**Duck Streams Return — Transcript & Summary | SozAI**
Source: https://sozai.app/transcript/duck-streams-return/

TechnicalRoundup returns with live streams discussing Bitcoin trading levels, options trading on Kraken, and market analysis.

## Key Takeaways

- Regular live streams will resume to keep the channel active and engage viewers.
- Support and resistance levels are primarily drawn from candle bodies and swing points with a mix of system and intuition.
- Kraken's new options trading feature is a notable platform update worth exploring.
- Market analysis includes Bitcoin and altcoins with attention to price action and external factors.
- Viewer feedback is welcomed to tailor future educational content on technical trading.

## What the video covers

- TechnicalRoundup announces the return of regular live streams due to scheduling challenges with co-host Craig.
- The host discusses personal challenges including family health issues impacting his schedule.
- Kraken now offers options trading, and the host plans to explore and introduce this feature to viewers.
- The video explains how the host picks meaningful support and resistance levels using candle bodies and swing points.
- False breakouts and retests are highlighted as important market structures to watch.
- The host emphasizes the role of gut feeling combined with technical analysis for drawing levels.
- Bitcoin price action and market sentiment are analyzed with references to key price levels like $60k.
- The host touches on broader market events such as geopolitical tensions affecting oil and Bitcoin prices.
- Discussion includes other coins like Monad and Eve, comparing their market behavior and sentiment.
- The video encourages viewer interaction for future content and possible detailed guides on technical analysis.

## Chapters

1. 00:00 Introduction and Live Stream Return
2. 02:56 Personal Challenges and Kraken Options Trading
3. 06:12 Picking Support and Resistance Levels Explained
4. 08:40 Market Structure and False Breakouts
5. 11:07 Bitcoin Price Action and Key Levels
6. 14:12 Geopolitical Impact on Markets
7. 18:15 Altcoin Market Discussion
8. 21:40 Viewer Interaction and Future Content Plans

Answers

## Questions about this video

Why is TechnicalRoundup returning to live streams?

The host decided to resume regular live streams because scheduling with co-host Craig was difficult, and the channel was inactive for weeks, causing viewer uncertainty.

How does TechnicalRoundup determine support and resistance levels?

He primarily uses small body candles and swing points to box out meaningful support and resistance areas, combining technical rules with gut feeling developed over years.

What new feature does Kraken offer that is discussed in the video?

Kraken has recently introduced options trading on their platform, which the host plans to try out and introduce to viewers.

## Full Transcript — Download SRT & Markdown

00:03

Speaker A

Good morning, everyone. How are you guys doing? It's been a while. Um, we'll just pretend this is the first try [laughter] and nothing happened before. Um, let me know if everything's working just to make sure. Um, before I talk for

00:27

Speaker A

a couple minutes again and it doesn't make any sense. Um, but anyway, um, anyway, uh, yeah, we're back. We're back with the live streams. Um, reason being that I have given up on getting credit to do a schedule and, uh,

00:51

Speaker A

kind of feel like I kind of feel bad when the channel goes empty for like two weeks while everyone's just kind of like, what's going on. So, there's going to be regular streams, um, from my side coming

01:06

Speaker A

up and, um, a little bit less on the show side and I guess more of the streams. Um, where's Craig? Craig's doing good. He's just super, super busy and, um, it's frustrating for him. It's frustrating for me to kind of manage all of that. Um

01:24

Speaker A

so yeah, he will be back but it's just it's just difficult to manage all of that.

01:34

Speaker A

Um, given our time difference and everything, it's just not easy. And then either we do a show for him in the night, like in the middle of the night, or for me early morning and I have like I put

01:49

Speaker A

the children in kindergarten in the morning and have other stuff to do and he's probably has better things to do on Friday night. So that's why it's been a little bit tough. Do we need to bully

02:03

Speaker A

bully Cred again? You might have to. Yeah, but I've bullied him a lot and it's not worked. So I, I'm starting to lose faith in the bullying. Um, so all the lines and boxes you've drawn have been meaningful. Can you describe

02:17

Speaker A

how do you pick your levels? Yes, I will. Um, before we do, um, and before we get into the show, big shout out to Kraken. They've forgiven our sins of coming on every other week. And, uh, generally I've been very supportive. Um,

02:34

Speaker A

they've asked [snorts] me to, um, introduce you guys to, uh, option tradings on their platform. So that's what I'm going to do. Um, most of you guys probably didn't know this, but they offer options now, uh, since two

02:52

Speaker A

weeks or something. I actually haven't tried it myself. I still need to do it.

02:56

Speaker A

Um, just been super busy. Um, the entire family's just like besides me, everyone just keeps going down. Like my children and my wife keep getting sick and I've been holding on for dear life not getting

03:12

Speaker A

sick, but I've been having to take care of them and stuff. So, I've just not been able to do it. But anyway, they offer options now, um, which is quite cool. I'll try it out. Um, if

03:26

Speaker A

you do, if you guys want to try it out, um, make sure to use the ref link. Um, don't want to get fired too soon. Um, but yeah, that's quite cool.

