liquidity on the daily chart but is that your trade target no not for intraday trading so you frame your daily highs and lows
18:15
Speaker A
previous daily high previous daily low so we have this day here you know yesterday's trading or what would be considered wednesday's trading and then thursday's trading we opened here we rallied up popped just above that short-term high and now because we've seen that
18:35
Speaker A
we can target that daily low right here okay so this is the trading day on thursday we open rally up create a judas swing run back into this fair value gap and then expect it to sell off and then
18:48
Speaker A
we can aim for that daily low why because anybody that went long in here who would want to do that there's always buyers and sellers okay so we're going to use previous days highs and lows like institutional mindset traders do there's
19:02
Speaker A
lots of liquidity around daily highs and lows and high frequency trading algorithms attack previous day's highs and lows if you were back in the baby pitch days when i came in the scene 2009 2010 that was the first lesson i started
19:14
Speaker A
talking about is highlight the previous day's highs and lows and do that for the last three days if you do that you'll see a plethora of setups that you can do and that gives you liquidity pools that you can attack
19:28
Speaker A
you there's always a fresh supply of new setups if you're looking at the last three days highs and lows it's always the case it's always going to be there you're never going to run out of trades ever okay
19:40
Speaker A
so we have our framework here we have the actually let me change this blue to that green okay so we have premium and discount so these two levels are represented on the high and low of wednesday's trading which would be
20:01
Speaker A
yesterday straight in other words your chart would have looked like this wednesday going into thursday before thursday started trading you'd have this so you would not mark your chart out like this so if we go up here and we enter this fair value gap that's
20:16
Speaker A
your opportunity to go in looking for shorts then if it starts to go down you're targeting this low with the expectation why is it likely to do that because it may want to go down to this low but this gives you a nice range of
20:30
Speaker A
profitability potential profitability so a range of we'll just call that 935 to a low of what is it what's the low here 74. so 25 6 we'll call it 60 60 handles okay not bad that's a pretty respectable
20:59
Speaker A
range can you get 25 pips out of that can you get 30 pips out of that how about 40 pips well we're gonna find out but this is the range of opportunity that exists looking at wednesday's trading and then thursday we open we
21:14
Speaker A
rally up we bump that high like we would expect trading back into that fair value gap and then we watch price does it give us a setup what set up what i've taught you in this mentorship so we're going to drop down into
21:27
Speaker A
the lower time frame if you have this layout like this so whatever you do in one chart it would appear in all the other time frames which is really nice this is one of the things that i'd like to use in trading view not that
21:40
Speaker A
tradingview is the only platform because obviously you can do this with everything out there today but it's just really nice to be able to do this with all my students they can do the same thing but if you're working with one
21:51
Speaker A
screen like a laptop and i'll answer this while i'm talking about it should you be trading on your phone no no you shouldn't can you manage a trade on your phone yes but entering a brand new position on
22:05
Speaker A
your phone no you don't see enough data it's just too compressed and you need to be able to see the lay of the land okay you need to be able to open your chart up and really take in the information
22:19
Speaker A
if you don't do that folks you're really just looking at a small little small little perspective really if you want to have advantages you you do it with a computer screen okay if you want to be handicapped then obviously try to trade on your
22:39
Speaker A
phone okay i have not met anyone that has been consistently profitable and trading millions of dollars and they trade on their phone it just it doesn't work like that folks you got to be responsible you have to have some real estate and yes it
22:53
Speaker A
requires a little bit of an investment but hey you don't need all kinds of things you don't need all the screens like i have and other people i have out there i'm showing you how you can do this at
23:01
Speaker A
one screen one monitor so what would that look like obviously you can see everything i did on the daily chart is transposed onto the hourly chart down here in the lower left hand corner and it's transposed over here to the 15
23:15
Speaker A
