Speaker A
Watch this clip of Sam Altman having a very strange reaction to an interviewer who's pretty friendly to Big Tech, and I'll explain in a second.
An investigative analysis of Sam Altman's controversial promises and investments behind OpenAI's trillion-dollar AI vision.
Key Takeaways
- Altman's promises about AI's benefits come with significant risks and require societal trust in one entity.
- There is a pattern of opacity and questionable ethics in Altman's business dealings and investment strategies.
- OpenAI's reliance on massive data and energy resources poses challenges for privacy, equity, and environmental impact.
- The promised future benefits of AI are uncertain, while current economic and social costs may be substantial.
- Critical scrutiny is necessary before fully entrusting AI development and infrastructure to Altman and OpenAI.
Summary
- Sam Altman reacts defensively when questioned about OpenAI's $1.4 trillion AI infrastructure spending versus $13 billion revenue.
- OpenAI promises AI will solve major global issues but asks society to entrust it with critical resources and data.
- Altman's career is marked by 'just trust me' moments, including misleading claims about his first company Loopt's user base.
- Loopt was sold in a controversial deal benefiting investors, while Altman profited despite the app's shutdown.
- Altman received backing from Peter Thiel and became president of Y Combinator, leveraging insider investments.
- OpenAI was launched as a non-profit with lofty ethical goals but funded by tech billionaires and corporations.
- OpenAI requires vast data, including Reddit content, which Altman had access to through ownership and board membership.
- Promises to return value to Reddit's community were never fulfilled due to regulatory issues.
- Altman is heavily invested in companies supplying AI infrastructure needs like networking, batteries, and rare earth mining.
- OpenAI's energy demands are massive, with plans for 250 gigawatts by 2033, raising sustainability and ethical concerns.
Full Transcript — Download SRT & Markdown
Speaker B
How can a company with $13 billion in revenues make 1.4 trillion of spend commitments? And you've heard the criticism, Sam.
Speaker C
First of all, we're doing well more revenue than that. Second of all, Brad, if you want to sell your shares, I'll find you a buyer. I just enough.
Speaker A
So, why does Altman seem so upset here?
Speaker A
After all, this interviewer is just pointing out a basic fact that OpenAI has committed to spend over $1 trillion on AI infrastructure over the next eight years, despite only bringing in around $13 billion a year in recurring revenue, less than 1% of what they're promising to spend.
Speaker A
I'm no money genius and I'm personally terrible at budgeting, but that doesn't seem great.
Speaker A
Most of the supposed growth in the American economy in 2025 was caused by investment in AI. That's all part of a promise being made by the industry, led by Sam Altman.
Speaker A
That once a certain level of machine learning intelligence is reached,
Speaker A
all of our problems will be solved.
Speaker C
The housing crisis, cancer,
Speaker C
poverty, climate change,
Speaker C
mental health,
Speaker C
democracy,
Speaker C
universal basic income,
Speaker C
cure a bunch of diseases,
Speaker C
this cancer and that one and heart disease,
Speaker C
helping you try to accomplish your goals and be your best.
Speaker C
very high quality health care,
Speaker C
important new scientific discoveries,
Speaker C
the marginal cost of energy are going to trend rapidly towards zero.
Speaker C
a more equal world,
Speaker C
universal extreme wealth for everybody.
Speaker A
In exchange for all that, Altman is asking all of society to put all of our eggs,
Speaker A
our data, our economy, our water and resources, everything,
Speaker A
into one basket.
Speaker A
His.
Speaker A
He's offering us one massive, just trust me, bro.
Speaker A
So, should we trust Altman? Should we accept his deal? Is it even our choice?
Speaker A
Altman isn't a technologist or scientist. He's an investor and dealmaker.
Speaker A
And really good at it, supposedly.
Speaker A
But his whole career is a series of just trust me, bro moments.
Speaker A
So, let's examine the deal Altman is offering all of us.
Speaker A
Should we believe Sam Altman's promises?
Speaker A
And what's the cost to the rest of us of those promises turn out to be
Speaker A
lies?
Speaker A
The classroom.
Speaker A
So, let's go back and look closer at Altman's early days in the tech industry.
Speaker A
Altman's first big deal was selling his first company, Loopt.
Speaker A
A service for locating your friends.
Speaker A
That's something that inherently needs lots of users to work,
Speaker A
or else you're just locating yourself.
Speaker D
The operative idea seems to be ubiquity.
Speaker D
I mean, get it out there in more ways than you can possibly imagine.
Speaker D
And make it available to everybody.
Speaker A
But the whole time, Loopt refused to say how many users they had.
Speaker A
Altman just insisted there were, quote, way more users than any other similar service.
Speaker A
It turns out, though, that towards the end, Loopt only had 500 users.
Speaker A
When Reuters reported this, Altman insisted it was 100 times more than that,
Speaker A
and that he'd provide evidence.
Speaker A
He never did.
Speaker A
Just trust me, bro.