03:40

Speaker A

I used to do a little bit of options trading back in the day on Drapit, but haven't done that in a while, and now Kraken has it, too. So, that's really cool. So, yeah, thanks for the support, Kraken. And, uh, thanks for [laughter]

03:58

Speaker A

living with our schedule being okay with it. Um, Duck, when will I ever be able to offload my NFT bags? Uh, yeah, [laughter] probably I don't know. Probably shouldn't talk about that one. Um, really depends on what you have. A few NFTs I

04:21

Speaker A

like. I like punks still. I think if you have punks, you're probably fine. Most people won't have punks, but all our favorite OG crypto basement dwellers grew up and have real lives now. It's okay. It happens to the best

04:37

Speaker A

of us. Yeah, that's pretty much exactly what happened. Um, it's tough and I for some reason can still manage, um, even with a real life but my wife's quite busy so having to wrestle the children.

05:02

Speaker A

Anyway, um, someone asked for like why my lines are meaningful and where they come from. Um, and it's really like I wish I could tell you like, hey, this is the way I do it and these are the rules. Um,

05:20

Speaker A

and I mean there is some kind of system to it, but there's also a lot of just got feel what feels right. Um, but I can go over it real quick. So, generally when you have like a small body candle, um, at the top somewhere, I like to use these and box them out as support resistance. Uh, so I would kind of like in this case I would do this, um, just because that area usually acts, um, in a meaningful way. In

05:36

Speaker A

this case here, uh, it gave you a false breakout which is meaningful like this is a meaningful structure in itself even though maybe you're like, okay this is a breakout now I can buy it. You get the retest, it goes up, uh,

05:57

Speaker A

it comes back down, uh, and fails. So maybe you even lost money on that one.

06:12

Speaker A

Um, but it's still quite meaningful because if the bull market would have continued that would have been like the place to do it from. And the reason by it failing, uh, it's kind of confirmed and if you go back to this exact

06:18

Speaker A

structure this basically my reasoning back then, uh, I was like you like I don't feel too bullish here but you have to be bullish, uh, until 60k is lost right so basically like in this structure, uh, we've retested it we were holding it so

06:33

Speaker A

you'd have to be bullish for a while, uh, and then it broke down. It closed below 60. That was kind of for me enough to be like, okay, and you can go back. This is still on this

06:52

Speaker A

channel actually. Uh, the videos from back then, we were more organized and had them regularly. But anyway, like the moment we closed below 60, um, here at 57, uh, I was like, "Okay, this is really bad. Um, get out of the way." So like

07:04

Speaker A

those times tend to usually be quite meaningful like when you get these small body candles. Same here with like a false breakout but then the real breakout came after. Um, so I look for those. Same for bottoms, right?

07:21

Speaker A

Uh, so you have a small body candle, uh, you can box that out as support, um, here for example. If it's too big a candle, like you'd obviously wouldn't want to box this out. That's stupid. Um, that makes no sense. Uh, and then in

07:37

Speaker A

terms of lines, it's usually just the swing points really, um, that I look for.

07:53

Speaker A

So, um, in this case, if we were going back here, uh, this would be interesting.

07:59

Speaker A

Um, but you see all the other lines, but it's usually just a swing point. Um, it's nothing really complicated. Um, the magic is in being able to kind of know which ones are too close, which ones are too close to other levels that

08:06

Speaker A

would be important or too far away, all that kind of stuff. Um, but that's just the gut feeling that you get, um, over time. But yeah, this for example, very obvious kind of like swing low here

08:27

Speaker A

and I go off of the candle bodies like most of the time. I usually don't care about the wicks. Uh, and then, uh, you get these interactions. It's not too complicated. It's really hard for me to explain because to me I just look at

08:40

Speaker A

it and I'm like, that's obvious, that there has to be like that you have to draw something here because that's going to be obvious resistance or support. Um, but maybe one day I'll make a proper

08:53

Speaker A

proper guide to how I think about it. Um, not sure if anyone would actually be interested. People have been seeing me draw these charts for 10 years. So I think most people understand, um, how I look at it. But yeah, I don't know if

09:09

Speaker A

anyone would be interested, you can make a comment and I'll think about making a video explaining it in short. Uh, where I actually write down because like just going and looking at the chart, um, I mean I can explain it

09:23

Speaker A

that way, but it's not going to be as concise as if I make a proper video about it. Anyway, um, we've had a little bit of price action since the last time we talked. Um, nothing's really happened. Um, but we've

09:39

Speaker A

had a little bit up and downs and people have been trading the trenches as far as I understood it. Um, but yeah, we'll talk about Bitcoin. We'll talk about some more coins and then we'll see where

09:53

Speaker A

you guys take me. Isn't it just high time frame pivotal levels? Yeah, basically. Uh, it's really not too complicated and

10:09

Speaker A

you guys take take me. Isn't it just high time frame pivotal levels? Yeah, basically. Uh it's really it's it's not too complicated and there there's no real strict rules to it. Just what makes sense. But then again, obviously like that's going to be like

10:27

Speaker A

you're going to be like, "Yeah, [ \_\_ ] you. [laughter] Like it doesn't make sense to me." And then you tell me like you just need to draw something that makes sense. Like that's stupid advice. And I agree it's

10:37

Speaker A

stupid advice. I I can, like I said, I can sit down and make make a proper video about it. Um, I'm glad Don is still somewhat bullish.