minute time frame so time frames our upper left is daily lower left is hourly and 15 minute time frame is only right the 15 minute time frame is my bellwether chart that's the one that i go to quickly
23:30
Speaker A
i want to keep referencing that 15 minute time frame throughout the day because the information i get from it which i'm going to show you is influential to me in terms of managing my position or hunting or stalking a new trade setup
23:45
Speaker A
and also it helps me trust my intraday bias and i'll i'll explain that when we get into that specific time frame but let me go back for a second to the daily because i want to bring something up
23:57
Speaker A
if you're using one screen okay you would obviously do this annotation here and then in this screen you would just simply change it to the hourly chart and then everything you did here would be transposed over to the trading
24:13
Speaker A
view chart that would be on the hourly chart rather and then once you've done whatever breakdown and markups that you would have for your hourly chart then you would drop down to the 15 minute timeframe and all of the
24:28
Speaker A
annotations from the daily and the hourly would appear on your 15-minute chart as you'll see okay so let's go back to the layout and i'm going to maximize the hourly chart all right so i like to do these types of
24:47
Speaker A
things bring it to the actual level i'm anchoring to because i have obsessive compulsive disorder so it is what it is it's a struggle folks so in here it's this imbalance on the daily chart but now we can see it also exists
25:05
Speaker A
in the hourly as well so we have what this high and this high what are they they're relative equal highs anchored to that point right there okay so usually in my annotations i'm going into the chart and this is for the purposes of showing
25:25
Speaker A
you how to back test and how you annotate your chart you toggle it to show on the top left and you can use whatever color you want and there you go so we had the annotations that would be on your chart for logging
25:54
Speaker A
purposes for your study journal and then you would just screenshot this okay you might want to zoom in a little bit you know make the chart a little bit more aesthetically pleasing having something like that more you know more information zoomed in
26:14
Speaker A
to a specific area and then simply go in and start working with the 15 minute time frame because this is all i would do with the hourly chart because the frame of reference is that daily fair value gap
26:29
Speaker A
we have liquidity pull on the hourly chart we've already mapped out the 6th of april's low notice there's no lower low this low didn't go down to it and we start a new day on the seventh here at midnight new
26:41
Speaker A
york local time what do i mean by new york midnight i'm going to answer that let's go to the 15 minute time frame here and as you can see we already have that little annotation updated on the 15 minute time frame so
26:58
Speaker A
now here's the 15 minute timing frame and i apologize for all of you that would otherwise know how to do this but obviously it's a mentorship right there's a lot of people in the comments section that are asking for these types
27:09
Speaker A
of lessons and once i go through this this episode we won't ever have to revisit it again okay so bear with me okay all right so now we have on the 15 minute time frame we're going to annotate the daily
27:22
Speaker A
dividers this all is a little vertical line okay and this little bar here is just my favorites bar and you can google that for setting that up these are the things i use most in trading view so when i expand the chart to maximize
27:37
Speaker A
the full screen i highlight the little star button in the lower left hand corner just below the little link button if you click that link button any chart you have open that's the same symbol any all the annotations will be plotted and
27:51
Speaker A
placed on all the time frames of that instrument or that pair or that market so in other words if like i was showing you with my trading layout upper left-hand corner daily hourly lower left hand and 15 minute time frame on the
28:03
Speaker A
right it's the biggest chart hitting that little link button icon will again link all your charts together so whatever you're showing annotations on one time frame will appear on all of them that's how this is happening okay you can google that too and there's a
28:17
Speaker A
lot of uh tips you can get off of youtube for a trading video most of my tips i actually got from my students which i appreciate because they're more fluent with this i came from mt4 and tradestation so
28:30
Speaker A
i'm a work in progress with uh trading view so so you're gonna drop a vertical line here to delineate a new day at midnight what is the opening price at new york midnight that's this candle and you highlight that and this price
28:49
Speaker A
