Speaker A
The most important thing is, do I want to sit down with this person for four hours and speak to them? Because, um, I'm very, very busy. There's lots of things going on. So for me to sit down for four hours and have a conversation where I am transfixed, and I'm not like falling asleep like I used to in school, um, because I'm not interested. The most important thing is that I'm really interested in the subject. I've got a set of questions about this person and what they do, or what they studied, or what they know, that I am desperate to find out. That's number one. And then the other circle that comes into my thinking is based on everything I know about my audience and all the feedback that they've given me, what is it that they really want? The third thing is the what what the data tells us that the audience consistently respond to. And I always say to my team, I kind of see it like these three circles. And where they overlap, my curiosity, what my audience want, and what the data says, that sweet spot in the middle is the perfect cast. And this is what I'd tell my kids if I had kids today, hopefully I'll have some some soon. I will tell them, I'm really not that bothered about like what you study or whatever, but the most important thing to own a rapidly accelerating future is to lean into bizarre behavior. When something makes you feel a bit weird, when it goes against what you think you know, lean in. And especially if there's lots of pessimists, because pessimism correlates to disruption. I.e., the more people that are slightly pissed off and criticizing the thing, probably relates to the amount of people who are experiencing the cognitive dissonance of, oh my God, I think this thing's going to kill my job. So there's probably a big opportunity for disruption there. Um, so yes, I am scared. But what do you do with that energy? Do you like ostrich in the sand it, or do you do something about it? Anyway, TLDR, we started experiments here with our experimentation team, and a team a separate team that I call Flight X, which is my little special projects team, who are trying to kill the main business. So their job is to disrupt the main business. Because if you don't disrupt yourself, then someone else is going to. That's what history tells us. Um, they call it the innovator's dilemma. So their job has been to build AI podcasts that are better received, better retaining in terms of retention than our current shows. So one of the things they did, and it goes back to these three points that I said, is they started a new show using me, although I didn't record it, I didn't write it. Even the artwork wasn't created by me, wasn't published by me, and it's live, and it's doing very, very well. And again, you just play forward any expected rate of improvement. Let it improve, let the writing part, the content writing part that AI did, improve by 5% a year, or 5% a month. It's really improving by about 10% a month. Um, and eventually you have yourself in a place where it is incomparable and equal to me sat with nine cameras around me flying across the world to interview someone. And actually, if I can literally play it for you, could you pass me my phone? So, I play this for my girlfriend, um, and I didn't tell her that it wasn't me, and that I hadn't recorded it. And she had no idea. So I'd be pretty surprised if you could tell the difference. But this is live. This podcast is made purely with AI. It's live on Spotify now. It has a fantastic rating on Spotify. It's got like 4.6 stars on Spotify. The comments are great. The retention is 60% of people get to the end of it, and it's an hour-long podcast in my voice, written by AI, voiced by AI, but in my voice, um, and published by AI. And so when you think you again, you play this forward, you go, well, we could create theoretically, using this technology, thousands of shows from one computer, theoretically, with one person. And these things always seem like they're never going to happen, but, um, because new innovations, they in many ways, they start worse than the current, um, dominant innovation. So when you think about the horse and car industry, the reason why every horse CEO back in the 1800s dismissed the cars was because they were way more expensive, way slower. There was a law called the Red Flag Law where you had to walk in front of it with a red flag. They broke down all the time. So people dismissed it and said it will never get there. But the key thing to look at in these moments is the rate of improvement. How much more can Stephen Bartlett improve as a human host? Not much. How much more could the AI improve? And will it improve? Over just the next five years, profoundly. So when the new S curve comes in, it's always below the old S curve. And then, so this is the older the older one goes like this. This is Stephen Bartlett is the host and using normal cameras. The the new S curve comes in below. It starts worse, but the rate of improvement significantly out exceeds it, which means ultimately it becomes the dominant technology. So if you if you play this podcast, this is the one that AI did. of a revolution. Inside that garage, a whirlwind of activity unfolds. The scent of solder and fresh wood mingles in the air, illuminated by the soft glow of hanging fluorescent lights. Amidst a lab, That's me. It's got 4.6 stars on Apple. They know it's AI. And this is the crazy part because it literally says on the thumbnail, made by AI. And all the comments are like, can you slow the AI down just a little bit? Does that scare you at all? Okay, good question. Good question because absolutely yes. But what's even more scary is someone else doing it. And this is always the thing with innovation. You've got to realize that there's always a bulldozer coming for you. It's coming for you, it's coming for me, it's coming for everybody listening. And you have a choice history shows us to either be hit by the bulldozer or to drive the bulldozer and run and run all you over. And as they look back through history in one of my favorite books called The Innovator's Dilemma, really irrespective of industry, whether it's digging excavators or micro memory discs or whatever, whoever's currently dominant and doing well at the thing, they always focus on what their current customer base are asking for. So if we go back to the horse analogy, if I was the CEO of a horse company, every single one of my customers, what did they want? Faster, more comfortable horses. That's what they were demanding me for. And every single employee and team member I had, what did they know? What did they qualify in? Horses. And my supply chain is set up to do horses. So when my colleague comes to me and says, listen, there's this thing called cars. I go, are any of our customers asking for cars? No one in my comment section has ever said, by the way, Steve, can we have some AI podcasts? No one ever. None of my sponsors on the show have ever gone, we'd really love to sponsor some AI podcasts. So when I understand that, and I I have the full picture of like how history plays out, I go, we've got to lean in early when it feels bizarre, and we've got to start experimenting and messing around because Stephen Bartlett at 18 with those social with that little social media thing was naive. He didn't know how the old world worked of marketing. So he leaned in and started messing around. And this is what I'd tell my kids if I had kids today, hopefully I'll have some some soon. I will tell them, I'm really not that bothered about like what you study or whatever, but the most important thing to own a rapidly accelerating future is to lean into bizarre behavior. When something makes you feel a bit weird, when it goes against what you think you know, lean in. And especially if there's lots of pessimists, because pessimism correlates to disruption. I.e., the more people that are slightly pissed off and criticizing the thing, probably relates to the amount of people who are experiencing the cognitive dissonance of, oh my God, I think this thing's going to kill my job. So there's probably a big opportunity for disruption there. Um, so yes, I am scared. But what do you do with that energy? Do you like ostrich in the sand it, or do you do something about it?