10:46

Speaker A

I need an infusion of that. All I see in the charts um looks like [ \_\_ ] to me.

10:50

Speaker A

Yeah, I mean it it kind of does feel feel a little weak, but that's because just the trap markets are very weak. Um, we had oil rallying against again in the last couple weeks. We had the S&P kind

11:07

Speaker A

of start like going sideways and then we had Korea just full implode like this something we talked about in the last show um where I was like why is it retesting support I don't like it um and like these these stocks are down

11:29

Speaker A

50%. [laughter] like it's proper it's proper like crypto trading land everywhere else but in crypto now. Um so we kind of we kind of stuck with that.

11:45

Speaker A

Do you see that one in five Koreans are on high margin? I saw something like that. Yeah. And I'm not surprised they they did like if you've been around for a while you they've they've done some damage to the crypto charts as well

11:56

Speaker A

before. Um, now they're trading stocks. The biggest thing I've learned from donors, when sentiment is [ \_\_ ] be bullish. Yeah, to an extent. Um, I would say sentiment is really really bearish.

12:13

Speaker A

uh and the chart is not bearish enough to warrant it. But um but um also like just generally the the feeling in in all markets and in the world is quite negative right now. And I think everyone can kind of tell um

12:35

Speaker A

people are very pessimistic about the future. Um and that leads to leads to just general pessimism about everything.

12:46

Speaker A

Um kind of kind of sad to see like I it's the world is a much better place when people are optimistic about the future. Um, not only because obviously like that's just nicer, but also because um stuff gets done. Whereas when when

13:06

Speaker A

everyone's pessimistic, it's just like no one does [ \_\_ ] because everyone's just like eh.

13:15

Speaker A

Um, but yeah, let's go over the charts real quick before before we yap. Um, so we have that 60k support still. uh comes from all the way back here in 2021. Um that held same like I I explained

13:29

Speaker A

earlier like you look for the swing points. Um that worked excellent that has been a shelf. Uh that was kind of like the the the Trump bottom. Um we ran up and came all the way back down. Now,

13:47

Speaker A

one thing uh that you will see a few people kind of make comments about is that this could be like a head and shoulders type scenario. And I mean it could it always could. For that, we would have to kind of like to confirm

14:02

Speaker A

that one um you would have to break the the neckline. Uh I generally am not the biggest fan of playing these um for anything but so whenever you get like these head and shoulders moves um like classic textbook is you break here and

14:22

Speaker A

then that's why you supposed to be bearish where whereas I like to trade them from here. So basically I see the setup like you have a high you make a low you make a make a higher high and then you go all

14:37

Speaker A

the way back to support which would be this. Um so you can argue like here on the left side with that wick. Uh usually I much rather short from here to just below this support um rather than be

14:53

Speaker A

shorting from this support to wherever the target would be. Uh, in my experience, this almost never plays out.

15:00

Speaker A

Um, you usually just go to the nearest support and then pounds, which in this case, like if you're on the bare team, right? Um, in this case, the next support would be 45. Um, we've talked about this before, like that's the most

15:14

Speaker A

obvious nice level. Uh, and I think that would be like that's as much as I'm willing to to give the bears. I think that's like if your targets are any lower than this, you're quite you're quite crazy. Um, now we always

15:31

Speaker A

can go lower, whatever. You never you never know what's going to happen. But to me, 45 that's like the that's already an extreme that's being hit um similar to us having gone to 20 or like even 16k um in the past where we kind of just

15:48

Speaker A

overextended too low. I think 45 would be overextending too low. Like that's the best value you're going to get in in my eyes, right? Okay. So, we we do have that support down here. If that head and shoulders idea plays out, um I don't

16:04

Speaker A

think you should be targeting any lower. That's the target for that. Um now for the bulls, we are still at support. Um and we are bouncing from it. Now we have three days left um in for this monthly

16:17

Speaker A

close and um I would like to see us move a little bit away from the support. Um the the more we move up from here the better. Uh and the reason for that is that one the support has been tested a

16:34

Speaker A

bunch here has been tested here. Uh and this is kind of like the third big test.

16:39

Speaker A

So like that's not really too um confidence inducing like that. This doesn't give me much confidence uh in the support or like at least not as much when I'm not watching.

16:57

Speaker A

So I should be back now hopefully. Yeah. Sorry about that guys. Um I am getting a new setup here in a couple weeks.

17:14

Speaker A

Uh yeah, we're back. Good. Uh yeah, I should be getting a new setup in in a couple weeks, so that might be better.

17:22

Speaker A

Um it's uh it's a little bit annoying, but yeah, sometimes sometimes my my my son eats the eats the internet router, so I'm not surprised that that thing is is is on its on its dying legs. Um but yeah, so we we are testing it for

17:42

Speaker A

the third time. The support Don's never ending new setups. Yeah, dude. It's been it's just like I I for some reason I always run into internet troubles.

17:53

Speaker A

Always been the case in my life. Um you'd think you'd think in 20 in 2026 that that wouldn't be the case, but give him food, sir. [laughter] [gasps] No, he he gets to eat the route and that's it.