right here that right there if you're looking at the time frame on the hourly that would be the opening price i'm interested in that on a 15 minute time frame or if i'm going to be scalping i'm going to use the five minute chart
29:08
Speaker A
okay and i'll put two reference points on the five minute chart but for the sake of this discussion just know that that's the actual price i'm looking at and i'm drawing that out in time how far am i drawing it out 11 o'clock in the
29:21
Speaker A
morning new york local time how do i know my charts gonna look like icts right that's what you're asking you toggle it to new york i don't care where you live i don't care where you're at in all the
29:34
Speaker A
different time zones your trading view chart needs to be set to this if you do that your chart will match all the things i'm teaching and the things i'm teaching you to look for will be easier to find okay
29:47
Speaker A
everything will be streamlined in terms of time of day all right so now we have the buy sell equity pull the daily denomination of midnight new york time and we're going to take a little line segment here and we're going to plot it right on here
30:06
Speaker A
now i'm just going to just rough it because it's basically a little tiny indecisive candle i don't care the difference between the actual open and close it's very minute but i'm going to draw that on here and if you drag your
30:18
Speaker A
your trend line over to the right if you hold down the shift button it'll keep your trend line straight okay just drop it there and i'll just make this a gray color here now you can annotate that but over time
30:33
Speaker A
doing it you'll just know that that's what you're anchoring and showing this is the opening price at midnight okay now we have the relative equal highs here we rallied above them once it hits this do we get displacement
30:49
Speaker A
now we get down to the nitty gritty okay we have a swing low here it breaks down below that and then once it does that does it create an imbalance is there a fair value gap hint nudge nudge
31:07
Speaker A
you see that all right so we're going to annotate that so inside of this range here we have a fair value gap and i'm gonna highlight this we'll just use this color here now these are probably not the best colors
31:22
Speaker A
you're probably cussing me right now saying why are you using these ugly colors ict that's something just to annoy you so that way you can get more attentive and pay attention because this is a long video already so
31:35
Speaker A
we're looking at the market wanting to go higher first to go lower and here's that midnight delineation starting a new day we rally up and then we break down so what's the model teach trading when the new york session
31:53
Speaker A
okay so we're trading the new york session in 4x it's seven o'clock in the morning to ten o'clock in the morning right there okay so ten o'clock in the morning and seven o'clock so we're looking for a setup that would
32:10
Speaker A
be formed within that time frame now you can create killzone windows annotations on your chart there's lots of ways i've done this over the years you can do it whatever way you want to do it inside center and we'll make it
32:37
Speaker A
black and [Music] there you go so the new york kill zone it runs up into that runs the highs and we want to see a displacement to the downside we get it right there okay so now you have this area here
32:55
Speaker A
and then you would put your order in right there what time is that it's 10 o'clock so you put your limit order in to sell short right at that price right there or plus one pip period and your risk is going to be
33:11
Speaker A
above this high the imbalance is really stretched out you can use that as your stop if you're really concerned you can put your stop above the swing high but whenever you have a big range like that my stop
33:24
Speaker A
can place right there so your stop would be here and you're going to go short here that's the minimum expectation using the 15 minute timing frame but we're going to split the 15 minute time frame down into five-minute intervals
33:42
Speaker A
okay so we're gonna look inside this range here and see if it's advantageous for us to go down into a five-minute chart and does it have a fair value gap in that all right so we're looking at the five-minute chart now and it's that
33:54
Speaker A
shaded area here so it's using this specific candle or that low and we're looking inside this range right here okay so it's this decline we're looking at does it have fair value gap well we have this small one right in here
34:13
Speaker A
see that we have this stretched out one here yes and then we have all this running here where it has a small little fair value got so now think about what's been shown on that 15 minute time frame we have a
34:25
Speaker A
minimum threshold of at least reaching into this low okay remember i showed you on the 50 minute timeframe that inbounds so it needs to get up into that okay so i'm answering the question that i saw or it really wasn't a question it
