Speaker A
All right, folks, welcome back. All right, so this is the Tuesday, January 25th, 2022 ICT mentorship on the YouTube channel. All right, so this is the internal range liquidity and market structure shift lecture. All right, so I gave you homework on the community tab. If you have not been paying attention to that, that's where I'm kind of keeping you abreast as to what you should be expecting next or something that just comes to mind that I feel like sharing. So this is the link I sent out the other day, and I wanted you to go through this particular chart and look for reasons that provided the market structure shift and the buy side and sell side liquidity. So if you have not done that, please stop the video and do that now. Otherwise, you're cheating yourself of a learning opportunity. All right, so here is that chart again, 15-minute time frame on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 futures contract for March delivery 2022. And take your attention over here. Okay, this old low and these relative equal highs. See that old low? Below that is sell stops, and relative equal highs above that is buy stops. Now, you could have used this high here. There's nothing inherently wrong about that, but whenever I see equal highs like this might, and if it's higher than an old high over here, I'm going to use that. So that way there's a little bit of insight for you for your study journal. The sell side liquidity, you can see that the market trades down, hits that, runs through it, then rallies all the way back up clearing equal highs. So the buy stops have been taken here. Okay, so at both of these price points here and here, that's the, I guess, the point at which you'll look for or anticipate a market structure shift. You don't force it. Okay, I see a lot of people try to teach my concepts. They'll talk about market structure breaks or shifts, and we'll use that term interchangeably, but for intraday, I want you to think about intraday market structure shifts because it's not necessarily a break in market structure that leads to prolonged multi-day movement. Okay, what do I mean by that? If you see a market structure that's bearish and it's broken to the downside intraday, that may just lead to an intraday price leg that may eventually see that high be taken out in the same day. So that's why I'm using the term market structure shift, not market structure break, for our conversation here on this mentorship. Just know that when I'm going to lean on that term market structure break, it means a little bit more in context versus an intraday shift in market structure just means that there's likely a downside draw or an upside draw intraday by saying the term shift. Okay, so there's a little bit of semantics there. All right, so we have both of these areas here and here where there would be a likelihood of a market structure shift. Up here, we look for a fake run above here. So that fake run above, how do we know it's going to be a market structure shift that's bearish? I get that question a lot, even from mentorship students. What you're looking for is the evidence. I'm going to show you here tonight. Okay, forget everything else everybody else says about market structure breaks and shifts and all that stuff. This is it. Okay, this is the brass tacks. There's absolutely nothing else that you need to know about it. I promise you if they add anything to it, it's just because they want to sound and look different, but this is the algorithmic perspective of a market structure shift. And today, now keep this price level in mind. So it's essentially fourteen thousand six hundred and fourteen thousand eight twenty. We're just eyeballing it. Okay, now dropping all the way down into a two-minute chart, this is that same particular day. Here's those relative equal highs and this run down here. Okay, if you recall 14 6 and around that 14 860 or so. Okay, if you look at this market structure without having the levels on your chart, it's easy to get lost in all the quote unquote noise. The uninitiated, and I know it's going to razz the people that don't care to really learn here, but the uninitiated folks that will watch a video or listen to some of the lectures I'll put out, they're trying to bring something in. They're trying to bring in their preconceived notions and ideas about what they think they understand about markets or technical analysis or something in price action, and I want to kind of like allow you to just put that aside for a moment and just imagine this chart is the first time you looked at price action for the first time. And that's hard, but kind of like strip away everything else that you want to bring to the conversation. No order block discussion, no breaker, no none of that stuff. Okay, supply and demand, Elliott Wave, all that garbage. If you look at this price action here, when we had this low form right before this low was formed, there's a swing high right there. Now, in the first mentorship video I gave you, I mentioned that high-frequency trading algorithms will use market structure on a three-minute, two-minute, and one-minute chart, many times sub-one minute. That would be like 45-second, 30-second, 15-second intervals. Okay, what the algorithms are actually doing, and this is also going to correct a lot of people out there because they put out misinformation, it's so nonsensical, but I'm challenging you to go into your charts and see if this is not what's actually going on because it happens every day. If high-frequency algorithms are operating every single day, then these signatures will be in the chart. Okay, if you look at this short-term high here right before this low formed, when this high is taken out right there on that candle, that's significant only, only if this run down here has traded into sell stops. Okay, below an old low, some kind, it could be a double bottom, it could be a single low. Okay, but it's got to be trading under some retail idea that would be viewed as support. Up here, the same thing, we're trading above highs, so we know that above old highs, a neophyte perspective will be these are unknown orders. So therefore, that's a flawed perspective on price action. How do you know there's liquidity up there? How do you know there's buy stops up there? It's just logic. It's simple. Look at the chart. Everybody's trying to do something based on some kind of theory, logic, whatever, some system. There's buyers and sellers coming in at all times. Their buying and selling, quote unquote, strength or pressure has absolutely no bearing on where these prices are going to go. I know that may shake individuals that think they know something about the markets. Oh, I have an uncle that used to be on the floor of the Chicago Board of Trade and blah, blah, blah, the Mercantile Exchange guys say this. I don't care. Okay, I don't care what any of those folks say because they didn't design the algorithm. So again, put all those, you know, talking points and everybody else's opinion you've adopted because you probably heard someone else talk about it and you subscribe to the review because it's easier just to do that instead of going and looking at it for yourself. And that's what I'm asking you to do. I'm telling you this is my personal belief. You're going to see proof of these things in a live account execution, but I want you to see the logic behind it because if you can see this, you'll be light years ahead of everyone else, and you'll laugh in the face of all these people that are going to tell you you're wasting your time trying to learn this. I promise you this lesson is going to change a lot for you. When this run above these relative equal highs happens right there, you're anticipating a market structure shift. You're not forcing it. You're not trying to get ahead of it. Okay, I don't think any of you are going to have the skill set to do that. There are ways to know when to sell short right above that, not even wait for the shift in market structure, just like there's ways to know to be a buyer down here without seeing that short-term high broken, then looking for a buy over here, the opposite. See this swing low? Let me go back to this.