18:08

Speaker A

Hello. Cannot cannot raise spoiled children. Um anyway, uh third test. Pretty nice that we're holding it, but the like we need to move a little bit away from it. And the reason why I'm saying that is because uh the worst case

18:24

Speaker A

in my eyes would kind of be getting stuck in here. So like between 57 and 61, it closed in there in 3 days. Um, that would probably be enough for me to deer risk a bunch. Um, which would mean taking

18:41

Speaker A

a small loss. But, um, yeah, if it's if it gets too laggy, guys, um, then you're just going to have to rewatch uh after because it does compile properly. Um, as far as I'm aware. Uh, so as in like you're just

18:58

Speaker A

going to have to watch the recording. Um, but yeah, if it gets too bad, just uh bear with me and then just come back in half an hour. I know that's annoying, but there's nothing that I can do about

19:13

Speaker A

it and I don't have time later in the day to redo the stream again. Um, but yeah, so if we close uh at 61 62 uh the boundary here, that'd be bad news in my opinion. um we would

19:29

Speaker A

probably go lower at that point. Um and um if we close somewhere where we are right now, for example, that would mean that the support has held but that the support reaction has not been significant. Um I would still keep

19:47

Speaker A

holding at that point, but um I would do so ready to jump ship. And then if we close here at 6970 um which isn't too far away, but that would be a meaningful distinction um between like just barely holding that

20:06

Speaker A

support and actually putting a bounce now um like a proper bounce in and that's that's kind of what we're looking for. So that's that's kind of where we are on the monthly time frame. Monthly support is holding. Uh I would like to

20:19

Speaker A

see a stronger bounce. We have three days left. Uh this area is kind of very ambiguous. 64K not enough to give me a lot of confidence uh but also not bearish enough to get me freaked out.

20:35

Speaker A

Um and then on the weekly time frame uh we have been struggling with this resistance here and um that kind of makes sense. We had a consolidation in here um that led to the up move and then we had the whole Iran

20:53

Speaker A

spectacle and just general market bearishness that took us lower and uh now we're kind of like pushing against that which I don't necessarily mind um too much. I like generally speaking Yeah.

21:14

Speaker A

Yeah. the the live stream is not really I I will have to fix that before the next one because this is too much. It's even worse than the the old setup. Sorry guys. Um that is much less fun than

21:29

Speaker A

otherwise than it otherwise would be. Um in any case, yeah, I'm I just keep getting messages like from my from my OBS like OBS been disconnected reconnected disconnected.

21:43

Speaker A

I get Starlink. Yeah, I might I might submit to the overlord of Elon. Um I've been thinking about it. I mean, it's fine. Like, I don't really do anything else. Um like a high time frame trade. I don't low time frame trade anymore. And

22:00

Speaker A

I I don't really have time to play video games too much, so don't really care uh about the internet. But when I'm streaming, it's annoying. Um, so in this case so the the retest might be like a good

22:15

Speaker A

short-term entry for like a short, but it's not it wouldn't inspire me with a lot of confidence for a short. I'd rather short down here than up here. And we are kind of in this situation where we had a breakdown here and we're

22:32

Speaker A

retesting it. And the first retest like that's fine as a short in my opinion.

22:38

Speaker A

um like that's fine, but the secondary test that's usually like quite quite a bad um short setup. Can still work obviously, but it's not the best. So, we're kind of stuck at that level. Um but the more times we try to get above it, the more

23:00

Speaker A

tests we give it, the less confidence I have in it holding. And I think the moment we close above 65, we actually start looking quite good. Um on the weekly time frame, uh optimally we'd be uh would be closing above 70. I think at

23:17

Speaker A

that point like we're just back bullish, but um like the minimum would be 65K, close above there. Um and then we start crossing over into Okay, maybe we we get a little reversing a reversal. Uh timewise, how close do you think we are

23:38

Speaker A

from the major bottom? This is really hard to say because I think this could take quite a while. Honestly, I I could see us like if if all goes poorly, right? And I mean I talked about 45K.

23:50

Speaker A

This is the weekly version of that down here, right? Uh I could see us do like a whole lot of nothing uh for like a year more. Um so it's really hard to say time wise bottom.

24:07

Speaker A

Um but yeah I I don't like given we have weakness in in all the speculative stuff right we have we have SpaceX completely imploding um like that's down infinite uh like 50% obviously kind of launched at a very high

24:29

Speaker A

valuation um but just generally like we have Tesla down a bunch we have the the Korean market down a bunch um like the speculation's been getting washed out and crypto's kind of been fine. Um so that's that's all right, but we do

24:47

Speaker A

need a little bit we do need a little bit more from our beloved crypto market um before before you can call it momentum, right?

24:57

Speaker A

It's just barely holding up right now. Um and then on the daily time frame, there's not really that much. We're just going sideways. um and struggling a little bit. I think the the weekly is probably the best chart to look at. Um

25:15

Speaker A

you can I think you can look at it this way. Um we cross above 65 and we're probably going to go up a bunch more. I'm generally hoping thinking we're going to go up a bunch more, but it is time

25:32

Speaker A

sensitive. If we have if we have weakness today uh tomorrow, the day after into the monthly close and we close at 6061, um I will probably like just be be a lot more bearish. So we we have like three

25:48

Speaker A

more days um to hold this level slash um go up. If that doesn't happen, I will I will close all the all the stuff that that I bought at 58 and then try again later.