34:40
Speaker A
was someone trying to make a point that was i showing something incorrectly by showing a higher time frame fair value gap because wouldn't the smaller time frame fair value got formed before the higher timing frame no it never
34:53
Speaker A
works like that the higher time frame imbalances are going to be parent to the subordinate smaller time frames okay the parent okay is this 15 minute time frame imbalance so it needs to get above that but when it does that we have to look at
35:14
Speaker A
the lower time frame below 15 minute time frame which is the beginning stages of our fine-tuned entry of five four three two and one time frames so here we have the five-minute chart we have an imbalance right here
35:29
Speaker A
and then we have that smaller one right in here and all the way up to this price point here we could factor that in but it's not likely to get up there so we can look at what this
35:40
Speaker A
level here that is the minimum expectation you can put a cell limit order there to go short or you can fine-tune this to rebalance all up to here right there in other words it would look like this this would be your imbalance on the
35:59
Speaker A
five-minute chart and if it traded up into that right there okay you know what you could use any tank any specific price in this range here you can pick this is where the unique style for you comes in
36:17
Speaker A
if you get greedy you may not get your fill so i'm teaching you the low threshold entry but that always will give you the highest risk but that higher risk in terms of number of pips not in terms of the amount of
36:32
Speaker A
money because that part is always controlled by you the trader you can manage the amount of leverage you're using and it doesn't matter how many pips of risk you have the amount of allocation in terms of the leverage that you're using in the trade
36:45
Speaker A
that's the most important thing and that's the most important thing that gets abused most of the time by traders because every time a trader gets in the marketplace their expectations are how can i make the most and they don't
37:00
Speaker A
necessarily think about the other side of that sword because if the edge you're trying to chop with okay or swing if it makes contact with with your target then yes you are profitable but if it comes back and hits you in the
37:14
Speaker A
head okay you're burying that axe right in your skull so that leverage is going to be counterproductive to you it's going to hurt you at that point it's not going to be beneficial to you it's going to harm you
37:26
Speaker A
so i'm teaching you the low threshold entry but i'm also teaching you in addition to that i'm showing you how to build an additional perspective that helps you find the better entries that allows you to shorten the number of pips or points if
37:42
Speaker A
you're trading with the index futures okay but long story short this would be your range you can work within and it trades up into that secondary fair value gap now some of you might say well what happens if i
37:54
Speaker A
put a limit up here well that would be obviously a stellar entry but you don't necessarily need that okay why i like this one is because if you look at the 15 minute time frame it was like this
38:10
Speaker A
that was the range okay so if we go up in that range to the upper end of it look over here what do we have all three of these candles here one two three the order block begins with this candle's low
38:26
Speaker A
it's one two three candles making one consecutive bearish order block some of you are commenting in the section of the video saying i thought i understood order blocks now i'm confused because you're hearing people parrot what i've said in certain circumstances
38:47
Speaker A
and they don't understand what an order block is okay this is why i get upset when people try to teach what they heard me teach about one or two times and the buzzword is what's being tossed around so that way people can sell their
39:02
Speaker A
courses and get clicks on their videos you have no idea learning about order blocks from anybody else on youtube i'm gonna make it very plain and make a blanket statement right there i'm not trying to hurt anybody's feelings i know a lot of you out there
39:14
Speaker A
that try to talk about order blocks you have a lot of respect for me but i'm trying to correct you because i know you have a large audience and some of you have a very large audience and you're doing things that are not
39:28
Speaker A
accurate okay so i know you're watching my videos that way you'll correct what you're doing so that way your viewers won't be harmed or they won't use something that's done incorrectly and dubbed as my order block and if they have
39:46
Speaker A