Speaker A
Loopt sold to the Green Dot Corporation, who shut it down immediately,
Speaker A
and never used any of the tech.
Speaker A
Green Dot investors allege it was a dirty deal done to enrich Sequoia Capital.
Speaker A
A VC firm with a stake in Loopt,
Speaker A
and two board members at Green Dot who helped approve the deal.
Speaker A
Altman left Green Dot as soon as he was legally able, walking away with millions for building an app that no longer existed in any form.
Speaker A
And luckily for Altman, someone saw something in him.
Speaker A
Peter Thiel.
Speaker A
Thiel, who once said that Altman should be treated as, quote, more of a Messiah figure,
Speaker A
gave Altman millions to start his own VC firm, Hydrazine Capital.
Speaker A
And that's not all the capital Altman controlled.
Speaker A
He was also hired as president of Y Combinator, or YC,
Speaker A
an influential venture capital firm and startup incubator,
Speaker A
where Loopt got its original funding.
Speaker C
I think the president of YC is sort of the unofficial leader of the startup movement.
Speaker A
And Altman personally traded on that influence.
Speaker A
The New Yorker reports that up to 75% of Hydrazine's capital was invested in YC companies.
Speaker A
Altman used his inside view to get a cut of YC's power,
Speaker A
despite Altman promising he didn't cross-invest in YC companies.
Speaker A
That's two big lies so far, the user base of Loopt that needed users to exist,
Speaker A
and his investments.
Speaker A
In 2015, Altman leads YC into the investment you likely most know him for.
Speaker C
He's sort of a semi-company, semi-non-profit, uh, doing AI safety research.
Speaker A
OpenAI was launched as the supposed non-profit OpenAI Foundation, with a charter with a lot of lofty goals.
Speaker A
A primary fiduciary duty is to humanity, and avoid enabling uses of AI or AGI that harm humanity or unduly concentrate power,
Speaker A
while acting to minimize conflicts of interest among our employees and stakeholders.
Speaker A
The evidence that they do that,
Speaker A
just trust me, bro.
Speaker A
OpenAI's primary financial backers were tech billionaires and millionaires,
Speaker A
like Altman himself, Peter Thiel, Reed Hoffman,
Speaker A
and Elon Musk.
Speaker A
And tech companies like Amazon Web Services,
Speaker A
and Infosys.
Speaker C
We wanted to build this with humanity's best interest at heart.
Speaker A
But in exchange, OpenAI's asking for a lot.
Speaker A
Putting all of society's eggs in one basket, if you will.
Speaker A
They want electricity,
Speaker A
water,
Speaker A
infrastructure,
Speaker A
capital,
Speaker A
your data, your writing, your art,
Speaker A
and for humanity to adjust to job loss, deep fakes,
Speaker A
and everything else.
Speaker A
All in exchange for some future promise of technology that fixes everything.
Speaker A
So, can we trust him with all of this?
Speaker A
Let's look at some of his biggest statements and promises to show how they tie to all the eggs in the basket.
Speaker A
Altman insists he doesn't own any of OpenAI and he barely takes his salary.
Speaker C
I'm paid enough for health insurance. I have no equity in OpenAI.
Speaker C
I'm doing this because I love it.
Speaker A
But he doesn't hide that he's already rich, trying to do a rich guy using money for good Batman thing.
Speaker E
That Batman.
Speaker E
Such a wonderful person.
Speaker E
I don't deserve it.
Speaker F
But we millionaires decided that you do.
Speaker A
But let's look at how this is part of his honesty problem.
Speaker A
And it ties into the eggs in the basket, because Altman is invested in all the stuff necessary to build OpenAI.
Speaker A
One of the eggs OpenAI needs is a ton of data.
Speaker A
You can't build a large language model without examples of language and content.
Speaker A
And one source of that data is Reddit.
Speaker A
Altman owns a big share of the social networking site and was on its board until 2022.
Speaker A
Reddit got its start in the same inaugural Y Combinator class as Loopt.
Speaker A
Here's Altman standing next to Reddit co-founder Aaron Swartz,
Speaker A
in 2005.
Speaker G
Swartz.
Speaker A
Swartz died by suicide in 2013 after being criminally charged for reproducing academic articles online and breaking copyright law.
Speaker A
In 2015, Altman made a deal with Reddit allowing OpenAI to, quote, basically aggressively scrape everything posted on the site to feed into OpenAI's tech.
Speaker A
Reddit co-founder Alex Ohanian felt in his bones the deal was wrong.
Speaker A
It's a less noble version of what Reddit co-founder Aaron Swartz was targeted by law enforcement for.
Speaker A
Swartz wanted to open the knowledge up to everyone.
Speaker A
Altman wanted to put it in his product.
Speaker A
In 2014, Altman promised that he and other investors would give 10% of Reddit's value back to the Reddit community.
Speaker A
That never happened,
Speaker A
due to regulatory issues.