26:06

Speaker A

Um but yeah, that's the story for Bitcoin. So like kind of on the edge. Uh it needs to do a little bit more to be bullish.

26:16

Speaker A

It's very close to being like continue being bearish. We're kind of in that in between and we've been in that in between for a month now and that's obviously not fun, but that's just that's just how it is. Um,

26:31

Speaker A

where's Sailor to save us? Um yeah, Sailor's been busy raising money um and not buying like buying like getting money to buy uh back his his um yeah, I don't want to call it a Ponzi, but yeah, I I'll leave it to the imagination

26:53

Speaker A

whatever I think of this. Uh but yeah, STRC, he's been kind of like raising money to buy back this to get it back to Peg uhish.

27:06

Speaker A

Really, really stupid. Like that whole saga is just it gets more and more stupid as we go along.

27:14

Speaker A

Um but yeah, that's Bitcoin. E looks quite good to me. Um I have redrawn some lines. um um on this one. It doesn't really matter uh which ones you use because I I had I think I had this one be No, that one

27:39

Speaker A

doesn't really seem too accurate. Maybe I had this one. Um but that one was undercut and now we're kind of trading back up above it.

27:49

Speaker A

Doesn't doesn't really matter. We're still in bearish territory. Um but it is the first time in a long time uh that we actually have some relative strength on ETH. Um which is really exciting. I like I like seeing that.

28:07

Speaker A

Generally whenever we've seen ETH do well, crypto as an industry has done well versus when E's not done well, we've just kind of like been having all the scams.

28:21

Speaker A

Um, Iran attacked the US base just now. Yeah, I mean that's just like that's low time frame stuff though. Um, like that's something that you'll see in the oil price and in the in the Bitcoin price. Uh, which is sad. Uh, but like

28:44

Speaker A

just long like low time frame stuff. uh it doesn't really matter too much like given the way this has been done like this whole war has been done. It's just like it's very clear that Trump just cares about the market being up. So

28:59

Speaker A

whenever the market takes too much pain from any from any news of like from any kind of geopol geopolitical stuff, Trump will just do whatever it takes to push the market back up and just go back on anything he said before.

29:16

Speaker A

So I'm not too concerned about any small in obviously small quote unquote wars never never thing to be trivialized but like it doesn't really matter too much for the markets um as it but like in it does matter obviously but it matters

29:40

Speaker A

less with Trump running things because everyone just kind of knows he's going to chicken out uh the moment it gets bad, which puts us in a really weird spot in that the whole world is like in this weird suspension of like just the

29:59

Speaker A

reality is just like just so warped right now. Um like imagine waging a war and uh whenever the market gets too bad, you're like ah we will just chill for a little bit. It's just it's actually insane. But

30:15

Speaker A

is what it is. But anyway, we have some strength on ETH. Um, I've actually been considering buying into strength on ETH.

30:23

Speaker A

Uh, I I actually really like it above 2K. Uh, we're quite close now. Um we bounced from I mean bouncedish from monthly support but more importantly we've bounced uh here from from EFB BTC monthly support and um technically

30:46

Speaker A

speaking this would not be too bad of like a bottom formation. Now does it have to happen? No. Um, does everyone hate ETH and sentiment is really bad? Yes. Do like I would like to see it kind of

31:04

Speaker A

continue outperforming. Um, and I I I like it. Um, but I am also just someone that likes ETH. I am cognizant of the fact that this is still a wildly bearish chart in a way. Like it is in a way it's just

31:18

Speaker A

sideways, right? Like this is just high time frame sideways. But obviously given that the market multiplied and ETH just didn't do much um like however you want to draw it it's kind of sideways. Um I could have just

31:35

Speaker A

drawn a straight line like this would have been not more effort. You guys are working with with a professional. Anyway, it doesn't really matter how you draw it. um if it's like this or if you just could like leave

31:50

Speaker A

that out and you're just saying this is the range. Um but I genuinely think uh above and we talked about this months and months ago. Uh above 2.5 would be really bullish. I think at that point we just basically go back to alltime high

32:10

Speaker A

pretty much immediately. Uh but generally above 2K um would be a nice nice signal. Um I would like to see Bitcoin break the weekly resistance uh and ETH break this break this weekly resistance as well and then I think we

32:27

Speaker A

we're back and stuff looks good again. I think you like it. Whatever happens. Yeah, that's what I'm saying. Like I like ETH. Um, but I'm I'm cognizant of the fact that I like it and that that gives me a little bit of a

32:46

Speaker A

bias because objectively this is not the best shot. But honestly, it's really not that bad. like on a lower time frame basis. If you ignore all of the monthly stuff, um we had a low here, ran into resistance, broke down, and if we

33:02

Speaker A

reclaim this as in close above 2K, um that just really doesn't look that bad anymore. Uh even like objectively speaking, would you go all in if it hit 1K? Um no. No. Um, I do like it at 1K. Uh, I

33:23

Speaker A

think 1K is the 45K equivalent. So, basically, Bitcoin goes to 45K. Uh, you go to 1.1. Uh, you can buy both of those. Um, I wouldn't go all in ETH, but it's a really nice level to buy. U, but

33:39

Speaker A

we really don't have to hit these levels. It's the same with Bitcoin. Like, people are like, I'm going to buy a shitload when it hits 45K. It's like there's a chance it never goes there. Um I don't necessarily even think that that

33:51

Speaker A

chance is too low. Like I think that's a good chance we don't hit 45. Um we have nice support at 60 but yeah.