hardship or difficulty doing it it's not going to be a tribute to the concepts being affected because they are effective it's just they haven't been taught properly okay it's easy to talk about in hindsight but it's real hard to do it in real time
40:03
Speaker A
unless you know what you're doing so the logic is we we ran up into this daily fair value gap that's what this level is up here this red line was does relative equal highs on the hourly chart remember that
40:15
Speaker A
and you're probably going to need to watch this video a few times because i've gone through a lot already but i'm breaking down the market and this run here is the run into that imbalance and above the relative equal
40:27
Speaker A
highs so this is the bearish order block it's the consecutive run on this time frame the five minute chart it does not need to get up into this last up closed candle before the down close because that's what everybody says
40:42
Speaker A
in order block is it is not that notice it doesn't even get up to that does it why because what i'm showing you here what makes an order block valid it has to have an imbalance without the imbalance
41:01
Speaker A
there is no order block that's why it's not supply and demand okay there are specific rules i'm going to cut through candles supply and demand requires fresh zones okay that's nonsense i have no affinity for anything like that i'll cut
41:17
Speaker A
through fractals and go through and find something over here and still trade on it so it violates the supply and demand theory right there so i that's the distinction and why i laugh at people that say oh he's teaching really nothing
41:30
Speaker A
new i'm really teaching you something that no one's talking about unless i talk about it first they're saying what i said and not to sound egotistical i'm not trying to be egotistical but i i want you to learn it correctly folks okay
41:44
Speaker A
i only want to see you do it the right way because if you do it the right way you will find the results you're looking for if you don't want to do what i'm teaching you're not going to be
41:53
Speaker A
consistent you're not going to find longevity and you're going to get frustrated and you're going to think that this stuff doesn't work because you didn't learn it properly from the person that created it the order block is all three consecutive
42:04
Speaker A
candles the reason why this last up close candle is not even traded to is because the higher time frame parent imbalance that 15 minute time frame which is being shown here that range of that low and that candle
42:17
Speaker A
is high here it stops there so there's no necessity for it to trade up into that last candle so if it trades up into this candle here the bottom one the last one of the three going up that's enough for me and take that over
42:36
Speaker A
here and then we have this inbound so in my mind this imbalance is sufficient we don't need this one and you wouldn't expect that last up close cam to be traded too so this is the ideal scenario that i think
42:50
Speaker A
the mentorship on youtube should be looking for now as soon as you have this this is one you settle in on what are you met with another little fair value got right above it so what were the rules that i gave you when it has that
43:03
Speaker A
in the chart think it is going to be a likelihood that it could trade up in there but your limit order to enter is down in here because it might not get up here what am i trying to do i'm trying
43:16
Speaker A
to teach you how to avoid missing trades because a lot of you're going to want to put an order up in here and yes it would have been filled on this instance but many times you're going to have an order
43:26
Speaker A
placed at a really overzealous price point that if you nail it it's beautiful but they don't happen a lot it's fleeting it happens once in a while so i'm trying to give you something that allows you to operate consistently gives
43:40
Speaker A
you lots of setups that will allow you to practice also back test like i'm showing you here this is how you back test because this has already happened but these are all the things that i'm teaching in this mentorship and i've
43:51
Speaker A
talked about this level here in my own private group beforehand and you also knew about the bias being bearish on this pair from tuesday's trading or tuesday's episode in this mentorship on the youtube channel okay so we have a break in
44:05
Speaker A
this low here so there's an internal shift in market structure it's bearish we have the imbalance here that's been refined down into the five-minute chart in concert with the bearish order block the lowest down closed candle we've talked about
44:19
Speaker A
why we're not looking at the last closed candle before the down move so we're cancelling all that misconception and it runs up into the level with the rule i gave you if we settle in on a fair value gap and it has a small one
44:31
Speaker A