Speaker A
But just like Reddit's data going to OpenAI, a look at the areas Altman's wealth is invested in,
Speaker A
show a deep connection to other needs of the organization.
Speaker A
He's invested in AI networking equipment companies,
Speaker A
thermal battery companies,
Speaker A
and even companies mining the rare earth metals that server farms require.
Speaker A
And once it's all built, Altman will profit off the problems AI creates.
Speaker A
We're going to focus on three.
Speaker A
Rising energy demands and costs,
Speaker A
misuse, like fraud and deep fakes,
Speaker A
and job loss and economic collapse.
Speaker A
Altman says again and again that OpenAI needs more power.
Speaker A
The, quote, audacious long-term goal is to build 250 gigawatts of capacity by 2033.
Speaker A
That much compute requires as much electricity as 1.5 billion people, the equivalent of the entire population of India.
Speaker A
But Altman has a solution.
Speaker A
Since they first met in the early 2000s, Peter Thiel and Sam Altman have had a shared interest,
Speaker A
investing in nuclear power.
Speaker A
Which isn't inherently bad, of course, nuclear can be an extremely efficient and clean form of energy.
Speaker A
But Thiel and Altman want to own it.
Speaker A
Altman is invested in Helion and Oklo.
Speaker A
Helion is working to build the first ever nuclear fusion power plant,
Speaker A
a type of energy creation that many scientists say won't work.
Speaker A
And Oklo is building micro reactors, literally truck-sized nuclear reactors.
Speaker A
Which is a bit concerning considering this investment strategy.
Speaker C
Part of our model is make the cost of mistakes really low,
Speaker C
and then make a lot of mistakes.
Speaker A
But for now, Oklo hasn't figured their reactors out yet,
Speaker A
and are just using gas to keep up with the promises they made.
Speaker H
Nuclear startup Oklo and natural gas firm Liberty Energy today announcing a partnership to provide energy to large-scale customers.
Speaker A
Altman is also invested in multiple companies offering protection against AI bad actors.
Speaker A
Identity verification to prevent deep fakes, and even companies offering insurance for losses due to AI scams and hacking.
Speaker A
That's like Batman not making any money off of crime fighting, but then selling Batmobile drove into my house insurance.
Speaker A
While also running the Uber for Henchman startup that the Riddler uses and selling the Joker white makeup.
Speaker A
One other big promise Altman makes is that when the AI he sees as inevitable makes many jobs obsolete,
Speaker A
it'll create so much wealth that it can be shared with everyone, just like his smaller scale Reddit promise that turned out to be bullshit.
Speaker A
And in 2024, he announced the product that it supposedly offer that shared abundance.
Speaker C
Worldcoin.
Speaker I
Worldcoin.
Speaker J
Worldcoin.
Speaker K
Worldcoin.
Speaker L
Worldcoin.
Speaker A
Worldcoin is a technology company and cryptocurrency funded by all the usual suspects of Technofascism.
Speaker A
Worldcoin's backers say it can be a way to give out some form of universal basic income,
Speaker A
when AI starts replacing jobs.
Speaker C
I think this idea that we have a global currency that is outside of the control of any government,
Speaker C
is a super logical and important step on the tech tree.
Speaker A
But it also sells itself as a solution to identity verification problems created by AI.
Speaker A
They want to use these orbs as a method of trusted identity check.
Speaker A
And you don't get your universal basic income until you scan your eyes into the orb.
Speaker A
And like many of Altman's other projects, from Loopt to ChatGPT, it requires universal adoption to be of any business use.
Speaker A
A currency and identification system are pretty useless if other people don't use them.
Speaker A
So again, Altman is making an offer.
Speaker A
Give us your identity,
Speaker A
and we'll give you cryptocurrency.
Speaker A
It's a classic Altman deal.
Speaker A
I'll fix everything if you sign over everything.
Speaker A
Just trust me, bro.
Speaker A
It's almost like Altman wants to build a whole other economy, just in case the one we have now falls apart.
Speaker A
Well, we'll get to that.
Speaker A
In 2019, OpenAI gave up any pretense of being non-profit,
Speaker A
and started a for-profit branch.
Speaker A
Then spun the for-profit out into its own entity in 2024.
Speaker A
That for-profit organization has none of the same legal responsibilities as the non-profit did.
Speaker A
And brought in new investors, like Microsoft,
Speaker A
which invested $13 billion,
Speaker A
which OpenAI largely spent on Microsoft products.
Speaker A
And it's not just Microsoft.
Speaker A
Nvidia has promised to invest $100 billion in OpenAI over the next few years,
Speaker A
money that OpenAI will spend buying Nvidia chips.
Speaker A
OpenAI has similar circular deals with AMD, the Qatari government, and Larry Ellison's Oracle.
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Thanks.
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Topics:Sam AltmanOpenAIAI infrastructuretech investmentY CombinatorLooptReddit dataAI ethicsAI promisesenergy consumption