34:02

Speaker A

So yeah, we have we have a little bit of positive action on ETH with which is really nice. uh EBTC has been been also just kind of like just pushing um which is which is really good. I would

34:16

Speaker A

like to see some more of that and I am considering buying buying ETH adding it to to the collection of stuff. I might regret that if we start losing 60k. I might regret that really fast, but I think even if I did, um

34:34

Speaker A

the next level is very significant and very close. Uh obviously for if it's a little bit further away like that, that would be a 50% haircut, but I think even if we went to 1K, uh we would bounce

34:46

Speaker A

back to 2K pretty much or like at least 1.6 1.7 pretty much immediately. Uh but yeah, I so like ETH's been ETH's been uh the one that I've been been considering the most. I've wanted to buy 2K ETH when we were trading in here and

35:05

Speaker A

held off um when we are retesting it. Uh and now we're kind of like back there again. And I'm just like I I actually want to own some ETH. Um, maybe I'm delusional with how the world is going, but I like it.

35:24

Speaker A

What percentage are you long Bitcoin at the moment? I mean, that's not really how how it works for me anymore, but um, like I can buy more. It's not like I'm I'm all in. Um, so if you want to do it

35:36

Speaker A

like percentage wise, there's like a good 50% as in I could double the position without sweating too much. Um, I don't have too too much, but I have a little bit. Um, and there's enough room for me to add other things,

35:54

Speaker A

but it's not like I I used to just like have 100% of my Bitcoin uh of my net worth in Bitcoin ETH, whatever, and then I would take all of it out. And it's not how my how my financial situation goes

36:08

Speaker A

anymore. [laughter] I have I have wife wife and children. Um that you don't you don't just all in in in any case. So even if I put all the money that I have for crypto set aside into crypto, that would not even be

36:25

Speaker A

close to to 100% of my net worth. Not anywhere close. Give us some hopeium talk about Monab, please. I want to hear Duck's conviction is stronger than mine. I just like what they're doing. like people like people are like shit-talking like Monad for

36:43

Speaker A

whatever reason um constantly, right? Um and I actually don't I don't see where they're coming from like all coins like like look at this the weekly chart of of of Monat, right? Um I like tech in in a

36:59

Speaker A

sense, right? But I don't I don't even hate the chart. Um this is just sideways like entirely sideways, right? for the last almost year now. Um, and then you go and you check Salana, how's that been doing for the last year?

37:16

Speaker A

It's been dying. Um, and then you go to Avac. That's straight up death uh against Bitcoin at least. I have the USD chart somewhere. Um, all of these coins um have been dying and no one's kind of complaining.

37:36

Speaker A

But for some reason with Monet, everyone is I'm I'm a little bit confused. You can see this best when you when you put it against other coins, right? Like this is Monet against Salana and you see a lot of Monet hate. You don't see any

37:48

Speaker A

Solana hate. And I'm kind of confused as to where that is coming from. Um you can even put it against Eve. You can put it against anything. And Eve's You see that Eve's stronger than this is actually an

38:00

Speaker A

interesting one. Um we've been we've been um pushing up um ETH versus Salana and that's quite a gap um to be filled. Actually like it better the other way around.

38:19

Speaker A

So that's that's Salana versus EH struggling. So yeah, I mean I just I I generally like the like the team like the tech. Um, obviously also biased. I did invest in Monet like years and years ago. Um, that's why I know the team and

38:37

Speaker A

that's why I know like the people behind it. And maybe I would like other projects more if I knew them as well as I I did the Monet team. But I just like them. Um, and it's outperforming most

38:49

Speaker A

other things. Um while sentiment is horrendously bad which yeah like this is the the bord against Bitcoin chart and like that's very very surprisingly strong. You go on any on any Bitcoin Bitcoin uh chart in the last in the last

39:12

Speaker A

year and you're going to see downside and it's just going sideways. Any opinion on AVAC longterm? Not really.

39:19

Speaker A

No. Um, not no strong no strong opinions there. I've I've hated on Avac enough.

39:28

Speaker A

It's down infinite. Um, at this point, I don't know what's going on in the in the ecosystem.

39:38

Speaker A

I have been historically a hater, but I think that's been justified. It's down 95%.

