Speaker A
All right, folks, welcome back. This is the internal range liquidity and market structure shifts lecture. Again, 15-minute time frame on the E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures Contract for March delivery 2022. And take your attention over here, okay? This old low and these relative equal highs. See that old low below? That is sell stops, and relative equal highs above that are buy stops. Now, you could have used this high here; there's nothing inherently wrong about that. But whenever I see equal highs like this might, and if it's higher than an old high over here, I'm going to use that. So that way, there's a little bit of insight for you for your study journal. The sell side liquidity, you can see that the market trades down, hits that, runs through it, then rallies all the way back up, clearing equal highs. So the buy stops have been taken here, okay? So at both of these price points here and here, that's the, I guess, the point at which you'll look for or anticipate a market structure shift. You don't force it, okay? I see a lot of people try to teach my concepts that'll talk about market structure breaks or shifts, and we'll use that term interchangeably. But for intraday, I want you to think about intraday market structure shifts because it's not necessarily a break in market structure that leads to prolonged multi-day movement. Okay, what do I mean by that? If you see a market structure that's bearish and it's broken to the downside intraday, that may just lead to an intraday price leg that may eventually see that high be taken out in the same day. So that's why I'm using the term market structure shift, not market structure break, for our conversation here on this mentorship. Just know that when I'm going to lean on that term market structure break, it means a little bit more in context versus an intraday shift in market structure just means there's likely a downside draw or an upside draw intraday by seeing the term shift. Okay, so there's a little bit of semantics there. All right, so we have both of these areas here and here where there would be a likelihood of a market structure shift. Up here, we look for a fake run above here. So that fake run above, how do we know it's going to be a market structure shift that's bearish? Now, keep this price level in mind. So it's essentially 14,600 and 14,820, which are eyeballing it. Okay, now dropping all the way down into a two-minute chart, this is that same particular day. Here's those relative equal highs and this run down here. If you recall, 14,600 and around that 14,860 or so. If you look at this market structure without having the levels on your chart, it's easy to get lost. When we had this low form, right before this low was formed, there's a swing high right there. Now, in the first mentorship video I gave you, I mentioned that high-frequency trading algorithms will use market structure on a 3-minute, 2-minute, 1-minute chart, many times sub-1 minute. That would be like 45-second, 30-second, 15-second intervals. If you look at this short-term high here right before this low formed, when this high is taken out right there on that candle, that's significant only if this run down here has traded into sell stops, okay? Below an old low of some kind. It could be a double bottom, it could be a single low, but it's got to be trading under some retail idea that would be viewed as support. Up here, the same thing. When this run above these relative equal highs happens right there, you're anticipating a market structure shift. Let me go back to this for a second. We had this high on this candle, then we had the candle right after that here, the highest one, and then the lower high of this candle here. So that's a swing high, very simple little pattern, but it means a lot when it's in the proper context. When this high is broken with this particular candle right there, that is significant only on the basis that we have taken liquidity out of the marketplace. That's it. So when it broke this short-term high, this is more meaningful, and then the market will start to seek buy stops, okay? Or buy side liquidity that would rest above here, here, and here. So here's those sell stops. So this little area here shaded in, that's an area where sell stops would be residing below that 14,600 level, okay, on that 15-minute time frame. So the market dove into that liquidity, and you may or may not know that is a buy. You don't need to anticipate a shift in market structure when the market rallies above. When does that happen? On this candle right here. See that little light bulb? That's when you're thinking, okay, now I have a condition in the marketplace that I might see an opportunity intraday. Let's see if there's further evidence to that. Short-term high is taken here. We traded above it. It does not need to close above that, okay? Really important. Once that candle closes and this candle opens, you're going to monitor this candle, and you want to see as soon as this candle closes, does it create that fair value gap? If it creates a fair value gap, again, that's a candle with a high, one single pass up, next candle has a low that doesn't completely overlap. All this, that's fair value gap, real simple, okay? This candle is where you would look to potentially trade at the earliest because now there's a gap there. The market trades down into that, boom, takes off. See these down closed candles? See that? That's all one continuous order block. What's it doing? It's inside that pool of liquidity, sell stops. Where's the open on that series of down close candles? Right here. That's the price level extending out in time. Boom. So inside this fair value gap, this opening price on the order block, that's your buy plus three pips or whatever for spread, and that's what you would use for a limit order. Well, price starts to run where? Above the highs where buy stops will be here, above this high here, and above this high here. So the buy stops above here, that was taken. This swing low forms once this candle closes. So this candle we're watching, does it go below that short-term low? It does. So now we have a shift in market structure that is now bearish only because we've taken buy stops. Fair value gap forms, the market rallies up into that. You go short there. What are you looking for? Below here, sell stops. Below here, sell stops. Below here, sell stops, and in this fair value here. So if you are in a position that has multiple contracts, you can take partials below here. I really wouldn't do it there, but below here, here, and some. You saying, why wouldn't you take them below their ICT? Well, if you're trying to get short here, that's not really that much movement. So if you're going to take something off your trade below that low, why not just try to reach for that one, and you could get it there right here, okay? And then below that low is nice as well. This is below the 50 level of this high and that low, okay? Okay, so 50% level, that's what we're targeting. Now, this candle's low was the high end or first objective inside this gap. So that's your target. You're going to look for that. So you're looking for low hanging fruit, the easiest target to get to. You're not trying to be perfect, and you grow into eventually holding to see if it will fill in that gap. Okay, this fair value gap was going down to this candle's high. That's something that you strive for over time if you understand what I just showed you here. That's a very simple process of looking for number one, liquidity, gauging what happens without having to know for certain because you don't know. You're not going to know until the market shows its hand. This is it showing its hand. Now, let's go into a one-minute chart and see how that looks a little bit different but still has the same characteristics. Here's that same price structure just on a one-minute chart. The same logic still there, right? Swing high taken after liquidity has been traded into. This short-term high gets violated right when this trade down in here. What's actually occurring? Okay, put this in your notes. High-frequency algorithms are hammering. They're just throwing orders in, buy, buy, buy, buy, buy. That is not okay. Here's an imp—