Speaker A
All right folks, welcome back. A little bit earlier broadcast today.
Live trading analysis of E-mini Nasdaq Futures with detailed chart breakdowns and real-time trade insights.
Key Takeaways
- Understanding market imbalances and liquidity zones is crucial for anticipating price moves.
- Real-time trade examples demonstrate practical application of technical analysis concepts.
- Free mentorship on YouTube provides accessible trading education without financial barriers.
- Multi-timeframe analysis enhances precision in identifying entry and exit points.
- Patience and timing around market sessions and holidays can impact trade outcomes.
Summary
- The video provides a hindsight analysis of E-mini Nasdaq Futures March contract price action.
- The host explains market imbalances, fair value gaps, and premium/discount zones using daily and hourly charts.
- Discussion includes how liquidity zones influence price movement and potential selling opportunities.
- The presenter shares live trade examples executed through TD Ameritrade, emphasizing real account usage.
- Detailed explanation of entry and exit points with tick value calculations for trade profitability.
- The video covers market behavior around a bank holiday and its impact on trading sessions.
- The host encourages viewers to learn through free mentorship via YouTube rather than paid groups.
- Technical concepts such as equilibrium, consolidation, gap fills, and rebalancing are explained.
- The video includes multi-timeframe analysis from daily to 15-minute charts to identify trade setups.
- The presenter interacts with community feedback and explains trading decisions in real time.
Full Transcript — Download SRT & Markdown
Speaker A
I have some plans this evening, so I want to get it out of the way. All right, so we're looking at obviously a hindsight view of something I pointed to before it happened.
Speaker A
So that way you guys got a chance to see what it was like for my private mentorship group.
Speaker A
When I say these things, it's almost like an invitation for some of you to email me to ask to join that. You can't join it, okay?
Speaker A
I'm teaching mentorship on YouTube, okay? So that way you don't need to reach out to me, okay?
Speaker A
It's I'm teaching right here, and you didn't have to send me any credit card information.
Speaker A
You didn't have to set up any kind of PayPal account. There's nothing to worry about.
Speaker A
You either watch it and enjoy it and get something from it, or you never come back and watch it anymore.
Speaker A
Okay, it's very simple.
Speaker A
But I'm getting a lot of feedback from the comments and it's been very positive, so I thank you for that.
Speaker A
It's very encouraging.
Speaker A
All right, so we're looking at the E-mini Nasdaq Futures contract for the March delivery.
Speaker A
If you remember, I was outlining this imbalance in here.
Speaker A
Okay, and I gave you the high of this candle, the low of that candle, which it should be sitting right on that.
Speaker A
So with this imbalance, we traded down to a discount.
Speaker A
Back up to a premium.
Speaker A
Again, measure the high to the low.
Speaker A
And I'll do that for you now, because I know some of you are like, can you just do it for me?
Speaker A
All right.
Speaker A
So here's 50%, that's equilibrium inside this dealing range high and low.
Speaker A
So we traded from these lows up into a premium above 50%.
Speaker A
Below 50% is a discount.
Speaker A
Up here we tried to rally up above this high, failed, broke back down below 50%.
Speaker A
And it created a gap.
Speaker A
Okay, so it comes up back into a premium market above 50% and fills in the gap.
Speaker A
I mentioned how this type of retracement can lull traders into likely thinking it's going to go higher.
Speaker A
But we're thinking down here, okay?
Speaker A
The liquidity resting below here is what they're going to attack.
Speaker A
So all of this consolidation just sets up another selling opportunity to run down there.
Speaker A
And again, you're welcome to go back and listen to the previous discussions.
Speaker A
And you'll hear me basically say that.
Speaker A
We're going down here.
Speaker A
All right, so it needs to rebalance this first.
Speaker A
And it spends three days in that range.
Speaker A
Notice that?
Speaker A
Then it releases it to the downside, attacks the sell side here.
Speaker A
And trades into the sell side liquidity resting below here.
Speaker A
Let's go into a lower time frame hourly chart and ferret out some more information and details.
Speaker A
All right, so here is the hourly chart and you can see that high end of the fair value gap.
Speaker A
And the low of the fair value gap.
Speaker A
We traded up into that, sold off, consolidated.
Speaker A
Sold off once more, and you watched me share on the community tab.
Speaker A
My live trades from yesterday.
Speaker A
It was traded through TD Ameritrade.
Speaker A
It was not a demo account, okay?
Speaker A
So I want to go into what I used.
Speaker A
What I saw.
Speaker A
And then obviously, I'll show you in the account.
Speaker A
Where the details were, okay?
Speaker A
All right, so the market started trading.
Speaker A
Rallied up, took out a short-term high on Friday.
Speaker A
See that?
Speaker A
Then started to break down.
Speaker A
Now, overnight, I was watching this, but I was hoping that it didn't take out that low before the morning.
Speaker A
I wanted to see it trade up here, take that high out, and then consolidate after running below that short-term low.
Speaker A
I didn't want it to be in a hurry before the New York session in the morning.
Speaker A
Because that would have set up a nice short up here.
Speaker A
Where I could have taken a run under this low and then see if I can capture a re-entry.
Speaker A
Which is the entry you'll actually see me do.
Speaker A
And then the drop down in here.
Speaker A
Now, on Monday, it was a bank holiday, and trading stops at 1:00 in the afternoon on holidays generally.
Speaker A
And it resumes around the clock in the afternoon, New York time.
Speaker A
And where we stopped here, we had already moved aggressively lower and stopped right there.
Speaker A
So I felt very strongly that we were going to gap down below it.
Speaker A
And it gave just a beautiful gap lower and run immediately.
Speaker A
But I was looking at the 13590, 13586 level real time.
Speaker A
And I couldn't get to my screen fast enough to close it out there.
Speaker A
And I didn't want to put a limit order in because if it got really far down below it and started running, you know, really lower with a lot of speed and such.
Speaker A
I didn't want to limit my profitable exit with having a limit order in.
Speaker A
So I just left it open-ended.
Speaker A
And I wanted to see how far it would reach down in there.
Speaker A
By the time I closed the trade, it closed me at 13,612 and a quarter.
Speaker A
So my entry was 13,858 and a quarter.
Speaker A
The exit was 13,612 and a quarter.
Speaker A
That's not a little bit of ticks.
Speaker A
Okay, 240 some plus handles.
Speaker A
So you take that 240 some times that by four.
Speaker A
There's your tick value.
Speaker A
For those that like to keep counting that.
Speaker A
We're going to drop down into a 15-minute time frame.
Speaker A
All right.
Speaker A
So.
Speaker A
We had that run on Friday's high here.
Speaker A
Started to break down.
Speaker A
And at 10:30 in the morning, 10:33 was the actual fill.
Speaker A
So it's right in that candle.
Speaker A
Right in here, I'm trading in that candle going short.
Speaker A
So we're going to go into the details and look at why that was the case.
Speaker A
And again, you'll see the live account login and the business, okay?
Topics:E-mini Nasdaq Futurestrading analysistechnical analysisfair value gapmarket imbalanceliquidity zonesday tradinglive tradesTD Ameritradementorship