39:49

Speaker A

Um but yeah, now nowadays I don't know what's going on there. But anyway, um that's that. Uh Eve on the cusp of looking really good and that's quite like that's quite a bit more convincing than Bitcoin is. Um

40:06

Speaker A

Bitcoin is struggling. Um Eve just seems like it needs anything from Bitcoin and it's going to go up. Um yeah, Monad's just going sideways. There's nothing really there. Uh we talked about it. um when it had like I was like it's a nice

40:21

Speaker A

breakout trade above 0.025 and it it went up like 50% from there but then the moment we closed back below below this level here um the opposite obviously was also true uh went back down um and now we're kind of just going

40:42

Speaker A

sideways. don't really think trade-wise there's too much there but it is outperforming most other things. Um while sentiment is quite bad. Ccash um is even though we have two two red weeks here doing sort of the same thing um

41:01

Speaker A

it's actually surprisingly strong. It is struggling with resistance here a little bit but the more you test that um the weaker it gets. So, um, that's one of the the stronger names as well in the last couple weeks, two months. Now, one thing that I

41:23

Speaker A

do find interesting is that you have like a little bit of weakness like get into the the market leaders. Um as in like look you had like Ccash was been has been outperforming quite a bunch and it's been kind of red for the last two

41:39

Speaker A

weeks and just generally not been doing too well and you have the same thing happening for hype right where it's like oh I didn't even do I draw drew that um that worked quite well. Did we draw that

41:53

Speaker A

on the last show? I don't even remember. Um anyway, um you have a little bit of weakness get like in in the in the strong names and you have a little bit more strength in the weak names as in

42:07

Speaker A

like Eve's been outperforming quite substantially. Uh so maybe you just see a little bit of a rotation from from the the leading names going into into the the struggling ones.

42:23

Speaker A

Do you think if ETH pumps Monet outperforms? Probably. Yeah, I think Monet is just like Monet is just a little bit like a leveraged ETH in a way. Um uh it does benefit from ETH going up um more so than Salana for example would

42:43

Speaker A

given given it supports a lot of the ETH stuff. So the more like the more activity on ETH there is the better for Monad in a way. Um but in comparison to Salana for example, Salana doesn't really want to see see

42:58

Speaker A

too much E usage because that takes away from Salana. Um but yeah um I so I'm I'm quite excited for that. If Eve actually starts going above 2K, uh I think the crypto industry as a whole is going to be better off. uh

43:18

Speaker A

like the more Eve starts outperforming, we get a bunch of innovation and less scams versus whatever happens when Salana goes up, which we all know the good old the good old scams just go rampant. Um and then you have a

43:33

Speaker A

bunch of other stuff. Uh Salana has been underperforming. It was at the cusp of a breakout um but never never got there.

43:45

Speaker A

uh it is quite close to to support. I still remember talking about this so so long ago when we're in that range that was like yeah if you break that range the nearest support is $40 and people were

43:58

Speaker A

like you are insane and now we're almost there like quite close like if if Bitcoin breaks down we're going to be there in no time whatsoever. Um, and this is the same kind of level as as Bitcoin at 45, Solana at like 35. Um, I

44:18

Speaker A

think that's like if we break down, that's a nice area. Uh, so you have like if all goes to [ \_\_ ] I think um the levels that you do want to be buying is ETH1K, Bitcoin 45, Solana 35.

44:35

Speaker A

Um, and then there's like a few others, but don't need to talk about those.

44:41

Speaker A

Don Avac is like the Simpsons meme. Stop. He's already there. Yeah. Uh, hype, please. Yeah, hype. There's not really that much to talk about. um it is underperforming and quite substantially so. Uh I have heard rumors about KYC. I

44:57

Speaker A

don't know how how accurate those are. Um maybe someone is a little bit more informed than I am. Um we are approaching support. So basically like there's weekly support roughly where we are. Um that daily trend line just uh nuked it.

45:20

Speaker A

not looking too pretty. But yeah, as long as this weekly weekly holds, there's some hope. But it looks like I and this is the same thing that I talked about earlier. When you get these breakouts, you have a range, you break out, which

45:39

Speaker A

we have here is, right? Like it's more of like a normal breakout like this. Uh no range, just up and then a breakout.

45:48

Speaker A

Um, you chill up here. That's all all good. Um, you go down here. Usually, in my eyes, um, like, yeah, there's a bounce play to be had, but I'm not as sold on that as if it just went sideways up here. So, as in

46:09

Speaker A

support usually holds for once, and you can argue that that happened here already and we got that bounce.

46:16

Speaker A

Uh but and then it bounces and then there's a little bit more weakness. Do you think hype KYC rumors may push the per narrative and sold further? I mean maybe. Um I don't know why it would have to be on

46:39

Speaker A

Salana can be on on other chains but yeah. [snorts] What about Litecoin? I mean, Litecoin failed the setup um a long time ago. You guys remember this? I remember.

46:59

Speaker A

So, we were trading, resistance held, support didn't. So, so that's that's not the best. Now, obviously, you can you can redraw this and be like, "Hey, hang on. What about this?" But that's a little bit farfetched.

47:22

Speaker A

Um, yeah, back above 60 maybe, but not the previous chart. Yeah, I I mean, I don't know. I think I think I should be and laugh at me all you want if I'm wrong, but I think I should be on ETH. Eve is the most

47:50

Speaker A

interesting one right now by a long shot. Um, don't like and and you will see people kind of be like, "Ah, people have been saying this about ETH for the longest time." Um, but like, "Oh, yeah, it's going to go up

48:06

Speaker A

now." Like you're going to see a bunch of people be like, "Oh yeah, ETH is is going to wake up and go crazy." And then you're going to see like the same amount or if not more people be like, "Ah,

48:16

Speaker A

you've been saying this for years." And that kind of complacency is exactly what you want to be seeing.