above it expected it might trade up there so your risk has to incorporate that so that's the reason why i'm telling you your stop-loss could be here yes it might be a little bit too rich for some of you because you want to
44:43
Speaker A
trade with one pip stop loss a half a pip stop loss there's a lot of guys out there trying to do ultra ultra short term stuff you might be able to pull it off once in a while maybe you know a series of trades
44:55
Speaker A
but i promise you when you start putting down size on these trades you're not going to pull that off okay it just isn't going to happen so don't get used to trying to do it okay plus it's easy to do other things you
45:07
Speaker A
can walk away from the charts and not be chained to it because if you have a small ultra short stop i don't care how good you are you're gonna sweat it you're gonna be expecting you're gonna get stopped out
45:20
Speaker A
what happens if it stops me out i'm not worrying about getting stopped out i'm not worried about if the market moves to my stop i'm more interested in the market moving where i think it's going to go where is that that's this
45:31
Speaker A
level down here that's the sixth of april's low okay yeah we went lower than that already here let me get this thing out of your way if you take this and move out of the way here we have the an early run at uh five
45:44
Speaker A
o'clock or so in the morning it made that at 5 25 new york local time in the morning it swept the previous days low so the 6th of april was swept then we rallied up and we hit the level that
45:57
Speaker A
what our bias called for in other words i'm looking for this level to be traded to before i go short so i'm not taking anything in london i'm not worried about anything in london because london didn't give me the
46:08
Speaker A
initial rally higher into this area when does it go up here it's going up there at 9 30 in the morning new york local time so it hits that level it's at a really rich premium and i know my discount level i'm looking
46:21
Speaker A
for for targeting so here's the framework the setup we have our market structure shift disqualified all these upper candles here the lower candle that's where you're going to aim for what's the order block that you trade for michael what's the one what's the
46:38
Speaker A
right order block how do i pick the right order block i just answered it what is an order block it's a change in the state of delivery the algorithm changes its state of delivery as soon as we get below
46:51
Speaker A
this candle's open the market starts delivering sell side and then it breaks this swing low so now we have changed gears internally any rally after that is just setting up another run to go lower so in other words this is a suspect rally
47:07
Speaker A
okay so this is an intermediate term high swing high because it has the imbalance it should not trade higher than that high that's the reason why i'm telling you you can put your stop loss there see how the rules are coming together
47:21
Speaker A
i'm not complicating it i'm literally telling you everything i've taught and i'm putting it into the chart everything was said before it happened and here it is it's the framework it's the logic and i'm teaching you with the great detail
47:36
Speaker A
that you otherwise would have never learned so i'm taking you in over top the chart giving you the framework and giving you the logic i'm giving you the what if this what if that conditions okay i'm telling you how to negate
47:49
Speaker A
certain order blocks that you would otherwise expect to see it trade to because of different youtube channels or other people trying to teach my stuff and they don't know what they're talking about okay they have no idea what
47:59
Speaker A
they're doing this setup here gives us a nice opportunity to get short so you could be a seller here on a limit entry so you place your limit order here and you just walk away from it you let it go
48:11
Speaker A
now what happens if it doesn't fill you by 11 30 pull the order that's it don't put it you know good till cancel just pull it because you want to be entering on the day that it creates this because relative equal
48:24
Speaker A
highs if it doesn't drop off it could come up in a time of day where you won't really want to be there and it could fill you and then keep on running and take out the relative equal highs at a deeper
48:36
Speaker A
pass and then stop you out so it's important to know why the kill zones are there kill zones are when you determine your entry and you place your orders and you walk away you don't need to have your entry filled
48:50
Speaker A
inside that kill zone window your order idea and your order placement needs to be considered at that time if you can't derive a order placement for setup or trade entry by that time you have nothing to do and that's it you've basically
49:08
Speaker A
taken no risk on and you have to wait to the next trading opportunity or trading day and the market obviously starts to break lower and then trades to it here at 245.