48:22

Speaker A

Now, I'm not saying Eve has to run, but that kind of setup is the best setup for it to run. Um because you get the most people sidelined and then it it goes from 2K to to 4K in a straight line and

48:35

Speaker A

then all of those people that made fun of of the people for being bullish because it went up a little bit have to buy much higher. Um because the moment ETH goes up, people are like I actually like ETH. Like that's the that's the

48:49

Speaker A

thing with like good with good coins. Uh when they they can bleed forever and that's just crypto. But the moment they go up, people are like, I actually have to have exposure to this. Like I will feel stupid not having it. Um

49:04

Speaker A

uh so like if you get any kind of momentum on a good coin, it usually runs more than you think.

49:13

Speaker A

I mean to be fair, they have indeed been saying it for years. Yes. And I mean that is true. Like it's not like it's not true. It's just that setup is really nice. Like it's not something wrong that

49:25

Speaker A

they're saying. Like yes, the ETH heads have been saying that for years. Eve's just not been doing anything, but in the same vein, everyone likes Eve. Any anyone that's like in crypto and has been in crypto for a couple of years um

49:40

Speaker A

likes Eve. So the moment it runs, people want to have exposure. And then there's the moment it starts running, there's much less of it to go around. Um, so I like that kind of setup, but it does need a little bit of help from

49:55

Speaker A

Bitcoin. Um, I think it wants to go. Basically, it kind of looks to me like ETH wants to run. Um, it's just it's not running yet because Bitcoin is just on the last support before before people will actually just quit the industry,

50:11

Speaker A

which is historically like whenever whenever you're sitting on the on the 6K equivalent, right? like we were like bouncing from 6K and everyone was like, "Oh, we can stomach this. We can stomach this." And then it broke to 3k and

50:24

Speaker A

people were like, "Okay, I'm out." Um, that's historically. And same thing here with with this breakdown where we're trading at 20 20 25ish and people like we can barely stomach that and it dropped to 16K and then we're like,

50:36

Speaker A

we're out. It's the same thing here. Like if we move one lower, uh, I think that's going to be cycle low for sure.

50:43

Speaker A

Um and um given we are at the edge of that I think people are a little bit afraid to to put money in anything which is fair enough. I totally understand. You don't want to be sitting in an altcoin um

51:00

Speaker A

before uh the move to to like like where people are actually going to quit the industry.

51:07

Speaker A

And that's usually like the smart people like, "Oh yeah, let me just let me just wait for everyone to quit and then I'm going to buy again." Um, and the the dumb people are like, "Oh, I can hold

51:20

Speaker A

this like I can hold this leverage for a little bit uh at this level still." And they get liquidated. Um, so I I get it.

51:28

Speaker A

It's just uh it looks looks quite ready to me generally speaking. So, I might I might buy some. I'm I've been pondering over it uh for for actually a while now.

51:47

Speaker A

So, yeah, that's the most interesting one. I think that's where we can end up today. Um like I said, I'll do these more often if you guys like. Um and then I'll try to get Cred back on board uh as much as we can.

52:06

Speaker A

But it's been difficult. So, we'll see. We'll see how that goes. But, um, I will I will put this in my my calendar and we'll run we'll run this for at least the next couple weeks unless I get sick,

52:19

Speaker A

which I don't think I should. But, um, yeah, expect me here again next Wednesday uh or like roughly same time.

52:31

Speaker A

Uh and then we'll we'll see what what has happened in the last week. We are quite close to to action. I can feel I can tell um just needs to needs to break one way or the other and then we can

52:46

Speaker A

properly party. Um maybe I'll I'll actually have to take some more some more risk if we start breaking out uh to the upside. That'd be nice. That might be my preferred way right now, like just going up. But if it has to go down, uh,

53:01

Speaker A

we know what to do. Uh, there's good levels at 45, at 1,100 for Eve, and at 35 to 40 for Solana. Uh, those are the the major ones.

53:15

Speaker A

Anyway, thank you guys for coming by. Uh, much love. Uh, and big shout out to Kraken again for sponsoring the show.

53:23

Speaker A

Really appreciate their support. Uh, like I said at the beginning, if you want to check out their their option trading or any of the other stuff that they do have, um, you can you can um follow the ref link and then just check

53:37

Speaker A

out their their platform and uh go from there. If not, also fine. Um, is there no chance the Wednesday solo stream will return? I mean, it like I said, it will be back like the at least for a month now. um I can commit to a

53:54

Speaker A

month. Um so for the next month there's there will be a Wednesday stream um every every Wednesday and um yeah and then afterwards we'll see. Uh I would like to make it a regular thing again. I it's it helps me keep on top of

54:12

Speaker A

the market because it like I can just take an hour for myself with the door closed um not getting harassed by my children looking looking at the market rather than looking at the market while two children are climbing on me um trying to get my

54:28

Speaker A

attention. So I'll I'll try to keep it regular but we'll see we'll see how life goes. But yeah anyway thank you guys for coming by. Um, if you have any questions, um, suggestions or whatever, just write them in the comments. I'll

54:43

Speaker A

read them. And, um, yeah, we'll we'll see each other next Wednesday. Much love. Bye-bye.

Topics: TechnicalRoundup Bitcoin cryptocurrency technical analysis support and resistance options trading Kraken live stream market analysis altcoins

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