49:26
Speaker A
so at 245 it fills it and that's the end of that so not bad it's 10 20 30 40 pips so there you go 40 pips you don't get the very highest high and it ultimately goes a little bit
49:44
Speaker A
lower who cares you you've structured a trade that makes sense and it's just a really nice run up in there and everything's delivered on the basis of the logic and the elements i'm teaching you in this youtube channel
50:03
Speaker A
and you can't argue with it it's it's obvious it's so plain to see how these markets are being delivered and if you're one that likes to argue and say there is an algorithm or if you say that these concepts don't work and
50:15
Speaker A
all that stuff it's because you want some excuse why you can't do it yourself and i don't want any of you to feel that way okay i don't get a high or you know get my rocks off because
50:27
Speaker A
people stumble and not do well with this because i know why they're not doing well you're not doing the work that's required that means going through your charts and doing what i just did here every single day and
50:45
Speaker A
being passionate about it looking at what it is that has been shown in price action what is it doing what is it not doing the things i've taught you in this lesson tonight is in my mind it's charter level
51:00
Speaker A
teaching it literally is something that i would generally reserve for charter members only that means the people that have been with me for a year or more and they're under my tutelage in my private community so this is a lesson
51:15
Speaker A
that literally would come from that type of student level but i'm applying it to what you're learning with this model it's applicable to forex it's applicable to bonds it's applicable to gold it's applicable but let me put this
51:37
Speaker A
because i see a lot of people also saying can you show it in gold gold is one of those markets that is an event driven market okay and what that means is it usually requires some kind of geopolitical or
51:56
Speaker A
something crazy causing it to move otherwise it's highly manipulated there's a lot of stop hunts and then consolidations it's very frustrating okay it's it's not a it's not a market i believe that someone should be aggressively short-term trading i don't think that's
52:14
Speaker A
the ideal market there's plenty other markets out there that you can do that with and have better you know consistency and longevity now am i saying there aren't people out there that are making money consistently in gold no i'm not saying
52:27
Speaker A
that i'm saying because i'm speaking to people with the expectation that you're just now learning how to do this i'm aware that there's a lot of you that are veterans that have been trading longer than the average person coming to my
52:38
Speaker A
youtube channel but i have to speak in a language that is palatable for a new viewer otherwise i'm gonna speak to and this might be too lofty for a new viewer anyway but it hopefully it will intrigue them to see that there's a rhyming
52:53
Speaker A
reason to everything i'm teaching and they repeat it keeps happening every single day these signatures repeat so the question is going to be is what are you going to do with this information are you going to just say okay well this is
53:09
Speaker A
great but this is too much work so i'm going to look for something else that gives me a moving average crossover or some kind of a bell and whistle to put things on my chart to tell me what
53:18
Speaker A
to do and then you're basically creating a religious trading style because you're trusting something other than price because what have i shown you here just price there's no indicators here i'm only putting these areas in here with this
53:33
Speaker A
rectangle to highlight an imbalance i don't have these on my chart in time you won't either but in the beginning while you're learning it's important to annotate your chart so that when you log them in your study journal that way at
53:46
Speaker A
the end of the week you go back and look at all the intraday price action then you look at how the weekly chart worked within that whole panoramic view of intraday daily price action how did it all fit together and by doing that
54:00
Speaker A
you're literally getting snapshots of every individual day then the daily chart in the weekly chart and how it fulfilled its entire weekly range when was the high for when was the low formed what was the biggest day of the
54:13
Speaker A
week what was the framework around that biggest day of the week of movement and then also breakdown obviously like we're showing you here where trade setups it doesn't make a difference if you didn't trade it everything anybody ever learns is always
54:27
Speaker A
done by hindsight you want to be a doctor a surgeon guess what you're doing you're working in hindsight you're studying medical journals that about things that took place that you were not there okay you're studying hindsight don't let these
54:40
Speaker A
goobers out there try to discourage you from studying because i'm teaching you how you are going to get better at this you do what i just showed you how to do right here and you do it every single day
54:52
Speaker A
you're going to develop your own style of keeping notes in your charts i'm not going to do that here because i don't want to make a an example and feel like you have to do exactly what i said okay
55:07
Speaker A
what do i mean by that it's to me it's fascinating to see people comment in the comment section of the videos or they'll send me an email or i'll listen to people that obviously are trained under me and they make
55:19
Speaker A
videos on youtube i can hear my fingerprints or read my fingerprints in the way they talk they'll say certain things certain words certain expressions i can i can see my own fingerprints on that this part i always leave
55:38
Speaker A
empty and i do the same way of teaching even in a private group because i never show them annotations outside of the things i'm showing because over here you might write an observation about something that you may want to
55:53
Speaker A
further investigate that i might not even touch on in this discussion or lecture but it's important to you so you use the space in your chart to write those things down and then you come back to that chart on saturday at the end of the
56:08
Speaker A
week or sunday if that's the day you're going to do it on and you revisit the entire week and you walk through the entire week of how it delivered how many pips did it move and how much risk would have been incurred
56:19
Speaker A
in the trade so all those things work towards a model that you'll grow accustomed to trusting because you'll have back data and you'll have examples that you've trained yourself to see over time and by doing this your psychological
56:38
Speaker A
makeup as a trader will be formed with these things in mind so that way when you're watching price action it'll leap off at the chart when it's forming and you'll remember something you saw hundreds or thousands of times before
56:53
Speaker A
that generally repeat over and over and over again does every single day look exactly like this no but there's a lot of similarity to the things i'm showing you here that repeat so it's it's a matter of knowing what
57:06
Speaker A
you're looking for if two bears are walking in the snow one's younger and one's older and they're walking in the snow will both footprints look exactly the same no but you'll recognize they're both bear prints and you'll recognize which one's
57:23
Speaker A
larger or older and which one's younger so that's what it's like when you're looking at these signatures and price action they are generally very close to one another in terms of repeating the same type of way but they're not going to be so identical
57:42
Speaker A
that they're indistinguishable to the next one like you'll be able to see that that's a different day of trading but you'll still recognize these repeating phenomenon that is so telling in the marketplace but you can't fully appreciate it right now because you're
57:56
Speaker A
only now just becoming introduced to it and maybe you've watched some of my videos maybe you watched all my videos and you see when i do this and it resonates with you you're like man i can i get it because he's showing it to me
58:08
Speaker A
but then you go out into the chart and you try to do it and it just feels like your chart doesn't is organized or it's not so obvious to you what you're looking for that's normal that's how it was for me for a long time
58:22
Speaker A
in the 90s for a long time i struggled and floundered of trying to figure out what i'm supposed to be looking for i'm teaching you the things that repeat your job is to keep going into the chart annotating them and keeping a a running
58:37
Speaker A
log a study journal of what the price action has done and what you're observing you can't get hurt because it's already happened the moves already happened so you're studying it so what you're creating is the greatest technical analysis book that you're ever going to
58:52
Speaker A
own and you're doing it in your own words with your own work because when you buy a book what are you getting you're getting snapshots of something they're saying this is the important thing about this particular chapter or the theme of this particular
59:05
Speaker A
book i'm showing you how you need to stop buying books there is no books out there except for the ones i put in that one video that's in my library honestly that's it no other books are necessary in trading in my opinion it's just it's
59:21
Speaker A
the same garbage that's repeated and rehashed and people are just trying to do a cash grab you're not going to learn anything except for bad habits and flawed logic now when you've created a study journal with thousands of examples and you've been
59:37
Speaker A
doing it for years you're going to be astonished of how much of a technical analyst you are years from now and you'll be able to see a lot more setups that you just don't see like there's several opportunities in this
59:55
Speaker A
time frame or this fractal here on a five-minute chart there's lots of little trades in here i'm not going to go through and pick them all out because this is going to create a thousand different questions and you're going to
60:04
Speaker A
miss or overlook the very thing i've shown you in this lecture but this is a model that obviously works in this time frame in this pair it's in 4x it's not highly specific only two futures notice that it's
60:25
Speaker A
pretty clear isn't it it may not have been clear before i walked through it with you but you learned hopefully a great deal of things tonight you learned a little bit about quarter blocks what makes an order block based on the fair value gap
60:40
Speaker A
how do you differentiate how you look at the order block how do you break it down how do you invalidate the certain parts of the order block how do you know it's not going to go in the upper half of the order block or the
60:53
Speaker A
last up closed candle before it goes down i taught that tonight so hopefully this has been insightful to you and obviously we'll be back again next tuesday until i talk to you then enjoy your weekend and be safe
Topics:ICT 2022Euro dollar tradingTradingView chartsfair value gaporder flowtrading biasintraday tradingmulti-time frame analysistrade setupsmentorship

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